Tonight there will be a debate between the two candidates for the GOP nomination for the 3rd Massachusetts District at Fitchburg State University.

Jon Golnik and Tom Weaver will face off for 90 minutes discussing and debating the issues for the right to take on Nikki Tsongas in the fall.

While GOP nominations in congress usually draw a yawn from the media this particular race has the potential for a lot of trouble for the Democrats. Representative Tsongas is running in a re-drawn district in a year when Obamacare is an issue Congress will be voting on next term. She has, to her credit, forthrightly defended her vote

DaTechGuy: The president’s healthcare plan has been upheld as constitutional will you be campaigning on support for that plan?

Congresswoman Tsongas: Absolutely, I’ve been a strong supporter for it from the outset. We need to provide adequate healthcare for the millions of Americans who do not have it and we need to work very hard at bringing down the cost so that we can all afford to buy the insurance we need.

but that vote might prove painful in this new district when you look at Scott Brown’s margin from just two years ago.

in the cities and town that now constitute the Massachusetts 3rd district the margin was more impressive:

Brown 57% 129521
Coakley 42% 95820
Kennedy <1% 2181

That’s a 15 point difference in an election that Brown won by less than 5 points overall.

With those numbers and Scott Brown on the Ballot again, this becomes a race to watch.

The debate is tonight: Tuesday, July 24 at 7:00-8:30 at Fitchburg State University, Kent Recital Hall in the Conlon Building. It is being co-sponsored by the Fitchburg Republican City Committee and Sentinel and Enterprise

I’ll be there, I hope to see you there too.

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The DaTechGuy Fundraiser lumbers on. The primary goal is $3000 with a race that might be closer than people think in Ma-3 it is going to be worth your time and money to kick in to make sure it’s covered. Any help is appreciated. For details click here for the progress check the thermometer to the right and to kick in hit DaTipJar”.





Yesterday I commented on Nikki Tsongas’ support for Obamacare and how it might be a problem in Fitchburg. I’ve been taking a closer look at the figures and frankly this could be a bigger problem than anyone realizes the Congresswoman.

Consider: In January 2010 the special election was in effect a referendum on Obamacare. Scott Brown campaigned against it and vowed to be the 41st vote to block it.

Brown won that race (the first Senate victory for a member of the GOP since the 1972 Nixon Landslide) by five points statewide. The totals were as follows:

Brown 51.8% 1,168,178
Coakley 47.1% 1,060,861
Kennedy 1% 22,388

Ok that’s actually 4.7% unrounded, not much of a margin.

But in the cities and town that now constitute the Massachusetts 3rd district the margin was more impressive:

Brown 57% 129521
Coakley 42% 95820
Kennedy<1% 2181

That’s a 15 point difference in an election that Brown won by less than 5 points overall. And if you look at the top ten cities in the district based on votes cast in 2010 it gets worse for the left…

Brown 58% 76097
Coakley 41% 54018
Kennedy 1% 1284

Larger cities are usually Democrat strongholds. In the state overall Coakley won 9 out of the 10 largest cities. Unfortunately for the left none of those cities are in this district. In this district only Lawrence went against Brown (by a 2-1 margin). Brown won the other 9 largest cities in the district and actually did a point better than the district overall.

In short in an election all about Obamacare Scott Brown dominated the vote in what is now the Massachusetts 3rd District and that same Scott Brown is going to be on the ballot this fall.

But DaTechGuy” you argue, “Nikki Tsongas has won re-election right along without trouble and this time President Obama will be on the ticket too!

I’m glad you brought that up. Let’s consider four important points:

1. Thanks but no Thanks Mr. President:
Let’s remember that President Obama made it a point to campaign with Martha Coakley in Boston just before the election and it didn’t help her win a seat that the Democrats won since 1978. There is a reason why Ohio union leaders kept Obama out of the state during their special election.

2. A Done Deal: In fall 2010 Obamacare was already passed. A vote for Nikki Tsongas would have no bearing on if Obamacare remained the law of the land or no. In 2012 that isn’t going to be the case.

3. The Obama “Recovery”: Let me quote a post you might have read a few days ago.

What the public IS paying attention to every day is their own lives. Unfortunately for Mr. Hope and change and his re-election team, the worst economy since before World War 2 has been the daily reality of those lives since he has been elected.

You can spin this, you can rationalize this, you can give excuses for this, but you can’t pretend this isn’t true.

