George Bailey: If Potter gets a hold of this Building and Loan, there’ll never be another decent house built in this town. He’s already got charge of the bank. He’s got the bus line. He got the department stores, and now he’s after us. Why? Well, it’s very simple. Because we’re cuttin’ in on his business, that’s why. And because he wants to keep you livin’ in his slums and paying the kind of rent he decides.

It’s a Wonderful Life 1946

Brett Maverick:  You can fool all of the people some of the time and some of the people all of the time and those are very good odds.  My old pappy said that.

Maverick, Shady Deal at Sunny Acres 1958

Four days ago I talked about the differences between 2010 and 2018, Three days ago I spoke about how the MSM is launching a TET offensive against the GOP trying to scare them, today I’m going to offer a strategy for the GOP.

The real problem they are facing is one of media noise and short memories.  The tough times under Obama are over a year in the past and the worries of the economy that had been in the forefront of people’s minds and worries are gone, replaced by the noise generated by the MSM coverage of the investigations, the noise of the Stormy Daniels stuff and the noise of every single attack on the administration the GOP needs a message that not only cuts though the noise but reminds the people of the difference between the eight years of Obama Administration and the Trump administration.  This can be done by a simple theme summed up in three simple lines:

If you like your Tax Cut you can keep your Tax Cut

If you like your Bonus you can keep your Bonus

If you like your Job you can keep your Job

This is the perfect meme for several reasons:

Contrast:

In one stroke it contrasts the prosperity of the Trump years with the troubles of the Obama years.  It reminds them of the tax cuts and bonus’ that the Democrats called crumbs and of the manufacturing jobs that have come back that Obama and the Democrats insisted that we had to resign ourselves to losing.  It generates memories like the Jimmy Stewart Speech to stockholders in It’s a Wonderful Life:

Joe, you had one of those Potter houses, didn’t you? Well, have you forgotten? Have you forgotten what he charged you for that broken-down shack? Here, Ed. You know, you remember last year when things weren’t going so well, and you couldn’t make your payments. Well, you didn’t lose your house, did you? You think Potter would have let you keep it?

Clarity: 

This hopeful theme cuts though the noise in a format that shows the Democrat for what it is, a message based on generating unfounded panic for the sake of power.  Stewart again

Can’t you understand what’s happening here? Don’t you see what’s happening? Potter isn’t selling. Potter’s buying! And why? Because we’re panicky and he’s not. That’s why. He’s pickin’ up some bargains.

I suspect the Trump move in Syria, in contrast to Obama’s words without deeds provided some clarity, this argument would augment it.

Simplicity:

This is a simple message, that can be delivered by anyone, an incumbent running for re-election whose faced the voters many times, a  green newcomer running for office for the very first time.  Either one can deliver this line and make it stick.  Now picture it in the hands of a master communicator like President Trump who can deliver it before the cameras and the press, in speeches in front of tens of thousands and in tweets and re-tweets to be seen by millions completely bypassing the press and the left.

Initiative:

In one stroke this changes the argument both justifying the GOP control of the government while forcing the Democrats to justify risking the good economy for the sake of Trump hatred.  Do the Democrats deliver have an answer to a message of jobs, bonus’ and prosperity besides “Trump sucks”?

President Trump is the type of man who knows a winning message when he sees it.  He’s the type to pick up this banner and charge forward, the question is will GOP candidates have the wits and courage to ignore the MSM offensive and charge with him?

A final note, the:  “If you like your job you can keep your job” line was suggested by a reader.  The other two I derived from it.  I’m ashamed I didn’t think of it first.


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Photo courtesy of history.com

As The Washington Post’s Saigon bureau chief Peter Braestrup documented in his book The Big Story, reporters systematically used Tet to turn the reality of a U.S. victory into an image of American and South Vietnamese defeat…That campaign of misrepresentation culminated in Walter Cronkite’s half-hour TV special on February 27, 1968, when he told his viewers that Tet had proved that America was “mired in a stalemate.”

Christopher Harper Fake News and Vietnam 2/13/18

In my last post I noted that there are significant differences between the events leading up to the “Big Red Wave” of 2010 and the supposed big blue wave of 2018 the most significant being that despite broken promises on Obamacare repeal, partially corrected by the passage of the Trump Tax bill, there is actually a record of significant achieve on foreign policy, on deregulation and of course on the economic outlook of the country.

Given those facts on the ground one would think that the outlook for the GOP would be pretty good but the MSM has been relentless in their attacks on the administration and the downplaying of their accomplishments focusing instead on Porn stars and the Mueller investigation and while the polling suggests that the public isn’t interested in stuff like Stormy Daniels and twelve year old consensual affairs the dirty little secret is the public aren’t the target of the MSM offensive.

The audience the MSM is trying to reach are the republican members of congress and the GOP consultants in the Washington bubble.

You see it doesn’t matter how the economy is doing, how much more the GOP is raising or how much better the public is doing, as long as the MSM aided by social media giants like Facebook and Twitter, can convince the GOP members of congress that defeat in the fall is inevitable and that Trump is the cause, they can cause them (the GOP) to retreat.

