One of the illusionary advantages to being connected in a totalitarian systems is that because laws unevenly enforced meaning rules that others are ruined by don’t apply to you.

The thing is people who ignore the rules tend to forget them so if you fall out of favor with the powers that be then suddenly you might find that not only do the rules apply to you, but it becomes impossible to explain away your willingness to break them without claiming that they simply don’t apply to you.

That’s the trap the Clinton’s are in because Barack Obama and his allies, while busy doing their best to finish their destruction of the American economy, the America’s culture and the American military has has decided to take a few minutes to remind the Clintons who holds power.

Rather than treat the Clintons like a Lois Lerner for whom the rules don’t apply, Barack Obama has decided that with his terms ending, the usefulness of Hillary Clinton has come to an end as well.

Bryann Pagliano’s pleading the fifth makes it game set and match to Obama.

Clinton is in an impossible position. While partisan democrats will rationalize this away (See John Podesta for a great example of this ignore) normal Americans understnad that you don’t plead the fifth when there is nothing to hide. That makes her an impossible candidate in the general election.

Even worse for Clinton is that if she counterattacks Obama she risks losing the black community in the primaries that has proved itself willing to defend Barack Obama to the death rather than admit that as much has he’s been an unmitigated disaster for the country, he’s been even worse for them.

Hillary choices are impossible. The only reason so many people are paying big money to Bill is power, the potential power of a Hillary Clinton in the White House. If she & Bill decide on a quixotic attack on the Obama’s even if she wins she loses.

And if she drops out before the primaries start she has to somehow make herself a credible potential candidate in the future, presuming of course the Obama’s don’t just go for the kill and eliminate the potential threat of a resurgent Clinton clan that has more lives that a cat lady’s entire litter.

Hillary’s position is untenable if she stays and nearly impossible or untenable if she goes, the only thing she can definitely do, if she so chooses, is to try and take the Obama’s down with her. While that might have a certain appeal it’s not something her loyalists, whose true loyalty is to the money & power she provides, are likely to go for.

Normally there is always the wild card of republicans doing something stupid enough to save her but with Trump playing the shield for the entire GOP field the media can’t change the narrative in time to save her.

So, Republican stupidity not withstanding I’m going to go out on a limb here. No matter how you slice it, there is only one conclusion to be drawn, while we don’t know the how or the final details there is only one conclusion to be drawn from what we’ve seen:

When comes to President Hillary you stick a fork in her, she’s done.

Update: edited for clairty


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Olimometer 2.52

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I know you can get the MSM for nothing, but that’s pretty much what they’re good for.

We’ve been hearing how people have turned on Barack Obama and how people regret their votes for him but with Tea Party anger at the GOP still present how much of that regret still actually exists?

I thought I’d find out by our 2012 Regrets I’ve had a few poll

[poll id=”2″]


You can only vote once.  We’ll take your votes till Friday and announce the results on DaTechGuy on DaRadio


Olimometer 2.52

We remain 5 grand away from making our expenses for the year and a sold $1000 away from making them this month.

If you think the coverage and commentary we provide here is worth your support please consider hitting DaTipJar below to meet our annual expenses.

Consider the lineup you get In addition to my own work seven days a week you get John Ruberry (Marathon Pundit)  on Sunday Pat Austin (And so it goes in Shreveport)  on Monday  Tim Imholt on Tuesday,  AP Dillon (Lady Liberty1885) Thursdays, Pastor George Kelly Fridays,   Steve Eggleston on Saturdays with  Baldilocks (Tue & Sat)  and   Fausta  (Wed & Fri) of (Fausta Blog) twice a week.

If that’s not worth $20 a month I’d like to know what is?

Romney in Illinois, 2012
Romney in Illinois, 2012

By John Ruberry

It’s hard to fathom now, but one of the major issues of the 2012 presidential campaign was Mitt Romney’s 15-year leadership of the Boston-based private equity firm Bain Capital, which he co-founded.

Two years later President Obama, who of course defeated Romney in ’12, faces multiple crises, including scandals involving IRS targeting of conservative groups, deadly waiting lists at VA hospitals, as well as a collapsing Iraq, Russia’s seizure of Ukraine, a still stagnant economy, and 300,000 illegal alien children crossing over our lightly watched southern border.

None of these hotspots have anything to do with Bain Capital, other than, remotely, the rotten Obama economy.

Under Romney, Bain rescued many companies from failure. And it provided seed money for new firms such as Staples, which now operates over two-thousand stores. Sure, a few of Bain’s investments didn’t work out, but failure–as well as success–is how capitalism works.

While at the NATO summit in the spring of 2012, Obama defended attacks on Romney’s tenure at Bain.

What did that have to do with NATO?

However, Romney left Bain in 1999 to engineer his greatest turnaround, the rescue of the scandal-plagued 2002 Winter Olympics in Salt Lake City. He then moved on and was elected governor of Massachusetts.

During the campaign, a liberal super PAC, Priorities USA, blamed Bain Capital and Romney in a video for the death from cancer of a woman after her husband was laid off from a Bain-owned company. That claim was almost immediately debunked, yet Obama only half-heartedly disavowed it.

Obama and his surrogates were partaking in an old Saul Alinksy tactic–straw man attacks.

John "Lee" Ruberry
John “Lee” Ruberry

Paul Ryan, Romney’s running mate, neatly summed up Obama’s mischief last year:

Look, it’s the same trick he plays every time: Fight a straw man. Avoid honest debate. Win the argument by default.

Yes, Obama is winning arguments. But our nation is becoming increasing dysfunctional.

Obama, like King Robert Baratheon in Game of Thrones, mistakenly believes victory and running a country are the same thing.

It’s a road map for disaster. And we have arrived at our unhappy destination.

John Ruberry regularly blogs at Marathon Pundit.

Senator Rick Santorum spoke at the NLRC 2014 event:

After his speech he gave me a few minutes

I firmly believe that if we had nominated Senator Santorum last time around he would be President Santorum today and we’d be a lot better off.


Olimometer 2.52

It’s Tuesday my wife’s birthday and we’re Still at $87 toward our goal of $365 to pay the mortgage and the writer.

Without 11 $25 tip jar hits we will have no prospect of making mortgage this month.

We’ve done a lot in the last 10 days from CPAC to NLRC. but it can’t be done without you.


With 61 more $20 a month subscribers this site will be able to cover its bills for a full year.

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REMINDER: In 2009, Barack Obama “Joked” About Having The IRS Audit His Enemies.

Glenn Reynolds

As everyone knows I’m a tea party republican so one might think that I’d be delighted because Chris Christie is in hot water, well I am delighted but for a totally different reason.

This Morning MSNBC, and the rest of the left has gone all in on Chris Christie concerning the bridge scandal.  Memeorandum is full of stories:

 EMS responses delayed by GWB lane closures in Fort Lee

Christie’s Waterloo

I’ll have a lot to write about the meat and potatoes of this business later this later but I want to talk about the incredible opportunity this gives the GOP.

Right now the media is obsessed with this scandal, it’s everywhere and their arguments look like this:

How DARE Christie or his aides use the power of his office during an election campaign to punish a political foe.

How DARE Chris Christie or his aides use a state agency to make this happen.

How DARE Chris Christie or his aides take a cavalier attitude toward ordinary people’s lives.

If anyone thinks that Chris Christie & or his campaign didn’t know about this or didn’t support it with a wink & nod they are completely naive.

And all of these media types are just dying to have members of the GOP come on their shows to comment on this horrible GOP scandal and if the GOP is smart at all, they should jump at the chance.

And they should use every moment on the air to compare and contrast the media reaction to this Christie Scandal to the IRS scandal.

How horrible that in view of the ongoing IRS scandal where a government agency was used to go after conservatives that such a thing would happen.

They should wonder aloud if any of Chris Christie’s aides will plead the 5th under oath like the IRS people did.

They should talk about how Chris Christie should not stonewall or put up roadblocks as the Obama administration has continued to do with the IRS scandal.

And they should of course talk about the contrast between the media interest, saying perhaps Christie might use the Obama strategy on the IRS scandal, deny and stonewall in the hope that the media will ignore it over time.

They should POUND this there should be no answer that comes out of their lips that doesn’t use the words “IRS Scandal” and “Bridge Scandal” in the same sentence.  Every article written on it by any conservative source should mention it, contrast it play on the difference in media interest between the pair.

In fact if I’m Chris Christie I bring up the IRS scandal over and over again at my press conference saying stuff like:  ” I’m not going to delay or stonewall this investigation like the President & the IRS.”  and make it a point to constantly contrast the IRS scandal to this one.

Who knows if they press are in a spot where they can’t quote him without bringing up IRS they might even back off.

This is a gimme, a no brainer and the GOP needs to take full advantage of it and milk it for as much as they can.

No charge GOP, but Tip Jar hits will be cheerfully accepted.

Update:  via Glenn, James Taranto gets it:

Its sheer pettiness is what distinguishes the GWB scandal from the ObamaCare and IRS ones. The ObamaCare fraud was in the service of an ambitious ideological agenda, and as we have argued, the 2012 election was close enough that it is possible the IRS’s suppression of opposition was necessary to secure the president a second term. Christie, by contrast, is not much of an ideologue and was cruising to an easy re-election.

In the latter regard, the bridge shenanigans look more like the Watergate burglary–a gratuitous misuse of power. “Reporters will eventually demand to know . . . what Christie knew and when he knew it,” observes conservative blogger Sean Davis. “None of the defenses now available to Christie–intentional deceit or intentional ignorance–paint him in a favorable light.” That’s especially true if voters two years from now are looking for a corrective to the corruption and deception of the Obama years.

