This is really all that needs to be said about election 2014

If Dems control the Senate, Obama will pack the Supreme Court, and you can bet Harry Reid will go nuclear on it.

Yes, I understand the GOP has not earned the respect or even the support of the Tea Party voter but has Barack Obama and Harry Reid who have used the power of the federal government in an attempt to break us earned it more?

The only people less deserving of victory in November than the GOP are the Democrats.

So Pick One:

The Satisfaction of seeing Pat Roberts, Thad Cochran go down & telling  GOP establishment “I told you so.” for a week.

Two Years of a Harry Reid controlled senate whitewashing and protecting the Obama Administration with no restraint on judges.

May you be happy in your choice.

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Olimometer 2.52

We remain 5 grand away from making our expenses for the year and a sold $1000 away from making them this month.

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Consider the lineup you get In addition to my own work seven days a week you get John Ruberry (Marathon Pundit)  on Sunday Pat Austin (And so it goes in Shreveport)  on Monday  Tim Imholt on Tuesday,  AP Dillon (Lady Liberty1885) Thursdays, Pastor George Kelly Fridays,   Steve Eggleston on Saturdays with  Baldilocks (Tue & Sat)  and   Fausta  (Wed & Fri) of (Fausta Blog) twice a week.

If that’s not worth $20 a month I’d like to know what is?

Spock:Captain, I must have some platinum. A small block would be sufficient, five or six pounds. By passing certain circuits through there to be used as a duo-dynetic field core…

Capt. Kirk: [interrupting] Uh, Mr. Spock, I’ve brought you some assorted vegetables, baloney and a hard roll for myself, and I’ve spent the other nine tenths of our combined salaries for the last three days on filling this order for you. Mr. Spock, this bag does not contain platinum, silver or gold, nor is it likely to in the near future.

Spock: Captain, you’re asking me to work with equipment which is hardly very far ahead of stone knives and bearskins.

 Star Trek, The City on the Edge of Forever 1967 1967

Public business must be done by somebody. If wise men decline it, others will not; if honest men refuse it, others will not.

 John Adams.

This election cycle Granite Grok was very miserly giving out endorsements.  The big one being Bob Smith in the GOP Senate Primary.

The Groksters, writers / activists, have decided that Bob Smith is that person and who represents our values most closely and someone that we can lend one of our most valuable assets that we have as Citizens – our votes. In a representative democracy, our Constitutional Republic, there can be no higher accolade than to say “we believe you can do the job” and do so within the constraints of what the Constitution allows you to do as one that will be directing that level of Government. We believe that he is best suited to not only carry those values forward but also resist those that are infected with “Potomac Flu” – the philosophy that “Government knows best and should legislate our behavior”, and that special interest groups that “rent seek” from the Feds in “benefit for the few at the expense of the many”.

I wholeheartedly 2nd the Grok’s nomination of Senator Smith.

Grok declined to endorse in the congressional races and only gave endorsements in two state races. I disagree there, in NH 2nd district I like both Gary Lambert & Marelinda Garcia & either would make a fine addition to congress, but while Col Lambert is a solid choice I think however that Marelinda Garcia is someone special with great potential for the future.

This is, however  to the Groksters about conservatism. They are not about to endorse non conservatives, particularly in a primary, nor waste time and efforts on people who are not going to get the job done or get along to go along. Many republicans feel the same and right now the GOP is starting to get worried because an election cycle that they should own is not looking like a wave after all.  :

There are only seven Democrat-held districts that Mitt Romney carried in 2012 and only 19 others that President Obama won by fewer than double digits. That certainly leaves room for GOP growth, but in a normal wave year (like 2010, for example), you see dozens and dozens of winnable seats. For the GOP to expand the map beyond 20-25 winnable seats would take a massive wave.

As the GOP discovers their prospect for a wave are dropping the NH GOP sent out a letter urging the GOP to turn out after the primaries are over:

Vote in the general election for the Republican candidate, even if they were not who you voted for in the primary election. Staying home and/or not voting for a specific candidate/office is the same as voting for their opponent.

the letter further pointed out that if GOP voters didn’t stay home we wouldn’t have Barack Obama in office today.

about 31 million Republicans stayed home. If just 20% (6 million) of those had gone to the polls and voted for Romney, the outcome would have been different, we would have a much better individual in the White House and our country would be far better off than it is today.

