Well the Massachusetts & New Hampshire Primaries are over and I have thoughts about the results

1. I think Martha Coakley has one advantage over Steve Grossman when it comes to facing Charlie Baker, because she has lost a race to a republican she is unlikely to take him lightly. Granted it’s unlikely the prospect of a national GOP wave will make any difference in Massachusetts, if you are a Democrat the last thing you want to do is let your guard down. Coakley has been burned once I doubt she’ll let herself get burned again.

2. Mark Fisher drew 25% of the vote. One must assume that this is the Tea Party ceiling in the state, 39,545. Charlie Baker didn’t need these votes to win the primary but he is definitely going to need them in November.

3. If you want to get an idea of how uphill a fight Baker has. with 98% of the vote in Baker drew 114,461. Don Berwick The Third place finisher in the Democrat primary who you likely never heard of drew 113,296. Think of it. Baker’s 74% of the GOP vote only outpolled an unknown democrat by 1,165 votes.

4. Let’s put it another way, it’s been suggested that a lot of conservatives took Democrat ballots to vote against Coakley. If every single one of those Grossman votes go to Baker and all of Berwick’s votes go to Coakley Baker loses by over 30,000 votes unless he draws those Fisher votes. This is what you call a rock and a hard place.

5. The most interesting result of the night in the state was Seth Moulton unseating Rep John Tierney in the 6th district drawing over 49% of the vote to Tierney’s 41% (three minor candidates drew a combined 9.7%

6. Tierney’s wife’s conviction for tax evasion should have doomed him in 2010 but he won re-election by 13 points that year and 1 point in 2012. The lesson? Voters in Massachusetts 6th district would rather elect a known Democrat Crook than any republican, conservative or liberal.

7. I’ve not seen a Democrat with a more attractive resume than Seth Mouton, businessman, Marine with 4 tours in Iraq however as I look at his issue page all I see a liberal who supports Obamacare, wants more gun laws and thinks Climate Change is the #1 issue facing the world. On the plus side he loves his country enough to fight for it and isn’t a crook.

I’m old enough to remember when those two sentences would have been almost a given for a democrat, now it’s extraordinary.

8. If Richard Tisei couldn’t beat John Tierney he has absolutely no prayer against Mouton. On social issues there is practically no difference between them (Moe Lane is dead wrong here) so Mouton’s 4 tours as a Marine in Iraq will be the deciding factor but that’s not as fatal as his but , particularly given that Tisei’s boycott of the convention was an embarrassment to both the party & Baker. While it was overshadowed by the party’s foolishness vis a vis Fisher there are people in the establishment with long memories who haven’t forgiven him.

7. With the house safely in GOP hands no matter what happens in Ma-6 the national party which might have kicked in a few bucks vs Tierney isn’t going to waste a penny in the impossible task of defeating Mouton.

8. In New Hampshire I was sad to see Andrew Hemingway lose the GOP primary for governor. He is a dynamic young man who would have been a great candidate.

9. The single most important number in Scott Brown’s victory yesterday is 49%. If NH had a runoff system like Mississippi Brown would have to face Jim Rubens head to head. That would have been an interesting race

10. Brown’s ability to get almost 50% in a contested GOP primary suggests that NH is at the tipping point. Within a generation or two NH will not be an acceptable destination for conservatives wanting out of Massachusetts & it wouldn’t surprise me to see them start fleeing NH for red states.

11. On the plus side for the GOP Brown’s large campaign chest is going to force Democrats to devote millions to keep NH from giving the GOP any bit of wiggle room if they take back the senate. (That alone should be enough of an argument for conservatives to unite behind Brown. Every dollar spent in NH by the left is a dollar they can’t spend to defend in NC LA or anywhere else.

12. The most hopeful result was Marilinda Garcia’s victory in the nh-2 congressional race. I’ve been following Garcia for a while and she is the real deal. I suspect the left will go all out to stop her even beyond Brown.

The McCullen v Coakley case that removed the three-point lines in Massachusetts is the potential to have some interesting effects on both the national level and the local level.

Locally of course Coakley is Martha Coakley the current AG of Massachusetts now running for governor. Earlier this month Steve Grossman managed to get the endorsement of the Democrat party for the nomination while Coakley is still leading in the polls.

Coakley will likely be able to parley her name on that case to gain further sympathy from hard core pro-abortion activists, while Grossman can argue that Coakley team did a poor job arguing for the law before the court, so poor that she lost unanimously.

There is also the possibility that outgoing governor Deval Patrick might try to rush a new law through with his large majorities, as both Coakley & Grossman are in state government it’s unclear who that would help.

On the Republican side the issue is a godsend for Mark Fisher. Fisher has already gotten the endorsement of Mass right to life and can engage the base by his celebration of the result.

Not so Charlie Baker

“Charlie hopes the current law is upheld,” a Baker spokesperson told BostInno. Though vague in nature, the statement could be taken in a manner that Baker is, in fact, pro choice, or that he’s simply a proponent of laws enacted at the state level. Either way, his show of support for the cause, however broad in his choice of words, a positive direction for bipartisan collaboration in customarily blue Massachusetts.

Now Fisher is going to need a lot of breaks to beat Baker and this certainly isn’t enough to make the difference but it’s important to note that last thing Baker needs is a reminder to activists that he is squishy on life, particularly if we end up with a 3rd party candidate that’s pro-life on the ballot.

Any believing catholic wanting to avoid mortal sin (you know the type that sends you to hell) would be duty bound given the choice between pro-abortion candidates & a pro life one can only vote one way. As for myself as a Catholic no election is worth my soul.

While this case is likely to make things a little more interesting in Massachusetts it’s going to make things a LOT more interesting in New Hampshire.

Scott Brown ran as a pro-choice candidate last time around, I still remember the ads, they made me sick but as there was not a pro-life choice it was possible to morally vote for him.

In the GOP primary in NH that’s a different story, Senator Brown already has a guns issue that could cost him the 2nd Amendment voters, this case can’t help but highlight that he is a pro-abortion republican which will certainly energize pro-life republicans to turn out in a primary against him.

Nationally the ruling might be a wash simply because the case was 9-0 (take a look at the twitter to see leftist heads explode over the unanimous decision, but Ed Morrissey when reading the decision proper noticed what I did:

There was a considerable amount of disagreement on the idea that the law was content-neutral, and this is the crux of the problem for free-speech advocates. Justice Antonin Scalia issued a scalding concurrence in part, with Justices Anthony Kennedy and Clarence Thomas joining, warning that this decision makes proving a violation of content neutrality in speech restrictions all but impossible:

The four conservatives justices sans the chief wrote concurrent opinions bluntly saying this was unconstitutional on its face while the actual decision practically listed the ways Massachusetts could pass a law that the court could support.

That suggests that the decision was written the way it was in order to get the 9-0 result rather than the 5-4 at best result that would have given conservatives the whole 10 yards. It’s not unusual for a Chief to try to get a unanimous court but those who pay attention might read the tea leaves and decide that it’s more important to get the majority in the Senate to keep the president from replacing any of those 4 liberal votes that was against him today.

Either way November certainly won’t be boring.

