Mr.Spock: I see no logic in preferring Stonn over me.
T’Pring: You have become much known among our people, Spock. Almost a legend. And as the years went by, I came to know that I did not want to be the consort of a legend. But by the laws of our people, I could only divorce you by the kal-if-fee. There was also Stonn, who wanted very much to be my consort, and I wanted him. If your Captain were victor, he would not want me, and so I would have Stonn. If you were victor you would free me because I had dared to challenge, and again I would have Stonn. But if you did not free me, it would be the same. For you would be gone, and I would have your name and your property, and Stonn would still be there.
Mr. Spock: Logical. Flawlessly logical.

Star Trek Amok Time 1967

Earlier this week I strongly objected to the CRomnibus bill rushed to passage in the House on the grounds that members of congress should have the time to read a bill before it’s voted on.

But with the short term extension (Tom White’s objections not withstanding) Senators will have time to read the bill & judge it on its merits so that problem is solved.

As for the merits of the bill, there is a lot of emotion  from both the right and the left.  There is no doubt that there is a lot of junk in it that likely shouldn’t be, but I’m not worried because no matter what happens, if it’s passed, if a short term 2 month bill is passed instead or if it’s blocked, there is one thing I know for sure:

The GOP never had it so good.

Every single possibility is a positive for the GOP politically, let me explain in detail.

Possibility #1:  No bill passed government shutdown:

You might recall last year when there was a short term government shutdown all in the media declared how much it would hurt the GOP electorally, now that we have proof that this is not the case a shut down this time has several advantages:

1. It stops funding of many things that should not be by rote.

The less it pays for the smaller government becomes automatically

2. It disproportionately affects the discretionary spending that fuels the left.

Many more of the left’s priorities are non-emergency funding.  A shutdown stops them.

3. Because it affects the supporters of the left it puts pressure on Democrats to make a deal (which is likely going to be even more favorable to the right).

And the longer it goes on the more desperate they will be for a deal

4. It’s a resounding defeat for both the President & for the Establishment

And this president & this establishment NEED to be defeated.

5. It exacerbates the Democrat Civil War & forces the MSM to cover it

This is the best thing of all, by empowering the Elizabeth Warren wing of the Democrats it will create the same situation that defeated Mitt Romney in 2012 but on the left.  Warren might be able to win in a place as crazy as Massachusetts but nationally she has no appeal outside of Hollywood & the fever swamps if she doesn’t win outright she will force a Hillary or a Cuomo or a Brown even farther left and that will help a lot in 2016.

Furthermore with Warren & the Black Caucus & Warren on board the old “Evil Republicans starving kids” business for the media doesn’t wash.

6.  In three weeks the worm turns

If there is a shutdown & it goes to early January eventually the new congress will be seated meaning a new vote with a new congress that has a GOP majority in the senate.

Short Term Bill Passes 2-3 Months

This one is pretty good too because it means the following

1.  The worm has turned:

See #6 above, with GOP majorities in both houses republicans will have more leverage than before to advance their ideas and cut back Democrat priorities

2.  No Harry Reid roadblocks

Last time around Harry Reid didn’t even allow many of the GOP bills come up for a vote, this time he doesn’t have that power.

3.  Possible Democrat Filibusters:

It will be fun to see the press suddenly decide that Democrats shutting down the government is a good thing, but it will be even more fun to watch them keep it shut down because #2 & #3 from a shutdown will still apply.

4.  President shutdown government:

Ah the joy of watching an unpopular president shut down the government because he doesn’t like the spending bill would be fun, particularly if the Senate Democrats choose to back him, not only does #2 & #3 continue to apply but now such a shutdown becomes the face of the Democrat party nationally.

5.  Piecemeal bills:

Harry Reid stopped the post shutdown piecemeal approach, (funding key parts of government one bill at a time) allowing the press to ignore it, however with a GOP majority Boehner & McConnell will be in a position put bills on the President’s desk to fund the specific parts of the government that should actually be funded & have the most public support and force him to decide to sign or veto.  Because it’s the president & not Reid they can’t pretend he’s above the fray, and the more piecemeal funding of Government that is needed the more we can let the unnecessary BS fall by the wayside.

CRomnibus passes

For all the annoyance of some of the President’s stuff being funded for a year even if CRomnibus passes the GOP is in good shape.

1.  Time for a real budget:

With both houses of congress we can finally get on track for an actual budget passed by both houses and sent to the president instead of playing the shutdown game.  With a year to do it there is no reason why it shouldn’t get done.