It’s Tet all over again, Cronkite and the MSM had an agenda and were the only game in town and thus were able to sell said agenda to the people. as Christopher Harper put it:

“After Tet, American media had assumed a new mission for itself: to shape the nation’s politics by crafting a single coherent narrative, even if it meant omitting certain relevant facts and promoting other false or misleading ones. standing — just as they had convinced them a year earlier that America’s major victory was actually a major defeat.”

Sound familiar?

It certainly does and their new mission is to reverse the results of the last election and step one is to convince the GOP that election 2018 is already lost and convince them to leave the field and given the GOP’s apparent fear of governing and fighting for the principles they supposedly espouse it’s not a surprise that so far the media and left are doing a pretty good job of selling them this reality.

The GOP needs a shot of courage and a meme to run on. Tomorrow we’ll provide the latter in the hopes of restoring the former.

Update: Instalanche again thanks again Ed. Dear reader I submit and suggest if you want to really annoy the MSM please consider supporting sites like mine as you are the primary source of the money that pays our expenses, our writers (yes I pay them) and myself.


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By now all of you are likely sick of my CPAC 2018 posts so you will be pleased to hear that other than a guest post (that needs integration of the graphics and the text) this post will close out my coverage of CPAC 2018.

My primary goal at CPAC was to answer some questions I had about the conservative movement and its relationship with the Trump administration after year 1. Here is what I found:

CPAC is Donald Trump’s event and will remain so as long as he is President and chooses it to be so:

VP at CPAC

The biggest difference between CPAC 2018 and CPAC 2017 was the fact that it was clearly a Donald Trump crowd that attended. Last year there were plenty of establishment types supporting different candidates and agendas and it wasn’t hard to find folks who didn’t care for Trump among the attendees. This year was very different, except in media the folks who did not support this president were few and far between or for the most part silent. This was a Trump crowd and as long as the president keeps deciding to show up it will remain primarily a Trump crowd and I suspect CPAC will act accordingly in terms of how it carries itself.

Ted Cruz has replaced the Paul Family as the other big presence at CPAC:

Dana at CPAC

When I first came to CPAC it and the straw polls in it were dominated by the Ron Paul (later Rand Paul) folks who generally came en mass to vote for their hero. With Donald Trump in office, Ron Paul now retired and any Paul for President Campaigns on hold for at least a decade there is no sign that the Paul organization is trying to get young people there. However I seemed to constantly run into Ted Cruz folks. This is not a surprise as Senator Cruz remains one of the most popular speakers at the event but also because while President Trump full fury was directed at Senator Cruz during the campaign he has with a few notable exceptions governed to the priorities of the Ted Cruz Crowd. In fact one might even say President Trump has made the Ted Cruz base his base and while I’m sure the Senator and his supporters (full disclosure like myself) would be delighted to see a president Ted Cruz, as long as he is moving our priorities forward they will stick with him.

The single biggest star for Trump are the Tax Cuts:

Before the storm CPAC

While I got a lot of assorted answers on what the folks liked best about Donald Trump the overwhelmingly most popular things about him was the tax bill and the economy. The strong Trump economy which is in evidence is and remains his single biggest selling point among the CPAC activists with one exception from a particular sub group…

Evangelicals and Pro-Lifers are with him all the way:

Houston Young GOP

…and that the Pro-Life voters of which I am one of. Pro-life voters are uniformly ecstatic about Donald Trump and the attention his administration has given to our cause. The religious people I talked to are willing to forget Trump’s past as they would any convert who has “seen the light” so to speak. As for the failure to defund planned Parenthood and repeal Obamacare those I questioned on the subject lay the blame squarely at the feet of the GOP in general and Collins, McCain and Murkowski in particular in fact this keeps with a particular pattern…

The GOP not Trump is taking the hit for any failures:

Stacy & Me CPAC

It’s very clear that when it comes to the blame game the CPAC crowd gives Trump very little of it for the various legislative failures. The GOP get the lions share of this and I suspect this might be a real driver during the midterms in decreasing turnout for the party in an election that they need to win there is one exception to this.

The #1 complaint about Donald Trump are the Tweets (particularly in conservative media):

Radio Row

This is a subject where I depart from the majority of both CPAC attendees and particularly my fellows in conservative media. While I and several Trump partisans think the President’s Tweets are an invaluable tool to bypass the media to get his message out (making them react instead of him reacting to them) most of those I talked to dreaded his tweets. It was considered not only a distraction from his agenda but I got a real sense that supporters in conservative media dreaded him saying something untoward that they might be obligated to defend or discount.

The Democrats should have made a DACA Deal while they could:

Arlington 1:30 AM CPAC

I asked people about a DACA deal for the wall. While there was a significant amount of folks who disagreed the clear majority of attendees were more than willing to swap DACA for a wall. Once the president speech was given saying DACA was dead, folks concluded that they could get a wall without DACA and that opinion seemed to harden. The wall remains a sine non qua for the Trump folks and if they get it I suspect it would cover a multitude of sins and it seems to me the President would like to do something for the DACA crowd but it’s clearly the opinion of the crew that they don’t need to give an inch.