In my earlier post I touched on Chris Christie’s motivations for his moves on Hurricane Sandy a few weeks ago but I didn’t touch on the argument made in Christopher Bedford’s  piece that Chris Christie is going nowhere in 2016.

I think he’s right.

Let’s note two examples from the recent past.

1. December 21st 2009 Martha Martha Martha

Martha Coakley has just won a 4 way Democrat Primary after pledging to not allow any abortion restriction in the Obamacare almost immediately has an epiphany

In a statement to the Globe yesterday, Coakley said that although she was disappointed that the Senate bill “gives states additional options regarding the funding mechanisms for women’s reproductive health services,’’ she would reluctantly support it because it would provide coverage for millions of uninsured people and reduce costs.

As Newsbusters reported at the time even the Globe called them on it

Coakley is such a self-serving hypocritical flip-flopper than not even the Boston Globe could spin this story to make her look good. In almost any other state, Coakley would have very little chance in the general election but, hey, this is Massachusetts we are talking about here. Democrat candidates for senator aren’t so much elected as automatically coronated.

Well a lot of Dem activists remember this and having little fear of the GOP decided not to get to work, but the perfect storm of Obama care and the appeal of Scott Brown turned the coronation into the first shot of the tea party revolution that eventually gave the GOP the House that they have retained ever since. But if Coakley hadn’t upset the base with a month to go before the election they might have energized their people to the point

2. May 24th 2011 Remember where you came from

Scott Brown rode the perfect storm to a senate seat in Massachusetts. The most important part of that was the army of volunteers from the tea party that who worked tirelessly to take him across the finish line in an election with no other race on the ballot by five points.

Once the democrats were forced to use the previously passed senate version of Obamacare to get the bill passed in the house. Senator Brown worried about his re-election prospects in a strongly blue state decided to take a different tack forgetting this golden rule:

No matter how many votes you give them, no matter many words you say or do. LIBERAL NGO’S AND THE MSM ARE NOT GOING TO SUPPORT YOU IN 2012.

Once you get this through your head, the rest is easy.

Of these lessons the 3rd is the most important for Senator Brown to learn, will he be wise enough to do so. That is the $64,000 question.

Unfortunately Senator Brown answered the question in spades on the Ryan Budget:

In addition to the first lesson that he hadn’t learned there were two new rules that he missed out on:

1. I don’t know what other people’s expectations but I expect my US Senator’s to use a standard other than “Does Newt Gingrich put his foot in his mouth” on what will be supported or not.

2. If anyone in the GOP thinks that the League of Liberal Women voters or any other liberal group is going to go less all out against Scott Brown they are deluding themselves. Brown could vote a straight Harry Reid line and Massachusetts liberals would spend tens of millions to destroy him.

and that’s the nice way of putting it. Legal Insurrection wasn’t nearly as kind:

I don’t blame you for voting against the Ryan bill; I don’t have litmus tests, and while I think the overall framework is the right direction, I can’t argue with the fact that people may have specific alternatives or amendments.

But you don’t have alternatives. In your op-ed you simply repeat the hackneyed and failed notions of waste, fraud and abuse, with tort reform thrown in. That will not cut it. That is a dodge.

You apparently have no solutions to what you admit to be an unsustainable course, but you took the opportunity to imply that Republicans will abandon seniors. You don’t come right out and say it, but you came pretty close.

A “no” vote wasn’t good enough, you had to do it in a way so as to damage fellow Republicans by playing into the false Democratic narrative. You are a hero for your op-ed, but not to the people who supported you.

Go down the list of those praising your op-ed, and you will see the same people who smeared you as a “birther”, who distributed rape mailers against you, who mocked you as a crazy extremist, who accused you of endorsing sexual violence against your opponent, and who will work to defeat you in 2012.

I can’t speak for all your supporters, and maybe not even for many of them. But I’m done defending you against the people who are cheering your op-ed.

So it’s time to say goodbye and good luck.

I will not work against you, but I also will not work for you. There are many more important battles to fight in 2012.

Just remember Morning Joe praised Scott Brown over and Over again but when the chips were down they were in Warren’s corner. Meanwhile on election day there was nobody to take my mother to vote for Scott Brown except me.

Scott Brown is a nice guy. He made time for voters and he was the spark that lit the republican revolution, but his willingness to toss aside the activists, the same mistake that Martha Coakley is a why a candidate as weak as Elizabeth Warren was able to beat him so convincingly.

And his sudden endorsement of the Assault Weapons Ban isn’t going to get the base dialing the phone for him either.

Part of that storm was the work of hundreds of dedicated conservative activists but without the hard work of tea party activists going all out in a state where they had never had any hope at all, Brown’s election would not have been possible.

And to the amazement of many I’m not even going to touch on Mitt Romney’s problems with conservatives.

No Chris Christie is no Mitt Romney, no Scott Brown and certainly no Martha Coakely. He is a strong, determined and dynamic person who will not make the mistake that Romney did in being shy about attacking so one should never say “never” but you must have the foot soldiers to fight and he can’t win without them.

The real question is this: Is Chris Christie’s Ego so large that he thinks the MSM will still love him when he is the GOP standard-bearer? If he’s foolish enough to buy that he doesn’t have any business running for any higher office

Tuesday at the debate I was talking Big Red Wave with an aide to a republican candidate for statewide office, although he was feeling highly confident on his local race when I said to him that the wave would be even bigger.

I started mentioning the anecdotal evidence I’ve seen in district after district he was unimpressed.

When I brought up Christine O’Donnell and Chris Coon’s sudden Volte Face he immediately dismissed me as ignorant and my opinion unworthy.

Well if all he sees are polls like this that’s one thing, but then there is stuff like this:

Yesterday, a poll went around showing Christine O’Donnell just five points behind Commie Coons in Delaware’s Senate race. This SORT OF explains the weird amount of time the White House has been spending in a slam dunk blue state.

But, Democrats are ferociously attacking CoD as hard as they attacked Scott Brown in Massachusetts. If she is so far behind, what is the point in beating up on this woman?

This is anecdotal, but I think I know why they are doing this…just like with Hottie McAwesome there are internals showing O’Donnell ahead.

Today I talked to a friend from Team Hillary who is a big Dem fundraiser. He told me that for the last week or so the DNC has been at DEFCON 1 leaning HARD on the rainmakers because they are terrified of a CoD win in Delaware.

and this:

We have seen reliable polling that shows O’Donnell is within single digits, and Coons can’t break 50%. What is more, these polls rely on a turn-out model that is relatively conservative and, contrary to what pundits think, a much higher than normal turn-out could mean the polls are off by as much as 5-6 or more points. In the primary, most polls showed O’Donnell down by a few or tied, however she won by 6 points, a figure higher than most of the pre-vote polls and outside of their margin of error.

Why is this happening, and why might the pundits, once again, have egg on their face on election day?

Voters in Delaware are learning from reliable internet sources, despite a near blackout by the elite political press, more and more about Coons and his record.