Update 2:  Can I get an AMEN for Erick Erickson & John Nolte:


Update 3: Christie Press conference in progress. Straight up apologies, no justifications for lying Bridget Anne Kelly fired. Would never have joked about this if he every had an inkling that anyone on the staff would be so stupid to be involved and so deceitful as to lie about it to us.

“I am responsible for what happened.”

Update 4:  Assuming he is not lying through his teeth this press conference is a textbook example of how something like this should be done.  Watching him taking questions on the issue.  The contrast to the last four years of Obama administration plus Al Gore’s “No controlling legal authority” and “It depends on what the meaning of the word “is”  is.” can’t be overstated.

Update 5:  90 minutes into press conference and MSM is getting upset

the ultimate irony?

If Christie hasn’t answer more questions on Bridgegate than Obama has on all his scandals combined it’s damn close at this point.

Olimometer 2.52

It’s Thursday and for the 2nd week in a row we start a Thursday at 30% of our weekly pay goal.

Since however reaching Thursday means over 58% of the week has passed that means we are once again in a hole.

When you think about it the hole isn’t deep at the start of a week a mere $50 a day avg will assure us of full coffers, but with only three days to go we need at least $80 a day for the next three days to make the goal with only a dollar to spare.

So While I’d be delighted to get the full $239 out of the way if we can get $140 we’ll be back on track for the week. Even a mere $80 today would be a third of the way home with three days left.

If you can help please consider hitting DaTipJar below..

Remember if we can get those 58 1/4 subscribers @ at $20 a month the bills will be paid every week. Help make sure this blog can fight without fear all year long.


I remember the first Scott Brown campaign.

The crowds were incredible, the excitement was contagious, people in Massachusetts really believed it was a sign that the direction that had led us to ruin for decades might actually be ending.

And the Grass Roots that had been silent for years, the people who were sick of political correctness, of government intrusion, of high taxes and who say Mr. Brown as the best and last chance to stop Obamacare disaster that they (unlike the MSM) clearly saw before them, in its tracks emerged from the shadows and worked, oh HOW they worked. The number of man hours, the phone calls, the stand out were incredible.

They gave the one item that is more valuable than money for a campaign, The one thing you can never make more of…TIME!

After the victory he was hailed at CPAC he was celebrated, local bars were naming drinks after him and fear gripped the left in Massachusetts to the point where millions were spent to defend seats in congress in 2010 simply to hold the line and while they managed to do this, it cost them in many close races nationwide and lead to the GOP house majority that remains to this day.

Brown was a pragmatic senator on many issues and the media cheered him on celebrating him and suggesting that his only chance for re-election was to move left, unfortunately Brown agreed, time and time again he sided with Democrats and ran from the Tea Party that worked so hard to elect him.

When the Democrats choose the extreme ultra left candidate Elizabeth “You didn’t build that” Warren as their candidate national Democrats were orgasmic, gone was their complements of Scott Brown & the fawning media coverage. Instead they elevated Warren and dumped millions into sending Senator Brown home.

Alas with the left solidly against him, Brown still veered left and like Mitt Romney he kept his distance from the Tea Party and the base even as he needed ever single vote to keep his seat.

It didn’t save Mitt & it didn’t save Brown.

2014 is just a few days away and with Obamacare crashing and burning the best chance they have to save the senate for Barack Obama is to exacerbate the conflicts between the Tea Party & the Establishment GOP.

And lo and behold suddenly MSNBC and Morning Joe are all abuzz about Senator Brown selling his house in Massachusetts and moving to NH to run for the Senate Seat currently occupied by Jeanne Shaheen.

Already the backlash over Brown’s positions has begun, The Nashua protests will just be the beginning and the media will do their best to fan the flames in order to rip the partnership that made the GOP a majority party in congress asunder and rest assured it will only get worse as time goes on.

Maybe Senator Brown thinks he’s the best chance to beat Senator Shaheen, after all the contrast between the 60th vote for & the 41st vote against Obamacare is an appealing political juxtaposition but that will be small comfort if it rips the GOP apart in the one state in New England where they still have an organization that can complete on the state and national level.

In a piece at Fox Senator Brown wrote this:

Democrats would love for nothing more than for us to spend precious time and resources fighting amongst ourselves on unrelated issues. Indeed, this remains their best hope for avoiding a total wipeout at the ballot box next year.

If we aren’t able to come together and stand united around our core principles, the future of both our country and our political party is bleak.

That’s true, but I can’t think of anything that is more likely to cause that to happen in New Hampshire than Senator Brown running in the state for Senate.  The left did their best to use Senator Brown once before against the party and his own interests and it ended in defeat and division in the Massachusetts GOP just as it had a chance to begin their climb out of an impossible hole.  If he is truly concerned with party unity, if he wants to be sure the GOP has a united message so they win local races in the state as well as that vulnerable senate seat, the best thing he can do is stay out of the primary and endorse whoever wins to the hilt.

It will be quite Ironic if three years after Scott Brown was the spark that torched their citadel in 2010 he becomes the Molotov Cocktail to burn down the GOP chances to win the Senate and keep a hold in NH.

Update: The subject of the grass roots and marketing came up on this week’s show a key except:

Whose going to man the offices, who’s going to bang on the doors, make phone calls do those things and volunteer in waves, and when that first wave of volunteer gets tired you got to have a 2nd wave & a third wave and the first wave is rejuvenated and those people do tend to be on the ah not on the extremes but the more dedicated people, then perhaps from a republican point of view more conservative.

Paid consultants are all about their pay, it’s the volunteers that are willing to work without pay that make the difference and they come from the base.


Olimometer 2.52

It’s Monday the 6th day of Christmas, After a slow Sunday the only movement toward a full paycheck this week was a pair of Subscriptions payments which have us $22 of the way toward our $340 goal

Given this December (a month that blogs normally go to die in off years) has been not only our best month this year and still has an outside chance of becoming our best month EVAH in terms of traffic I certainly have no business complaining about one slow Sunday.

But like a closer in baseball what you did last week or yesterday doesn’t matter

So good months and good weeks aside the paycheck still need to be made which means I need 16 tip jar hitters kicking in $20 before the close of business on Saturday to make week 53 of 2013 & week 1 of 2014 a success.

Help me end and start the year on a high note, hit DaTipJar below

Let me remind all that the need to shake DaTipJar each week will disappear as soon as we have enough subscribers to carry the site without the weekly goal.

Right now we are We remain 58 1/4 new subscribers at $20 a month to do this

It’s still the 6th day of Christmas so give yourself a Christmas present that will inform and entertain you 365 days a year in 2014. Subscribe below.

You know when playing “follow the leader” with a political party is a problem?  When that leader lies through his teeth and you mimic him:

How many Democrats made the promise? There’s no comprehensive list of all of them, but Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell’s office has compiled a list of 27 Democratic senators who pledged that Americans could keep their coverage under Obamacare. The list includes the entire Democratic leadership in the Senate as well as Democrats facing tough re-election races in 2014, like Mary Landrieu, Mark Begich, and Kay Hagan. Here is that list, compiled by McConnell’s office:

How much do you want to bet that as soon as they put themselves on record supporting he Upton bill vulnerable elected democrats had aides diving through their twitter streams to delete any sign of them repeating the President’s Promise in their name.

Of course for Democrats in districts where they couldn’t lose if they released a sex tape foursome with Hitler, Satan & Cruella de Vil it’s not a problem:

Pelosi isn’t worried, and she’s not alone.  Check out these names from Byron’s York’s list.


Do you think a single one of them is going to be called on direct lies to the voters of their state? Is a single one of them frightened for their job over this disaster?


The ultimate responsibility lies of course with the voters who send people who lie to their face back to the congress over and over again but in fairness the people who helped these pols deceive the voter are the press.

While Tom Brokov on Meet the Press Sunday talked about the Russians giving President Obama cover on Syria but neither he nor his counterparts on any other network had anything to say about the cover they gave the president and democrats for five years. As I asked on twitter:


Stacy McCain had the answer:

Grant that the editors of the Los Angeles Times know their readership: No Republican would subscribe to a newspaper which is so blatantly biased, and so the remaining subscriber base of the Los Angeles Times – which has been hemorrhaging circulation for 20 years — is composed entirely of Democrats who don’t want to read honest reporting. Just like the New York Times, the Washington Post and practically every other major newspaper in America, the Los Angeles Times has become a Democrat Party propaganda organ.

“Liberal bias is not a matter of unfairness, but rather
a matter of dishonesty — deliberately ignoring some facts,
and misrepresenting other facts, in order to misinform
the public by portraying to them a politically falsified
view of events and personalities.”

I submit and suggest that we have a press that is so desperate for Democrats in general and the first Black President in particular to succeed that they either kept themselves willfully ignorant or simply didn’t report any evidence contrary to the party line and I echo Stacy McCain’s final word from his excellent piece:

The problem is that you’re not angry enough about this.

Until the viewers and voters get angry enough, nothing will change.

Via Ed Driscoll & JohnE. at Ace of Spades, comes this video.

Key quote from the president at 2:57

This exchange will take effect in four years which will give us time to do it right.

That never gets quoted

Update 2: Instalanche, thanks Glenn and don’t forget this whole mimicking a leader BS really broke through the dam in 1998 for Democrats.

Update 3: BTW if you are coming here from Instapundit don’t forget that DaTechGuy Blog now features DaTechguy’s Magnificent Seven seven writers and bloggers dealing with all kinds of subjects Make sure after 1 PM EST you check out this post by Linda Szugyi of No one of any import.


Olimometer 2.52

It’s Monday and we’ve had two straight horrible Tip Jar weeks where we not only didn’t make paycheck, but the two weeks combined didn’t even make the old pre-magnificent Seven goal let alone our new $340 weekly goal.

Boy how time flies.

I Remember those heady days of Yesteryear. That time only 17 months ago when Rick Santorum was making this point in Concord New Hampshire:

“How about the argument that all men are created equal and the right to happiness?” Santorum pounces:

“Are we saying everyone has the right to marry?”