The CPAC crowd is more optimistic about the midterms that the party as a whole:

Poker anyone?

A lot has happened in the intervening two months but at the time of CPAC with the tax cuts starting to kick in the crowd there were feeling pretty good about the midterms. While the President warned about complacency it seems that warning wasn’t enough to get the optimism out of them but if the GOP wants to overcome the energized Democrats they will need more than a vague confidence of victory.

The CPAC crowd wants Trump to continue being Trump:

Superbowl ring at CPAC

The final question I asked all there was this: How can President Trump help the GOP win in the midterms, the answer was almost unanimous: Keep doing what you’re doing. Trump votes like the Trump policies and as long as the economy keeps booming and jobs and wages continue to rise there will be voters who will think twice before turning to the party promising to raise their taxes.

The real question is this: Are the Trump voters energized enough to overcome both energized Democrats anxious to vote and Democrat machines that now know where they need to steal said votes?  The answer alas wasn’t at CPAC, it’s in the individual districts and I think the it’s going to come down to the warning that the President gave about complacency.  Fortunately for the GOP the Democrats are making it very hard to pretend that there are no consequences for defeat.

The second question is this, If the Trump votes aren’t energized enough to hold the house, who will get the blame? The media and the establishment will certainly blame Trump but who would the CPAC activist blame?  The answer to that question will determine what CPAC 2019 looks like.


DaTechGuy at CPAC 2018 The story (blogged) so far:

Wednesday April 11th

CPAC 2018  The Data Points and My Conclusions

Tuesday April 10th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Pastor Greg Young

Saturday April 7th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Robert Stacy McCain

Friday April 6th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Fingers Malloy and April Gregory
Voices of CPAC 2018 (abbreviated) Ed Morrissey of Hotair

Thursday April 5th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Vito and Vito of the Vito and Vito Show
Voices of CPAC 2018 Lee Stranahan

Wednesday April 4th
Voices of CPAC 2018 William Hoge of Hogewash
Voices at CPAC 2018 Byron York of the Washington Examiner

Tuesday April 3rd

Voices of CPAC 2018 Erik Svane of ¡No Pasarán!
Voices of CPAC 2018 Gregory Wrighforce Inconvenient Facts

Monday April 2nd
Voices of CPAC 2018 Becky Noble of Politichicks
Voices of CPAC 2018 Andrew Mangioni of the Association of Mature American Citizens

Sunday April 1st
Voices of CPAC 2018 Dave Weigel of the Washington Post
Voices of CPAC 2018 Walking Interview James O’Keefe

Saturday March 31st

Voices of CPAC 2018: Michael from Scotland.
Voices of CPAC 2018 Gina Roberts Log Cabin Republicans San Diego

Friday March 30th

Voices of CPAC 2018 The Great Evan Sayet
Voices of CPAC 2018 MaryAnn after President Trump’s Speech

Thursday March 29th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Kathleen Wepner of Patriot Guardians
Voices of CPAC 2018 William Nardy of Rousa News PLUS the Lone Conservative Kassy Dylan

Wednesday March 28th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Peter from Reno
Voices of CPAC 2018 Tyler from Florida Post Trump Speech

Tuesday March 27th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Ricard from NY post Trump speech
3 Clips of President Trump at CPAC 2018 plus Rachel from VA again

Monday March 26

Voices of CPAC 2018 Jeff Hulbert of Patriot Picket
Voices of CPAC 2018 Adam from NY of the Young Republicans

Sunday March 25

Voices of CPAC 2018 Betina Viviano of the Media group America’s Voice
Voices of CPAC 2018 Susanne Monk of Trump Talk

Saturday March 24th

Voices from CPAC 2018: Tyler

Friday March 23rd

Voices of CPAC 2018 Debra (Nice Deb) Heine

Thursday March 22nd

Voices of CPAC 2018 Traci Belmonte

Wednesday March 21st

Voices of CPAC 2018 Evan of the College Republicans

Tuesday March 20th

Voices from CPAC 2018 Chris from EWTN

Monday March 19th

Voices at CPAC Heather of Conservatives Concerned about the Death Penalty

Saturday March 17th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Seton Motley of Less Government

Friday March 16th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Leo from MA

Thursday March 15th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Yvonne from Illinois

Wednesday March 14

Voices of CPAC 2018 Kurt Schlichter

Tuesday March 13th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Tony (Don’t call him Anthony) Katz

Monday March 12th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Elizabeth of the Mt. Holyoke College Republicans (Yes you read that right)

Sunday March 11th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Grizzly Joe

Voices of CPAC 2018 Rachel from Virginia

Saturday March 10th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Connor Wolf of Inside Sources

Friday March 9th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Chase from the Houston Young Republicans

Thursday March 8th

Voices at CPAC 2018 Chris from NY Longtime Prolife activist

Saturday March 10th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Connor Wolf of Inside Sources

Friday March 9th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Chase from the Houston Young Republicans

