By John Ruberry

Last night I ended another binge-watching venture, this time it was Ozark, a Netflix original series starring Jason Bateman. Season one, consisting of ten episodes, was released in July and Ozark has already been renewed for a second run.

Marty Byrde (Bateman) is a financial planner who makes a deal with the devil, actually a Mexican drug cartel, to launder its cash. So, Byrde quietly toils away and the cartel graciously thanks him for his efforts and all is well?

Uh, no.

Byrde and his wife Wendy (Laura Linney) are the typical smug Chicago area couple who I interact with regularly. Wendy is proud of her political activism, she even worked on Barack Obama’s state Senate campaigns, although it’s difficult to say why she was needed as Obama ran unopposed in all three of his Democratic primary races and the district he represented was far more Democratic than Wyoming is Republican. Perhaps Wendy was the scoundrel behind knocking all of Obama’s primary opponents off of the ballot. If so, it fits her character. Interestingly, there is an early scene of Marty inspecting office space Chicago’s Trump Tower.

Bryde’s handler, Camino Del Rio (Esai Morales), discovers $8 million in cartel cash is missing. After Byrde’s co-workers are well, liquidated, in an act of desperation Byrde convinces “Del” that Lake of the Ozarks, Missouri, which has “more coastline than the state of California,” is a far better place than Chicago to launder his dirty money because it’s not crawling with federal agents.

So seemingly quicker than it takes me to check out of a hotel room the Byrdes and their children, 15-year-old Charlotte (Sofia Hublitz) and Jonah (Skylar Gaertner) do a reverse-Beverly Hillbillies and relocate to the Lake of the Ozarks, one of several places in America known as a Redneck Riviera.

The Byrdes nearly immediately confront a family of small-time criminals, the Langmores, who live in–wait for it–run-down trailers. They are raising two bobcats. Just inside the door of one of the trailers is a a poster of a topless woman.

And like Brewster in the several Brewster’s Millions movies, Marty finds that quickly spending millions, or laundering it, is harder than he thought it would be, particularly in the rural location he chose. An even greater challenge for the Byrdes is a mysterious family of big-time criminals we meet later on. For comic relief, mostly, is the dying old man who lives in their basement–he is convinced Obama is a Muslim.

Even before the move the Byrde’s marriage is on the rocks–and the tension of a disintegrating family operating an illegal enterprise is reminiscent of Breaking Bad. The graphic violence is reminiscent of Sons of Anarchy. And while no genitalia is shown, the sex scenes are also quite graphic. So this family drama is by no means appropriate family viewing. Jason Bateman has come along way since his NBC sitcom Silver Spoons.

Blogger outside Chicago’s Trump Tower

I don’t expect there to be a tourist boom to Lake of the Ozarks because of the show, as the redneck cliches and the rampant lawlessness of Ozark will serve as a definite buzz-kill for travel-minded families. The Northwoods region’s vacation dollars are secure. Although outside of a few scenes in downtown Chicago, most of the show is filmed in a reservoir area in northern Georgia. And some of the Chicago scenes are laughably wrong–where do all of these hills come from? And there are no hills in Morris, Illinois either–a wonderful town I’ve visited many times, by the way. Here’s another inconsistency: The Byrdes’ suburban home was in Naperville. So why does their Honda Odyssey have an expensive Chicago vehicle sticker? An astute financial planner wouldn’t waste $136 on a useless decal.

Yes, I’ll be back for the next season. By then end of that one Ozark may have shed the shadow of Breaking Bad.

John Ruberry regularly blogs in the Chicago area at Marathon Pundit.

It’s almost better than Christmas morning for these ladies

Donna from Indiana

Hamilton MO

Hamilton Missouri is a small town of just over 1800 people, there is a lot of farming and grazing land in the area and until just a few years ago it’s primary claim to fame was being the birthplace of that American success story JC Penny.

Not anymore.

Now buses arrive at the down on a semi regular basis and travelers from all over the nation and the world converge on this little town and not to see where Mr. Penny grew up.