The crowd claps and agrees with loud shouts, Santorum continues

“So anyone can marry anyone else?” when the crowd approves, he asks “So anyone can marry several people?”

At once the crowd starts to object, filibuster and interrupt,

Well of COURSE they were objecting , filibustering and interrupting after all it’s not like gay marriage was going to lead to polygamy, otherwise after the Supreme Court ruled it it’s favor you would have mainstream reporters like Matt Lewis in the Daily Caller talking like this:

I mean, who are we to say that two or three or even four consenting adults — who want to make a lifelong commitment to love one another — shouldn’t be allowed to do so?

What’s magical about the number two?

Or Buzz Feed saying this:

Anne Wilde, a vocal advocate for polygamist rights who practiced the lifestyle herself until her husband died in 2003, praised the court’s decision as a sign that society’s stringent attachment to traditional “family values” is evolving.

“I was very glad… The nuclear family, with a dad and a mom and two or three kids, is not the majority anymore,” said Wilde. “Now it’s grandparents taking care of kids, single parents, gay parents. I think people are more and more understanding that as consenting adults, we should be able to raise a family however we choose.”

Or Reason saying this:

Is it time for a discussion of polygamy as a viable life choice tolerated by the federal government? With the Supreme Court striking down the Defense of Marriage Act, it may be the time to start publicly considering whether the state has any legitimate interest in monitoring the number of people in a marriage, not just the gender. And unlike spouses in same-sex marriages, polygamists can go to jail.

Weren’t those fun old days when all the right people justy knew Rick Santorum was just some Catholic fundamentalist spreading alarmist rhetoric.

How quaint.

Olimometer 2.52

Down to $52 bucks for a full paycheck and $423 for a full Mortgage payment.

The second is a bit iffy but the first only requires two readers at $26 or one at $52.

I gotta believe it that can be done in the next 7 hours.


He took long chances but he took them because he had to. If Grant had not had superior numbers, he might have taken chances as long as Lee took. The only way to win for Lee was with long chances, and it made him brilliant.

Shelby Foote on Robert E. Lee

For a very long time in 2011 & 2012 I was saying to anyone that would listen that the Democrats were Demoralized as hell and the GOP should “ride right through them”.

Over and over I pointed to things the Democrats in general and the Obama campaign in particular were doing that indicated they were worried.

The reason WHY the democrats were doing these things was because they knew they were in trouble and were doing all they could to counter it in order to win.

Of course while the Democrats were doing what they could control there were things that they supposedly couldn’t control and one of the things were the actions of Tea Party activists as Glenn Reynolds wrote before the last election:

In 2010, the Tea Party movement delivered a huge setback to Obama and the Democrats in congressional elections. And from 2010 up to now, it’s delivered telling blows to insufficiently responsible Republican legislators in one primary election and caucus after another. (Just ask former Utah Sen. Robert Bennett, or Indiana’s Richard Lugar, or even the victorious but chastened Orrin Hatch).

But now comes the Tea Party’s biggest test. Can it swing a close presidential election against a dependency-loving incumbent, and in favor of a fiscally responsible challenger?

People forget how scared the left actually was, let me remind you of what Michael Moore was saying DURING the Democrat convention

Listen to these quotes:

The big problem is Obama’s base is ‘Yeah I think I’m going to vote for him’ but this time four years ago everybody including myself were working on phone banks.

and this

Young people who were voting for him four years ago are not that enthused and are not working like they were four years ago.

Moore did something you don’t often see him do, give an honest assessment of a situation, acting not as a propagandist but as a realist. He said out loud what a lot of people on the left know and what the media know but are doing their best to hide.

Democrats were worried and it showed. That’s unfortunately one of the reasons why Mitt Romney’s campaign felt he could both step on his own activists while playing the Gentleman with Obama.

Let me remind you I first used the phrase on January 20th 2010 the day after Scott Brown’s victory the event that MADE the tea party.

Why does this matter because the date of the anti-tea party moves of the IRS has continued to move back:

The scrutiny began, however, in March 2010, before an uptick could have been observed, according to data contained in the audit released Tuesday from the Treasury Department’s inspector general for tax administration…

March 2010 two months after the Scott Brown victory in Massachusetts!

Anyone who thinks that timing is a coincidence is either imbecilic, insane or indoctrinated

When I commented during the election season about the Obama administration’s fear of the tea party I said:

You can’t do a damn thing about them, you can only hope to outwork them with your paid guys.

Apparently that sentence should have said was:

You can’t do a damn thing about them…unless you are a believer in the principle of “The Ends Justifies the means” and willing to use Nixon style tactics..

Lyndon Johnson famously said, if you do everything you can win, he didn’t specify “everything legal”.

I can’t say it is a fact, that Barack Obama or his campaign officially used the IRS to retard the growth and the effectiveness of the Tea Party in order to decrease their reach and effectiveness a foe on 2012, at least not yet…

…but I will say in my opinion that an Administration willing to leave Americans to die in Benghazi and frame a crummy filmmaker as responsible for it are certainly capable of it.


Olimometer 2.52

An optimist would say yesterday I halved the distance between where I was and the goal of a $300 paycheck for the week.

A pessimist would say I was only $4 short yesterday and I’m STILL $2 short today.

I would like to actually make this week’s goal, so if there is at least one reader who would care to kick in to get me over the top, simply hit DaTipJar below

Mitt Romney gave a speech that was well received at CPAC

Mitt could have given a “well I wasn’t conservative enough for you eh? How’s that working out, but that’s simply not his nature.

It hasn’t taken long for the country to figure out it’s made a huge mistake, by 2014 I suspect the people will have no doubt.

I was researching my archives for a post I’m planning when I came across this rather prophetic one from Jan 13th 2012, one year ago today

Two years ago it appeared the tide of to progressivism had been stemmed, that the basic philosophy of government being there to take care of the people who served, was rejected.

Instead today we have four more years in the White House, a House retained despite overwhelming odds and here in Massachusetts the decisive senate seat held so long by the lion of liberalism Ted Kennedy back in the hands of the Democratic party where it belongs.

the best advice I can give the GOP is to read the entire thing and remember.

Hey Guess what Charlie Crist decided he now believes as of yesterday:

Former Florida Gov. Charlie Crist, who throughout his long political career has been staunchly pro-gun rights, said Wednesday that after the Connecticut school slayings, he now backs controls

That quite a switch but the explanation is simple:

Crist recently became a Democrat and is considering a challenge to Gov. Rick Scott, who long has favored gun rights. Scott has refused to comment on gun measures after the Connecticut shootings, saying it is too early to debate.

Javier Manjarres is not amused

Is there a phonier political opportunist in the country than Charlie Crist?

A reminder the NRSC endorsed Charlie Crist 15 months before the senate primary after which he left the party and eventually joined the Democrats, but until that moment the GOP Establishment sure loved Charlie and that love had more than a political cost:

During a single three-month span of that year, Republicans contributed $4.3 million to the doomed campaign of Charlie Crist.

How’s that workin’ out for ya?

and that money was not only lost it terms of what was done, but in terms of what could have been done: Jimmie Bise:

Divide $500,000 into $4.3 million. That’s how long I could run a hypothetical conservative news site with the money dunderheaded conservatives gave Charlie Crist in just three months.

On the other hand let me remind of a poll that the GOP Establishment didn’t have any use for, a fellow named Rick Santorum. I remember (and videoed) him saying this in New Hampshire:

America is a melting pot, not a salad bowl. America is a set of values by which we hold together. That’s what holds us together, but there is a different point of view. Some have suggested that no America shouldn’t be and is wrong to be, one thing. It needs to be many things. It needs to be what any everybody wants to do. Out of one many. If that’s the case then is anybody surprised that we have trouble getting anything done for the one, the country?

Lisa Graas yesterday reminded of these words before the DeMoins Register saying this:

But as Rick Santorum told the editorial board of the Des Moines Register back during the primary, most politicians think of the issues as “little silos” and if one of the “silos” is not popular, the politician can just kick that silo down and take a new position. He sees “the big picture” of where our rights come from, and the very limited role of our government in defending only those rights.

I come back to Santorum’s answer on Gay Marriage in Concord NH against a Hostile College Crowd, he didn’t duck, he didn’t flip he explained and educated:

The GOP Establishment didn’t like Rick Santorum, they didn’t like his willingness to talk on key issues, he didn’t duck, dodge or hide. That scared them. Mitt Romney didn’t scare them or the consultants they invested in. The GOP established sure liked Mitt Romney…

…..right up until the day he lost.

Perhaps conservatives should consider a different set of investments, rather than enriching consultants by spending on pols who are so changeable we should invest in selling our ideas to the people they would benefit:

the only hope to go to the people.

Go to the Latinos and Black Americans, explain WHY conservative economics work for them. Explain why an open border hurts THEM and theirs and explain why the entitlement society makes them peons and slaves to the state as sure as if they were in the plantations of South America or the old South.

Go to women explain WHY not only conservative economics works for them but WHY conservatism in social issues benefits them, their children and themselves.

Let Americans know that WHY a strong America makes them safer than a weak one, make the case and do it every single day.

That is a better investment than any dollar to any superpac

This is what new media does, as Stacy McCain put it

For the $4 million that the permatanned RINO Charlie Crist collected during that single three-month span of 2009, you could fund eight spiffy little New Media operations for a year (or four such operations for two years). And FEC contribution limits do not apply to people making “investments” in news operations, so that the rich Republicans would not be restricted in their generosity toward New Media, as they are toward political candidates.

Why is a Media Matters & Think Progress or even a Brett Kimberlin funded? How does the left manage to push this agenda from the web to the MSM and why do they succeed? because as Stacy McCain put it

Soros has figured this out. Rich Republicans have not.