Thursday March 8th

Voices at CPAC 2018 Chris from NY Longtime Prolife activist

Wednesday March 7th

Voices at CPAC 2018 Michael from Liberty University

Tuesday March 6th

Voices at CPAC 2018 Sarah Rumpf

Monday March 5th

Voices from CPAC 2018 Doreen from Michigan
Voices of CPAC 2018 Susan from New Mexico

Sunday March 4th
Voices of CPAC 2018 Myra Adams

Friday March 2nd

Voices of CPAC 2018 John Hawkins and Sierra Marlee

CPAC 2018: Two Men who made a Difference For Me

Wednesday Feb 20

Voices at CPAC 2018 Dylan and Watson

Voices at CPAC 2018 Kira Innis (Two Angles)

Monday Feb 26th

Voices of CPAC 2018 Greg Penglis of WEBY 1330 Radio

Sunday Feb 25th

CPAC 2018 Dutch Kitchen Cannoli Sicilian from Brooklyn Approved

Saturday Feb 24th

CPAC 2018 / Don’t give a VUK Meet the Voter the Media Narrative says Does Exist

Friday Feb 23rd

Voices at CPAC 2018 Senator Ted Cruz Answers Two Question for DaTechGuy

Thurs Feb 22nd

We Interrupt CPAC 2018 for CNN and their Gun Control Galaxy Quest Moment
Voices of CPAC 2018: Ron from PA

Wed Feb. 21st

Voices at CPAC 2018 Vicki from Minnesota

Voices at (or near) #cpac2018 Lea from National Association of Developmental Educators We talk Students and Math

DaTechGuy at CPAC 2018 The Calm Before the Storm and What I’ll be Asking

If you don’t want to wait or my blog posts to see my interviews my youtube channel is here.

Full CPAC 2017 list (for those who feel nostalgic) is here

A reminder I have copies of my Book Hail Mary the perfect Protestant (and Catholic) Prayer available at CPAC with me, price $7 and I will happily sign them for you.

Or you can just order it on Amazon

If you don’t want to wait or my blog posts to see my interviews my youtube channel is here.

Full CPAC 2017 list (for those who feel nostalgic) is here

A reminder I have copies of my Book Hail Mary the perfect Protestant (and Catholic) Prayer available at CPAC with me, price $7 and I will happily sign them for you.

Or you can just order it on Amazon


Over the last eight years we’ve had the MSM tell us how horrible government shutdowns were and excoriate the GOP each time they brought up the prospect of one.

Now that Donald Trump is President and Democrats no longer control either house of congress the media is as you might have already guessed, ready to blame you guessed it republicans.

People blame whoever they think is in charge. And although in the past two shutdowns that was somewhat up for debate, it isn’t this time around. Which is why tweets from President Donald Trump insisting that “Democrats want to shut down the Government over Amnesty for all and Border Security” won’t work. Sure, the base of the GOP will respond to that red-meat-throwing. But, there is no amount of Trump tweets that can overcome the fact that Republicans totally control Washington at the moment.

Given President Trump’s willingness to push back against this nonsense there is a real question if this meme will sell however there is a much simpler solution to the problem and it’s one I suggested during both of the last two shutdowns first in 2013 with Ted Cruz leading the fight until Mitch McConnell was bought off with some dam locks and the Democrat/Media left got what it wanted.

Two years later it happened again and the GOP this time had both the Senate and the House but not the White House

All the GOP has to do is wait till the MSM starts screaming about food stamps, or government workers or any other thing the left cares about
As soon as they do the House can pass funding for that piece, the senate using reconciliation can force a vote causing Democrats in the senate to choose between voting for spending for their constituents or not.

And Unlike 2013 these spending bills can’t be stopped from getting to the President’s desk.

Let the president veto funding for food stamps and unemployment, let him veto veterans spending and if he does wait a couple of week and pass the spending again and let him veto it again, and again and again until Obama voters scream.

Well it’s 2018 and this time the GOP has not only a president anxious to sign funding bills for vets, for tax refunds and national parks but a loud enough bully pulpit to clobber the Democrats and the media for blocking that funding.  So there are two alternatives:

PLAN A:  Pass spending bills for each priority from the Vet to the National parks and use reconciliation to allow them to be approved by the senate with 50 votes vs 60.  These bills will get signed by the President and the net effect will be the only parts of government left unfunded are parts will be unnecessary stuff (which leads to the question as to why they were funded in the first place).

PLAN B:  If for whatever reason reconciliation can’t be used pass the bills in the house and force the Democrats in the Senate into a REAL filibuster, with senators actually staying up all night, holding the floor and giving speech after speech as to why veterans hospitals, or tax refunds etc shouldn’t be funded.  The GOP can have even more fun  with this by passing bills that fund BOTH democrat and GOP priorities (such as food stamps and government workers along with the VA) and let POTUS go long on twitter hitting Democrats from blocking relief to the poor and the vets.