No these people are quilters, women (and a few men) who are crafters of beautiful things and Hamilton

Missouri is their Mecca because of the Missouri Star Quilt Company.  Here is an excerpt from a report from KSHB from 2013 whose video didn’t want to embed .

They come from Oklahoma, Kansas and far-flung locales beyond. One visitor traveled here all the way from Israel, just to meet the woman who has become a YouTube sensation for the hobby she has turned into a multi-million dollar family business.

That woman is Jenny Doan, matriarch of the Doan family, who launched the Missouri Star Quilting company in 2008 with a quilting machine, and a tumbledown brick building in Hamilton’s one-stoplight downtown.

“It’s bizarre,” says Doan of her YouTube fame. Doan teaches quilting classes in short web videos, and in person, for those who trek to her store to shop, and to meet the woman one described as the “Oprah” of quilting.

Their Youtube channel is here and if I had the traffic they had I likely would not be working my night job.

Friday I wrote about some of the husbands who brought their wives to the land of fabric, here’s ours:

Thursday after seeing the Red Sox relievers give away their final game to the Royals and rejoicing that the management of our hotel in KC got the AC fixed and made it a point to be waiting for us after the game to confirm it and apologize for the problems in person the day before, my wife, who works a 2nd shift job and is historically NOT an early riser was not only up early but urging our youngest son and I along so with the goal of getting to the place she had dreamed of seeing ever since she took up quilting a few years ago as soon as possible. I dashed through my piece on the Georgia 6th special election getting it up at 9:13 and less than 10 minutes later we were on the road with a quick stop at a local WalMart to buy a battery operated camera as I had neglected to bring my charger, for the pictures she would be taking.

It took about an hours drive to get there, there was nothing extraordinary about the highway or the country around it, nor the simple left turn off of Route 36 down S Hughes street to South Davis Street. The country was farm and grazing land, beautiful country, with a few places to stop and eat dotted along the way but my wife’s anticipation grew by the mile and when we took that final left turn from South Davis Street to and when we took that final left to West School Street and the first building came in sight her excitement was boiling over.

We drove down that street and saw quilt shops to the right and the left of us finally deciding to park at the final shop and work her way to the main location.

When we walked into the first shop it was evident that this was estrogen heaven, a dozen immensely happy women were inside and my wife immediately made it a baker’s dozen. My son and I noticed a fellow sitting near the door and sat with him for a bit.

He was the retired Steelworker from Pittsburgh who had driven 12 1/2 hours to bring his wife here and his story of her anticipation at every mile they got closer mimicked mine, interrupted only by his wife coming over and asking for a few dollars for the purchases at this shop.

Eventually my son and I found the Man’s spot which we’ve already discussed. We sat back, played some pool and eventually I grabbed the laptop and starting surfing, on twitter the fact that I was at Missouri Star got the attention of several of my readers who were anxious for me to get an in. I had not planned on doing any interviews or work during this trip, I had not even packed my monopod, but when DaWife stopped by with camera it was clear there was a story here worth telling so after doing a quick intro video and lunch at a tiny BBQ place called Hank’s and Tanks (which deserves its own post and will get it on Monday or Tuesday) I headed to the main building to see if I could get an interview with someone at the company.

I talked to a nice lady behind the counter to tried to find someone available but within a few minutes a pair of busses arrived and as with any business the customers have to come first, so I sat down and watched the ladies come in.

They were happy, but not just happy, you could literally feel the joy and excitement as each one came into the door and found themselves at the place they had dreamed of. Their ages ran from the mid 30’s to the seventies and there was one lady, clearly old and infirm who might have been in her eighties, but no amount of age or infirmity could restrain the sheer unadulterated pleasure written on their faces and emanating from their hearts.

As the people at work were far too overwhelmed to even think about me, I started to approach the women inside to see if any would be interviewed on camera. Donna from Indiana who was in charge of the bus trip was kind enough to give me some time.