One is right and one is wrong, but I can’t forget the Globe polls that showed Martha Coakley up 15 points:

Coakley’s lead grows to 17 points – 53 percent to 36 percent – when undecideds leaning toward a candidate are included in the tally. The results indicate that Brown has a steep hill to climb to pull off an upset in the Jan. 19 election. Indeed, the poll indicated that nearly two-thirds of Brown’s supporters believe Coakley will win.

and of course my favorite of all newspaper quotes:

The Mainstream media knows all

Somebody is right here and somebody is wrong here, by this time next week we will find out.

Update: Of course liberals always use these tactics when up 15 pts don’t they?

If I didn’t have to run to the airport right now I’d have a longer comment and post on this but for now all I have to say is BWAHAHAHAHAHAHHHAH

Coakley agreed to accept a campaign spending cap in return for a maximum of $75,000 in public campaign funds. She can spend no more than $625,000.

That might have been fine if her assumption about ballot opposition had been correct. It wasn’t. Two Republicans ran write-in campaigns for their party’s nomination for attorney general. The primary election winner was James McKenna, a former prosecutor now in private practice. Because McKenna got more than 10,000 votes, his name will be on the ballot for the general election, right there with Coakley’s. Not only will McKenna be on equal footing with Coakley, he won’t be subject to the campaign spending limit.

Jim got 27k plus votes, if you want to support him his site is here. My latest interview with him is here.

who were so dying to get rid of Martha Coakley that they wrote in either GUY A. CARBONE ( * ) 9,505 or JAMES P. MCKENNA ( * ) 27,711.

This race reminded me of the Auditor race in that I liked both candidates very much and it’s a shame one had to lose, I would love to see Carbone and Jain both involved in government or as candidates in the future.

This afternoon I interviewed Jim McKenna (R) who ran an successful write-in/sticker campaign to get on the ballot to face Martha Coakley in the fall elections:

DTG: A write in campaign is tough, in a primary doubly so and would be considered impossible for a Massachusetts republican before this year. What happened?

JM: Experienced political people told us we couldn’t do it but the people got involved, there seemed to be more homemade signs and individuals pushing the candidacy than we ever expected. Between myself and Guy Carbone another fine write-in candidate we know at least 20k went to the polls motivated for this race. I’ve never seen people so involved.

I think this is the most significant event from election day INCLUDING the O’Donnell victory in Delaware.

I’ll explain in some detail later today on WCRN 830 AM between 4-6 p.m.

My latest examiner piece talks about the most significant race of yesterday, it was NOT in Delaware:

Even so the state Republican party didn’t manage to run a candidate to oppose Martha Coakley for Attorney General this year, but a man named James McKenna decided to get involved, he visited tea party after tea party all over the state and launched a sticker campaign to get on the ballot for November.

Sticker campaigns are notoriously tough, A republican campaign in Massachusetts even doubly so.

Today less than an hour ago I was awakened by an excited call from a friend involved in the tea party. The first words out of the phone:

“Guess who is going to be on the ballot against Martha Coakley in November?”

Christine O’Donnell’s win is big, don’t get me wrong, but it was a symptom of the type of thing that put Jim McKenna on the November ballot in Massachusetts. Tea Party activists in small groups in city after city working hard to make a difference. Multiply this by the cities and towns throughout the state and country and you have what is coming down the pike.

This is the story that the media refuses to believe. They will believe it Nov 3rd.

Update: C’Mon Smitty you tweeted the AP story on it and not mine? Mea culpa on that, it was a different retweet, I take it back.

The actual sticker
…it is that a Write-in / Sticker campaign for Jim McKenna to get on the ballot so Martha Coakley would not be unopposed succeeded and he will be on the ballot this fall.

The state republican party did not run a candidate to oppose her, in a year like this it is in excusable.

James did this through tea party after tea party and managed to win the day.

Run this though your head. Sticker campaigns are notoriously difficult, a Republican one even doubly so.

Yet the headline on James campaign site is WE DID IT!

Those on the left and in the media who are trying to convince themselves that last night was a good sign for them in November…

..be afraid, be VERY afraid!

He was a last minute addition because we had extra time, it’s a good thing too because he had a lot to say

He is one of two Sticker candidates for AG on the republican side

He took questions from the crowd.

And seems to be a best defense is a good offense type of guy.

You don’t get much more Italian than this man, he could be a fellow in my parish.

One of the great embarrassments of this year on the Republican side was the fact that after her humiliating defeat by Scott Brown in January no republican got on the ballot to oppose her in the fall.

Jim McKenna however is trying to reverse this mistake, he is launching a sticker campaign for the Republican primaries. If he can get 10,000 sticker votes during the primary he will be on the November ballot and we will have the chance to retire Martha Coakley permanently.

I talked to Mr. McKenna last week concerning his campaign:

He also made a presentation at the Twin City Tea Party last week. Here is his presentation in three parts:

Part 2

Part 3

Not getting on the ballot initially was a mistake but there is no reason why we can’t make up for that mistake on primary day.

Red Mass Group has more here.

Update: Looks like he would be a square peg in the statehouse. from his BIO:

Jim has taught courses on law and ethics as an Adjunct Assistant Professor in the part-time MBA program at Worcester Polytechnic Institute’s Department of Management.

Ethics in Massachusetts? Boy talk about not fitting in.

I was at a restaurant after the men’s conference and was telling the owner about my adventures during the Scott Brown campaign and CPAC when he introduced me to a reporter/democratic operative who had come to eat with his wife. It was a very interesting experience.

When I was asked to explain the reasons why I thought Martha Coakley lost I started out by reminding him of her abortion flip flop concerning the healthcare bill. The moment I brought that up the gentleman started filibustering saying I had no business voting for Scott Brown since he had flipped on abortion. He would not let me finish my point when he started making “tea bagger” references. I reminded him that this was a vulgar sexual reference, quite inappropriate as he was sitting with his wife in a public restaurant, but he continued to use the reference and then maintained that the Obama joker posters were beyond the pale and other than the odd union sign democrats never acted this way.

As I was in fact born after the invention of the internet and did live through the eight years of the Bush administration I wouldn’t let him get away with that either, saying he could tell that to the marines but not to me. (Even Charles Johnson wouldn’t fall for that). It was astounding, it was the same tone deafness that the Coakley campaign had combined with a touch of the bigotry of the Boston Berkshires and ‘Bama lady.

When the gentleman started to suggest that my mother who left the democratic party this year was “confused” it was definitely time to excuse myself. I game my respects to his embarrassed wife (I felt bad for her, she seemed a nice lady and her reaction to my respects suggested that she had to deal with her husband in this capacity before) and left them to their dinner.

His inability to listen, suggestions that I was not capable of learning or understanding, lack of basic decorum; particularly in front of lady were troubling. Combine this with his attempts to make assertions that were false on their face and frustration when I would not accept them leads me to believe that Coakley’s weaknesses are not unique among democratic circles. If that is the case then the Democratic party in Massachusetts may be in much worse trouble than they know or will acknowledge.

…has been sworn in.

Just got back from the Alamo restaurant where I met a friend and mentor from my first computer job for lunch.

The food is good, not as spicy as I’m used to, but the portions were generous and the people pleasant and the ambiance enjoyable particular for a history buff. The tacos were less spicy but had a generous portion of meat and the Fajita was very tasty. I still prefer the Boarder Grille and Bar but I’d eat there again without hesitation.