2.  Son of CRomnibus

If for some reason we don’t get an actual budget and are stuck with son of CRomnibus all the advantages of the short term bill (1-5 above) exist .

3.  It’s primary time for the GOP & Dems:

If there is a son of CRomibus bill in October of 2015 as the primary season is beginning tit will put the maximum amount of pressure for the GOP house & Senate to appease its conservative base (that’s you dear reader) to avoid generating primary candidates.  At the time it will force Dems to do the same forcing a party that’s already devoid of moderate democrats farther to the left before an election.

4.  Obama Democrats

If you think Democrats are desperate to get away  from Barack Obama now wait till you see them as election 2016 comes closer, If the president resists a GOP bill (and he will) every incumbent Democrat & every Democrat candidate will get the chance to be directly linked to Barack Obama at the very time the party wants to forget him.

5.  Obama Presidential Candidates

If a Son of Cromnibus bill comes up as Democrats are preparing for Iowa & NH we will have some lovely shots of a likely Democrat either rejecting Barack Obama on camera (generating similar ads to the ones Ali ran in Louisiana vs Landrieu in the Black community) or embracing Barack Obama (generating ads to run just about everywhere else).  I’m sure every single Democrat is who wants to be president is just dying to have to do one or the other just before the first caucus & primaries take place.

So hate Cromnibus or love Cromnibus, either way,when it comes to politics, it’s going to be a winner for conservatives & the GOP who will have a very merry Christmas.

I wish we could sell them another hill at the same price

General Nathanael Greene referring to the Battle of Bunker Hill 1775

Yesterday morning the cry went up again bout how the GOP is trying to make deals with democrats to foil their own caucus.

Republican leaders on Wednesday also considered changes that would mollify conservatives further, like setting Homeland Security funding to expire in mid February instead of March.

But Boehner may still need the help of Democrats to get his plan across the finish line, making the White House’s current position a positive sign that he could get his package through the House.

And the media & the GOP establishment keep insisting that a Government shutdown will cause all kinds of trouble for the GOP

All of this sounds very familiar:

CNN Oct 21 2013:

GOP, Boehner take shutdown hit in new CNN poll

“The midterm election is a year away. There’s plenty of time for Republicans to work on the brand, but they’ve taken a bit of a beating here. They’ve got some work to do. They need a bit of a makeover,” King said.

The Roosevelt Institute:

 

Yesterday the federal government shut down for the first time in two decades due, in part, to the GOP’s growing opposition to contraception. Republicans are intent on rolling back women’s rights, and this time they are holding the federal government hostage in an attempt to advance their agenda.

 

And when they weren’t complaining they were laughing

Aug 27 2014 Think Progress:

 

Seriously? Republicans Threaten ANOTHER Government Shutdown Over Obamacare!

 

And all that was before the election, an election that not only increased the GOP majority in the House but gave them a much larger majority in the senate than expected, yet we are still hearing this nonsense:

This GOP strategy is ideal for a party that has developed a reputation of not governing in the recent past. In October 2013, the House of Representatives and the Senate could not agree on an appropriations continuing resolution, or a bill to fund the government. This government shutdown was largely caused by conservatives who wished to defund or delay the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, also known as “Obamacare.”

This move was largely considered to be a total disaster for the GOP. Shutting down the government severely damaged the Republican brand.

 

Maybe if it’s just me but if I had the type of election after standing up to Obama & the Democrats by shutting down the Government that the GOP did I’d not be all that afraid of opposing them again.

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John "Lee" Ruberry in Colorado
John “Lee” Ruberry in Colorado

By John Ruberry

Since last autumn’s government shutdown, when “Barrycades” blocked visitors from entering National Park Service sites such as Yellowstone, but also open-space plazas such as the World War II Memorial in Washington, the NPS has gone from America’s most-loved federal agency to a place among the rest of the Everglades-type muck that is the national government.

The National Park Service, which is part of the Interior Department, is about to sink deeper into the mire, the Denver Post reported two days ago.

The National Park Service is proposing to boost entrance fees at 131 of the 401 public properties it manages.

“The proposed increases in park entrance fees will allow us to invest in the improvements necessary to provide the best possible park experience to our visitors,” said Park Service director Jon Jarvis in an Aug. 14 memo [emphasis mine] to regional directors urging them to foster public support for the first fee increase since 2008.