Guys it’s time to figure it out.

Update: NRSC not NRCC corrected

While we ponder the questions the left isn’t asking about the reaction to Operation Pillar of Defense Granite Grok is still there and keeping an eye on some questions that have yet to be answered about the late election, first the stats:

First, in a town with 5000 plus voters there were 630 new registrations for this year’s election.

The law give NH citizens the ability to see public documents

New Hampshire State law (91-a) allows the citizen to review, examine, or inspect, any public document that is available. They can even take pictures of it, or make their own copies or abstracts as long as the document(s) are on site and it occurs during regular business hours.

Granite Grok however reports that there was a slight issue when a citizen wanted to see the form concerning these 630 new registrations…

These 630 new voters piqued the interest of a Barrington resident, who decided that they wanted to get a copy of this public record, but when they asked the Town clerk said it would cost him $300.00.

The Grok folks have some questions about this, but wanting to be fair to all concerned I called the Town Clerk’s office myself. I spoke to a very nice lady who asked me if I could submit those questions via an e-mail to make it easier. So I did, providing a link to the Grok article quoted above with the following questions:

Per said article I have the following questions

1. Is the record of the voter rolls in Barrington available to be viewed by the public

2. Is there a separate record of new registrants and/or same day registrants available?

3. Did a person come in to obtain said records?

4. If so was said person told it would be $300 for said records?
4a. If there is such a fee, is that set by the city or state? Is it a standard fee for records?

5. The GROK article states that such public records are available under state law saying the following:

New Hampshire State law (91-a) allows the citizen to review, examine, or inspect, any public document that is available. They can even take pictures of it, or make their own copies or abstracts as long as the document(s) are on site and it occurs during regular business hours.
5a Is this correct and if so can said person make their own copies without charge?

6. Will said records be available electronically (in PDF format etc) and available either to the public on request or on the Barrington site eventually?

7. If I came down to see said records would they be available for viewing?

Any help in answering these question would be appreciated

Thank you.

That was on Wednesday November 14th when I first wrote this post but held back posting awaiting a reply and while I’m sure Barrington NH can be a busy place I think five days is plenty of time for it to come.

By an odd coincidence while I haven’t received a reply the day after I sent that request Granite Grok’s person went back to the town hall and was told the following:

Our intrepid checklist warrior went back to the clerk armed with 91-a and was informed that they didn’t actually have the list prepared yet. He was told that it would be a few weeks but that they would give him an electronic copy of the new list when it was complete. Skip has encouraged him to go back and ask for the existing list, which they used for election day, and which we now know is available in electronic form. For free, apparently.

Amazing how things change after an e-mail from a guy with 50,000 watts behind him isn’t it?

Maybe it’s just me but if you multiply this question by small town after small town in NH and you get a margin of victory that doesn’t show up in polls.

That’s apparently a question our friends on the left aren’t asking, but we will.

Update: Apparently Barrington replied to my questions promptly but due to an e-mail glitch I missed their e-mails (along with 7 weeks of them from a particular account) until December 29th.

My apology post is here, and the e-mail responses from Barrington follow below:

Dear Peter “DaTechGuy” Ingemi,

My answers are listed below:

1. Is the record of the voter rolls in Barrington available to be viewed by the public YES

2. Is there a separate record of new registrants and/or same day registrants available? NO, PER Secretary of States Office

3. Did a person come in to obtain said records? YES

4. If so was said person told it would be $300 for said records?NO, the fee would be actually be $379 which is the rate for the current MARKED CHECKLIST, which is based on our current photocopy fee per page, which is $1/page.

4a. If there is such a fee, is that set by the city or state? Is it a standard fee for records? For a marked checklist

the fee is what the Town or City charges for a copy.

5. The GROK article states that such public records are available under state law saying the following:

New Hampshire State law (91-a) allows the citizen to review, examine, or inspect, any public document that is available. They can even take pictures of it, or make their own copies or abstracts as long as the document(s) are on site and it occurs during regular business hours.

5a Is this correct and if so can said person make their own copies without charge? A person may view and takes notes on the marked checklist, but NO there will be no copies made without a charge, PER NH STATE LAW (91-a;IV)

“If a photocopying machine or other device maintained for use by a body or agency is used by the body or agency to copy the public record or document requested, the person requesting the copy may be charged the actual cost of providing the copy, which cost may be collected by the body or agency.”

6. Will said records be available electronically (in PDF format etc) and available either to the public on request or on the Barrington site eventually? An electronic copy will be available upon request after the Supervisors of the Checklist have entered and scanned the checklist and new voters into the statewide database for a fee of $26.50.

7. If I came down to see said records would they be available for viewing? YES

I have answered all your questions to the best of my ability, if you have any further questions please

feel free to contact the New Hampshire Secretary of State at 271-3242.

Kimberly Kerekes

This weeks’ Subscription Commentary involves hiring standards and what a person does to get a job.

Strangely enough it seems we don’t use these standards when selecting a president, funny that.

The full commentary available only with the password is here, to view it simply hit DaTipJar

and I’ll send you the code as soon as I see the confirmation e-mail. If you don’t want to worry about ever missing a single video choose any subscription level

and I will e-mail you the codes every week as soon as the videos are uploaded and the posts are ready.

This weeks show where we talk election 2012 with our listeners is now available here

You’ll want to pay attention particularly to the Obama defenders. I asked them for positive reasons to vote for him, I heard Abortion, but when I asked about the economy it was all: “It’s not his fault”

That in itself in an interesting argument and we’ll be discussing this later on today.

Today on Morning Joe the magic word is “mandate”

The people around the table are insisting that the president has a mandate for tax increases. Strangely enough the MSM didn’t have that opinion after a different president had a larger margin of victory:

Begin with the facts: A 51-48 percent victory is not a mandate

That EJ Dionne in 2004 as opposed to Dionne in 2012

Obama will have the strongest argument a politician can offer. Repeatedly, he asked the voters to settle Washington’s squabbles in his favor. On Tuesday, they did. And so a president who took office four years ago on a wave of emotion may now have behind him something more valuable and durable: a majority that thought hard about his stewardship and decided to let him finish the job he had begun.

Now what people are forgetting is that there was not one election on Nov 6th, there were 470 elections on the federal level and the result of that election was a GOP majority in the house but this apparently doesn’t count as a mandate.

And apparently some on the left seem to have forgotten just how this works:

Apparently now we elect the house based on the national popular vote, and if challenged on that fact the left has an interesting reaction. :

So we are talking “Moral” mandates? I wonder who just decides what laws are “moral” and which are not, does that now mean we can safely ignore the mandate of Obamacare? Gun laws? Tax laws?

The bottom line is our friends on the left can speak about mandates till they are blue in the face. The fact is that the GOP hold the house now, and after Jan 3rd will still hold the house, all spending bills must come from the house. What is required now is nerve.

If the house keeps it’s nerve they will be able to make the best possible deal for the both the party and the American People. And if you must have tax increases, some good suggestions are out there.

as A Time for Choosing writes:

During the primary season, Sarah was batting 1000 until Missouri, when her candidate, Sarah Steelman, who was polling the strongest against democrat Claire McCaskill, and was an almost sure winner, lost to Todd Akin after some shenanigans by democrats. Akin almost immediately lost the election by saying incredibly stupid things, allowing one of the very worst of the worst to be re-elected.

and in the general election?

That brings us to the general election. Sarah outperformed the Republican Party by a bunch. Out of the eight candidates she endorsed, six of them won:

And the Lesson:

Always listen to Sarah Palin. Chances are you’ll have better results.

That presumes of course your goal is to get the most electable conservative into congress rather than to enrich the establishment consultant class and those who want to be them.

Perhaps those who blew $400 mil plus on Rove etc should remember this.

Eyes on the prize, if your goal is to The problem is, listening to Sarah Palin doesn’t make a lot for high priced consultants

Stacy McCain has a great post up about the “bizarre statistical improbabilities” of Obama winning over 99% of the vote in some districts that also have over 100% turnout.

We can complain about voter fraud and sound like a bunch of conspiracy theorists and/or sore losers, or we can prove voter fraud and thwart it in the future.

Let’s talk about thwarting voter fraud.  Indiana has one of those nifty photo-ID laws (which also helps the poor, in that the state gives free photo IDs to those who cannot afford them). Work to get one in your state.  Remember, we swept state legislatures and governorships in 2010, and continued to pick up governorships in 2012.  We have friendly legislatures and friendly executive offices.

If you aren’t able to get “show ID to vote” laws passed, why not try to lobby for the low-tech, tried-and-true purple finger approach?  Sure, it won’t eliminate absentee voter fraud, but people will have to work a lot harder to commit voter fraud if they can only vote once on Election Day.

Troops, those are your marching orders.  Get it done in your states.

Now, the tedium of proving voter fraud.  What you need to do is prove that people who voted do not actually exist, do not live in the district, or are otherwise ineligible to vote (e.g. are not citizens).  Given that over one hundred million people cast ballots in the last election, we need to narrow down a search and to get a, er, um, army of Davids to work through the data. Voter registration (name and address) is public information, as is the number of times a person has voted and in which elections.  Now, if I were trying to steal an election, I wouldn’t bother as much with non-swing states, nor with getting people to the polls for primaries and municipal elections.  I wouldn’t bother with small suburban areas where everyone knows everyone else.

So here’s how to do it: we (yes, dear commenters, want to join in the fun?)  get voter lists from counties, pick off people who are registered Democrats and only voted in the general election, not the primary election.  Then we look at their addresses: does each and every address actually exist?  Is it a residence, or did people register with the address of the local Kroger?  Do you have far too many people all registered at the same address, given the size of the residence? (With this thing called the internet, the USPS site, and Mapquest’s satellite function, we can make short work of this.)  Now for the voters themselves: did anyone dead vote?  If you’re feeling particularly ambitious and have the shoe leather to do so, you can mosey around the district, knock on doors, and ask if the voter lives there.