That’s a pretty powerful argument, but Skip is having none of it:

Yup, scapegoating their voters – good job on gaining and influencing “friends”. You didn’t give those 31 million Republicans a good enough reason TO vote – and you are blaming them?

And demands better candidates if we expect him to turn out:

fix your brand first.  Hint: let’s hear the Brand Manager and Protector, NH GOP Chair Jennifer Horn lambast “her own” (e.g., the Rogue Republicans in the NH Senate that pushed through the Democrat Agenda) first.  Let us know of your ire in how THEY spoiled the brand and that you are the person that is gonna fix this.

He has a real point Mitt Romney didn’t just avoid giving a reason for those GOP voters to turn out he This is an argument that I made the week of Barack Obama’s re-election when the Romney campaign was willing to treat Barack Obama with kid gloves during the general while playing hardball vs conservatives :

 there was the Mitt Romney of the primaries. The Mitt Romney that was willing to play hardball against his GOP foes, who was willing to confront them, attack them and go after them. That was the Mitt Romney who had no problem playing with the rules at state and national conventions to lock out Ron Paul voters who had learned the rules and played by them and then tossed them aside. This Mitt Romney and his team played hardball with conservatives figuring “Where are you going to go?”

The letter from the GOP suggest they might in This type of behavior had predictable results

In the words of Obama’s spiritual advisor (paraphrased):  NH GOP’s  “…chickens are coming home to roost!” The NH GOP is scared that people are going to not bother with the top of the ticket and that traditionally means that the down ticket candidates suffer. 

It’s the very problem I warned them about back in March

This has to be addressed NOW. Scott Brown & the NH GOP’s problem is a lot like Mitch McConnell at CPAC he needs to address the elephant in the room which are his positions on life and guns because as of today those NH Republicans will not turn up and vote for Senator Brown in a general election. And if they don’t forget a senate seat in Washington, if they stay home the NHGOP can kiss the prospect of taking back the state house and senate goodbye in a year where Democrats in the state are running scared.

This is a problem of the NH GOP’s own making and it mimics the national GOP’s problem.

Skip is absolutely right, the New Hampshire GOP has not earned the respect of conservatives like him so they have a lot of nerve after kicking them in the balls to ask him for their support post primary for candidates that don’t appeal to their palate in the least….

….so I imagine it’s going to be a bit of a shock to the people who have read up to this point that that’s exactly what I’m going to urge Skip and my fellow conservatives in NH & elsewhere to do.  I’m urging them to support the GOP nominees in the state and federal elections whoever they are. Why?  Because while Skip’s point is strong it has a fatal flaw:

It’s like going to the store – why buy an inferior product when one was looking for excellence? Humphreys sounds like the Party is entitled to my vote simply because there is an R associated with my name.

Actually it not.  During the Market Basket work action I was able to boycott Market Basket because there were other sources of food & supplies available for me to get the basics from so I could do without. An election is not like that.  A candidate is going to be chosen, as John Adams put it:   Public business must be done by someone and if you decide to give the power to the democrats they will take it.

It’s like those feminists who object to that date rape fingernail polish.  No matter how principled your objections to it are, no matter how much you complain that you shouldn’t have to use such a product if you want to go drinking, that will be of little comfort if you wake up next to some strange bed wondering how you got there.

Conservatives are damn fools if they give power to liberal democrats because the republicans are asses. So what is the proper answer is Chip’s solution is not viable, well an excellent suggestion came from his compatriot Mike Rogers gave the answer Nov 9th 2012

The time to take over the GOP (state by state) or set up a real third party (let’s call it the conservative party, like NY state), is NOW, after a historic election that demonstrated the ineptness of the “Wizards of Smart”. The time NOT to talk about and vote for a third part candidate, or stay home and pout about rules that work against you is DURING an historic election, when one of the evils is immeasurably worse than the guy you can’t quite warm to.

This very day Skip & Co should be researching and preparing the paperwork for a New Hampshire conservative party or researching existing 3rd parties in the state so Tea Party & 2nd Amendment activists can shift to them en masse the day after the election. NH is a small state, such a move would have an earth shattering effect of the GOP state party and a sobering effect on their candidates and the direction they go.

