I’ve always known how to count

Tip O’Neil

For the last week we have heard the breathless declarations the Donald Trump will not be able to get a judge who opposes Roe v Wade because Lisa Murkowski of Alaska or Susan Collins of Maine will vote against any such nominee.

Millions of pixels have been dedicated to this proposition as the media breathlessly declare that any such judge will have a hard if not impossible path to the Supreme Court.

While I hate to disappoint all of you folks on the left but Doug Matacoins not withstanding  it is Collins and Murkowski who are in the box, not Trump.

Even when the President didn’t have a supreme court nominee coming up or democrats calling for the public harassment of conservatives or Democrat Socialists publicly proclaiming communism, which murdered 100+ million in the 20th century, as a good thing the numbers looked bad for the Democrats in the senate due to the sheer number of Democrats running for re-election, particularly from Red States.

In a bad scenario it was likely the GOP would pick up at only one seat, with a strong economy, low unemployment and success against ISIS and Democrats making fools of themselves a pick up of 3 seats is a real possibility.

The media and twitter may not be talking about this but you had better believe that Collins and Murkowski both know how to count real and understand the moment the GOP has a majority that doesn’t depend on their vote to get a justice confirmed they will have as much say in who Trump nominates as Chuck Schumer, namely none.

So I suspect that they will make loud noises and say all the right things to the media who will be putting immense pressure on them but in the end when the votes are counted Trump will get both his nominee and unless they can manage a Fishbait Miller scenario will likely have their vote as well.

If Trump chooses Judge Amy Coney Barrett, (which is who I think he will) Watch them claim as a driving force for their vote for her the chance to create, for the first time in the court’s history actual parity between the number of men and women on it.

You heard it here first

…at least that’s what David Broder thinks:

Palin has conducted a vendetta against the Murkowski family, and she became governor four years ago by upsetting Lisa’s father, Frank Murkowski, in another low-turnout GOP primary.

I understand the political class feels privileged and entitled but I didn’t realize that running again Frank Murkowski and defeating him constitutes a vendetta. Take it from a Sicilian American Dave, you don’t know from vendetta.

Before he left office, Frank Murkowski appointed Lisa to a vacant Republican Senate seat only to see her lose the nomination this year.

So let me get this straight, Murkowski’s seat was given to her on a silver platter by her father and this is not a problem? Imagiane how different the piece would have been if said appointment had been made by a governor Palin or Bush.

When she lost the primary, that was expected to be the end of her. Miller settled in for an easy race against a little-known Democrat in his Republican-leaning state. But Murkowski, with some notable help from anti-Palin elements and parts of the energy industry, decided to try a long-shot write-in campaig/

Hold on, are you saying that anti-Palin elements drove this campaign, and the energy industry, you mean big oil etc? I thought people like Palin were supposed to be in the pocket of big oil?

The second funniest line of the piece is this one:

The demographics required that Murkowski seek support from Democrats

Let’s see democrats who absolutely loathe Sarah Palin and hope to bring her down have a choice between voting for a democrat who has no prayer or helping to defeat a candidate endorsed by Palin knowing the MSM will jump all over her for it. That must have been a real tough choice for partisan democrats. I’m sure that Broder gives that fact a lot of weight in the results, doesn’t he?

“I think that’s what voters are looking for. I don’t think that most are looking for somebody that is going to follow the litmus test of one party or another, and never deviate from it. I think they want us to think, and I think they want us to work cooperatively together. So, that’s my pledge to all Alaskans, regardless of whether you are the most conservative Republican or the most liberal Democrat, I’m going to try to find a way that we can find common ground to help the state and to help our country.”

Want to know what the election was about? That’s an authoritative answer.

So a three-way election with a turnout about the size of the turnout of MA-4’s congressional race giving where the incumbent had an incredible financial advantage and the backing of both anti-Palin forces and big energy is what the election was all about. Call me a naif but I’d guess those 60+ seats including Ann Marie Buerkle and Renne Ellmers and Allen West and the tea party movement might have a tad more to do with things.