During that very late lunch I told my friend the entire story of Stacy’s week here in Fitchburg. He was totally fascinated by it.

And then he told me about his Polling place in Sharon Mass. He is a very liberal man in a very liberal town that ended up going for Coakley. He and his wife shake their head when they know I watch Fox and listen to Rush:

When he went to the polling place there were a bunch of Brown supporters in the cold holding signs for their candidate.

There were a pile of Coakley signs leaning against the building facing down.

He was VERY surprised at the Brown win he couldn’t believe that he could pull it off. When I asked him if that’s because he thought democrats would turn out or because he thought it would be stolen if it was close, he demurred saying he thought national democrats wouldn’t allow it. Make of that what you will.

Because of the long story and a train cutting across Rte 117 on the way home I didn’t get to see the Brown swearing in on TV.

But now comes the time to govern. If he does so honestly and above board and makes sure people understand why he takes the positions he does, he will do fine.

Update: Oh and Robert Stacy is on the road again.

Yes, that’s right, folks. Despite the law-enforcement dragnet across Virginia and Tennessee — “Be on the lookout for a black 2004 KIA Optima . . .” – I have arrived at an undisclosed location in Birmingham. Political intrigue and shenanigans are afoot down here in God’s country, and I’ll be updating regularly.

While en route — 785 miles in 15 hours, including a two-hour nap in the car this morning at a rest area near Bristol, Tenn. – I had several phone conversations with Alabama political activists. I’m learning more about the scandals swirling around state attorney general Troy King. A parade of King’s aides have been called before a federal grand jury, and the “Truth On Troy” blog has more.

Down in the Wiregrass Country (2nd Congressional District), Tea Party candidate and Marine Corp veteran Rick Barber slammed the Obama administration’s proposal to repeal “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell.”

I met Rick Barber during the Brown campaign, he was up north volunteering to help out. He seems a decent enough fellow. I’d have no problem voting for him. I’m not familar with his opponents in the primary to make a judgement on them.

Although everyone in the house found the Scott Brown SNL sketch funny the most amazing thing about it is Brown’s reaction.

Brown smiled as he watched it. “Thank goodness I like a good laugh,” he tells National Review Online. “That was pretty funny. I wish I could host SNL some day. I’ve been watching it since I was young. Jon Hamm is great.” But what about Hamm’s Boston accent? “He did a great job,” says Brown. “He doesn’t really sound like me, but it was very funny.”

Contrast his laughing at a portrayal of him as the sex object of Barney Frank’s dreams to just three months ago when CNN was so shocked at a SNL tweaking pres Obama’s “accomplishments” that they felt the need to fact check it.

No word on how Martha Coakley reacted to the opening sketch.

One thing that people may not realize, it’s not enough just to play the “regular guy”. You have to actually respect he opinions of the voters you represent. Adam Andrzejewski seems to understand this. As long as GOP candidates keep that in mind running and governing accordingly. As Senator Elect Brown said only this week. “People aren’t stupid“.

…in the Sherlock Holmes story Silverblaze The Left bank of the Charles notes the something missing in an old e-mail that he received before the election.

Might I suggest to the person he is referring to that she read about Tip O’Neill specifically page 65 of Tip O’Neill and the Democratic Century (my Amazon review from 2001 here)

“The soldiers like the thin mints.” said the girl scout when asked and the rest nodded. The thin mints joined the box on the side of the table where people buying cookies for the troops put them. As the girls took the money the two scout mothers, cold but uncomplaining, watched with approval as their troop plied their trade outside of the church.

“I was very surprised when he won.” said the taller of the pair and her fellow nodded in agreement. A native of the midwest who settled in Massachusetts after marriage, she was surprised at how democratic and liberal her new home was. Usually on election days her husband and herself voted the same side. This time however her spouse supported Republican Scott Brown.

Once the name was spoken the young scouts started talking about how cool they thought he was. This was in diametric opposition to the two leaders both of whom cast votes for Martha Coakley on the 19th.

The kids interest was not unique, at the school where she works the students reaction pleasantly surprised her. “The 8th grade students were really excited by the election.” she noted, “I had never seen them interested in any election in the past.” Like her own household the support was divided by gender. The Boys liked Brown and the girls were for Coakley, but it was their attention to the race that pleased her most.

Other Coakley supporters also expressed surprise: “I can’t see how he can credibly support the Massachusetts Healthcare plan and oppose the national one when they are basically the same thing.” said a 40 something system tech preparing for a night of Dungeons & Dragons. Another man who voted Coakley at the same game thought it odd that democrats would vote against their party “…because someone doesn’t play nice?”

Yet that was the very sentiment of a 30 something mother at the butcher shop who changed her mind on election day. It was the non stop negative ads that finally turned her away from the Candidate that only 4 days before she had supported happily to my face.

The Coakley voters surprise existed among Brown supporters as well, unable to convince themselves that their candidate would overcome the power of the Massachusetts Democratic Machine. When asked what they thought made the difference in the end, there was one constant answer. “I don’t think the heath care plan is a good idea”, expressed a Brown supporting woman at the local bakery. That sentiment was repeated over and over by voters on both sides. Martha Coakley’s unwavering support for its passage was costly and the President’s appearance only emphasized that fatal support.

Yet consider: Against an unexciting candidate supporting the most unpopular position of an administration declining in popularity, a strong dynamic candidate with a solid background, a personable touch to delivering a positive appealing message only managed 52% of the vote. Photoshops and victory parties not withstanding he needs to take that number to heart.

With only 2 years till he is up for election the question becomes: With healthcase resolved by then, how can Scott Brown win that majority when he faces a more prepared candidate running a better campaign? What will he have to do to persuade voters who voted for him once (and those he who didn’t) to pull the lever for him a 2nd time?

Among the gamers they accepted that he wouldn’t be supporting the healthcare bill that he so vigorously opposed but their issue was the Republican Caucus. “If he is just going to vote in lockstep with the Republicans to block everything he can’t get my vote.” (they might take heart from this story from the Herald today).

For most, both Brown and Coakley people the answer was the same. “If he can fulfill his promises he can win my vote” said the shorter of our Girl Scout Leaders. The mother of 4 thought he deserved a chance to see what he can do, expressing hope that the election would persuade democrats statewide to be more attentive to the people and less in lockstep with the Boston Machine. Her fellow agreed on both counts as did the woman in the Bakery and her husband. “He has to follow through.” she declared saying it’s one thing to promise changes, it’s another to actually make them happen.

The question really becomes a matter of voter perception. Will they see him for what he is: a junior senator of the minority party with one vote among 100, or will they imbue upon him all the hopes and dreams for a different direction in Washington? If they see the former then he is likely to succeed, if the latter then they likely will be disappointed.

However I suspect one person at least will not be. When asked what she will need from Scott Brown to earn her vote a second time our last minute decider answered with a single word: Integrity!

Needham Ma 7:58 a.m.

Exactly one week before the lot was overflowing. It was necessary to find a parking place far from the door resulting in a run back to the car when we saw then candidate Scott Brown leave for a press conference.