And remember there is absolutely no daylight between Nikki Tsongas and Barack Obama.

4. My name is Weaver/Golnik & I’m with Scott Brown:

Just as there is no daylight between Nikki Tsongas and Barack Obama there is no daylight between either Jon Golnik or Tom Weaver and Scott Brown on Obamacare. The ads just write themselves. Do you want to be with Scott Brown & Tom Weaver/Jon Golnik or Barack Obama & Nikki Tsongas?

MA-3 may not be on a lot of people’s maps right now, but after looking at these figures, paybe the GOP might decide to pump in even more than the 2.2 mil into TV ads around here.

Be afraid Democrats, be VERY afraid!

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The DaTechGuy Fundraiser lumbers on. The primary goal is $3000 and we haven’t hit the first grand yet, but with a race that might be closer than people think in Ma-3 it is going to be worth your time and money to kick in to make sure it’s covered. Any help is appreciated. For details click here for the progress check the thermometer to the right and to kick in hit DaTipJar”.





Today along with several other bloggers I was on a conference call with three congressional candidates in Massachusetts

Jon Golnik who is running in the 3rd district (my new district) Jeff Semon running in the 5th district (who appeared on my radio show a few weeks ago) and Chris Sheldon running in the 9th district.

They answered questions on Multiple Subjects on Obamacare, on their primary opponents, on Term limits (Interesting contrast there Jeff Semon is for them, Jon Golnik is against not liking to fiddle with the constitution and Chris Sheldon saying he would vote for such a bill but won’t unilaterally term limit himself without a law)

When the time for my question came I mentioned the Aaron Walker Swatting asking if they would sign onto senator Chambliss’ letter if elected and would support a new such letter assuming a president Romney won. Their answers were notable in several ways.

Firstly they all knew about the issue. That might not seem odd but in the last 48 hours I’ve talked to more than a dozen offices of house and senate members for comment and the majority of the offices I spoke to had no idea what SWATTING was, yet all three of these potential congressmen knew about the issue and spoke forcibly on the subject

Mr Semon not only said he would sign but declared it “sad” that it would be necessary to press the Attorney General to investigate such lawbreaking. Mr. Sheldon agreed saying ” the question but strongly objected Mr. Golnik saying he would sign, Mr. Sheldon called the SWATTINGS “outrageous” objecting to any attempt to intimidate members of the press including bloggers. Mr. Golnik agreed with both of his compatriots.

How is it that these three men knew about this issue without prompting when in office after office senator’s staff’s needed the situation explained?

Perhaps that’s one of the reasons why the GOP is feeling its oats in Massachusetts. The National GOP is putting 2.2 million dollars into ads for house races on Massachusetts TV.

Run that through your head a second in a year when Democrats can’t even pay for their own convention, a year when the president is reduced to begging newly weds for a share of their dowry and birthday money the GOP finds their prospects good enough to put 2.2 mill into the pot in Massachusetts.

As Chris Sheldon put it: “It’s telling, Obama recognizes he is in trouble and they are doubling down” and Jeff Semon noted that this is not their fathers or grandfathers democratic party and Jon Golnik says that with 55% unenrolled in his district it will be jobs jobs jobs.

If this is where we are today then the Democrats have a nasty surprise in store for them.

The DaTechGuy Fundraiser is in progress, our goal is $3000 and any help is appreciated. For details click here for the progress check the thermometer to the right and to kick in hit DaTipJar”.





On Thursday the Fitchburg Republican Committee had its monthly meeting

and in addition to picking a new Chairman:

They entertained the two GOP candidates for congress in Ma-3 Jon Golnik:

and Tom Weaver:

Mr. Golnick spoke first

Followed by Mr. Weaver:

Both answered questions, Mr. Golnik on Hilary Rosen:

Mr. Weaver on Polls

Mr Golnik on the War on Religion:

and Mr. Weaver on the EPA

Both gave time to voters who wanted to ask question and it is by engaging with voters in this way that portends the best chance for either candidate to make the new Massachusetts 3rd district republican.

Stacy McCain’s report from the Bielat HQ includes this gem:

Moe Lane reports that Charlie Cook just upgraded MA-4 from “safe” to “likely Democrat,”

I also noticed that ma-5 (Jon Golnik vs Nikki Tsongas) is also no longer listed as “safe” either.

In three weeks the whole state is going to be upgraded to “Holy S*#@!” People have no clue what is going on here.