The media is desperate to change the narrative of the last election before the next one, expect a lot more of this for a while.

More to add-on to Saturday’s topics

Apparently the other statement didn’t do much good for her poll numbers:

“I have caucused with the Republicans in the past, I will be caucusing with the Republicans when I go back in January,” said Murkowski in a phone interview, responding to recent news reports speculating whether she’d buck the party, and comments Murkowski made over the weekend saying that if elected, she would represent Alaska before the Republican Party.

Is it going to be enough to make a difference? I wouldn’t bet a whole lot of money on it, but I must confess I like the spelling bee commercial, I think it’s cute and effective.

When Lisa Murkowski lost her primary and decided to go write in the GOP decided to play it with kid gloves, after all they all knew her, it’s not like she was going to go and caucus with democrats…oh wait:

Dana Bash of CNN reports on Twitter that Murkowski said republicans should not count on her to be with them

Bottom line is this. If Murkowski won’t declare she will caucus with republicans we must assume a vote for Murkowski is a vote for Obama. If she is elected she will become the media darling, the “reasonable” republican that will be on every show talking “compromise”, in other words, she will be Dede.

Alaska it’s your state not mine, but this tells you the compromise candidates the GOP establishment backs are not worth a damn. Their only principle is the retention of their own power. If you choose to empower the administration by voting for Murkowski then you deserve all you get from her.

Your vote, your call and as always whatever your call on Tuesday, you will get the government you deserve.

Lisa Murkowski managed to get a favorable court ruling to get the write-in list to the voters.

Dan Riehl noticed that the rules to get on the write-in list were, pretty loose.

so one blog post later and Presto

Michael Ames (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
Daryl D. Anderson (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in – Denied – Received too late
Tigran A. “Tig” Andrew (Republican) – Write-in – Denied – Received too late
Susan J. Apling-Gilman (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
David J. Arduser (Republican) – Write-in – Denied – did not meet age requirement
Kevin Austin (Republican) – Write-in
Lawrence W. “Larry” Austin (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
Carita Backman (Republican) – Write-in
Keith Barkwood (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
Michelle A. Barnes (Republican) – Write-in – Denied – Received too late
Thomas Baxter (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
David E. Beeman (Republican) – Write-in
Vicky L. Beeman (Republican) – Write-in
LaVonne Boyd (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
David Boyle (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
Red K. Bradley (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
Richard O. Braun (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
William P. “Bill” Brownfield (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
Ken Bullard (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
Linda Bullard (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
Richard O. Burns (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
Michael Butler (Republican) – Write-in
Vern Carlson (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
Tim Carter (Non-Affiliated) Nominating Petition Candidate
PO Box 435
Girdwood, AK 99587
Phone: (907) 947-9911
e-mail: tcarter1940@yahoo.com
Candidate’s web site: http://www.carterforsenate.org
Curtis G. Champagne (Republican) – Write-in
Elizabeth A. Cherry (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
John P. Collinge (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
Fred W. “Bill” Colson (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
Gary C.L. Cox (Republican) – Write-in
DaRae K. Crews (Non-Affiliated) – Write-in
Margaret A. “Maggie” Crowell (Republican) – Write-in
Lisa L. Crusberg (Rrepublican) – Write-in – Denied – Received too late
Guy A. Cummins (Democrat) – Write-in

That’s only up to the letter “C” Smitty comments:

Perhaps Lisa, Arlen Specter, and Charlie Crist can come together and found the “It’s Our Party And We’ll Cry If We Want To Party”.

and the MSM got it wrong:

Just hours before the final deadline, more than 100 Alaskans came out Thursday to file as write-in candidates in an effort to thwart Sen. Lisa Murkowski’s bid to retain her Senate seat.