It was here at the phone banks where we saw what seemed a continuous stream of volunteers from all over the state and some from beyond anxious to help. On that first day we ran into a group from Michigan ready to get to work for the candidate they supported, but there just wasn’t room for them to even enter the office.

Today the parking lot had plenty of spaces and the regular tenants didn’t have to compete to get a close one. The frenzy of activity and the crowds were gone but there was still a gentleman at the desk politely but firmly protecting the office and providing the same security that he did during the campaign in other locations.

As I sat with him a man who worked for the building owners came in. I asked him about the difference a week made, he contrasted the relative quiet today with the energy of the place when this office and another one upstairs were rented by the Scott Brown campaign. The tenants had seen the people and the candidate and liked what they had saw. “It was very exciting time.” he said, “They all felt like they were part of it.” The office smoker had the best view. Most of the year he would find himself alone outside satisfying his nicotine fix. Over the last week his trips outside meant that he had plenty of company for a change.

That feeling of being part of it was shared at Mighty Subs a few blocks down the street. All during yesterday customers came in talking about the election, how they voted and how happy the result had made them (with very few exceptions). Arthur (the owner) commented how he had gotten an e-mail at the web site from some person from Free Republic thanking them for supporting Scott Brown.

At this moment his wife Karen came to the front to say hello. She was excited and happy about the Brown victory but was curious about that e-mail. I explained that the e-mail came from Stacy’s McCain’s stories featuring her. When she learned her photo was on the net her priceless reaction brought a smile to my face.

It was Karen who told us how personable he was as a customer long before he decided to run, and it was that sense of personal retail politics in the tradition of Tip O’Neill that made a difference.

Back at the headquarters there was contractor spreading ice melt in front of the entrance way just as I was preparing to leave. When asked about the election he was pleased with the results. The Senator represented his district before in the State Senate and had dealt with him on some local matters. He expounded on what a good guy he was and how he always gave him his ear. His previous votes as a democrat had been for Ted Kennedy but now Scott Brown was his senator and he was very happy about it. When asked if another candidate with similar views would have gotten his vote, he thought about it for a moment before saying “Probably not, knowing him made all the difference”

His reaction reminded me of three twenty something Coakley supporters that I talked to on the Red Line as we left the Obama rally on Sunday. They had come from Kansas and Oklahoma as AmeriCorps volunteers and had found themselves in Massachusetts, a state that matched their liberalism. As liberals they decided to help support their candidate with their signs since they could not with their votes.

In the Red states where they lived Massachusetts had a very particular image. They heard people weren’t friendly and their opinions were painted with a broad liberal brush. They found that people were very friendly and willing to talk just about anything. The more they got to know people the more they got to like both the people and the place where their work had taken them erasing the painted image with personal experience.

It was that same type of personal touch that Scott Brown brought to his candidacy taking away characture the left leaning media had tried to paint him with, allowing him to turn a 30 point deficit into a 5 point victory. The people of Massachusetts got to know him and that made all the difference.

Update: The Lonely Conservative links and directly says what this post hints at:

There are quite a few days between now and the election in November. GOP candidates – it’s time to hit the road.

The better you know the people you want to represent the better you will represent them.

Update: Camp of the Saints links to me and several other good posts on the aftermath of the election. Worth a read.

Will this be Hungary in 1958 or Berlin in 1991 for Massachusetts?

Will the GOP recruit candidates to exploit the victory within the state? Will the National GOP recognize the opportunity that they have been given and exploit the success with cash?

Will the Democrats actually learn from this or will it be a river in Egypt? (partial answer provided)

How much slack will democrats who crossed over give Brown to vote with his caucus?

Can Martha Coakley get up after taking a political knockdown?

Will the state democrats who were planning to move up when she was elected decide to challenge her for AG?

Will Scott Brown let this “Presidential NONSENSE” (yes I said nonsense) go to his head?

Will the democratic congress do the one smart political thing they could do to salvage the Health Care Bill crisis? (No I’m not telling what it is but I discussed it with Smitty and he agrees with me.)

Will Mitt Romney use this as a template to build up debts that the base will recognize?

Will the fundraiser windfall that comes with this victory be used wisely?

Will president Obama moderate his positions or double down?

Will the MSM and the rino media recant the “Republicans can’t win unless they drop conservatism stuff” rhetoric? Who will be the first online journalist (cough David Frum cough) to admit he was wrong?

It will be fun for us to find out together.

…but Dan’s system is snarfing something that my system can’t so I’ll type in my updates that I missed.

9:11 p.m Net is down again this is becoming a pain in the neck

9:13 p.m. Stacy is not a happy man right now

9:18 p.m. Talking to network lady working on it.

9:20 p.m. I’ve just been told that Coakley has conceded

9:22 p.m. The room just went up in a roar, they have found out and the crowd has gone wild….

9:29 p.m. Very jealous of Ace’s air card right now

9:40 p.m. Went through the crowd and talked to Joe Malone. He believes there will be no problem getting national GOP money to support local candidates for statewide office. He didn’t pad the answer.

9:50 p.m. Crowd chanting yankees suck when they show the Coakley stuff on the screen

9:52 p.m. Ace is blogging up a storm, since I can’t get on I’m searching out people to talk to for news.

10:01 p.m. The Loudest boo came when she thanked President Obama.

10:04 p.m. I’m still shocked it was only 5 pts.

10:05 p.m. For Martha Coakley the big question is: Can she get up off the mat and learn from this defeat enough to defend her job?

10:25 p.m. The warm up speakers are up, the crowd is VERY happy, I’m surprised how subdued I am.

10:28 p.m. Romney says the country has reason to thank us, he’s damn right.

10:31 p.m. Chant of “Gas up the truck”

10:32 p.m. Chant of “41!” followed by “People’s seat.”, now chant of “seat him now”

10:37 p.m. “It was all of us against the machine.” Boy I wish I could see Olberman’s face

10:38 p.m. Gail Huff is on the stage, I’m glad she can finally enjoy this.

10:39 p.m. He just said his daughters are both available, a bunch of heads at NOW just blew up.

10:43 p.m. Thanked John McCain (also was gracious to Kerry, and the President) should thank the Other McCain too

10:46 p.m. “When they’re in trouble in Massachusetts, they’re in trouble everywhere.” Democrats should be afraid very afraid.

10:48 p.m. Hits the heathcare bill, more than anything else that caused democrats to cross over.

10:50 p.m. USA chant

10:51 p.m. I really owe Dan Collins a big one for this.

10:57 p.m. “I’m nobody’s senator but yours” Down come the balloons.

11:00 p.m. I’m still pretty surprised at the smallness of the win. Expected much more, I will be very interested in the breakdown of the Democratic absentee vote,

Brockton: Talked to a voter: Very long lines at the polls, an even split between Brown and Coakley signs and people holding them.

Revere: My contact tells me that Brown is the subject on everyone lips. Martha is not. He informs me that for a Republican candidate to generate this much buzz in the city is unknown.

Jamaica Plain: Looking solidly for Martha.

Talked to a gentleman from Boston who voted for Brown, he has known the family for years and is delighted with the candidate, I asked if he would have considered voting republican if another candidate with Brown’s positions had been running. He was not sure, but he expressed no excitement for Coakley.