With an eye toward sprucing up for the Park Service’s 100th anniversary in 2016, Jarvis is asking regional directors to conduct public outreach this fall and winter so fees can be implemented as early as next summer.

Did you notice that? “An Aug. 14 memo.” Clearly “the most transparent administration in history” wants the fee hike scheme to be hidden from taxpayers.

Old Faithful
Old Faithful

Entrance fees could increase the popular Rocky Mountain National Park by 50 percent and a whopping 150 percent at Great Sand Dunes National Park. Worse, the NPS’ “public outreach” on the rate hikes begins in late October, just as visitation at the parks plummets.

The National Park Service’s annus horribilis didn’t end when the Barrycades were lifted. Later that fall, Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK), while placing much of the blame on Congress, eviscerated the NPS for overlooking maintenance of the popular parks and wasting money on barely-visited sites.

From Fox News:

“This is an agency that spends $650 million a year administering a $2.6 billion budget,” says Coburn — a ratio he calls, “outlandish.”

His report cites dozens of cases of waste. The Eugene O’Neill National Historic Site in the San Francisco Bay area, for example, averages less than 10 visitors a day. “With nine employees, the National Park Service often has more staff working the grounds, than daily visitors,” the report says.

While the NPS opposed adding the O’Neill home to its roster of properties, its director, the aforementioned Jon Jarvis, appears to favor adding the Pullman District on Chicago’s South Side as a National Historic Park. Pullman, then located outside of Chicago’s city limits, was a Pullman Company-owned planned community and the epicenter of a violent 1894 strike. The strikers lost, but a few years later the Illinois Supreme Court forced the Pullman Company to divest itself of its namesake town.

The Pullman District and its period architecture is moderately interesting to a history buff such as myself, but after twenty years of attempts by local government to elevate it as a tourist attraction, the rest of America remains unimpressed. The Heartland Institute’s Steve Stanek phrased it best, “Pullman National Park? You’ve Gotta be Kidding.”

Mesa Verde National Park, Colorado
Mesa Verde National Park, Colorado

As for sneak-attack entrance fee hikes by the most-transparent-administration-in history? You’ve gotta be kidding. Especially if it ends up that visitors to places such as Rocky Mountain National Park end up subsidizing a Pullman National Park, which by the way, would almost certainly end up as a Valhalla to the labor movement and other left-wing causes such as planned communities–but only if such towns are planned by government, not by capitalists of course.

Finally, the NPS’ recent track history is poor, as Coburn explained on his website last year:

Of the top 25 most visited National Parks in 2012, only 8 have been approved since 1970 – of the 25 least visited parks, 20 have been established since 1970.

John Ruberry  regularly blogs at Marathon Pundit.

Yesterday while the Scots were deciding to stand pat the Senate followed the House in approving funding to train the Syrian Rebels in the  campaign vs ISIS as part of the continuing resolutions to fund government.

That’s not what this bill was supposed to be.

The unwillingness of a deal to be made on spending and Harry Reid unwillingness to pass any of the normal appropriations bills were meant to protect the left.  The timing of this latest continuing resolution was designed to put the GOP in a box just before the election when it came to shutting down the government or not.  All of the left was prepared,  from the media to the smallest staffer to talk about republican irresponsibility in holding up and/or delaying checks just before it was time to vote in November.

And then ISIS got in the way.

With the Beheading of American and British citizens in a very public fashion the game had changed, suddenly instead of a debate on spending and government shutdowns to hit the GOP at election time we had a debate about war with ISIS, and not just war with ISIS but arming the Syrian rebels, a highly dubious and quite debatable proposition in itself, all for the sake of preserving protecting and defending the poll numbers of the President of the United States and his perception as a leader.

And without a stand alone declaration of war or force authorization resolution this would be the vote on war:  Do we fight or do we not?

So instead of a united Democrat party watching a divided GOP try to make a deal with their Tea Party wing putting them in a bad spot with their base you saw a vote and debate on a subject that highlighted the Democrat divisions with a base that bitterly  opposed war in Iraq when George Bush was fighting it.

It just goes to show you that plans,  however solid they seem to be when you make them,  are subject to the realities on the ground and must be modified accordingly

Let’s hope as this war begins the administration takes that reality to heart

One of the most solid pieces of conventional wisdom in the MSM is that a government shutdown hurts the GOP.

Back in October the MSM went on and on about how horrible the shutdown was. Every single day the GOP in general & Ted Cruz in particular were attacked. The House was decried as obstructionists, bi-partisan spending bills which were regularly passed with 30 votes were ignored by the media and Harry Reid unwillingness to bring any of them up to a vote was completely ignored by the mass media.