It’s never an easy job to get a lady to consent to an on camera interview with a strange man in a hat wearing a 18 foot scarf on a 90 degree day and it’s doubly difficult when said interview tears them even for a few moment away from the place they’ve been dreaming about for years.  I was turned down quite a bit but a pair of ladies from the Church of Jesus Christ of Later Day Saints one from Oregon and one from Utah gave me a few minutes

At this point there was a tutorial being given by a lady named Cindy so there was no prospect of getting anyone so I headed back to the main building and found myself tweeting back and forth with Al Doan one of the founders of the business but unfortunately he was not in the area. Around this time my wife had finished shopping so we headed back to the main building where Cindy had finished with her tutorial and had been given the OK to give a few minutes to the odd fellow in the hat:

It was pretty late in the afternoon when we loaded up the rental with the fabric that my wife bought and got ready to leave the glow of being there still upon her.

There are a lot of things to say about the Missouri Star Quilt Company: that It’s the fulfilment of the dream of Jenny Doan, that it revitalized a small town in Missouri, that in less than a decade it has become the largest employer in Caldwell County Missouri, that the Missouri Star Quilt Company in general and Jenny Doan in particular are, like JC Penny, an American success story. All of these things are true, special and worthy of praise.

But for my money the greatest thing about the Missouri Star Quilt Company is the happiness they bring to thousands of women who come there each month and the tens of thousands who watch their tutorials online and the satisfaction that I and all the other husbands get when they see the sheer joy on the faces of the women they love.

My wife’s photos follow:

Update: The video from KSHB wouldn’t embed so I’ve replaced it with an excerpt from the text of the piece


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Olimometer 2.52

If you are not in the position to kick in we are happy to get your prayers.

By A.P. Dillon

There are a lot of stories running about the latest GOP debate, this is not one of them. Well, not really.  I want to talk about when snowflakes melt.

Everyone knows snowflakes melt. Temperatures change and ice turns to water. This is a basic truth. Even the littlest child knows this – most experience it first hand when they catch one on their tongue.

At the debate this week, we saw two snowflakes melt by their own words. We’ve been told no two snowflakes are the same, yet these two candidates disprove that notion. This debate proved that John Kasich and Jeb Bush’s time in this election cycle snow flurry is over. They melted.

Switching gears slightly, melting is what is going on in Missouri and at Yale. Snowflakes of another kind are finding out their own special ‘truth’ is melting, yet the students at these institutions seem unaware they are the ones actually responsible for their own melting.

As these special student snowflakes melt, what is left is a puddle that exposes what they were made up of. So far, that’s been unsubstantiated claims of ‘poop swastiksa’ and false statements about the KKK.

Newsflash: There is no ‘safe space’ for snowflakes. They fall from the sky, land and melt.

I’d like to quote a bit from Professor Mike Adams, a criminology professor at UNC Wilmington.  Adams employs reality as a heat source to aspiring new snowflakes.

“Let’s get something straight right now. You have no right to be unoffended. You have a right to be offended with regularity. It is the price you pay for living in a free society. If you don’t understand that you are confused and dangerously so.”
– Mike Adams via Townhall, Get Out of  My Class and Leave America

Do read the whole thing.

I’ve printed it out to read to my children when they are older. Some might call that extreme or an overreaction, but I don’t. Given the increasing trend of social issues being promoted over actual academics in our K-12 system right now coupled with the Democrats actually running campaigns on social issues,  it would be foolish to think the special snowflake showers are going away anytime soon.

DM7 small LL1885A.P. Dillon resides in the Triangle area of North Carolina and is the founder of LadyLiberty1885.com.
Her current and past writing can also be found at IJ Review, StopCommonCoreNC.org, Heartland.org and Watchdog Wire NC.
Catch her on Twitter: @LadyLiberty1885

Jesse Jackson
Jesse Jackson at an Occupy Chicago rally

By John Ruberry

In regards to police, I learned as a child one basic lesson: do what they say and obey the law. But during my childhood in the late 1960s is when the anti-cop movement began. Some of that bias is understandable, given the overt racism of such police leaders as Birmingham, Alabama’s “Bull” Connor. In 1968, Chicago Mayor Richard J. Daley’s police clubbed and tear gassed anti-war protesters on live TV as the Democratic National Convention was being held a few miles away. The protesters disciples of Gandhi, they tossed rocks, boulders, and bags of feces mixed with urine at the cops.

