Yesterday I posted on figures at Nate Silver web site showing Trump with a lead and suggesting it was time for Democrats to start panicking. That post scored an instalanche and as of this writing is
one of my more popular posts of the year.
However it didn’t take long for the “Nowcast” to flip back to Hillary and someone on twitter tweeters explained why
— (((Port Dauphin))) (@portdauphin) July 30, 2016
This is Nate’s Tweet
First fully post-DNC poll I've seen shows a 10-point bounce for Clinton: https://t.co/4W3pV4LVl6
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 30, 2016
So seeing Nate’s tweet I clicked on it and it led to a poll from Raba Research
Now I don’t claim to be Jake Tapper but I have been doing this for seven-years now and until that moment I had never heard of “Raba Research” so I went real clear politics to find some info on them but couldn’t find their poll. I did a search on the page for “raba research” and the two results that came up had nothing to do with any such company.
So I did another search and found a PR announcement from Albrect Public Relations titled “Introducing Raba Research” Which celebrated their being noticed by Politico and Nate Silver.
The date of that Press Release? March 16th 2016
Yes that’s right, the first poll after the Democrat convention, the poll that shows Hillary Clinton with an incredible 10 point bounce, the poll that put Hillary back in the lead comes from a company that has been doing polling for….under six months.
Now I don’t claim to know the folks at RABA Research, they might be a lot smarter than me and their poll might be the greatest thing since the invention of Kentucky Derby Pie and there are such a thing as talented rookies, that’s why MLB has a rookie of the year award.
But if I was going to declare a 10 point bounce for Hillary Clinton convention in the face of massive protests, walkouts and empty halls that the media tried to suppress, I think I just might want to rely on a poll that has been around a little longer than Hillary’s granddaughter.
But that’s just me, I predict that on the Sunday shows and the Monday morning shows the Raba Research poll showing the 10 pt Hillary bounce will be the talk of the town and considered proof positive that the Donald Trump wave has reached its crest
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