When a deal was finally made that gave the left pretty much what they wanted the media talked about how Ted Cruz & the Tea Party had not only given President Obama, who had just been humiliated in Syria, a badly needed victory but had pretty much destroyed their power and influence for good.

Then Obamacare imploded.

While the Obamacare site crashed and burned and American’s health plans disappeared taking Democrats 2014 fortunes with it, the media took time from playing defense for the law & the White House to attack Ted Cruz & the Tea Party as fools whose shut down fight  kept the focus off of Obamacare’s failures for weeks.

Four months later things are no better for the left.

You have Democrats openly stating that the house is lost,

You have Democrat PACS deciding to skip the 2014 elections

You have David Axelrod begging Donors to give to the party this cycle rather than Hillary’s 2016 campaign.

You have guys like  Ron Fournier writing stories like: “Why I’m getting sick of Defending Obamacare“& MSNBC actually covering it.

You have the spectacle of the White House not only delaying parts of Obamacare once again but trying to intimidate business’ into accepting the costs of this law against their own interests. 

Things look bleak for Democrats.  They need a game changer, need one fast and with the debt ceiling they had a perfect chance to let the GOP stew in its own juices:

So what happens?

House passes clean debt-ceiling hike, 221-201

Ah so the GOP decided they didn’t want to have this fight and passed a debt ceiling bill to get it off the table solving Speaker Boehner’s problems right?

Well not exactly:

The bill was approved in a 221-201 vote, largely on the backs of Democrats. Only 28 Republicans voted for it, while 199 voted against.

Only two Democrats voted against the clean debt-ceiling hike, which was backed by the White House and Democratic leaders in the House and Senate, while 193 voted “yes.” The two defections were Rep. Jim Matheson (Utah), who is not running for reelection, and Rep. John Barrow (Ga.), who faces a tough race.

Excuse me?  The Democrats bailed the GOP out?

The GOP speaker is of course delighted but confused that is caucus is not:

Boehner just stood there for a moment after he finished, eyed the room, and walked toward his seat. On his way there, Boehner shook his head, then turned to the nearly mute crowd and wondered aloud why he wasn’t getting applause. “I’m getting this monkey off your back and you’re not going to even clap?”

While he is confused by his caucus’  reaction he can take solace in the fact that the Morning Joe table on MSNBC is praising of him with only the slightest critique by Joe Scarborough.

As so many seem confused by the disappointment of conservatives lack of celebration let me explain it in easy to understand terms:

Democrats given the choice of…

Plan A:

Sitting back and watching the GOP fail to pass a debt ceiling bill causing another shutdown that would assure them of hundreds of hours of video and thousands of pages of print coverage excoriating the GOP for doing so.

OR

Plan B:

Voting en masse to pass a debt ceiling bill taking the issue off the table for the GOP  and making it a one day story.

Choose plan B!

Think about that a second:

Those Democrats who still use last years shutdown as a talking point;

Those Democrats who spent the last week arguing disincentives to work are a good thing

Those Democrats who a few minutes after the latest Obamacare delay sent out a blast e-mail INSISTING it is working

At the moment Democrats are in most need of a boost to their electoral fortunes those Democrats Choose Plan B!

Maybe it’s just me but doesn’t anyone in the House leadership or the MSM find it even a tad odd that the House Democrats were willing to provide so many votes for something completely opposite to what conventional wisdom says is their political advantage in a tough election year?

Could it be because it isn’t?

Update: don’t Gloat? Tells Nancy Pelosi to Dems…

Before the House voted to raise the debt ceiling without any spending reductions or restorations of the military pension cuts Tuesday, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) reportedly warned her members not to act like Seattle cornerback Richard Sherman and taunt the “mediocre” GOP leadership for caving.

…If the Democrat leader has to warn her caucus not to gloat in public over this bill perhaps the GOP leader should not be wondering why his caucus isn’t cheering.

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If you’re gonna play the game, boy, ya gotta learn to play it right.

You got to know when to hold ’em, know when to fold ’em,
Know when to walk away and know when to run.
You never count your money when you’re sittin’ at the table.
There’ll be time enough for countin’ when the dealin’s done.

Kenny Rogers The Gambler Don Schlitz / Kenny Rogers. 1978

I was, and I still am, of the opinion that the shutdown at the beginning of October (Va gov race not withstanding) was not only a worthwhile thing to do, but has paid longterm dividends by both re-establishing public GOP opposition to obamacare and painting every single democrat as a defender of Obamacare.