Until that progressivism & liberalism have to be stopped or at least checked, even if we have to do it with alternatives that are little better than stone knives and bearskins.

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Olimometer 2.52

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Alas Ms. Upton didn’t include Selfies

There are a lot of things we can say about the 5-4 ruling in favor of Hobby Lobby.

We can say it’s an important win for religious liberty (it is) we can say that differentiating between a “closely held” corporation and a big publicly held one is far (it is).  You can claim that it’s a horrible defeat for women (that’s nonsense) and you can fundraise off of visions of coathangers (I suspect that’s blast mail has already gone out).  You might even claim it’s in the long run a win for Obamacare because it removes one of the drivers for the full repeal movement.

But while religious groups will be happy with the ruling & businesses will be happy as well in the list of winners would be incomplete if it didn’t include the group that won biggest by this ruling. the Establishment GOP and that victory driven not by Hobby Lobby’s victory but by the fact that it was 5-4.

After Mississippi,  the tea party and the base have been rightly outraged.  There were plenty of people asking themselves if it might be worth it to lose a seat like Mississippi on the theory of:  If we don’t make the GOP pay now?  When do we?

Hobby Lobby gives the GOP exactly the right answer.

If Hobby Lobby had lost it would have pushed the full repeal of Obamacare to the forefront.  This is something that even if the establishment wanted to deliver (and it’s becoming apparent they do not) they could not as long as President Obama is in office).

If Hobby Lobby had won say 6-3 or better than the protections for religious liberty would have been pretty secure, secure enough that there would be no urgency.

But this ruling was 5-4, and that means that the left has the four votes needed to bring a new case to the court and is only a single vote away from reversing its course.

That makes control of the Senate and the ability to block a potential Supreme Court Justice during the last two years of the Obama administration where he would have absolutely no reason to restrain himself (Think Justice Bill Ayers or Elizabeth Warren).

I am a Tea Party supporter and I believe that the GOP has not earned the loyalty of its base, but elections take place every two years, Supreme Court appointment do not and when they happen they happen for life.

If the choice is between punishing the Mississippi GOP in general and Thad Cochran in particularly for their actions or having that 51 vote in the senate to stop a Barack Obama Justice I’ll put up with that graft for another 6 years.  If the difference between Harry Reid or Mitch McConnell deciding if a Supreme Court nominee goes forward is Scott Brown being that 51st GOP Senator from NH then I say Go Scott Go!

If I’m Reince Priebus I’m thanking my lucky stars.

Update: Given the latest developments in the Mississippi scandal this came none too soon for the GOP
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Olimometer 2.52

July is here and thanks to a solicitation to small tip jar hitters June was the first month since January were we made our bills.

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What’s the use of being elected or re-elected if you don’t stand for something

President Grover Cleveland

They say all if fair in love, war and politics but I suspect the GOP has won the battle but risks losing the war over Mississippi.

In Mississippi Cochran the desire to keep Cochran in the Senate was a matter of money:

Cochran is, for all intents and purposes, a marionette. His strings are pulled by staffers and lobbyists. They drop him onto the stage of the Senate and pull up a string to raise his hand. These puppeteers are so invested in keeping their gravy train going that they will, while claiming to be Republicans, flood a Republican primary with Obama voters to ensure their gravy train continues.

And if that gravy train requires laying out 5 figures to black leaders to make sure it continues, for those men, it’s a small price to pay.

But while tactically that might make sense for those of the party with skin in the game in that state, on a national level it’s a dangerous move.

The only reason why House Republicans hold chairmanships and the power and patronage that comes with it are conservative/tea party voters that have turned out. If I’m trying to win the Senate in November the last thing I need to see after a primary election is this

If the Republican Party spends money to turn out Democrat voters against a conservative in a GOP primary — the paid professional party apparatus doing this as a deliberate strategy — what message does that send to conservatives, whose votes are crucial to whatever hope Republicans have of winning an electoral majority?

Or this:

The problem for those who call themselves Republicans is that it is harder and harder to say exactly what a Republican is these days. The great lesson from Mississippi is that Republican means, more or less, that if elected the party will reward its major donors, who are just different than the Democrats’ major donors. Policy differences are about different donors, not an actual agenda to shift the country in a different direction.

and you particularly don’t want to see videos like this from Sarah Palin

saying things like this:

What’s the point of electing Republicans if they’re going to act like Democrats?