The mayhem helped elect Richard M. Nixon president.

Polls  conducted after the DNC determined that most Americans favored Daley’s clampdown on the protesters, but Chicago’s Boss, a Democrat, was hated by the what was then called the New Left until his death in office eight years later.

But the New Left is now the Left and it makes up the bulk of the contemporary Democratic Party.

Details are still sketchy on the death of unarmed black teen Michael Brown earlier this month in Ferguson, Missouri. It appears he did not obey the law–it’s believed Brown stole $48 worth of cigars in a strongarm robbery and he may have rushed the police before a police officer fatally wounded him. Brown probably didn’t properly respond  to what the Ferguson cops told him to do.

The unworthy successors of Martin Luther King’s civil rights movement, leftist race hustlers Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton, utilize the police as a straw man enemy to obscure some painful facts. The great majority of blacks murdered are killed by other blacks. Most blacks are who are robbed are robbed by other blacks. The drug dealers in African-American neighborhoods are almost exclusively black.

F*ck the Police rally in Chicago, 2012
F*ck the Police rally in Chicago, 2012

So no one should be surprised that within just a few hours of Brown’s death, some Ferguson residents were chanting, “Kill the police!” As I write this post, Jackson and Sharpton are in Ferguson.

Two years ago I went undercover and walked in an Occupy Chicago-affiliated “F*ck the Police” rally.

America’s first black president, Barack Obama, betrayed his anti-police bias when, bereft of most of the facts, he declared that the police acted “stupidly” when a Massachusetts cop arrested a Harvard professor when it appeared he was breaking into a home five years ago, which turned out to be his own. Charges were dropped against Gates, and the  justifiable backlash led Obama to call his bias-slip “a teachable moment.”

Police officers put their lives on the line every day they arrive at work.

John "Lee" Ruberry
John “Lee” Ruberry

Forty-one years earlier, Obama’s friend and unrepentant terrorist Bill Ayers was arrested at one of the anti-war protests during the Democratic National Convention.

It’s the left-wing circle of life.

Yeah, I know there are a few bad police officers who abuse their power, as there are in all professions. But life is much easier when you listen to cops.

John Ruberry regularly blogs at Marathon Pundit.

California Orchard
Central Valley orchard in 2009

By John Ruberry

Al Gore brought his multi-media global warming circus to Kansas City last night. With photos and videos, Gore showed the folks of the City of Fountains downpours, dust storms, wildfires, drought, and rising sea levels that the so-called “settled science” of anthropogenic global warming will bring.

You’ve heard–or heard about it–again and again.

But in a Kansas City Star article about Gore’s speech, this Gore-acle about California’s drought-stricken Central Valley pounced at me like a wounded polar bear: “Think about that, the Dust Bowl is coming back, quickly, unless we act.”

The original Dust Bowl, which devastated the Great Plains from southern Canada to the Texas panhandle in the 1930s, was brought about by drought conditions that humans made worse by a few decades of reckless agricultural practices on marginal land.

Californians, on the other hand, have been farming the fertile soil of the Central Valley since the end of the Mexican War. The region is blessed by warm, but not hot, summers and cool winters–it has everything but steady rain. But irrigation from the reservoirs of the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta remedied that problem–until 2007, when environmentalist Luddites won a court ruling that diverts water to the ocean to protect the tiny Delta Smelt. The ruling decreed that no more than 305 of them can be killed by water diversion. In National Review last month, Charles C.W. Cooke wrote that there are anywhere from 35,000 to 100,000 of the “little buggers.”

Central Valley strawberry field in 2009
Central Valley strawberry field in 2009

What Gore surely omitted from his KC speech, that unlike global warming, the Central Valley drought is truly man-caused.

All kinds of food is produced in the Valley–grapes, strawberries, tomatoes, lettuce, nuts, and corn are just some. In fact, about 12 percent of the food we grow comes from there.

If the Central Valley does become a Dust Bowl, we can blame environmentalists like Gore and fellow global-warming believer President Obama.

But the disaster can be prevented if we quickly act: Open the gates and let the water in.