If the party stays on message and shows half the guts this president does in fighting back they can use this issue to completely turn around the election season.  I’d even make sure to pass priorities that fund things in swing district that the Democrats want to hold and allow their candidates to explain to voters why they blocked funding for the very districts they want to win.

This plan is so basic and so obvious that only a stupid party could fail to pull this off.

Uh oh.


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Get your Tickets today!

You can still buy tickets for our President Trump a Year in Review and Looking Ahead event Jan 20th 2018 at the Tang Dynasty Restaurant in Leominster Ma. Click on the image to the left to get tickets via eventbrite.The event co-sponsored by the Worcester Tea Party comes with an All you can eat Chinese buffet served till 2:30 (drinks are on you) and will include an all star panel (moderated by DaTechGuy) including

Chip Faulkner of Citizens for Limited Taxiation
Dianna Ploss from the Boston Chapter of Act for America
Christopher Maider from the Meat and Potatoes Radio show
Mike LaChance from the Legal Insurrection blog

Tickets are available at the door or you can get them here.  Come on down and join us for a great meal and a great discussion.

It took them nearly a year to pass anything meaningful. This fact is absolutely ridiculous as they’ve had over six years to prepare for the inevitable control of the House, Senate, and White House once Obamacare passed and sealed the short-term fate of the Democrats. Coming into 2017 flatfooted and disorganized was inexcusable, but that’s what happened. They can’t let it happen again in 2018.

Most conservative pundits say their next task is selling the tax cuts they just passed to the American people. This is somewhat true, but it’s more of a game of attachment rather than hitting the streets and selling it as some are suggesting. They need to hope the economy stays strong and point to the tax cuts any time good things happen. This doesn’t take much effort. They just have to be aware of their fiscal surroundings.

Now, their goal must be to get more accomplished if they have any hope of retaining control of both the House and the Senate with the 2018 election. Now’s not a popular time to sound skeptical. Most Republicans have high spirits, but this tax bill will not suddenly convert voters to support them come election day. It can, however, be used to drag some of them down. That’s the curse of a majority.

For full disclosure, my skepticism is rooted in a year-long detachment from the GOP. I stopped being an apologist and started trying to build an alternative in the Federalist Party. I do everything I can to be fair, highlighting when Republicans do well and denouncing when they do things that continue to expand the government, increase spending, or build more reliance on DC in areas they don’t belong.

I’m an American before a Federalist which is why I can, in good conscience, give the GOP advice. If they play it safe in 2018 and let tax cuts do all the talking for them come election time, they’ll lose big time. They definitely won’t plan on doing that, but if they can’t come together in the Senate, tax cuts may be all they really have. They need much more.

Here’s a short list of accomplishments they need to add to their resume for 2018. Keep in mind that there are plenty of other things they need to do, but some of it will need to wait until after 2018. They need to get certain things accomplished before the election knowing they may not have the same opportunity after it. They also will have to save certain issues until after the election. As badly as we need entitlement reform, I can’t see that being on the table until after the 2020 election no matter how hard Speaker of the House Paul Ryan pushes for it.

Their 2018 to-do list:

  • Repeal Obamacare: This is non-negotiable. It’s the reason they have a majority in the first place. They missed their opportunity to do it early in the summer when public sentiment supported repealing it. Now that sentiment has shifted under them, they may be tempted to table it. This would be a catastrophic mistake. The Republican base that gave them their Capitol Hill majorities will not be energized by a request for two more years after being given everything they need to repeal it already. This has to happen early. It cannot wait until around election time. They need to repeal Obamacare before the summer and then hit the road selling whatever plan replaces it.
  • Fund the Wall: Some would argue they should wait until 2019 so they can ride it to another term for President Trump. There’s some validity to this argument, but what’s more valid is the questioning they’ll get if they can’t deliver before the election. Who will be asking those questions? President Trump. They can’t prompt him to turn on them.
  • Pass a Weak DACA Fix: I wish I could say they’ll let DACA die, but that’s not going to happen. Even a good chunk of their base has followed the President’s lead in softening on Dreamers, so Republicans in Congress have a problem. If they pass a strong DACA fix, the Democrats will make it their victory. The only way Republicans can keep their own base energized is to pass something weak under Democratic protest that still “fixes” DACA.
  • Defund Planned Parenthood: If taxpayers are still paying for abortion come election time, the GOP will be officially worthless to social conservatives. This isn’t an issue where the sentiment can be shifted. The lines are drawn. They must defund it and let them raise their own money. They’ll be fine on their own, and those who have lukewarm support for Planned Parenthood need to see they’ll be fine so it doesn’t become an issue during the election.
  • Tackle Cyberterrorism: George W. Bush won his second term because he had the war and a terrorist boogeyman keeping Americans concerned. We simply didn’t trust John Kerry to protect us. Now that the threats against us have shifted, the GOP needs to build themselves up as the party capable of protecting us from North Korea, Islamic terrorism, and cyberterrorism. The President will help with the first two,  so all Congress needs to do is make be proactive against the third.

There are plenty of other things that need to happen, but this is strictly for the election itself.