You can fight the tea party tough in a primary, you can beat the tea party as was done in Oklahoma but the one thing you can’t afford is to have people like Sarah Palin suggesting it’s not worth it to show up and vote for Republicans.

It’s bad enough that the GOP seems to have done all it could to keep its base at home for the last two presidential election cycles but if they are trying the same in 2014 midterms, that’s Market Basket level stupidity.

There has never been a better chance for the GOP to take full control of congress than this year and perhaps that’s why the establishment is so willing to do things like this. As Stacy McCain put it:

it is still possible that the Republican Party will capture the Senate majority in November, so that Mitch McConnell’s cronies can address each other as “Mister Chairman” again (which is all they care about). Given all the advantages the GOP takes into this mid-term election, it would take an extremely incompetent fall campaign by the Republicans to prevent McConnell from becoming Majority Leader.


buuuuuut…

if everything falls apart for Republicans between now and Election Day, if the Democrats catch all the lucky breaks while the GOP is cursed with misfortune, so that McConnell’s selfish ambition is thwarted and Harry Reid remains the Majority Leader . . .
Well, if that happens, remember June 24 as the point of no return.

If the GOP wants to return to the bad old days when they were a permanent minority for nearly a half a century conservatives will oblige them.

Of course if the Tea Party decides to stay home and if Harry Reid is right about the Koch brothers trying to buy elections it appears we have already established that the black vote can be purchased for the right price.

I was incredibly anxious to watch Morning Joe today.

After yesterday’s signals concerning Fl-13 and the unexpected GOP win this had the potential to be the most entertaining MSNBC broadcast I’ve seen since coming home at 3:45 AM with Stacy McCain and Dan Collins in time to see Keith Olberman melt down over Scott Brown’s Massachusetts win.

To their credit the Morning Joe table, particularly Mika Brzezinski did not sugarcoat or spin this race (with the exception of Axelrod) as anything other than a disaster for the democrats. In the 7 AM Hour Chuck Todd went deeply into the polls they had done suggesting that Alex Sink was the better candidate with the right message and was doing well with independents.

The moment he said this bells started to ring in my head as a  piece I linked earlier from the Miami Herald blog came to mind:

Whoever gets his base out wins. That’s pretty cliché. But it’s true.

Ask Alex Sink. Her campaign did a great job of messaging to independents and crossover voters.

That sounds an awful lot like a special election campaign we had in Massachusetts last year when the party backed Gabriel Gomez because of his supposed appeal to independents and Democrats.

Meanwhile Mr. Jolly took a different approach:

It’s a swing district. But the Jolly campaign focused more heavily on Republicans and a Republican message.

Sink surrogates talked about climate change and oil drilling and abortion. Jolly was more red meat. There was lots of Obamacare talk and messaging.

Hold on, are you telling me that Dave Jolly’s plan to win in FL-13 was to appeal to and turn out the GOP base?  No wonder the establishment GOP hated his campaign:

Their frustration had been mounting for weeks. But by late January national Republicans had had it with David Jolly, their candidate in Tuesday’s nationally watched Florida congressional special election.

The candidate had just told the state’s top political reporter that he disagreed with an ad the party was airing against his Democratic opponent — a spot paid for with the nearly $500,000 the GOP had already spent on Jolly’s behalf.

I mean it’s one thing to run against Obamacare but to run against illegal immigration:

While Democrat Alex Sink candidly ran on the open borders agenda by disclosing that the motivation behind amnesty is so that we can all keep our housekeepers, Jolly categorically rejected amnesty. He ran an ad proclaiming that he is “in favor stronger borders. Not amnesty.” In a tight race, you don’t waste time or money on ads that don’t have a central issue at stake.

Standing on conservative principles, rallying the base, attacking amnesty,  Presidents McCain and Romney and Senator Gomez and every member of the rotating GOP establishment that appears on cable will tell you that’s not how it’s done.

Lucky for David Jolly he didn’t listen, instead he took the advice of Ted Cruz, Sarah Palin & Rand Paul from  CPAC 2014 who all said that standing on good conservative principles inspires the base and wins elections,.

Yesterday David Jolly won doing just that I hope that the GOP will look at candidates like Karen Testerman in NH and be wise enough to figure it out.