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Olimometer 2.52

Sunday is here and we are in the worst shape that we’ve seen in a while.

With six days to go in the month we are a full $702.89 cents short of our monthly goal.

We are heading toward the worst showing we’ve had since last June. The mortgage is due in six days and the money simply isn’t there.

I’m going to need to pull in nearly $120 a day simply to get the bills paid.

Put bluntly I need your help to keep me out of the hole this month, please consider hitting DaTipJar to move the ball forward.

Missouri State Chairman Ed Martin gave me some time on Thursday

If you want more of Ed I’m sure Dana Loesch and Jim Hoft can provide more

****************************************

Olimometer 2.52

$96 down but still $209 to go for the full paycheck. If you liked what you saw from the “Show Me” state chairman hit DatipJar below

.

Anyone who reads this blog knows I don’t have a lot of faith in polling unless I see the internals. So when I saw this story at life news:

Poll Claims Todd Akin Has Re-Taken Lead on Claire McCaskill

The lead shown was 3 points for Akin. While it was not an outrageous number it was 12 pts different that the last announced poll. So immediately was suspicious:

Fritz Wenzel analyzed the results of the survey and concluded that “Despite the firestorm of news in the Senate race over the past few weeks, most voters have already made up their mind in the race, the survey shows. The fact that 80% said they were firm in their choice certainly indicates that this is a race that will be decided more by ideology and turnout efforts by the campaigns and less by breaking news that flashes across the news pages and cable news channels.”

So I looked at the memo page but there were no internals listed.

At that point I was ready to put up a post calling BS but I noticed the memo contained a contact number so I did what a reporter who wants a question answered is supposed to do I called.

Not only did I get the company but I got Mr. Weaver himself, he agreed to talk to me.

I asked him about the poll and the internals. He told me the split was as follows:

Republicans 34%
Democrats 33%
Independents 33%

Talk about a balanced poll. I’ve never seen a poll so exactly split. and this split is consistent with the actual partisan split in Missouri. I asked why the internals were not included he said the internals were given both to the client and to Politico (which had this story but didn’t put them out in their piece.)

Mr. Weaver answered all my questions and agreed to be on this week’s DaTechGuy on DaRadio on Saturday.

If this poll is accurate it confirms what I said on the 24th.

For all of the grief you have gotten none of the underlying issues that were a problem for McCaskill are still there. The economy, Obamacare, unemployment the lot.

There are a lot of people on the right who might be embarrassed by an Akin victory. Apparently to the voters of Missouri they would be much more embarrassed by a McCaskill win.

Exit question. If this is correct and Akin wins without the GOP what will the MSM say, what will McCaskill say and most importantly what will the media say?

Update:
Claire McCasKill runs away…from Obama

So now we have the Republican candidate who has been told in no uncertain terms that he won’t be getting one penny from the RNC and the Democrat sprinting away from the titular head of her party like Usain Bolt toward a Nike endorsement. Who is going to wind up financing this shindig seeing the way things are going?

Claire Claire Claire, you can run all the comercials you want but you can’t take back that Obamacare vote

It is becoming increasingly apparent that Todd Akin is unlikely to withdraw from the race in Missouri. I’m thinking if he isn’t out by the convention it pretty much is it.

So if you are Todd Akin’s campaign manager the problem is to win. You have the GOP unwilling to back you, the left using you as a poster boy for their cause and Claire McCasKill now the only person in the Democrat party that actually has a reason for optimism. The problem is message money and volunteers. Here is what I would do if I was running this campaign:

Plan A: Right to Life on steroids:

Since you can’t avoid the issue be THE man on abortion. Talk about the potential of each child and give examples of those who have achieved. Be the most anti-abortion candidate you can be, and challenge Claire McCaskill on it:

1. Challenge her, since Abortion is disproportionately pushed in the minority communities ask her why? Tie abortion to the whole picking winners and losers business.

2. As her about sex selective abortion, call it the real war on women and ask her if she believes in it or would support it?

3. Ask her about if she would support abortion based on sexual preference

4. Point to the difference in solutions Obama & McCaskill abortion abortion abortion and contrast that with solutions like Visitation House (or the equivalent in Missouri)

5. Challenge her to answer when live begins, point out Obama said it was above his pay grade, as her if it is above hers.