At the end of it all, you have a spreadsheet showing a lot of legitimate, low-turnout voters.  But you also have a whole pile of people who registered at non-existent addresses, at businesses, who died before the election, or who do not live where they claim they live. (Proving that non-citizens voted is a nightmare.)

Just a thought. Sounds more productive than sitting around and complaining.

Update: (DaTechGuy) I second Roxeanne’s post

Today on DaTechGuy on DaRadio 10 AM we will deliver the Post mortem for Election 2012

We will talk about the Missing GOP voters, the president’s shrinking voter base and the apparent mandate for gridlock as the GOP House is returned to power.

As always we want to hear from you, give us a call at 508-438-0965 or 888-9-FEDORA

And if you are outside our 50,000 Watt Range you have a lot of streaming options.

You can listen live using the three different links for the WCRN live stream
If you are using Windows media player click here
If you are using Winamp clip here
If you are using real player click here

If you are using something else, then go to Tune-in.

If you are up early enough join Conservatively Speaking at 7 a.m. as they run down many state races in Massachusetts with Candidates galore!

Finally if you missed last week’s show Gilbert Lavoie MD. You can catch it right here.

The first event this week for me that was unexpected was Mitt Romney’s defeat, the second was Question #2’s defeat

And then once Barack Obama was safely re-elected a lot of unexpected things suddenly started happening:

At Nextel:

NII Holdings, which operates mobile services under the Nextel brand in Latin America, announced that it is taking actions to realign certain resources and roles between its headquarters and market units in order to create a stronger and more agile organization, and to facilitate future growth. As part of this strategy, the company is reassigning select positions located at its headquarters to its operations in Latin America and eliminating certain positions at its corporate headquarters in Virginia (US). In total, the company will reduce its workforce at its headquarters by 20 percent.

At the State Department:

An economic analyst invited by the State Department to brief a group of foreign journalists on the U.S. economy on Election Day responded to a question from a reporter from the Egyptian newspaper Al Wafd by predicting that U.S. Treasury securities—the means by which the U.S. government finances its debt–will be downgraded again.

Carbon Taxes? On the Table

Barack Obama may consider introducing a tax on carbon emissions to help cut the U.S. budget deficit after winning a second term as president, according to HSBC Holdings Plc.

A tax starting at $20 a metric ton of carbon dioxide equivalent and rising at about 6 percent a year could raise $154 billion by 2021, Nick Robins, an analyst at the bank in London, said today in an e-mailed research note, citing Congressional Research Service estimates. “Applied to the Congressional Budget Office’s 2012 baseline, this would halve the fiscal deficit by 2022,” Robins said…

Small Arms Treaty? , Why Soitenly!

The U.S. Mission to the United Nations helped move a controversial arms trade treaty on Wednesday, less than 24 hours after President Obama won reelection.

The Obama administration was widely blamed by treaty advocates for derailing the effort back in July when it asked for more time amid growing opposition from Republicans and pro-gun-rights Democrats who are worried the treaty would affect the sale of civilian weapons in the United States. Fifty senators — including eight Democrats — signed on to a letter at the time signaling their opposition to the treaty.

The U.S. Mission said the timing of the vote had nothing to do with the election. They said it was initially scheduled for last week but was delayed because of Hurricane Sandy.

Suddenly Boeing has Layoffs

Boeing announced a major restructuring of its defense division on Wednesday that will cut 30 percent of management jobs from 2010 levels, close facilities in California and consolidate several business units to cut costs.

And Vesta in Colorado?

The Danish wind turbine manufacturer Vestas says it plans to cut its global workforce by another 3,000 by the end of next year.

and the Fema offices in Staten Island,

Looks as if FEMA is just a fair- weather friend.

Yesterday’s nor’easter proved too much for the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s aid location in Tottenville, SI — which hung a sign reading “Closed due to weather” as the wintery storm blew into town.

Ten FEMA centers in the area reportedly suspended operations because of the storm, although the location with the sign at the Mount Loretto Community Center did open at noon.

Hey the President has been re-elected, Mission accomplished so all that stuff people have held back on, in the media, in the government, and everywhere else.

And BTW a reminder that you will be hearing from me a lot


Update: More Unexpected news:

As the financial world puts Tuesday’s presidential election behind it, the light in the tunnel could be an economic freight train.

and layoffs

A Las Vegas business owner with 114 employees fired 22 workers today, apparently as a direct result of President Obama’s re-election.

“David” (he asked to remain anonymous for obvious reasons) told Host Kevin Wall on 100.5 KXNT that “elections have consequences” and that “at the end of the day, I need to survive.”

And not Unexpectedly they’re not alone.

Update 2: Instalanche, thanks Glenn, and the unexpected parade continues:

The world’s biggest hamburger chain said Thursday that a key sales figure fell for the first time in nearly a decade in October, as it faced the double whammy of a challenging economy abroad and intensifying competition at home.

and in the stock market:

The two-day slump came in the wake of Obama’s re-election to a second term as investors turned their focus back to Europe’s problems and the so-called fiscal cliff, a package of tax increases and government spending cuts in the U.S. that will occur unless Congress acts by Jan. 1. Investors see it as a serious threat to the economic recovery.

“The thinking before the election was that it would remove some of the uncertainty, but it seems to have done the opposite,” said Tyler Vernon, chief investment officer at Biltmore Capital Advisors in Princeton, N.J.

Oh I think with four more years of Obama there is a ton of certainty in my mind as to were we are going.

Update 3: My friend Cynthia Yockey is going to be on BBC’s Have Your Say TV show, 10 AM EST facebook page here.

The traffic should have been the first clue.

After I left the Nashoba Club Restaurant for dinner (the best decision I made of the night) I headed down to the convention center, when I hit I93 south the traffic was bumper to bumper with police stopping people on the side. I had to make my first call in to WCRN from the road. My contact in the Romney campaign told me that my credentials would be at the center waiting for me.

When I finally got toward the center

that turned out not to be the case, I informed them of the confirmation of my credentials and was told they would look into it but was misinformed that credentials were to be picked up here.

I was then informed that my credentials were waiting at the Campaign HQ but wasn’t in a position to go there a very nice guy named Craig said he would work on it, I called my connection who said he would see if he could get them down there.

It was pretty cold but I had my trench coat & my inborn insulation finally Craig returned and said he would take me to the Weston next door where I could charge up and wait for my credentials to show up.

I spoke to several people there, a young fellow from Texas was also waiting for credentials as everyone around me drank about 15 min later Andrew showed up and I had my credentials.

You’ll note that credential said “attendee” rather than “press” there are 1200 reasons why that was the case, all of them dollars that was the fee assessed by the campaign for members of the press. For a major media organization that’s No Big Deal, for me that’s a Mortgage payment coming out of what is left of my savings after four years of Obama.

The bad news was I didn’t have access to the same set-up as the press on the risers of the top floor, so I found myself a wall with a plug to charge my phone and laptop and starting searching the results.

I was not surprised to see North Carolina & Virginia called, My thought was of course, the idea is to hold back.

My first disappointment was PA, but it was not a huge surprise, connections not withstanding with Black Panthers and the voter id law not being enforced.

New Hampshire WAS a surprise, but then again I wasn’t aware of this:

New Hampshire Democrats appear to have taken advantage of Judge John Lewis’ decision to scrap the domicile rules. The end result was that busload after busload of out of state students were ferried to the polls to vote in New Hampshire. They killed the constitutional amendments. They elected a Democrat governor. And they gave New Hampshire to Obama. (I recall suggesting that exactly this would happen as a result, and that it was in fact the entire point of choosing Lewis to toss out the rules).

The Grok crew will be following up on this btw.

Now in terms of business the smart thing would have been to be upstairs mingling and passing out cards, but I went straight to the phones the first call was to Stacy in Ohio and he was saying bluntly that while turnout in GOP areas in Ohio were not looking good it’s moot if Florida or VA doesn’t come through, I called bloggers across the country and things were not sounding good but all that can be done once the polls close is to count and wait.

It was apparently that the crowd was not all that level-headed and panic seemed to come in very fast, a video from Ohio to reassure folks really spoke volumes, you don’t have to issue stuff like that if you’re winning.

Michigan didn’t surprise me that much either but Wisconsin? That was a shock when it was called, I spent a lot of time looking online to see what the raw vote was and seeing little or nothing.

What was really bothering me was Florida ( I heard insiders talking that Florida & VA were OK but Ohio was a worry) but polls had shown a solid lead for Mitt in Florida if it was still not called that was a real issue and might depress the GOP vote further west (I suspect that had plenty to do with the Utah result of Mia Love).

But I wasn’t really bothered until I bought a Diet Pepsi, I didn’t take the time to ask the price and found myself paying $4.75 for a can poured into a plastic cup with ice.

On some of the calls people were becoming angry, it was a bad sign, but amid the smoke as I watched returns seeing Liz Warren pull farther & farther ahead (apparently dems learned from Jan 2010 and the full get out the vote effort of Nov 2010 was in play) there was one light, they had “called” Q2 early as a win but the numbers started to reverse until it was too close to call. The race I figured we would go down fighting on turned into our only win of the night.

Finally Ohio was called and it was pretty much all over. It was pretty clear who the only people happy in the room were

Some half-hearted attempts at cheers were made then Mitt Took the stage

His speech was not memorable and as I heard him speak I remembered what a very wise person told me about Mitt who had worked with him, saying his sin was Narcissism.

I spoke to some young republicans who posed for me

that night for their take

I spoke briefly with Eric Fehrnstrom

He declined an interview, but was holding up pretty good.