It makes me cringe knowing how many decisions are made in Washington DC based upon election campaigns rather than the well-being of the nation. That’s the biggest problem with a two-party system. The ruling party’s agenda is driven by party first, America second. Sometimes these goals are aligned. Other times, they’re in direct opposition. We need to end the duopoly. Otherwise, we’ll continue to be stuck with representatives who think no more than two years ahead with all of their decisions.

There was such high hopes for Republicans going into 2017. A GOP-controlled House and Senate putting legislation on a Republican President’s desk is exactly what they’ve been asking for since Barack Obama first took office. Voters delivered. All was well in the world. 2017 was going to be the year the GOP finally got stuff done.

I don’t have to tell you the punchline. It’s more like a punch in the gut. I know there are readers who will have valid excuses why Obamacare wasn’t repealed, Planned Parenthood wasn’t defunded, the wall wasn’t funded, and DACA is on its way to becoming law. I also know there are plenty of readers who will point fingers at this faction, that branch, or this person about why we don’t have anything of substance after nearly a year of trying. I’ll nod in agreement with pretty much all of the excuses and finger-pointing because all will likely be valid to some extent. The only one I won’t accept is that the Democrats obstructed. That would be false. They didn’t have to. The GOP obstructed itself just fine.

All of this leads me to the current dilemma. The GOP must pass tax cuts before the end of year. Why? Because the aforementioned utter failures at everything else they’ve attempted have forced them into a position where they might get literally nothing big accomplished in their entire first year with full control. That label is too much for them to want to carry, so they’re doing everything they can to get something they can call tax “reform” on the books. This should terrify us all.

Not only is the plan not what most Republicans would have wanted, it actually does worse by some of the people who wanted it. The effects on the middle class are debatable, but one thing that’s very clear is a huge mistake they have to get fixed before they can pass it. As reported by the Wall Street Journal:

That means a business owner’s next $100 in earnings, under certain circumstances, would require paying more than $100 in additional federal and state taxes.

As lawmakers rush to write the final tax bill over the next week, they already are looking at changes to prevent this from happening. Broadly, House and Senate Republicans are trying to reconcile the bills they passed, looking for ways to pay for eliminating the most contentious proposals. The formal House-Senate conference committee will meet Wednesday, and GOP lawmakers may unveil an agreement by the end of the week.

The possible marginal tax rate of more than 100% results from the combination of tax policies designed to provide benefits to businesses and families but then deny them to the richest people. As income climbs and those breaks phase out, each dollar of income faces regular tax rates and a hidden marginal rate on top of that, in the form of vanishing tax breaks. That structure, if maintained in a final law, would create some of the disincentives to working and to earning business profits that Republicans have long complained about, while opening lucrative avenues for tax avoidance.

In reality, this is should be pretty easy to fix. I’m not going to blow this out of proportion like so many in the media will, but it demonstrates a reality: these tax bills were rushed with the sole purpose of getting something passed in 2017. Had they repealed Obamacare, they would have been much more careful and methodical about putting out a tax cut package that wasn’t loaded with glaring holes and fiscal irresponsibility. Had they gotten the wall funded and started building it in full force, they might have held the tax bill a little longer to make sure they weren’t making huge mistakes with the nation’s economy.

We are riding a wave when the economy is in great shape. By rushing a mistake-ridden tax plan through to the President’s desk, they’re putting all of that at risk. This economy would be strong with very few risks of backsliding if it weren’t for Capitol Hill’s arbitrary deadline prompted by their failure to accomplish anything in 2017. For the sake of their majority, the GOP is willing to put the economy at risk with a sloppy tax plan.

We need tax cuts badly, but I’d rather wait a little longer and get the right tax plan in place instead of rushing it to protect a few politicians fighting for their careers.

Let’s set aside, for a moment, whether or not you (or I) support the Graham-Cassidy Obamacare replacement bill. That’s been debated publicly and privately more tenaciously than any bill since Obamacare and in a much smaller time frame. Instead, let’s look at one argument: future elections.

There have been a lot of fallback arguments made. These are the indirect arguments not associated with the substance of the bill that people will make in an attempt to paint passage as a proper strategic move. The most common one is that the GOP needs to pass SOMETHING in order to go into the midterm elections from a position of strength with the claim that they kept their promise.

In one sense, this is true. As a whole, if the GOP cannot pass some form of Obamacare repeal, they’ll lose face… as a party. It will reflect poorly on the party in a way that sparks national discussions. RNC representatives will have to spin feverishly. Fundraising, their strong point for a long time, will be hampered.

In every other sense, it’s false to believe they’ll lose the midterm elections by not passing Graham-Cassidy. First, let’s look at the obvious example: Obamacare. When it passed in 2010, every leftwing media outlet heralded it as a show of strength for the Democratic Party and President Obama. It was. However, that show of strength did not translate into electoral wins. Later that year, the Democrats lost the House. Four years later, they lost the Senate. Two years later, they lost the White House. They were defeated by GOP candidates who incessantly hammered on the need to repeal Obamacare.