The strategy was solid, the piecemeal bills to reopen the national parks, the VA & the other things got the same bi-partisan votes that the Upton bill did.  The difference is they didn’t get the same attention Upton did from the MSM  and it was that lack of press attention and resulting lack of pressure on Harry Reid (who I would not want to play poker or chicken with) that allowed him to provide the stones for President Obama that made the difference and gave him a short lived political victory.

Now the budget issue is coming up again and this time the GOP doesn’t have the stomach for it:

House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) said Tuesday that the country doesn’t need to worry about another government shutdown in January when the current stopgap spending bill runs out.

The government shutdown lasted for 16 days in October, after Republicans demanded that President Obama defund his signature healthcare law.

To avoid another shutdown, Ryan said either he and Senate Budget Committee Chairwoman Patty Murray (D-Wash.) would strike a budget deal or Congress would pass a stopgap keeping existing spending levels.

“Either of those two scenarios will prevail, and we will not have a government shutdown,” he said at the Wall Street Journal annual CEO Council. “We will keep the government funding at the current level if need be.”

This has already angered some commentators but I do understand. With the democrats completely on defensive, Time magazine even talking broken promises and the left desperate to change the subject to something ANYTHING (Iran) the last thing we on the right need to do is to give them that out.

While It would be fun to see another government funding plan that includes a 1 year Obamacare delay and watch Democrat senators squirm Ryan is correct, strategically, avoiding a 2nd shutdown is the right move to keep the media on Obamacare’s crash & burn as long as possible.

There is one thing the GOP COULD do to try & achieve both ends.

Rather than wait till next month some spending bills should be sent NOW.  Send one that fully funds the VA, send one that fully funds the national parks, send one that fully funds the centers for disease control etc etc etc.  Or even better send the other 8 appropriation bills that haven’t yet passed through the house.

Since Harry Reid has now decided that the filibuster is an antiquated device make sure these funding bills are bills that senate democrats who are running for re-election want and need and let Harry Reid make the case that 51 votes aren’t good enough for them.

But do it now, while there is plenty of time before the deadline and there is no question about a gun in front of anyone’s head.

But let’s leave Obamacare out of it.  Don’t give the democrats an out.  They had their chance to get off the Titanic, let it sail right on through till November.

Update:  Cleaned up a sentence in para 2

Update 2: One other thing to consider:

the Democratic lead has disappeared. A new CNN/ORC poll indicates the GOP now holds a 49%-47% edge.

The new survey was conducted last week and released Tuesday.

The 10-point swing follows a political uproar over Obamacare, which included the botched rollout of HealthCare.gov and controversy over insurance policy cancelations due primarily to the new health law.

The turnaround in the CNN/ORC poll follows similar shifts in recent national surveys from Quinnipiac University and Fox News.

The longer Obamacare is on the table the more we will see these numbers move.

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Olimometer 2.52

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Kay: Fifteen hundred years ago everybody knew the Earth was the center of the universe. Five hundred years ago, everybody knew the Earth was flat, and fifteen minutes ago, you knew that humans were alone on this planet. Imagine what you’ll know tomorrow.

Men in Black 1997

And so we come to the end of our argument concerning Ted Cruz and the GOP, let’s review:

In Part 1 the Time Stream I noted a selective re-writing of history:

Two years after Wisconsin suddenly the same people who unlike the Tea Party were not anxious to stand with Scott Walker because they were convinced he was over the line, courting disaster for the GOP, extreme are now invoking to the US public in general and the viewers in particular that same Scott Walker to judge Ted Cruz and the Tea Party as extremists.

I’m sorry I’ve seen the video, I remember Sarah Palin & Andrew Breitbart on the stage fighting for Scott Walker, not John McCain or Peter King.

In Part 2 The Contrary Voice, We explained how Winston Churchill’s lonely opposition to the Munich Pact, now celebrated in history, was unpopular with both the House of Commons but with the general populace itself:

Yet in the midst of this reality Winston Churchill stood up in the House of Commons, the people’s house and gave this speech:

I will, therefore, begin by saying the most unpopular and most unwelcome thing. I will begin by saying what everybody would like to ignore or forget but which must nevertheless be stated, namely, that we have sustained a total and unmitigated defeat, and that France has suffered even more than we have.