To the pregnant mother Obama & McCaskill say of your child: No you can’t get out of poverty, no you can’t get a good education, no you can’t grade in college and no you can’t make you can’t grow up be educated but I say Yes you can!

This plan serves two purposes, it makes the best of the Abortion issues and will also energize right to life people nationwide both in terms of the pocketbook and in terms of volunteers.

The tag line should be: “Barack Obama and Claire McCaskill are picking winners and losers on the economy, with Obamacare they are picking winners and losers on healthcare and with their radical pro-abortion agenda they are even picking winners and losers on life itself.”

Plan B: Pound McCaskill on the Economy & Obama

For all of the grief you have gotten none of the underlying issues that were a problem for McCaskill are still there. The economy, Obamacare, unemployment the lot. Push this message and deliver it in a way the media can’t separate their questions on abortion from your answer. To wit:

1. I’ve apologized my ill advised words, will Claire McCaskill apologize for her ill advised votes for Obama’s stimilus

2. I’ve renounced my statements, will Claire McCaskill renounce her vote on Obamacare?

3. I’ve agreed my words were based on bad information. When will Claire McCaskill agree her votes for Obama’s Economic programs were based on bad info.

At every turn contrast your poor words with her poor actions. And make sure it’s impossible to pull one line from the other.

Your tag line should be: “I’ve apologized to the people of Missouri for my words which hurt feelings, when will Claire McCaskill apologize to the people of Missouri for the votes that she cast that have hurt their pocketbooks?”

Plan C: Free Media & Debates

Since you are going to be low on money the thing to do is be everywhere on free media. You are an interview that a lot of people want and every single member of hte media is looking to trip you up. Go on ALL OF THEM. Use Plan B and make every question asked about Abortion answered by an attack on McCaskill. And challenge Claire McCaskill to debates EVERY SINGLE DAY. The last things she wants is a debate on her record. And if she ducks (and she will) play that up.

Your tag line should be: “Claire McCaskill urged me to stay in the race, yet she won’t show up for it.”

Plan D: Onward Huckabee/Christian/Profile soldiers

Plans a-c all involve campaigning, the other problem is manpower and money.

The GOP can’t and won’t give to you, but that doesn’t stop the grass roots. Here is are the people you should tap.

1. Cultivate Right to life Remind them that McCasKill’s vote is a vote to confirm justices who will support Abortion. They know the stakes and also know that the media can’t treat them much worse then they already do.

2. Huckabee: Mike Huckabee has been one of the few members of the GOP to publicly support the Akin campaign. Turn to him whole hog both publicly and privately. Point out that his evangelical pro-life base is your base. If he can bring you over the finish line it will be HIS win, not the GOP’s. That is going to have some appeal.

3. SuperPac: Since no GOP candidate associated with the party can give you time or money and none of the mainline superpacs will donate, you will need to form one of your own , a 501c(4) along the lines of Patriot Majority on the left.

I’m not personally a fan of non-disclosure but in this case it’s the only way to draw on the money out there. And there WILL be the money with the senate at stake.

The tag line is: “What will cost you more. A few dollars of your money or six years of Claire McCaskill in the senate.?”

Plan E: Obama’s economy + Clinton socially = Claire McCaskill

The DNC has decided to go whole hog against you in their convention. Well go whole hog on them back.

1. When they claim you are part of a war on women ask them, what is worse for womem? The words you’ve already apologized for or the policies Barack Obama & Claire McCaskill have pushed and promise to continue?

2. When they claim you treat rape lightly ask them what is worse, the words you’ve apologized for or the actions of Bill Clinton, their keynote speaker.

3. Point out that Claire McCaskill has said the following about Bill Clinton:

“I think he’s been a great leader but I don’t want my daughter near him.”

Call on both McCaskill and the DNC to dis-invite Bill Clinton from the Democrat convention and if they don’t play that up.