The same scenario looms for the GOP. Will the party be strengthened? Yes. Will the President? Yes. Will individual candidates in the House and Senate be strengthened? No. By passing Graham-Cassidy, the GOP will be taking the same red meat they’ve been using for seven years and handing it to their Democratic competitors. Every Democrat running for seats on Capitol Hill will use Graham-Cassidy and any shortcomings that come to light before election day as all the ammunition they need to win.

On a national stage, it would be hard for the GOP to argue their failure to repeal Obamacare. In individual elections for the House and Senate, a good GOP candidate can easily remove that albatross from their neck based upon their personal voting record. If they voted for repeal, the issue is no longer a valid attack point. In fact, PASSING Graham-Cassidy will force them to answer more questions on the defensive… just as Democrats had to do in 2010 after Obamacare passed. That didn’t work out well for them and it won’t work out for many vulnerable GOP candidates.

Passing Graham-Cassidy will help the President win reelection in 2020 and will make the GOP look good. It will harm midterm GOP candidates in 2018 just as Obamacare harmed midterm Democrats in 2010.

Who here trusts the GOP?” Not a single hand went up, but people over and over promised me that if the GOP spent like the democrats they would be back to throw them out too. No wonder the GOP is scared of the tea party.

What I asked at the Tea Party Sept 25th 2010

At CPAC 2017 I interviewed a lot of people about what they wanted to see and there were two things that were desired overall that I highlighted in my final post

The only thing that matters in the long run is this: Is Donald Trump going to deliver on these big issues (Obamacare and the Wall) that he highlighted during the campaign?

If this administration can’t answer yes, he is in danger of losing these folks and risks a primary, but if Donald Trump, in the end keeps his eyes on this prize, then these grass room activists are going to be with him when he needs them no matter what anyone in the media says.

As long as President Trump understand this fact, he’s going to do fine, and I have the distinct feeling that he does.

And so what did the GOP senate with a chance to pass the repeal of Obamacare do?

Broken Promise: GOP-Run Senate Votes Down Clean Repeal Of ObamaCare, 45/54

Allahpundit has it pegged:

The demise of the 7-year promise to repeal Obamacare is just the latest twist of the knife that Republicans have delivered to advocates of limited government. It’s a reminder that for all the shouting, the United States only really has one party: the party of big government. Democrats expand government when they’re in power, and Republicans cry foul when they’re in the opposition. But when Republicans gain power, they either expand government in their own way (as President Bush did with the Medicare prescription drug bill and No Child Left Behind federal education power grab) or merely preserve Democrats’ gains until Democrats can regain enough power to expand government some more.

It looks very much like the Tea Party was quite correct to distrust these dishonest and dishonorable leeches.

I think the time has come to start to start putting Mike Rogers’ of Granite Grok plan into effect:

The time to take over the GOP (state by state) or set up a real third party (let’s call it the conservative party, like NY state), is NOW, after a historic election that demonstrated the ineptness of the “Wizards of Smart”.

The time NOT to talk about and vote for a third part candidate, or stay home and pout about rules that work against you is DURING an historic election, when one of the evils is immeasurably worse than the guy you can’t quite warm to.

If we successfully set up a conservative party, and win some seats, we can choose to align with Republicans or even endorse their candidate as a tactical matter on a vote by vote basis.

I think the first step is to run pro-repeal candidates as primary opponents to sitting GOP senators and congressmen and if they are defeated or rejected by the GOP then the very moment that the 2018 midterms are done to start setting up those conservative parties.

Until the GOP sees consequences for this betrayal it will not change.

One irony, it will be the GOP party but not Donald Trump who will suffer for this betrayal, and deservedly so.


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Last year, I was very encouraged by much of what the GOP platform stated. Yes, I’m one of those weird people who actually read it. Apparently, most of our elected Republican officials in DC either didn’t read it or dismissed it after they won. There are key elements that are getting missed.

Before anyone says “it’s too early to judge,” let’s take a few things into consideration. “Reducing the Federal Debt” is a big one that’s highlighted on page 8 of the platform. It discusses spending restraints as “a necessary component that must be vigorously pursued.” Thus far, the only proposals coming out of Congress have been to increase the debt. They promised to reduce it and I’d even accept it if they just kept it in check but with budget talks reaching a head at the end of the month, it’s almost certain that they’re going to raise it. Why put that in the platform if you’re just going to do the opposite?

“Defending Marriage Against an Activist Judiciary” is a big part of the platform, as is defending religious liberties. So far, nothing positive in this regard has even sniffed the President’s desk and actions from the administration seem bent on keeping the new status quo in regards to both marriage and religious freedoms. Judge Gorsuch was a nice addition, but his presence on the bench will not be able to defend marriage if Congress doesn’t give him something to defend.

Then, we get to the least discussed promise in the platform. “Federalism as the Foundation of Personal Liberty” outlines states’ rights and how the 10th Amendment must be brought to prominence once again. Other than Scott Pruitt at the EPA, no other efforts have been hinted at by any Republicans in DC from Congress to the White House. In fact, there have been direct attacks on the concepts of Federalism within the administration as they discuss imposing Washington’s will on the states when it comes to crime, immigration, and trade.