At the urging of a local talk radio host, scores of people signed up to be write-in candidates with the Alaska Division of Elections before registration closed. …

But Dan corrects them

She mentioned the idea to me on a phone call, then I called some friends in Alaska to see if it was feasible. I learned we only had 24 hours, so I called my colleagues from Breitbart Media. Ultimately, that led to this Big Government post on the topic.

I sent it to some blogger friends, Ace is one who picked up on it. A reader of Ace’s placed a link to the Big Government item in comments at Just One Minute – pointing it out to a resident of Alaska.

Then that JOM reader went down and registered, calling the radio station afterward. They recounted the complete story in comments at JOM. See how easy reporting can be, my friend?

Dan you are a genius!

…until it isn’t any more apparently.

Bonnie Jack, who was a Murkowski campaign elections observer for the count of absentee votes, sent out an email this morning. “Join us at the Kick-off of Senator Lisa’s campaign — with a theme of “write in her name in and fill in the oval.”

“Denai’na Convention Center, third floor and hopefully out on the sunny deck, 5 pm. Bring your family including children, friends and business associates. We plan to make history!”

I am dying to see Karl Rove, Charles Krauthammer et/al going after Murkowski in the same way they were so anxious to go after Christine O’Donnell.

One of the things I found last weekend when interviewing Tea Party activists is they DO NOT trust the Republican Party. It is stuff like this that earns their distrust. Stacy McCain says this:

Lisa Murkowski is as consumed with pathological narcissism as her worst enemies said?

Jonah Goldberg gives an excellent analysis and concludes with this Zinger!

How is she anything more than Arlen Specter in a dress?

To Lisa I say this. I know it is hard to lose a race but you’ve got a family and a life. Don’t define yourself by an office. It looks really REALLY bad.

This is the first shot that will cumulative in the nomination of 2012 that will determine if the republican party becomes the majority party or dies. From what I’m seeing of the reaction of the establishment it doesn’t look promising.

Update: Jim Geraghty (who I didn’t get a chance to introduce myself to at the blogcon debate) said this:

the RINO-hunters have a point that the moderates never seem to be willing to compromise or put the party’s interest first.

and from HotAir reports from her announcement:

This is one woman who won’t quit on Alaska

Earth to Lisa, you didn’t quit, you were fired by the voters.

Stacy Has direct updates from Alaska, to wit:

ALASKA SENATE COUNTDOWN TODAY UPDATE: Miller Leads by 1,460 Votes After More Absentee Ballots Counted UPDATE: Miller Campaign Spokesman Expects ‘Good Day at the End of the Day’

Can someone please explain to me why some outfit in the MSM hasn’t snatched this guy up? They can’t all be afraid of Johnson.

memorandum thread here.

following the Joe Miller recount story.

You know the blood pressure of Mrs. Other McCain not withstanding if more reporters did what Stacy does, that is , actually go out and report the media would be held in more respect.

That doesn’t mean that Dan Riehl isn’t doing his best from the lower 48.

Stacy and Michelle have put up excellent posts in support of Christine O’Donnell but rather than try to match their rhetoric lets bottom line it:

A vote for Christine O’Donnell is a vote for Joe Miller

A vote for Mike Castle is a vote for Lisa Murkowski and the NRCC

Any questions?

and I’ve made it clear that I preferred J. D. to John McCain, but isn’t it a contradiction to drop the republican nominee in Arizona for the libertarian, while rightfully screaming bloody murder over Murkowski in Alaska?

I want that senate to be a Republican one. If the people of Arizona were not as wise as the folks in Alaska it doesn’t mean we should take such a risk when we need every possible seat in the senate for a shot at changing the leadership.

The NRCC is being foolish if they are playing games with the results in Alaska and the grass roots are right to withholding funds from such idiots if they are spending their dough to contest a finished primary rather than in places like Ma-03 or ma-03 or Ca-36 where the cash would be a godsend, but that doesn’t mean we should do anything to risk an admittedly imperfect senate seat when we can’t spare a single one.

And do you really want to give the NRCC an excuse to spend more on Arizona when we have races we are in a real position to win that can use the dough?