Update: 2nd report from Leominister from a different polling location. Long lines of voters no Coakley signs, several people holding signs for Brown.

Grafton: Strong Republican town and tonight will be no different, voters excited that they will be making a difference.

Randolph: Normally strong democratic, trending Brown, “she is not personable”

WBUR and the Globe report that the Coakley campaign is alleging fraud. I’m so glad I wasn’t drinking when I heard about that.

Talking to Carl Cameron from Fox now about what we have both seen. Barney Frank loudly proclaimed Ms. Coakley’s faults across the room with no attempt to keep anyone from hearing. This doesn’t happen when you have a chance to win.

Leominster again: Two different precincts. For the first time I have reports of Coakley people holding signs, at City hall it is dead even, at ward 4 one more Coakley person that for Brown. And a heads up to the Right Wing Gammer these are reports from guys you know.

South Boston: Not a sign in the window for either candidate, told that if this was a Kennedy Election there would be no question what would be happening. Southie being Southie people are not saying it aloud when I asked a man in a bar this morning (1:20 a.m.) who he supported, another fellow next to him told me it was none of my business although he used more “colorful” language however the people who have talked to me suggest it will be going Brown.

7:59 p.m. The crowd is just dying for 8 p.m. I’m wondering how fast the media will call it.

8:01 p.m. I think the lack of sleep is finally starting to hit me, I think I’ve had less than 14 hours sleep since Friday.

The main web guy is talking in front of me all about what they did right on the web.

8:12 p.m. I hate to disappoint my pal in Leominster who insisted that the “Brown Vote Fraud” nonsense was real but this report puts the kibosh on what I already laughed about. Wishful thinking on the media’s part doesn’t make it so.

8:15 p.m. The food was pretty good and the band is very loud, these people are having a lot of fun.

8:21 p.m. How loud is the band? I have ear candy in my ears, Dr Who the Mutant Phase playing and I can’t hear it over the band, on the plus side the Band is pretty good.

8:25 p.m. BTW did I forget to mention that I was introduced to Pam Geller a couple of hours ago (charming lady) and that Ace of Spades grabbed a spot between me and Dan.?

8:38 p.m. Net went down snarfing a nearby one. I normally wouldn’t do that, but I just interviewed Scott Brown’s brother Bruce and I want to get it it up.

8:57 p.m. Net is back up but believe it or not it was down while I questioned Scott’s brother Bruce and then Mitt Romney.

8:58 p.m. The crowd is cheering for a 5 point lead so far, I can’t get excited for something that I’ve already decided has happened.

8:59 p.m. I asked Gov Romney if the republicans can exploit the victory tonight, he didn’t like the word exploit but said that republicans can win if they support lower taxes, less government blah blah blah… Reasked the question saying how do we make this Berlin 1991 instead of Hungary 1958, same generic answer, before I could press on how to recruit candidates etc the national media started to swarm.

9:02 p.m. I asked about the dangers of the exceptions game due to the victory (that I’ve already claimed has happened we just don’t “know” it yet) he maintains that Scott is down to earth enough to not over promise and has the willingness to work very hard to achieve the goals he has set.

with Stacy and Dan Collins to take our promised seats on blog row.

Late report from the RightWingGammer, in Newburyport, normally he would expect D+15; today it’s too close to call.

He also has some good advice:

DO NOT, I repeat, DO NOT think this is in the bag! Go, vote, then celebrate, but no earlier than 7:00PM please. Make the liberals there think differently. Catch them by surprise.

Update finally tally from Newburyport: Coakley by 1

In normal times candidates are looking for a strong person on the top of the ballot to increase turnout for people below it who do not have name recognition but share the party of that top name.

As we’ve reported here before, the one constant in this race has been that people do NOT like Martha Coakley (not even her supporters, I’ve run into only 3 who actually like her). Even with the superstars of the Democratic Party around her, she can not draw crowds comparable to Brown.

When you have an unpopular person at the top of the ticket, the dynamic reverses you need races on a local level that people care about to get your core voters to turn out.

But there is no other race, she is alone, she is trailing in the polls and it is cold and snowy. As of 1:44 p.m. there is STILL no person holding a sign for Coakley at ward 6.

The local democratic pols have absolutely no skin in this race and they see the probability of their regular voters ready to vote republican. They are not going to spend their political capital on a race that appears to be lost for no political reward.

There is nothing local at stake

Update: It’s one thing for the local pols to sit back and do nothing, this is quite another:

He is the president of an American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) local in Worcester and says that he is one of three officials of the local who is supporting Republican Scott Brown.

There is top-down pressure from AFSCME pressuring locals to support Democrat Martha Coakley, but the president of this local (there are multiple AFSCME locals in Worcester) says he tosses those directives “straight in the garbage.”

Make sure you read the last line in that story.

Turnout is steady at the polling station at the Senior center, more signs for the local Sheriff candidate and one sign holder for Brown. He’s getting a lot of positive feedback from the passers by. When asked if anyone showed up for Coakley they said one person stayed 30 seconds and left leaving three Martha Coakley signs turned face down against the building.

He Believes this is going to be the start of something big in the state for republicans.

Update: Stacy’s site is down again.

Update 2: Ran into the Mayor Lisa Wong as she prepared to go to vote, she was enthusiastic in her support for Martha Coakley who she has known personally since she was a young girl.

She thought the turnout might be lighter not just because of the weather but due to “election fatigue” due to so many special elections in so short a time.

When asked to predict the results she did not hesitate to proclaim that Martha Coakley would win the day. She lamented that the race seemed to be turning on national issues rather than local ones but praised contested elections “Contested elections keep us honest”.

Scott Brown certainly seems to providing a contested election.

Update 3: She might be more hesitant if she saw Stacy’s interview with Annie DiMartino. Annie is an old school Tip O’Neill pol. She would NEVER suggest on camera that Brown had the edge if there was the slightest chance for Coakley today.

Oh and one other thing: Annie is a saint and a friend. She never opened her diner on Saturdays because she used it as a base to organize supplies to food banks and directly to the poor and hungry. Anybody who says a bad word about Annie in my presence will have to deal with me.

Update 4: Would you believe I just got a call about a computer job. Absolutely no time to answer the questionnaire right now but I was able to discover that the person calling was a Massachusetts resident and will likely be voting for Scott Brown later in the day.

Update 5: Moran Square Dinner: The feeling there is the same as Mike Barnicle, Coakley ran a horrible Campaign. Among the customers who pass through she runs THIRD behind Brown and Kennedy.

…from people I know:

Leominster: Staunch Democrats wicked scared at what they are seeing.

Worcester: Democratic foot soldiers on the ground worried and discouraged.

Update: Got a call from a friend looking for tech support, no time to debug her system but asked her about the election, she dislikes both candidates but will vote Coakley as the lesser of two evils. That is the the race in a nutshell.

Ok the time for dithering and for hesitating is over, it is now election day and it’s time for me to directly say what I think the result will be rather than hinting.

I am called DaTechGuy, I do tech support, that is all about looking at a system and deciding what is going on based upon the data that we see.

I have been to events on both sides: Scott Brown’s people are excited, the Coakley people are going through the motions.