I can’t say the same for many of the others, I talked to people from all over and there was a sadness and more than that a shock, it was not the resignation of a McCain vs Obama where victory was not expected, it was the shock of the Yankees in the 1st inning of game 7 in 2004 when the Sox took the lead they would never relinquish, it was the Shock of democrats when Scott Brown won in 2010.

The democrats took the lessons of Scott Brown in Massachusetts and learned them, they took the lessons of 2010 and learned them. It remains to be seen if the GOP will do the same.

As I was leaving Hong Kong TV took me aside and asked me about the race on camera, we talked for twenty minutes. At the time I did not know if the Obama voters had turned out, (not generally he had millions fewer votes nationwide but in the right places) or if the GOP had stayed home (which it turned out they did in droves) and I made two cases:

1. If you nominate moderate to lead a conservative party you will fail because he will run away from the party instead of making the case for it.

2. Conservatism like anything else needs to be TAUGHT and Sold and you can’t stop teaching or selling

But to both them and French Radio with who I spoke to I described the United States as “two countries within one border” That being the case the only hope to go to the people.

Go to the Latinos and Black Americans, explain WHY conservative economics work for them. Explain why an open border hurts THEM and theirs and explain why the entitlement society makes them peons and slaves to the state as sure as if they were in the plantations of South America or the old South.

Go to women explain WHY not only conservative economics works for them but WHY conservatism in social issues benefits them, their children and themselves.

Let Americans know that WHY a strong America makes them safer than a weak one, make the case and do it every single day.

That is a better investment than any dollar to any superpac, until that is learned by the GOP we will see this again.

Had a long wait trying to get my credentials apparently instead of being at the Convention center they were at Romney HQ rather than here so I had a bit of a wait before actually getting in.

Once I got in I’ve found it fairly boring, My PC was near dead from traveling and the hone needed charging so I parked myself in a corner and started waiting.

If there is one thing I’ve discovered it’s that:

There is a difference between “projections” and “results”

and there is nothing so fickle as the folks at an event like this.

Lots of mood swings, particularly when Obama was projected to get Pennsylvania (hey last shot to steal before the voter ID law and Michigan wasn’t a big thought but the New Hampshire numbers have surprised me, an awful lot of change in just two years, but then again a lot of people have been running away from Massachusetts. Considering the results from the state so far can’t blame them.

But people here are too busy reacting to early calls, the only thing we can simply do is to wait and let the results come in and see what the actual numbers are, there is no percentage in worry or speculation.

So I will sit and wait which when it comes down it is all that can be done now.

And before we all panic over projections let me note something.

About an hour ago they were calling question 2 as a winner with 7% of the vote in

As of right now it’s trailing 51-49 with 34% of the vote in.

Like in baseball, you actually have to play the game, so don’t get panicked or angry…

…unless someone charges you $4.75 or a can of diet pepsi

Scott Brown giving concession speech, Massachusetts voters getting what we deserve, I think Brown was better than Warren but perhaps the GOP should have spent some time selling conservatism rather than running from it.

Update 2: Stacy McCain has given up the ghost, I’m still waiting to see the hard numbers out of Wisconsin and I’m even more interested in where the vote is.

Update 3: It’s amazing what happens when you don’t have a 16-1 cash advantage over your opponent in Ohio to boost your chances.

Update 4: Apparently things have to get much worse before they get better, lucky for the US the “much worse” part is practically assured now

Today’s commentary is about the gives that will tell you where this election is going to end up

The full commentary available only with the password is here, to view it simply hit DaTipJar

and I’ll send you the code as soon as I see the confirmation e-mail. If you don’t want to worry about ever missing a single video choose any subscription level

and I will e-mail you the codes every week as soon as the videos are uploaded and the posts are ready.

Meanwhile if you haven’t done so already GO VOTE!

Because of my late night last night I didn’t get to the polls until 11:30

The lines were VERY long and had been all day.

According to the numbers my particular ward is seeing nearly triple the normal votes, I suspect this is due to the Brown Warren Race

Half this number due to two page ballot

Here is my live report

As always Annie DiMartino was outside the polls for the Democrats and as always she had something to say

I wish she was one of ours and she told me off camera (but on the record) if Rick Santorum had been the GOP nominee she would have crossed over and voted for him.

Three GOP wins in the congress? Which seats? She wouldn’t say

I also ran into Patti Buckley running for Register of deeds in her first ever race

And interviewed her

But the HUGE news of the day was this table

and this sign

This tells me the inactive voter rules, what I call the Massachusetts Voter ID law is being enforced, at least in Fitchburg. The dual table system is an excellent idea because it doesn’t hold up lines and allows people who have to produce ID’s etc to do so without any kind of embarrassment but if this law is being enforced all over the state this could be an epic change in Massachusetts from here on in. I’ll be checking on this as the day goes on.

Update: Talked to Rosemary Reynolds whose daughter is opposing Patti Buckley

At her voting area there were further tables for “inactive voters” I found such a thing at every location I went to, I checked at City Hall and they had been taking a continual round of calls trying to sort out people who had not sent in their city census, I’ll be checking other cities to see how this is being done.

Meanwhile in Ward 3 I saw something I have never seen before a CNN /ABC etc etc exit poll person:

I have never seen an exit pollster locally.

Oddest election day sight is this one:

What’s life without whimsy?
My plan next is to start hitting outlying towns on the way to Boston and the Romney event.

Update: Leominster reports long lines all day

The GOP office in Leominster

running at full steam calling up a storm for Justin Brooks & Scott Brown

Shirley: The lines for voting stretch out into the street

Ayer: Down the Aisle, the stairs and the corridor just to get in

I don’t know if anyone is staying home at all.

I’m going to be very busy today so before I go off and vote and check various races here are the videos / photos from the Scott Brown & Mitt Romney events that I didn’t get up last night.

Interviews (Voters always come first, they are the most important)

Mitt Volunteer from last night Mystery author Richard Hatin

Sitting right behind me were two voters who came only for Kid Rock

(he and his wife left as soon as Mitt was introduced by Kid Rock):

Bruce the Obama guy’s seat after Mitt was announced by Kid Rock

There was also Dan who came from VT to volunteer

And Craig when it was all over

Next a little Kid Rock

And a few shots

Party time!

Funny picture of the night

The reason that sign is in front of the other woman’s face is the first picture I took was them together but the lady behind the sign was a Verizon Arena worker on duty she asked not to be in the picture so I reshot

Picture most indicative of the race as a whole was from the morning

This is Rosemary Reynolds, City Counselor in Fitchburg for a long time and solid democrat until recently when as a faithful catholic she simply couldn’t stomach it anymore. She like my mother actually changed her registration but a lot of people like her are still registered as D but voting R.

And then there is this reception for Mitt:

It’s important to note there were two distinct sides one to be close to Mitt & one to be close to Kid Rock. Mitt’s side was more full by a factor of 3

(going to post and then update with the rest of the videos and photos in a sec…)

Update, now the pols…

Congressman Frank Guinta:

I didn’t get Charlie Bass’ speech but I got this shot

Ovide Lamontagne candidate Governor:

Sen Kelly Ayotte:

and the crowd before Kid Rock

Uploading the photos next

For those of you who are unsure of where this election is exit polls or no, this is going to be the give on election day.

If you read Bill Sharman’s Book on the 2000 election one of the things he talked about was the calling of states. If a state was going for George Bush, it too an interminable amount of time for the state to be called. On the other with Ad Gore the network took just a minute or two to call it, and remember when they called Florida before voting in the panhandle was complete.

Presuming they don’t pull a Florida 08 I predict you will see the networks holding back on states like VA like NH like FL any state that Romney wins in the swing crew will be held back as long as Ohio is up in the air.

They will call PA quick, I think the lack of the voter ID law give the left one last chance for good stealing in the cities so Hughey Woodring not withstanding I suspect they will pull it off and because of that PA will be called quick.

In the end Fox will be the one to call it for Mitt first simply because the other networks will not be willing to bear to do otherwise particularity as their skewed polls have been showing Obama leads.

In terms of final results expect to see 1980 but in terms of MSM reaction expect to see 1984. You will see them buoyed by exit polls that give more traffic from the left giving them a glimmer of hope but as the night goes on that hope is going to be slowly crushed. Chris Matthews & Ed Schultz will get angry, Lawrence O’Donnell will begin attacking at once, Soledad O’Brien will go batty and for guys like Van Jones, Paul Begala and Rachel Maddow the honnymoon for the new president will end between 5 & 10 minutes after the election is called.

It certainly won’t be a boring night and it definitely won’t be a boring 4 years

I’m currently inside the Verizon wireless arena as the public is just being let in to see Mitt Romney for the final NH Rally before election day, but before I came in I talked to the people in line. A gentleman from security told me the lines were the size Obama drew when he came here with Oprah four years ago.

I’ll be updating this post as I continue to upload interviews, but I think the story here are the people who waited in the cold to get in and see Mitt Romney the night before an election

I talked to Marty First

Then Fred who says he is a democrat:

Expect MANY updates

Karen and Nicole



The most interesting person I would speak to didn’t give her name, she was an undecided voters to attended one Obama rally and came to see one Mitt Rally to make up her mind

But there is also Deb

And Tilvana (not sure if that’s spelled right)


A group of folks held signs of Ovide Lamontagne one consented to an interview

I did a quick pan of the line outside

It would be several hours before people would come in.

Update: Here are the outside photos from last night Continue reading “The People waiting to see Mitt Romney in Manchester NH election eve”

The Moran Square Diner has been a Fitchburg fixture for decades host

hosting locals. Years ago Senator Edward Kennedy put away a Cheeseburger and a dog at this corner booth during his visit.