One of the most popular Republican issues of the day is how to handle sanctuary cities. I’m not a supporter of these havens of illegal immigration, but there’s a proper way for the government to reward states who crack down on sanctuary cities rather than harm those who do not. Mandates from DC that do not include sufficient compensation are tyrannical and force states to comply or feel the wrath of the fed. That’s not how the founders intended it, nor is it necessary to achieve the end results. We can rid our nation of sanctuary cities through federal assistance. When DC uses mandates and punishments to push their agenda, the end result is never good even if the intentions are righteous.

Don’t get me started on their stated platform promise to balance the budget when we have a trillion dollar infrastructure project to pay for on top of everything else that’s been flying around DC for the past three months. At what point to do we stop accepting that the Republicans are slightly less liberal than the Democrats? When are we going to tell them that being better isn’t good enough?

The GOP platform is nothing more than a piece of digital paper. The Democrats are even worse. It’s no coincidence that the Federalist Party’s idea for holding politicians accountable to the platform is getting attention from both major parties. If our elected officials are unwilling to fulfill the promises they sign, why should we believe they’ll do anything they say?

There are many ways that you can make a suggestion in a story and create the meme you want to make in a persons mind.

A great little example of this took place in the coverage of the pro-forma vote for speaker in the new congress.

First lets look at the coverage via The Hill

Ryan reelected Speaker in near-unanimous GOP vote

Updated 1:50 p.m.

Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) on Tuesday won reelection as Speaker of the House in a near-unanimous GOP vote that reflected a unified Republican party dead set on dismantling the past eight years of the Obama administration.

Conservative Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.), a frequent thorn in leadership’s side, was the sole Republican to defect from Ryan. Massie cast his vote for Rep. Daniel Webster (R-Fla.), who challenged Ryan for the Speaker’s gavel in 2015 but not this year.

The final vote totals were 239 votes for Paul Ryan, 189 votes for Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), two votes for Rep. Tim Ryan (D-Ohio) and one vote each for Reps. Jim Cooper (D-Tenn.), John Lewis (D-Ga.) and Daniel Webster (R-Fla.).

Pelosi loses four, Ryan one

Updated 1:44

Paul Ryan and Nancy Pelosi are both basically winners today.

Ryan is the bigger winner. While the Speaker certainly would prefer to have not had a single defection, losing just one vote is a huge victory since just last year he lost nine votes in the House Speaker election from his own party.

Before Donald Trump‘s win in the presidential election, members of Ryan’s own conference were at least talking about voting against him. That talk completely died down after the election, and only Rep. Thomas Massie cast a GOP ballot against Ryan on Tuesday.

Pelosi lost only four votes, which suggests that she retains an iron grip on her caucus — despite terrible results in last year’s election for Democrats up and down the ballot. 

Rep. Tim Ryan (D-Ohio) ran a relatively strong challenge against Pelosi in the internal Democratic caucus vote last year, but it appeared most Democrats wanted to rally around their longtime leader in Tuesday’s vote. 

Who what when where how.  Basic strait forward facts. Reporting as it should be.

Now let’s contrast that with how the Washington Post tells the same story.

Lawmakers reelected Paul D. Ryan as House speaker Tuesday, choosing the Wisconsin Republican with a fraught history with President-elect Donald Trump to serve as Trump’s chief legislative partner.

Ryan won the support of all but one Republican, winning with many fewer GOP defectors than when he first won the speakership in 2015. The vast majority of Democrats voted for Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), who was reelected as party leader last year despite an abortive effort among some colleagues to oust her after November’s disappointing election results.

But the 24 hours preceding the vote showed that unity can be fleeting: His reelection came less than two hours after Republicans held an emergency meeting to reverse proposed changes that would roll back the authority of the independent Office of Congressional Ethics. Ryan opposed those changes ahead of a Monday night conference meeting, but lawmakers voted for them anyway — then agreed to reverse course Tuesday after a public firestorm.

Notice the wording. Negative. Ryan has a “fraught history” the “unity can be fleeting”, lawmakers despite Ryan’s opposition “voted for them anyway.” Those who had opposed him were “defectors”

The take away? Paul Ryan may have won but he’s not sitting well with either his members or his president, he’s weak!

Now notice how the contrast with Pelosi. the “Vast Majority” of Democrats voted for Pelosi. A positive adjective not noting that with a caucus with 47 less members she lost four times as many votes. (4-1 by vote for 2.1% defections for her vs 0.5% for Ryan) The effort to oust her were “abortive”, The problem “disappointing election results” not anything to do with her leadership.

Now if it’s in one story it’s not a big deal, but if you use this subtle wording in say 10 stories a day, (the same wording is repeated in a later story at the post) every day then you plant the idea in the mind of the reader. Ryan weak, Pelosi strong, GOP divided, Dems united.

It’s all rather subtle but that’s what selling a meme is all about.

And that’s how the MSM continues to try to play you day after day, year after year, decade after decade, which is likely why you’re here.


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