…and there’s more to that poll concerning the Black Vote than meets the eye.

Yesterday I linked to a an instapundit post that noted that the in a recent poll 32% of black men preferred the re-election of Trump to any democrat nominee. Yet let’s take a look at the opening lines of the story that contained this incredible information:

An overwhelming majority of black voters — 85 percent — said in a new Hill-HarrisX poll that they would choose any Democratic presidential candidate over President Trump in an election The survey, which was released on Monday, found this sentiment to be particularly true among black voters along partisan lines.

That story is from The Hill, and the headline says: Poll: Overwhelming majority of black voters back any 2020 Democrat over Trump. The only problem is when when you look at the actual poll vs the spin of the story it doesn’t look very good for the left. In addition to what Mr. Bernstein spotted there were two other data points that are pretty significant:

  1. The poll sampled more that two women for every man on presidential preference. That’s over 67% women on that pol! That’s quite a gender gap!
  2. Of the black men polled 3% were republican and 21% were independent. That means that if every single republican and independent man in the poll supported Trump then there would still be 8 percent of black Democrat men who want Trump to win in 2020.

That’s bad enough but there is something even funnier going on here: there seems to be two different pools of people being polled. The preference for president question has a sample size of 210, but the poll in general has a sample size of 1200.

Over 1000 missing people.

Oddly enough the story doesn’t note this discrepancy let alone explain it, nor does it touch on the skew in the presidential preference question 67% women , vs everyone in the poll 57%.

I’m sure there is a perfect innocent explanation for this that I’m completely missing that has absolutely nothing to do with the attempt to convince people that the president’s economy and policies might be leading to a historic realignment that could change the face of the American political scene for decades.

After all the media would not try to manipulate the public for political reasons would they?

CNN on Shootings, Volleyball on TV, Brady on the Pats, debate question and rabbits No surprises under the fedora

Not alot of surprises under the fedora today

I’m typing this on Monday at my favorite lunch place that had CNN on one of their TV with no sound. They as you might guess are talking about the two shooters in Dayton and El Paso.

Whenever they mention the El Paso shooter the bar at the bottom speaks about his beliefs and reference Trump, however whenever they reference the Dayton shooter, a fan of Sanders and Warren & antifa they don’t.

No surprise

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On another TV they have international women’s volleyball. That might not have been a surprise except that instead of beach volleyball where the women are wearing nearly nothing it’s snow volleyball where the women are completely cover because, well it’s snow volleyball.

Yet the bar has it on.

Surprise.

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Oddly enough at this bar none of the TVs are on channel’s talking about Tom Brady’s new contract giving the Pats the option to keep him through 2021, perhaps it’s because everyone was speculating about why Brady wasn’t signed and if the Patriots were finally moving on etc. I strongly suspect that the reason why it took so long for deal that it helped overshadow the 1st Patriots season post “happyending gate” but in the end the Patriots in general and their owner in particular decided it was a bad idea to send the NFL’s biggest cash cow to the glue factory

No surprise there.

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Democrat candidates have “pounced” on this weekends shootings in the hopes of generating or sustaining buzz for their campaigns the same way I pounce on frozen Kentucky Derby pie when it’s in sight.

It will be no surprise to see the next debate featuring perhaps multiple questions to candidate linking the El Paso shooter (democrat though he is) to President Trump and candidate after candidate blaming the president for the shooters actions.

However it will be a great surprise if at that same debate they note the political beliefs of the Dayton shooter and ask either Senators Sanders or Warren who he expressed support for if they bear any responsibility for that shooter’s acts.

Now That would be a surprise

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Finally for the last several months there have been a bunch of rabbits in the neighborhood. I think they’re been living under our low back deck and over that time a day rarely went by that I didn’t either leave for work or come back from work without seeing a rabbit sitting in the back yard waiting to see what direction I would go in.

Two days ago I saw a cat in the neighborhood for the 1st time in at least a year walking down the street by my driveway.

I haven’t seen a rabbit since.

no surprise there.