With election day 24 hours away Senator Scott Brown Bus came to Fitchburg

and after speaking to the crowd

sat in that very same booth

The Kennedy booth becomes the People’s booth

greeting voters and talking to people at lunch turning the “Kennedy” seat into the “People” seat as he seeks re-election and a full six year term to represent the people of Massachusetts.

It’s not surprising he would find himself in Fitchburg, and not just for the incredible breakfasts and lunch that owner Chris Giannetti has been serving to hungry customers for years.

or the hot chocolate that his daughter enjoyed after a brief interview:

good reasons thought they are.

It was because Fitchburg was one of the key cities that took Brown over the top, shocking pundits nationally and locally with his special election win in January 2010 which was the harbinger of the electoral pounding the left received 10 months. Inspiring GOP challengers such as Jon Golnik running in districts like Ma-3 where once the left once ran unopposed.

His 2010 victory remains a driver as the nation heads for the polls in 2012.

Gail Huff, wife of Senator Scott Brown greets a voter

It’s not an easy road. Incumbency is one of the few advantages Senator Brown brings to the race in 2012, this time around. Massachusetts remains a deep blue state (+25 registration advantage for democrats), instead of a special election with only his race to be decided he faces democrats above and below his spot on the ticket all trying to drive the faithful to the polls and finally he faces in Elizabeth Warren a person with a national following and reputation and millions of dollars to back her from some of the biggest donors the Democrat party has.

GOP candidate for Ma-3 Jon Golnik greets voters in Fitchburg before the Arrival of Senator Brown

These are tough hills to climb for Senator Brown and a source of comfort for Elizabeth Warren

But alas for Professor Warren, Senator Brown counters with two other advantages she cannot match for all the Hollywood dollars she may have to spend. He comes bearing a record as one of the most moderate Senators in the congress at a time where gridlock is a dirty word and “bi-partisan” is the favorite phrase of the media. He spoke of this in his initial remarks:

It’s very hard to condemn your opponent as an “extremist” when he votes against his own party 40% of the time.

Secondly there is Senator Brown demeanor.

Senator Brown has a well-earned reputation for listening to the voters no matter if they agree with him or no and being there when the voters need him. For years people on the right who wondered how Ted Kennedy kept his seat never taking into account his legendary reputation for constituent services. It is no accident that after being elected Senator Brown retained a fair amount of that Kennedy staff and shares that same reputation for listening to and taking care of the voters who sent him to Washington.

Senator Brown with a family at Moran Square Diner

This is why every poll of voters in the state during this race shows him drawing Democrats in numbers that no Republican in the country could ever dream of and why Fitchburg a city where, as Counselor at large Marcus DiNatale notes, Democrats have a 35 point registration advantage can be one of the cornerstones of Senator Brown’s re-election plans.

National Democrats considered this race their linchpin to retain the US senate in 2012, But as the latest polls and Senator Brown’s dogged campaign shows millions of dollars from the biggest elite donors from around the country will be hard pressed to counter a hand shaken in person and an ear willing to listen to a voter, any voter no matter what the party affiliation.

Democrats were shocked at Scott Brown taking “the Kennedy Seat” but as Senator Brown finished his meal in the booth once graced by his illustrious predecessor the left’s shock in 2010 is slowing becoming their resignation of 2012.

The folks at PEW have released their last poll of the year and their headline seems to be good news for President Obama and bad news for me who has predicted his defeat:

Barack Obama has edged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final days of the presidential campaign. In the Pew Research Center’s election weekend survey, Obama holds a 48% to 45% lead over Romney among likely voters.

Here is the line from the Poll

Leftist sites are rejoicing at a 3 pt lead with seemingly no time for Romney to change it, I’m sure Nate Silver is already boosting his averages.

Alas for the left, PEW also released their internals and even worse for them I haven’t forgotten how to do basic math so lets look at this last attempt to pretend something is true that isn’t.

First the splits in Party (click to enlarge) :

Pew interviewed 2709 people, 2611 identified themselves as either Republicans Democrats or Independents by their own count 843 Republicans, 1007 democrats and 761 independents. That works out to the following:

Democrats 1007 / 2709 = 37.1%
Republicans 843 / 2709 = 31.1%
Independents 761 / 2709 = 28.8%

So right off the bat we have a poll with a base advantage for Democrats of 6 pts. Even though both Gallup and Rasmussen have told us that the electorate is majority GOP this time around.

That would be enough to laugh this poll off but the mathematical legerdemain doesn’t end there.

All year we were told that this election was going to be who by he who took the independent voters. If you look at this new Pew poll who is leading among independents? Why lo and behold it is….Mitt Romney by 44% to 41% The GOP goes for Romney 91-7 & dems for Obama 94-5

But that doesn’t matter, apparently at this late date the independent vote that was so important just a few months ago doesn’t matter in election 2012 anymore.

That’s strike two but you need three strikes for an out, is there a third one? Guess what, there is!

If we look at the sample in terms of Gender did you know that the electorate in 2012 women are going to outvote men? As there are more women than men that’s not so odd, until you look at the margin… (click to enlarge)

Pew polled 1538 women vs 1171 men. That works out to the following percentages:

Women 1538 /2709 = 56.8
Men 1171 /2709 = 43.2

No wonder the women’s vote is so important! According to PEW apparently women aren’t going to just outvote men in 2012. They are going to do so in this election by 13 whole points! That is pretty interesting, particularly if you look at this chart from a pew study from just 4 years ago

In 2008 Pew reports a 4.2 point turnout advantage over men. Perish the thought, apparently according to THIS poll the 2012 gap is going to make that 2008 figure look positively miniscule…

…if you buy it that is.

OK that’s three strikes, but lets add a throw to first just in case this gets by the Catcher.

Let’s take a closer look at this sample, how representative of the electorate is it? Well one way to find out is to see how this group voted last time around (click to enlarge):

Well look at that a 13 point advantage of Obama voters vs McCain voters, but again this is registered voters, so lets remove those who didn’t vote so we can get down to those likely guys, what would the numbers be?

Obama voters 46 / 86 voters = 53.4%

Ok that seems to mean these voters President Obama took 52.9% of the vote so that’s a full half a point MORE than the president’s share of the vote in 2008

McCain voters 33 / 86 voters = 38.3%

Hmmmm John McCain drew 45.7% of the vote so this figure is a full 7.4 points BELOW John McCain’s vote total from 2008

That a 15.1 point gap in the popular vote that Barack Obama won by 7.2 points, MORE THAN DOUBLE the actual 2008 number. That’s a throw to first to end the inning and the game.

So this is what the Pew poll would have you believe:

#1 We are going to have a D+6 electorate even though all signs indicate the Democrats are not all that thrilled with president Obama but in 2010 the republicans managed historic wins in the states, and the house and big senate wins too.

#2 Even though independents favor Mitt Romney by 3 points in this poll and Republicans are voting 91-7 for Mitt according to their own number the electorate in 2012 is SO democratic that Obama is still up by 3 points

#3 The female electorate on election day is going to outnumber the male electorate by a full 13 points thus negating any advantage that Mitt Romney might have with men.

#4 A sample where the people interviewed supported Obama in 2008 by a figure double than the actual result should be trusted to show us how the electorate will vote in 2012.

There is a phrase to describe this kind of thinking, it’s known as “Willing suspension of disbelief”.

While that is dandy if you are a Doctor Who fan watching the Doctor reverse the polarity of the neutron flow, it doesn’t do a whole lot of good if you are trying to figure out how an election is going to end up in the real world.

The fact that PEW and the left is flogging a D+6 poll with a +13 point sample of women is funny, that this poll shows Romney leading among independents yet has Obama up 3 is funnier, that you are releasing a poll two days before an election that has a sample whose members supported Obama at double the rate of 2008 isn’t just funny it screams one thing:

“Ride right through them, they’re demoralized as hell”!

This is the type of thing you do when you’ve got nothing else, they’ve got NOTHING and we are going to beat them so bad they are going to wonder why they were so willing to sell their credibility on a candidate as bad as this president.

Update: If you think this is trouble for the left consider the new CNN poll. As Breitbart reports:

Moreover, the polls’s crosstabs indicate that Romney is winning self-described independent voters by a giant 59%-37% margin. A 22-point lead among independents virtually guarantees victory for Romney. Yet Democrats are so heavily over-represented in the CNN poll that Romney’s 22-point lead becomes a mere 49%-49% tie.

Here is the sample:

A total of 1,010 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, telephone usage and whether respondents own or rent their homes. Registered voters were asked questions about their likelihood of voting, past voting behavior, and interest in the campaign; based on answers to those questions, 693 respondents were classified as likely voters. Respondents who reported that they had already cast an absentee ballot or voted early were automatically classified as likely voters. Among those likely voters, 41% described themselves as Democrats, 29% described themselves as Independents, and 30% described themselves as Republicans.

Media Credibility day not withstanding, if you are going to skew a poll with a D+11 sample to get a tie you might as well get a D+12 sample and give Obama a lead. If you are going to make a fool of yourself, why not?
It has Mitt & Obama Tied at 49, but only manages this feat with a +d11 sample

If you want to know why the GOP has done so well lately, it’s because we have candidates like Susannah Whipps Lee.

Anyone who spends 5 minutes with this woman will see she has incredible potential, but more interesting is that she is running a business that employes a ton of people. She could be doing that and living fine, instead she is heading to the state house to serve.

(and yes she will win her election)

If you want to help her across the finish line you can kick in here.

This is how we change Massachusetts, one district at a time.

This weeks commentary is all about elections and responsibility:

You can see the whole thing here, to view it simply hit DaTipJar

and I’ll send you the code as soon as I see the confirmation e-mail. If you don’t want to worry about ever missing a single video choose any subscription level

and I will e-mail you the codes every week as soon as the videos are uploaded and the posts are ready.