The Scott Brown people can’t WAIT to vote, the Martha Coakley people (and by some reports the candidate herself) are discouraged and dispirited.

The Brown people draw huge crowd wherever they go. Coakley rallies I’ve attended were at colleges where many of the students who attended them were not voters. At the Brown rallies a one or two Coakley supports would attend. At the Worcester event with Bill Clinton more registered voters were outside holding Brown signs than inside to see the president. In Boston proper, the city of Tip O’Neill the Brown supporters countering the president’s appearance dwarfed those who were outside for Coakley.

When debugging a system you go where the data takes you. I still have a bit of that pre-2004 Red Sox Fatalism that all Massachusetts residents born before 1985 have, it drove my early skepticism, but the data is the data and from what I’ve seen I there can only be one conclusion:

I say Scott Brown is going to win this race and I don’t think it is going to be close.

Update: Via Glenn Reynolds: Zogby is predicting a Coakley win. He is a big time pollster and I’m an overweight Sicilian in a fedora so attention must be paid. I have seen absolutely no evidence of this on the trail unless that small hint at the Coakley rally on Friday means more than it suggested.

Update 2: We use paper ballots in Fitchburg (glenn will be pleased) so if anything funny goes on it won’t be here.

Update 3: If this report by Michelle is indicative of the tactics being used by the Attorney General’s supporters then they are just fools.

There is nothing more likely to guarantee a full scale electoral revolt in this state and an even larger one nationwide than a stolen election here. This is short term political thinking live for the moment thinking.

The line at the polling station started before 7 a.m. and the stream of voters remained steady despite slick roads.

Poll workers said the voters were enthusiastic, they hadn’t seen anything like it before in a state where the results of National elections are a given.

Update: Talked to an elderly couple as they left the polls. There were excited to be voting in a contested race in Massachusetts and Voted for Brown. I asked what they hear from people they work with. That includes a lot of non-profits, and college people; traditional bastions of Democratic strength; they report a 55-45 split in favor Coakley among the ones they know. They expressed a worry concerning machine politics and dirty tricks.

At the roadside entrance to the parking lot where people traditionally hold signs for their candidates a single person holding a Brown sign was present when I came in. On my way out we spoke. He had been there since 7 a.m. and people driving in and driving by were honking and giving thumbs up the entire time.

He was joined by two guards from a local prison holding a sign promoting a local candidate for Sheriff. The guards were solidly for Brown as were the people they worked with.

Update 2: Robert Stacy is awake and blogging

a webcast, a visit to an Irish Pub in Southie at 1:20 A.M. Being locked out in the street in Boston at 2:00 a.m. and an a 3:30 a.m. arrival home; the time has come.

Stacy is very crashed at the moment so I’m off to the polls to vote and see how things look first thing in the morning.

Be back soon.

be the start of another Massachusetts Revolution?

Looking at the old School House Rock Video there are a lot of Parallels.

We have an arrogant elite based in Boston.

We have average people turning out in the countryside.

And we have people coming from thousands of miles away to join the fight.

Let’s hope the national and state GOP has the sense to make use of this for November.

…by her ability to make the worst possible decisions of any candidate ever as Gateway Pundit reports.

I can’t believe the person running her campaign has a job and I don’t.

This is a Nelson moment if I ever saw one.

Of course if certain union guys know something; I don’t she will post this about me in a couple of days.

…go easy on the robocalls. My wife says if she gets any more of them she’s going to filp the other way.

Hey you are looking at a net +3 in the house, lets not change it to a +1.

(Watch the Coakley campaign start looking for my number )

…on this idea that it’s odd that “Catholics” are voting for “Protestant” Brown.

These aren’t the days of No Irish Need Apply anymore. The Catholics who live here aren’t poor and aren’t oppressed by their Protestant overloads and neither were their fathers.

We are much more likely to take note of Nun Need Apply.

He needs to get out of Washington and New York City and get to the 5th Street Diner & Old Time Luncheonette in Fitchburg more often. Or Barnicle can take him to the Moran Square Diner if he prefers.

…that Martha Coakley says her voter turnout effort will win her the day.

Well it’s possible but the snow on the ground is going to hamper digging in graveyards statewide.

I can’t see it happening with stuff like this going on.

Q: If someone asked me two weeks ago what were the chances of:

Scott Brown beating Martha Coakley Jan 19th.

That I’d be doing a blog post while sitting crossed legged on my den floor watching Morning Joe and blogging with the sound down because Robert Stacy McCain is fast asleep on the couch behind me.

What would I answer?

Well the first seems poised to happen and the second is happening as I type this.

If this doesn’t prove the truth of this passage:

for God all things are possible. Matt 19:26b

then nothing does.

“The Brown people are chanting, let’s drown them out” was the cry of the 50 something lady with the rainbow colored scarf that along with me was pressed together in the crowd waiting at the entrance area of the Auditorium at Northeastern University.

Like many in the crowd she had gotten there very early and had been disappointed. When the doors were finally opened to the assembled throng the seats were quickly filled (or not) leaving people waiting outside disappointed, wondering why such a small venue would be selected for an event featuring the sitting President of the United States.

The disappointment only grew as just across the way Hundreds upon hundreds of people gathered bearing signs of their hated opponent Scott Brown.

They lined the street opposite the venue. They lined the center divider where the Green Line passed dividing the two sides of the street. Even more worrisome to the Coakley partisans, their numbers were so great that they were spilling over to their side of the street where they were standing, hoping against hope to enter and see their President come to save Ted Kennedy’s seat for the democratic party.

The discouragement was palpable and only grew when her attempt to get a chant of “Go Martha Go,” elicited little or no response from the waiting crowd.

The arrival of Senator John Kerry brought a few cheers as the crowd parted for him. He acknowledged them, speaking briefly but inaudibly to the crowd before heading into the building.

Later, as a group of Brown partisans bearing signs supporting Brown and the famous Gadsden flag — with it’s Don’t Tread on Me banner and coiled snake — moved through their ranks they attempted new chants with more success: “Down with Brown” and “Flush Brown Down”. Their zeal was a tad excessive as one Coakley fan got into the face of a very disabled Brown supporter in a wheelchair who was part of that procession.

NOT the confederate flag!
“That’s a Confederate Flag” said one African American woman observing the coiled snake on the yellow field. It took the word of several people around her to convince her that the flag was in fact the Gadsden Flag from the American Revolution (an odd thing to miss in Boston).

This was consistent with the current campaign situation where ad after ad had bashed Brown with the zeal and accuracy of a jihadi denouncing the State of Israel. The Coakley supporters were not happy and felt cheated out of their rightful victory.

After all wasn’t it only two months ago where their candidate took more than 50% of the vote in a four way primary and more votes than both republican primary candidates combined?

Hadn’t it been 31 years since republican Edward Brooke held a Senate seat in the state?

Hadn’t they, like most Boston liberals, read just last week in the Boston Phoenix about the anticipated effect of various Democrats preparing to fight for the soon to be vacated Attorney General position?