Your tagline should be: “Claire McCaskill & the DNC talk the ‘War on women’. The Real war on Women are the policies of Barack Obama and the actions of Bill Clinton”

Can these tactics win the day? I don’t know, but they are the best cards Akin has and if he doesn’t pull out of the race, they are the ones he should play.

Update: While even with my plan for Akin it would be a tough slog I feel much better about Mitt chances in the show me state, this poll not withstanding:

While Missouri is always a tough state for both parties in presidential elections, until recently Mitt Romney didn’t have much to worry about. Rasmussen’s series of polls gave him a significant-if-not-quite-comfortable six-point margin in the Show Me State … at least until Todd Akin shared his views on the legitimacy of rape claims from pregnant victims. In today’s Rasmussen poll, Romney now slightly trails Obama, 47/46:

Ed is exactly right, once the initial hit passes the race for the white house fundamentals will re-assert themselves.

Update 2:
Should have included this bit from Ed’s:

When the storm passes, as it will with the convention, the fundamentals of the candidates will once again take hold and push the race back to the pre-Akin status quo — a movement that would be enhanced by Akin’s departure, of course.

Update 3: Garbeled sentence fixed

I have written more than once that the MSM/Left uses polls not to inform, but to influence elections. Today Ed Morrissey looks at polling in Missouri on Senate Candidate Todd Akin and notices something…interesting

There’s another problem with this poll for Akin, one we don’t usually see from PPP emphasis mine— they significantly oversampled Republicans. The D/R/I on this survey is R+9 at 30/39/32, but even the GOP-sweep 2010 election had exit polls for Missouri showing an R+3 advantage, 34/37/28. I’m not sure I’d trust that one-point margin lead in this poll.

Now that’s really different, why would PPP suddenly choose this moment to oversample republicans?

Could it be that they are desperate to make sure that Todd Akin stays in the race?

I suspect that if he chooses to remain, the next sample will be less lopsided and more accurate.

If you wanted evidence that certain public polls are a tool to produce a desired result rather than inform, here it is.

Update: Legal insurrection is thinking the same thing without noting the split:

Maybe Akin could win Missouri, but this was just a flash poll so it’s hard to read too much into it.

If I were a cynic, I might suggest that PPP — a Democratic pollster – did the flash poll knowing it was too soon for the effect of the controversy to make its way into the electorate in the hope of keeping Akin’s hope alive before he makes his decision overnight whether to step aside.

——————

(Note this doesn’t change my opinion that win or lose it’s a bad precedent to overturn an election and replace a legitimate primary winner based on a gaffe. It will be used in the future any time one side or the other sees an electoral problem ahead, much easier than working hard to change minds.)

Update: Rush makes my point on the poll sample and feeling uncomfortable telling Akin to go.

Two days ago I was pretty sure that Santourm was going to win Missouri and should do good in Minnesota. Last night was when I went to bed Santorum had not only won Missouri decisively but very decisively in Minnesota and was doing well i Colorado.

I listened to Rick’s Victory speech and it was first-rate and I went to bed with 11% of the vote in Colorado thinking he will do pretty good.

This morning I woke up to find he won Colorado.

This is even more amazing when you consider that the conservative vote is divided with Gingrich. Romney plan and best move is to keep the teaparty/conservative vote divided between Gingrich and Rick Santorum but Santorum won despite that division.

But the last week was a gift to Santorum. The Susan G. Komen stuff highlighted planned parenthood and abortion and the protection racket that abortion is. (Which Romney vowed to protect at one time) The totally expected 9th circuit ruling highlighted the issue of liberal courts and Gay Marriage (which Romney failed to fight in Massachusetts), And finally the administration’s attack on the Catholic church which has produced letters from 169 Bishops (only 8 have not issued such letters and one is very sick) via Obamacare (a law based on Romneycare).

Put simply this is a week that energized social conservatives and reminded them what side Romney was on when he actually held an executive position to make a difference.

Meanwhile, Santorum has not only been consistent but has been totally unafraid to engage even hostile crowds on these issues and defend these positions. Remember this video:

As Santorum said last night Romney will not have the most money and organization in the fall, so perhaps we want a candidate who has other attributes.

Update: Smitty gets it