Closing thought:  All over the media the question is being asked if Democrats will learn the lessons of this race.  It would seem at least one has:

Heading into the governor’s race, Crist has an Obama team guiding him, and he has been moving farther and farther left now that he’s a Democrat. He seems to understand base elections.

I esteem cow dung more than I do Charlie Crist but nobody knows how to survive more than vermin.

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Olimometer 2.52

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They were like the French Barons of the 13th Century They had accumulated so much power that they didn’t want to share it with anyone else.

Peter Seltz on the Baseball owners Dec 23rd 1976

Baldrick:  I have a cunning plan

Blackadder

The last several days we have seen the Republican party start to push forward various plans on “immigration”.

At first glance this would seem an odd thing to do. After all their base is solidly against any plan that gives amnesty to people who have violated law. It would provide the democrats & Obama with a “victory” to use in mid-term elections and they are likely to gain no votes from the various “Hispanic” populations that would be legalized (ask Gabe Gomez how many people from “hispanica” pulled the lever for him in the special election in Massachusetts if you doubt me).

This would seem totally counter-intuitive, but there are three factors that have led the GOP in this direction.

#1. Money:

For where your treasure is, there also will your heart be.

Matthew 6:21

Large donors looking to depress labor costs have absolutely no problem with illegal immigration. As they are the people who sign very large checks to GOP candidates and pay the consultant class that “advises” them the party leaders wish to please them before all others.

#2. Electoral Security

A Congressman’s first duty is to get re-elected

Sam Rayburn

Naturally the biggest check on an elected political body is the people, with an election coming up office holder in fear of losing their seats or committee chairs in fear of losing their gavels are unlikely to support a widely unpopular program with their voters, however that presumes they actually have a chance of losing:

With Democrats’ grasp on the Senate increasingly tenuous — and the House all but beyond reach — some top party donors and strategists are moving to do something in the midterm election as painful as it is coldblooded: Admit the House can’t be won and go all in to save the Senate.

With Democrats willing to cede the House and little chance of losing their positions of power the GOP leadership feels it’s the best time to defy their base for the sake of their donors.

3.  The disrespect
Count De Money:  It is said the people are revolting
King Louis XVI:  You said it they stink on ice
History of the World Part 1  1981
There is absolutely no love lost between the GOP and the voters who support them.  I have never seen a party leadership that has so little love or respect for the actual voter who dutifully works for and elects them.  This being the case it becomes it becomes actually attractive to defy and ignore them particularly when you consider…

4.   The alternative

My name is Dr Leonard Hofstadter and I could never please my parents so I need to get all my self-esteem from strangers like you. (pointing at Sheldon) But he’s worse!

The Big Bang Theory: The Cooper-Hofstadter Polarization 2008

It has been quite clear for many years that the Tea Party voters who gave the GOP their majority do not trust them.  It is also painfully clear that the GOP leadership hates and despises the tea party voters because their single-minded dedication to actual principles impedes the power that comes from business as usual.

However there is one thing that both the GOP and the Tea Party know for a fact.  The Democrats are worse.

Right now the fate of the Senate could go either way, as long as that is the case it is essential for the GOP to hold the house.  A Barack Obama with both house and senate and not even congressional elections to restrain him, nor congressional investigations to impede his actions is too terrible to contemplate.

Or to put it another way, if Obama felt free to do things like Benghazi & the IRS stuff with a GOP house to go after him, what will the Democrats do with both houses of congress in their pocket?  The mind boggles.

Thus for the above three reasons the immigration/amnesty bill proceed apace with the GOP House leadership looking at the tea party & conservatives with all the confidence of a certain fictional senator.

Sen Pat Geary:  Let’s just say that you’ll pay me because it’s in your interest to pay me But I want your answer and the money by noon tomorrow.
The Godfather Part 2 1974

This is of course a recipe for disaster. The base already demonstrated both in 2008 & 2012 it is more than capable of staying home if treated badly (such as the Ron Paul supporters) or if an unacceptable ( the tea party) and I’ve constantly argued against and done what I can to prevent such a result.

Yet here we are.

The only solution for conservatives and the tea party is to find a way to cut the Gordian knot is to discover a way to put pressure on the House leadership without actually threatening GOP control of the house.