That alone is a provocative statement to a group of people in the midst of joy,

Would anyone remember Sir Winston if he went with popular opinion, would there be an England to remember him?

In Part 3 the Raiders
We highlighted the Risk/rewards of the Doolittle Raid:

Every rational cost benefit analysis said that this mission was high risk with little if any reward at best. Yet the mission was approved, the crews volunteers all, flew.

All of the planes were lost 3 airmen were killed 8 captured the rest eventually made it to friendly territory. According to Wikipedia (granted not the most reliable source) Doolittle thought he would be court marshaled for the loss of this plains.

He could not have been more wrong.

Better not take that chance, it’s not like it will prompt the Japanese to attack Midway or something.

and in Part 4 Memories Ted Cruz reminded the entire country which side opposed Obamacare and which didn’t as if he read Tip O’Neill’s book

Tip realized and Carter forgot that what any parent who has told a kid to take out the trash know. People need to be reminded of things, particularly truths, regularly. They are easily forgotten or ignored or spun away unless dramatic reminders are given.

Well the media sure helped people know which side everyone was on didn’t they?

Now lets consider how fleeting conventional wisdom is, A few years ago the John Edwards case was just the National Enquirer digging phony dirt, a few months ago anyone who thought the IRS was targeting the Tea Party was crazy and at the beginning of the month the idea of delaying Obamacare was a terrorist act.

My how times change:

Democrats Ask to Delay Obamacare Deadline
House and Senate Democrats call for delay in the deadline for the individual mandate

Obmacare’s launch has been a dismal failure so dangerous that if you are a Democrat running for election in 2014 you’re running away from it, fast!

So lets summarize:

Ted Cruz make a fight that the establishment shied away from. He took on a position for principle not popular with the media and public. He made that fight with lots of risks and little upside and pushed the media to the point where that media made absolutely sure that the entire country knew which party wanted to stop Obamacare and which party with one voice was dedicated to protecting Obamacare from repeal and or delay at all costs….

…right up until they weren’t.

Let me close with this: If Ted Cruz had not made this fight, When the Obamacare launch came and the problems arose, the media would have talked about how natural such problems were and when Democrats asked to delay implementation it would be sold by the media as not a big deal, the most reasonable thing in the world…

…instead of trying to explain why it’s necessary to delay a law passed by congress, signed by the president and upheld by the supreme court that they were united in defending as inviolate just two weeks ago while comedians across the country laugh at it.

GOP Ted Cruz did this for you, even while you were trying to destroy him.

My exit question for Karl Rove & Company: How many millions of dollars from Big money donors would you have paid to put Democrats up for election in 2014 in such a spot?

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Olimometer 2.52

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The Fourth in a series of why the GOP should thank Ted Cruz for his fight against Obamacare Part 1 The Time Stream is here part 2 The Contrary Voice is here, Part 3 The Raiders is here and the final part In Summation: Conventional Wisdom is here.

As a kid I got my curiosity from reading the Golden Book Encyclopedia, It was greatly illustrated and written at a level a kid could understand .  I would read it cover to cover and simply devour it.  It gave me a love for facts and a curiosity about everything  remember when I bought my first Windows 95 system it came with the Compton’s interactive encyclopedia.  I thought it was simply amazing to be able to call up both video and audio from history to bring it alive, but then I noticed something that struck me.

In the audio section I was surprised to see George Washington’s farewell speech delivered decades before the 1st photograph and almost a century before the first audio recording.

It hit me that an uninformed person listening to that recording would not realize that it was an actor reproducing the address. It brought home a lesson a frustrated Tip O’Neil recounted in his autobiography Man of the House page 320:

After the speech, I went up to congratulate him. “That was a fine address, Mr. President.” I said, “now here’s a list of members you should call to keep the pressure on, because we’ll need their votes.”

“No,” he replied, “I described the problem to the American people in a rational way. I’m sure they’ll realize I’m right.”

I could have slugged him.

Tip realized and Carter forgot that what any parent who has told a kid to take out the trash know. People need to be reminded of things, particularly truths, regularly. They are easily forgotten or ignored or spun away unless dramatic reminders are given.

And that brings us finally to Ted Cruz and the shutdown.

One of the issues when you have a uniformly hostile media is how to get your message out. A media that opposes you will either ignore you finding other issue to report upon (such as their tactics with the IRS scandal and Benghazi) to keep your message from being heard or if they cover your event spin your message to your disadvantage (such as focusing on a single Reb flag at a vets event).