In less than two weeks, when Massachusetts voters elect Martha Coakley to the US Senate — let’s not pretend that Republican state senator Scott Brown has any chance of pulling off the monumental upset — they will trigger a massive domino effect that has the state’s political class buzzing with anticipation. (emphasis mine)

Yet all of this seemed for naught. Slowly events spun out of control and the tide had turned. Conservatives blogs boasted There’s a lot of enthusiasm in Massachusetts and it seems to be all for Scott Brown. and declared Martha in a death spiral.

Even worse the amount of Brown people started to overwhelm the volume of remaining Coakley supporters, thinned by both people heading into a secondary room to watch the speech on TV and by people leaving. As the Chants of the “Scott Brown, Scott Brown” became louder and louder as the numbers increased, there was no way to counter them.

As I was preparing to leave the event I spotted the woman with the cane and limp I saw earlier who had not been admitted to the hall after first being let through the barrier.

She was a 50 something Coakley volunteer. As I greeted her she sat down in front of Au Bon Pain tired from her exertions and dismayed by the Brown supporters all around where she sat. She had been sent out because of fire regulations, I couldn’t see why she couldn’t be somehow accommodated. I discovered she had come to Massachusetts 15 years ago from her native state of Maryland and cheered the liberal policies that she so believed in that the state seemingly embraced. I asked her finally why she thought a state that had voted 69% for Kennedy and had so convincingly selected Martha Coakley in the primary could change so quickly?

She had her answer.

“The Brown people are a bunch of Redneck Teabaggers.” she proclaimed. “Massachusetts is Boston on one side, the Berkshires on the other with Alabama smack in the middle.” She said this with a bitterness and a contempt that she presumed I had shared since I was standing with the Coakley crowd for nearly my entire time.

At this moment Robert Stacy McCain emerged from Au Bon Pain with the coffee that is the Gasoline of his engine I wished her well and excused myself knowing that my experience of 46 years in that middle of her adopted state would be no match for the comfortably bigoted fiction with which she consoled herself, even if I was inclined to be so un-gallant as to try.

…but there were plenty of people waiting outside to get in to see the President who were not let in. In my opinion this Fox report is misleading.

Cameron was inside and I wasn’t so I don’t doubt that he saw a hall that was not filled, but it wasn’t for lack of supporters as at least 500 people that I presume were Coakley supporters were not let in. I know since I was in the middle of them.

In fact I personally spoke to a woman with a cane and a pronounced limp who had been passed through but was sent back due to fire limitations. (more on her later tonight). Perhaps it was a question of security. There were easily more Scott Brown people outside protesting than Coakley people waiting to come in (more on that later) so maybe they were worried about screening out people who opposed the president and the candidate getting in so the campaign had to keep a tight leash to avoid mass heckling.

Either way the implication that she could not fill the hall is false and should be clarified by Fox.

However Cameron is absolutely correct that there is no comparison in terms of enthusiasm. Perhaps because I am less experienced than Robert Stacy but after what I saw today in BOSTON proper, continuing the Game 7 parallel it is the bottom of the 5th with the Sox up 8-1

Update: I like Gateway pundit a lot but it would be a good idea to correct this post on the subject.

Update 2: Stacy was there with the Brown people and can back me up.

Update 3: Holy Guacamole 2 instalances in one month! (eat your heart out Charles) and for once I’m at my PC when it happens! Welcome Instapundit readers I’ve had Robert Stacy McCain crashing on my couch this week proving that my wife is part of the World’s greatest family. You can read my first hand reports (and low brow humor ) here And you can find Stacy’s coverage on both his site, the American Spectator blog and the green room.

As we say in the North End. “Leave the candidate, bring the cannoli

…in the first paragraph of his diary post:

You may or may not have heard: Massachusetts Democrats are waging a dynamic, all out effort for Martha Coakley in the final days of the campaign.

In the last 72 hours I have been to Brown and Coakley events and will be covering the president today. There are a lot of words that could be used to describe the democratic “effort” in this race. Dynamic would not be one of them.

Common decency prevents me from describing the Democratic effort in the most accurate terms available in the English language.

…then this race would be as over as you can get. There was not a person in sight who had a good thing to say about Martha Coakley. If you so much as say the words “Scott Brown” in the restaurant people want to shake your hand.

When I mentioned to a group of people that Stacy was a reporter covering the race, a woman quietly asked, “is he for Brown?” When I told them yes they insisted on shaking his hand and talking to him.

I really don’t want to get my hopes up but I think we might be in the bottom of the first of Game seven with the Sox up 2-0.

It’s as if every conservative who has held their tongue for decades in this state has finally found their voice and is unafraid to speak it.

Stacy will have a more detailed update soon at the American Spectator Blog.

Update: Former Massachusetts republican Steven Den Beste doesn’t want to get his hopes up either:

Still, I’m trying not to get my hopes up. This is Massachusetts, where the Angel of Death could run for office as a Democrat and get elected. Not even the legendary “dead girl or live boy” could make a difference there.

Dissing Fenway Park, however? Maybe that’s a different matter.

We will likely know in under 60 hours.

Update 2 Stacy’s post is here.

Friday night as I awaited the arrival of Bill Clinton I struck up a conversation with two Chinese exchange students doing graduate work at WPI. Both had been the US for 6 months and absolutely love it. They both hope to be able to find jobs to stay here, if not they will go back to China.

There they stood, two young men from a country that is our greatest rival and one of our potential enemies both about to be only 10 yards from the man who exactly one decade prior was the most powerful person in the entire world.

After they started moving forward I talked to a union steward who was there to support Martha Coakley. As we were both Italian we talked and had an awful lot in common. It was a pleasure to share his company and we both commented on how great a country it was where two guys like us could be just a first down away from the former president. We agreed that if we told our grandparents this, they wouldn’t believe us.

It was even greater than than he knew.

Consider, ten yards from me a man who was once the most powerful in the world was going to ask me to do something, and I was going to refuse with absolutely no fear that he would attempt to compel me otherwise.

Today after Mass (yes Adrienne he’s coming with me don’t get your hopes up) we are off to Boston to see the most powerful man in the world who will ask, not order ask me to do something that he really wants me to do for the sake of an agenda that he really believes in…

As on Friday I will refuse. As on Friday I will do so with the safe assurance that he will not attempt to compel me nor order others to do so. In fact even if he DID order others to do so, I have the certainly they they would refuse such an order.

That is the greatness of America, that is the freedom of America, that is the compact between the government, represented by President Obama and the Governed, represented by me.

Today I will be in the presence of a politician that I considered unqualified for his position, a product of a corrupt Chicago machine. A man I have criticized and ridiculed many times in the past and likely will criticize and ridicule many more times in the future. I will also have the great honor to be in the presence of the elected leader of my country, my president. I see no conflict in any of those statements. That is America!

Update: The Obama rally has been pushed back a few hours, good thing too because there was plenty to post about this morning.

in this report from Friday’s rally; and not just because he grew up in Fitchburg:

Given the often contrived and polarizing conflict that dominates the cable-TV landscape, it would be easy, on the outside looking in, to slap a Tea Party label on Brown’s supporters. But most of those lunging for his hand were not lunatics from the fringe, merely Democrats and Independents feeling bruised, ignored and taken for granted by people in power.

If you want me to hire you to spend my money, you not only have to ask, you have to ask nicely.