Never let a good crisis go to waste

Rahm Emmanuel

There is nothing more dangerous than an excuse


Back in 2010 when the MSM needed something ANYTHING to pretend the Tea Party Rallies were nothing special they grasped onto the Coffee Party (you might remember them) the other 98 percent (I doubt you remember them) Al Sharpton DC march (you remember him if you watch MSNBC) and finally Jon Stewart’s Rally to Restore Sanity (you’re lucky if you don’t remember it)

In addition to abject failure all of these marches, movement etc had one thing in common: Every single one of them was held up by the MSM as the counter to the Tea Party that was going to energize voters to vote for the left. It wasn’t until after the very last one, Jon Stewart’s horrible rally failed did the media the next Monday decide to report: “You know, the Democrats might just be in trouble this cycle.”

Last weekend we saw signs that Media Credibility day was coming early, There were no new rallies by the left,  unlike the Tea Party the final media creation, Occupy (or better put destroy) everywhere failed to inspire the people (in fact they turned them off). More details of Benghazi were coming out, none of them good for the president and it looked like the only thing left to do was batten down the hatches for a long week.

Then came Hurricane Sandy.

Suddenly we had an honest to goodness situation where the president had a chance to do something right on a grand scale and the media went into full idolatry mode

Suddenly Barack Obama who even the left had been calling “aloof” is “decisive”

Suddenly Government regulations that the president had basted of were things the President was relaxing.

Suddenly Chris Christie who was not newsworthy when he was giving some of the best speeches urging voters to reject Obama, was newsworthy when he was praising the president for helping out (strangely enough NYC wasn’t highlighted but there is not a Romney proxy to co-opt there)

And even better for the media, Sandy is a legitimate story worthy of coverage, so if the MSM decided to ignore Benghazi, or Bob Menendez (D-NJ) visits with Dominican Hookers, or play down Romney making appearance in PA & Minn, hey Sandy is a full-fledged disaster and it has to come first.

Most important of all it means rather than sitting talking about an impending Obama defeat to the MSM Sandy means hope.

Sandy is going to be a story long past election day, and every day the MSM keeps it front and center is to them a chance, just a chance that the president can use it to swing this election around, and because it is not going to be done by Tuesday, it means these hopes won’t be dashed until the actual votes are counted on election evening.

Never mind the majority of the damage is in states the president should carry easily

Never mind the vast majority of the country as a whole and the swing states in particular remain untouched.

Never mind that the president: “No person left behind” remark positively incensed conservatives after Benghazi, who were already so motivated you had folks knocking on doors during the storm.

So for the left this means Media Credibility day can be postponed indefinitely and when Barack Obama loses on Tuesday, and there is no political advantage to pushing it Suddenly the question will become: What is president-elect Romney doing to get this disaster taken care of? Why isn’t his transition team making contingencies? The critiques can begin on day one.

The most dangerous thing you can give someone is an excuse, and Hurricane Sandy is an excuse for the media to ignore the reality of this election till the very end, and maybe even beyond.

You are Obsolete

The Twilight Zone 1961

Indeed the safest road to Hell is the gradual one—the gentle slope, soft underfoot, without sudden turnings, without milestones, without signposts,

C.S. Lewis The Screwtape Letters #12

Because of the storm which Cancelled the Romney event in NH on Tuesday I was able to attend the weekly game night with the crew I’ve been playing with for decades.

During the course of the evening a Question 2 ad showed up on the TV and a heated discussion took place between me (Catholic and opposed) and everyone else.

While most thought the law poorly written they all agreed the best solution was to pass it then “fix” it.

During the course of the evening a friend at the table brought up his late mothers illness and her pain in the closing weeks and the advantage such a law would have been, I then asked a provocative question:

“If you could do it without legal issues would you have suffocated your mother if she asked?”

My friend reacted very angrily to that argument, and the other insisted that it was not relevant or the point, but I say it exactly IS the point.

The worst thing you can give a person when dealing with a question of morality or ethics is an excuse. With the right excuse people who would normally consider an action immoral or evil will suddenly find themselves not only doing it but justifying it.

If the idea of killing the sick, is just and right and a mercy if they wish it, then the fact that it is your mother, your wife, your child would be totally irrelevant, in fact you would be doing a positive good.

It’s been argued that it would be a burden? WHY would it be a burden? Why should it be any burden at all if it is a positive good.

The reality is this is not about the people who are dying, it is about the people who are living who do not want the responsibility, they want an easy way out. They can put things on a doctor and tell themselves that they didn’t have to go though the expense, the time and the effort to keep an elderly or sick relative alive so much easier to take the simple path. To kill by omission on your part and commission and call it “dignity”.

And to the old, deciding to hang on, to live your life, to continue to fight for the life that God gave you will be “selfish”, expensive, inconsiderate.  They will have all of society telling them to exit with “dignity” and those who do will be celebrated for doing so.

It is a horrible and evil thing and mark my words, as the generations that were taught the sanctity of life age and die, the generations that replace them without such a teaching will find a positive good in these death and it will be this generation that voted this in that will be ushered off by a society that finds them Obsolete.

Sen Fred Thompson was minority counsel during the Watergate Hearings, who asked the famous question concerning the recording system in the White House so he knows from cover ups:

BLUE ASH, Ohio – Former Sen. Fred Thompson today said he was “totally disgusted” by the Obama administration’s handling of the Libya terrorist attack, saying that U.S. officials failed to act “while our people were being systematically slaughtered” at the Benghazi consulate.

Speaking at an event sponsored by the free-market group Americans for Prosperity, the former Republican senator from Tennessee invoked his experience nearly 40 years ago as a Watergate investigator, saying that Congress must “get to the bottom of” the administration’s failures in the Sept. 11 incident that left Ambassador Christopher Stevens and three other Americans dead in Libya.

Blue Ash Ohio? You would have bet no member of the Mainstream media would bother to be at Blue Ash Ohio to hear Fred talk to a 40 person crowd, and you would have been right…if you didn’t know a fellow named Robert Stacy McCain:

My mind wasn’t on Benghazi much, and when we got there, the sleep shortage started catching up with me. Quite literally, I was nodding off at one point during Fred Thompson’s speech. And then Fred started talking about Benghazi.

He never raised his voice, but he was clearly angry and, when it was over, it was obvious that Fred had definitely made news:

When a member of the crew that investigated Watergate tells you something is being covered up, you had better believe it.

But just as significant is this tweet:

Ali and I were the only media in the room.
The MSM didn’t find this event interesting enough to bother with.

If you ever question the usefulness of actual shoe leather reporting, wonder no further.

And as more of this information comes out the Democrats might find themselves fortunate that Barack Obama will not be in office after Jan 20th:

Though they do not realize or choose to ignore it now, the Democrats will be lucky if Obama loses on November 6.

If he wins, not even the mainstream media will save him. Although a few will try, the walls are already crumbling, first, tentatively, from David Ignatius in the Washington Post, now more strongly and courageously from ABC’s Jake Tapper. More will follow. They will be forced to as the revelations pile up and the justifiably angry whistleblowers, which are sure to come, emerge. And we in the new media will be here to make sure attention is paid. We have the power to do that now

And don’t doubt for one moment that a GOP house will be investigating this.

President Obama has already cost plenty of democrats their political future, God help the party if they find themselves forced to choose between defending the him on Benghazi or no.

It is really no choice at all, the Activist Black Community who are the party’s foot soldiers and the pastors after choosing their skin color over their God, will not tolerate any other choice.

Benghazi is a national disgrace, but for the Democrats it’s a disaster of their own making. It remains to be seen if this disaster will effect the entire party or just this administration.

Today we have a special Bonus commentary where I go through the choices on my ballot and tell you who I will be voting for and why.

As you might guess there are not a lot of surprises here but if you want to know the reasoning behind it here is your chance.

Two years ago when I had my road trip with Stacy McCain we hit the PA-10 race where Tom Mario was trying to win his first term in the house.

While in PA I met one of the most experienced political people I ever met Hughey (pronounced Huey) Woodring who accurately told us what was going to happen in the state that year.

This year I knew I wasn’t going to be able to hit PA so before I left the house I gave a call to Hughey to find out what the situation was down there, both for the Marino re-elect effort and for the state in general.

Hughey was surprised to hear from me, he started by telling me Tom Marino is looking very safe for re-election in his slightly redrawn 10th district. Real Clear Politics apparently agrees as they don’t even list PA-10 as a race on their radar.

This is significant, he is a freshman running for re-election in a presidential year in a state that Obama took the last tie, if after a hard-fought campaign in 2010 Marino is safe and sound in 2012 that means the 10th is looking pretty good for the GOP.

I asked about the presidential race, after all Paul Ryan had already visited the state and he told things look pretty promising for Romney, in fact he thinks Mitt is going to pull it off. I asked him if the lack of the voter ID law being enforced would hurt in that regard but he still thins Mitt is going to manage it.

Remember Hughey has been doing this longer than I’ve been alive, if he thinks Pennsylvania is in play you had better believe it’s in play.

And if it’s in play in 2012 WITHOUT the voter ID law to keep people honest can you imagine what will happen in 2014 & 16 when the “old-fashioned” tactics of the various city machines have a wrench in them?

Be afraid Democrats, be very afraid

(note this post will be cross posted as soon as my other site is back up)

Update: Main site is back up, I’ll be re-post this there later.

Update 2: Think Pennsylvania isn’t in play? Reuters disagrees

Ann Koberna, a Democratic activist and former school teacher in the Philadelphia suburb of Doylestown, did not need a poll or ads to see that support for Obama was eroding ahead of next Tuesday’s election.

She noticed it just after the first debate, on October 3, which boosted Romney’s national poll numbers after his strong performance. All of a sudden, she said, Romney-Ryan lawn signs started popping up in Doylestown and now they are all over the place.

Be afraid Democrats, be very afraid.