The only way to counter, to break through to the people is to deliver your message so loud that it can’t be ignored.

That’s exactly what Ted Cruz did.

Cruz started with his 21 hour floor speech something that couldn’t be ignored. First it couldn’t be ignored by republicans in the Senate:

Within hours of Liz Cheney, now a candidate for the Senate in Wyoming, announcing her support of Ted Cruz’s filibuster, Senator Mike Enzi, who Cheney is primarying, took to the floor of the United States Senate and declared he stood with Ted Cruz.

Pat Roberts, the elderly Senator from Kansas who may soon be getting a stiff primary challenge, stiffly stood on the floor of the United States Senate to show he too stood with Ted Cruz.

Rand Paul, after NBC News reported he may disagree with Cruz’s filibuster threat, went to the floor of the Senate and stood with Ted Cruz.

And of course Marco Rubio who had lost favor with the tea party.

Then Obama for America (meaning the White House) noticed it and started running paid ads against it.

You have Organizing for America buying time on the lead show in the lineup for the mouthpiece network of the administration and doing so where it would get the highest chance of activating a viewing activists to call congress & urge the GOP to reconsider.

It’s one thing for a network to exploit a disagreement in a party to gin up its core viewer base it’s quite another for a political organization to pay for direct ads urging the faithful to tell their political foes not to jump off a cliff and destroy itself.

Meanwhile the entire CURRENT democrat caucus in the Senate were united in defending it (obamacare) as was practically the entire Democrat caucus in the house.

The Media’s decision was to focus on Ted Cruz (a potential 2016 candidate) and make it about him which is basic Alinsky but whenever Cruz was interviewed he delivered his message clearly.  Note this exchange with Candy Crowley:

Candy Crowley: But obviously, they feel that if you can use this kind of leverage, they feel it’s blackmail. But let me ask you something about your fellow Republicans.

Sen Ted Cruz: But Candy, let me press back. It’s twice you’ve said Harry Reid would say it’s blackmail. And I want to press back, because I actually — I think that’s a false claim with no basis. The bill that the House passed on the VA simply funds the VA. It doesn’t mention anything about Obamacare. It doesn’t mention anything about anything else. Now, for hundreds of years, the way Congress is appropriated has been one topic at a time. How is it blackmail to say we think we should fund the veterans? Do you agree? That’s a yes or no vote. Now Harry Reid refuses to let the Democrats vote on that. But how is it blackmail to say, we may not agree on everything but is there anything we can agree on? We ought to agree on

And Cruz’s message was so strong that the GOP in the house went with him and fought for two weeks until the GOP in the senate eventually caved and Mitch McConnell got his dam locks with the left looking the other way.

The media made the GOP pay a high price for Ted Cruz delivering that message to the nation. A price that would only be worth it if the Obamacare rollout even after two weeks was an unmitigated disaster.

 

But in the end the message was delivered. Obamacare is SO bad and such a disaster that the GOP in General and the Tea Party & Ted Cruz in particular were willing to make a high-profile fight and the political heat that came from it to prevent these consequences from being inflicted on the American people.

And it was delivered in a VERY Memorable way.

Update: Stacy nails it:

You know it’s a complete botch when even the Democrat-Media Complex — NBC, ABC, CBS — can’t ignore the failure:

Update 2:  Cleaned up some grammar issues

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Olimometer 2.52

It’s Friday The world series is even 1 game each but my Ted Cruz series (with one more part to go) doesn’t seem to be bringing in the weekly paycheck which remains a full $246 shy of a full paycheck.

I need 12 tip jar hitters kicking in $20 or 10 kicking in $25 to change this.

Are you willing to be one of them? If so please hit DaTipJar below

This morning the big political story of the day came from the Washington Post showing how bad things were for Senator Mike Lee, one of the leaders in the fight to de-fund Obamacare:

As a result, Lee’s approval ratings in Utah have cratered, and prominent Republicans and local business executives are openly discussing the possibility of mounting a primary challenge against him. Top Republicans are also maneuvering to redesign the party’s nomination system in a way that would likely make it more difficult for Lee to win reelection in 2016.

Morning Joe was all over it

People were tweeting it on twitter

and blogs like Talking Point Memo were practically orgasmic

Monson’s online poll earlier this month showed Lee’s favorability tumbling to 40 percent, while 51 percent of Utahns said they have an unfavorable opinion of him. That’s consistent with a recent trend for the entire Republican Party, which has seen historically bad polling numbers in the wake of the budget and debt crises.