The obvious thought would be primary opponents to the house leadership but said leaders have incredible amounts of money and influence in their districts  particularly within the party itself making such challenges quixotic at best and failure would be a waste of money & a demonstration of weakness.  Additionally once the filing deadlines are done that incentive is gone.

What we need is a cunning plan that solves that contradiction so that the base can look at the GOP house leadership and say in the words of Michael Corelone:

You can have my answer now, if you like.  My offer is this: nothing.  Not even the fee for the gaming license, which I would appreciate if you would put up personally.
To be able to give such a Sicilian like response to the GOP you would need someone ready to advance such a plan whose income and future are completely divorced from the GOP establishment and thus not dependent on it.  Someone who cares enough for conservative principles to advance such a plan but is not out to destroy the party itself, someone willing to prime the pump and prepare the gears for motion but willing to stop them once the goal has been made.

But more important than any such person above all else, you need a plan…

…..hmmmmmm.

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Olimometer 2.52

Friday is here and this week’s $345 paycheck to cover the mortgage and my writers sits at $110.50

Expansion plans are in the works and given that fact along with my CPAC expenses coming up a bit of a pad to start the next month running would be most welcome.

Particularly if as I suspect after a period of contemplation the number of friends I have in high places might suddenly decrease.

 

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Col Mike Lee: That force is breaking through, If we can’t slow down their advance, those guys are going to be established on this high ground and it’s going to be impossible to get them off.

Col Ted Cruz: “You’re right, If we can’t plug that hole General Romney defeat left, we’re finished, We’re going to have to make that charge…1st Minnesota FOLLOW ME BOYS!

(Suddenly a rider and his staff approach)

General McConnell: “Hold on one moment General Cruz”, You aren’t seriously thinking of Charging Gen Reid’s advancing troops with this lot?

Col Cruz: “Yes sir I am.”

Col Rove: “That’s madness, Reid’s forces outnumber us, a charge can’t stop them.”

Col Schmidt: “It’s madness, think of what the papers will say, the newspapers will blame us for the loss of this charge.”

Gen Cronin: “Yeah general Obama’s forces are failing on the right and left flank, we want the papers to be focusing on that.”

Col Cruz: “Gentlemen I understand your worries but if we can slow them down here, even if the charge fails it will give General Boehner’s forces will be able to make a stand.”

Col Wallace: General Boehner? You’re going to put this off on General Boehner? Are you saying you can’t make that stand yourself?

Col Scarborough: “Yes after all General Colburn, General Walker, General Krauthammer and the officers meeting at the wall all say this is madness, are you saying they are not good Union soldiers just because they won’t make this charge? Who do you have with you?”

General Palin: “I’m With you Col Cruz!”

Col Scarborough: “That’s proof it’s the wrong move!”

Col O’Reilly: “Didn’t you just see them rout Romney, Akin & Murdock’s forces just a little bit ago?”

Col Rove: “Yeah we have to be VERY careful when and how to engage them”

General McCain: “Instead of fighting Reid, we should be working with him, think of what we can achieve if we do right Col Rubio. Col Rubio?”

Col Alexander: “He’s standing over there behind Cruz & Lee.”

Col Rove: “And anyways, did you see those reports on Col Cruz Wallace at Harper’s Magazine had?”

General McConnell: “We’re sorry Col Lee, Col Cruz but the leadership is all agreed if you want to make that charge you’ll have to make it without us.

Col Scarborough: “Yeah better to wait, If we hold back our forces I’m sure we can get Reid off this ridge November of next year.”

(McConnell & staff begins to ride away when McConnell turns)

General McConnell:  “Oh Col Cruz, Col Palin, Col Lee one more thing..I’m having a little fundraiser in Kentucky after the battle, if the two of you survive I’d love to see you join us.”

Update:Intelligence reports by Scout Erickson report after reflection Col Mike Enzi, Col Pat Roberts & Col Rand Paul have all joined the charge.

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Olimometer 2.52

Good news, still only three $20 tip jar hits from a full $305 weekly paycheck.

Bad news This is the 3rd day that this is true.

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.

The latest in our series of Questions on the 10’s Buddy Roemer answers a question on the GOP establishment and fundraising.

If your candidate is appearing anywhere in driving distance of me in Fitchburg Mass. and you want me to cover a Q & A, send me the event info. If it is farther away and you want to fly me in, cover my expenses and I’ll do that too.