However there is another poll out that isn’t getting as much attention. It’s out of the state of Arkansas where a Democrat Senator Mark Pryor is facing a Tough re-election fight:

Results from the 15th annual Arkansas Poll, conducted by the University of Arkansas, found respondants blaming President Barack Obama and the Democrats for the partial government shutdown.

The poll, conducted from Oct. 10-17, also showed declining approval ratings for Arkansas’ two Senators, Republican John Boozman and Democrat Mark Pryor, who faces a tough re-election challenge by U.S. Rep. Tom Cotton, R-Ark.

As for Pryor’s numbers:

Only 34 percent of likely voters approved of Mark Pryor’s performance, down from 53 percent last year. His disapproval ratings were also dramatically higher, with 44 percent of likely voters disapproving of his performance, up from 21 percent last year.

Hold on a second, how can this be? The MSM is telling us that the shutdown is an absolute disaster for the GOP and not only could cost them a chance at the Senate but might cost them the house yet as well.

I guess the MSM forgot to notify the voters in states and districts that are actually being contested in 2014.

One final thing, I found out about this poll from this tweet from LadyLiberty1885 tweet:

After reading the story I looked up the poll and called the University of Arkansas Political Science Department that conducted it to invite Professor Janine Parry the contact for the poll to appear on my syndicated radio show this week. I was unable to reach her by phone but I did talk to the Admin Specialist and was rather surprised to discover I was the first media to call in relation to these poll results.

I can’t imagine why. (see 3rd update)

Update: Interesting story from a NH Senator from Roll Call:

Given the existing problems with the website, I urge you to consider extending open enrollment beyond the current end date of March 31, 2014. Allowing extra time for consumers is critically important so they have the opportunity to become familiar with the website, survey their options and enroll.

Nobody is suggesting that NN is AK and with more and more MA residents fleeing north the state is becoming bluer but not so blue that with an election coming up you can ignore Obamacare’s problems and it may not just be her, as Erika Johnsen put it.

You know they’re all thinking about it, even if they won’t all say so.

If ONLY some Senator or senators had suggested that obamacare be de-funded or delayed somehow.

Update 3:
Just got off the phone with Professor Parry and confirmed her for the show on Nov 2nd, I asked her again about the other calls and was told the Washington Post & AP called along with 4 radio stations. It seems that these calls came in through an alternate number(s) than the one answered by the admin specialist.

I’m disappointed to hear I wasn’t first as I thought, although it was an honest mistake by both me and the Admin Specialist but I am gratified that major media is in fact doing it’s job.

It’s a nice change.

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Olimometer 2.52

If you want to know why it is worthwhile for 15 people to kick in the $20 a week necessary to allow a freelance Blogger and Radio show’s to draw a paltry $305 weekly paycheck as opposed to relying on the MSM, this post is why.

Pike Bishop:  What would you do in his place? He gave his word.

Dutch Engstrom:  He gave his word to a railroad.

Pike Bishop:  It’s his word.

Dutch Engstrom:  That ain’t what counts! It’s who you give it *to*!

The Wild Bunch 1969

One last thing about the Shutdown fight.

I posted this Morning in my “Why we fight” piece about Mitch McConnell’s Kentucky reward for his part in securing a victory for the White House and Democrats.

What I didn’t talk about was the left’s reaction to it.

On Morning Joe today in the 2nd segment politico brought up the deal and the kickback for his state, Joe Scarborough snickered at the idea noting the political crassness of it.

One would think that a critique of the GOP leader would be happily joined by the leftists at the table but they were having none of it.

One INSISTED McConnell had not asked for or had anything to do with the change, a second said it was a small price to pay for re-opening the government and the venerable Cokie Roberts defended it as a program that had been in the works for years that benefited people in his state.

It was simply amazing, here was the Republican Leader in the Senate taking the time to get something for himself that might help him perhaps in an election year using taxpayer funds, funds which he couldn’t secure using the normal procedures and what is the left’s reaction?

They defended him to the hilt.

How can this be, well it’s pretty easy.

First of all these people all want massive spending to return, this is exactly the type of stuff they want for their own, so naturally they cheer at any chance of it taking place.

But more importantly, McConnell brought Obama and the left victory over the tea party and any action that aids an Obama victory is laudatory, from gypping taxpayers, to using the IRS as a weapon, to letting seal die and blaming filmmakers in inherently righteous if it either serves TheOne™ or confounds his enemies.

Those ends justify all means.