Things are heating up in NY-25 again

Two years ago I had the privilege of watching Ann Marie Buerkle call BS on the media and the Syracuse papers

Both on a story concerning taxes and rents and then on the polls.

Well we are getting toward another election cycle and the paper insisted Buerkle was down 11 with two weeks to go is at it again with this headline:

‘Medi-Scare’: Rep. Ann Marie Buerkle shades truths on health care law

What has gotten their ire? Congresswoman Buerkle is fighting back again:

U.S. Rep. Ann Marie Buerkle condemned a group handing out a flier making what she said were false statements about her stances on Medicare and other issues.

“It’s not fair to seniors,” she told the crowd of about 80 at Cicero Town Hall. “Politics are politics, but when you hand out stuff like this and you scare seniors, that’s just wrong.”

After the opening the article spends about forty paragraphs trying to bend her statements into a pretzel.

This is the same Syracuse paper that insisted that Buerkle was down 11 with two weeks to go, I presume that the polling crew that came up with those numbers must have moved to Wisconsin to do the exit polls. They claim that Congresswoman Buerke’s statements on Obamacare are “misleading” but more interesting is the use of Politifact to attack her.

Politifact? Wasn’t it just over six months ago that Paul Krugman called Politifact: “useless and irrelevant” that Steve Benen said Politifact: “ought to be ashamed of itself“, that John Cole said: promotes the truth as a lie“, that Think Progress said had its “Pants on fire” that Firedog lake declared: “Disgraced itself“.

How is it that the left leaning Syracuse Post Standard would use as a source the vehicle Tommy Christopher referred to as: “a site whose credibility depends on the illusion that they’re impartial arbiters of truth”?

Simple, those standards only apply when they are attacking statements by Democrats but as I said in December Politifact:

should not fear, as the election gets closer and the left decides they need them they will forgive just as long as they provide fodder

A new election season is near and Democrats are having a very bad time of it, so any card and weapon that can be played, even one previously discarded, will be used again.

Particularly if you have to counter a foe who won’t take such attacks lying down.

That’s what I get out of this article at the Syracuse “she’s down 12 and sinking fastPost Standard:

When four days and nights of debate finally ended in the early morning hours Saturday and it was time to vote, U.S. Rep. Ann Marie Buerkle had no trouble making up her mind.

Buerkle had to choose between protecting Central New York from some of the deepest federal spending cuts in years, or supporting a Republican plan to slash $61 billion from the federal government’s budget through Sept. 30.

In an early test of her campaign promises to shrink government while also creating jobs in Central New York, Buerkle said the clear answer was to support the massive budget cuts – even if it means some short-term local suffering.

Yes how dare Ann Marie decide not to spend that 42 cents on the dollar for that 61 Billion and keep her campaign promises, if only she could be more like Bill Owens who managed to break 4 campaign promises in under an hour after being in congress. That’s the hero of the Post Standard’s piece. As Stacy McCain put it:

The editors of the Syracuse paper — evidently picking up the “slash-and-burn” theme used by the New York Times — obviously think their readers are idiots who can’t do math. If Obama has proposed a budget with $1.65 trillion in deficits, how big a slice is $61 billion?

The Lonely Conservative who lives in the district had this to say:

Oh, the suffering! What about the suffering our children and grandchildren will be subjected to thanks to Washington’s reckless spending for the past few years? There was no mention of how President Obama increased spending to unprecedented levels during his short tenure in the White House. Gee whiz, how on earth did we ever survive before he came along?

The article goes on to cite Democrats as if their word is gospel. Several paragraphs were devoted to the end of the “Just Say Yes” education program in Syracuse. Unless you continued reading, you wouldn’t know that the program has not been cut.

None of this surprises me. In my opinion the Syracuse Post Standard will never forgive Buerkle for winning that election as an unrepentant conservative republican, but that’s just me.

Says the Syracuse “She’s 12 points down” post standard:

When asked about her renewed focus on abortion this past week, Buerkle said she is performing her duty to represent the views of the 25th Congressional District. Buerkle said she is convinced most residents of the district agree with the bills she has co-sponsored.

“I can’t give you a hard statistic,” Buerkle said. “But I heard from many people throughout the campaign who would not support me unless I was pro-life.”

The Lonely Conservative notes that the Post Standard considers it front page news that a former member of Operation Rescue is against abortion. Of course the left to whom Abortion is a sacrament, is attacking:

“Rep. Buerkle was elected to Congress because she promised to create jobs, but instead, one of her first acts is to co-sponsor and champion a bill that takes away health insurance benefits that the majority of women currently have,” DeFazio said.

Because of course repealing Obamacare and limiting what government funds are spent on has nothing to do with small government does it? Additionally having been in office for an entire 20 days, it’s undoubtedly her fault that the unemployment rate hasn’t already dropped to Bush Era levels.

NOW also attacks but that’s to be expected

Buerkle’s actions on the issue also alarm Karen DeCrow, of Jamesville, the former national president of the National Organization for Women.

“This district does not share her views on birth control, sex education, family planning and abortion,” DeCrow said of Buerkle. “She has a different view.”

Yeah the district disagrees with her so much that as the Lonely Conservative points out an attack ad used against her highlighting her opposition may have pushed her over the top:

NY25 covers all of Onondaga and Wayne Counties, and part of Cayuga and Monroe Counties. But a large portion of NY25′s voters are in Onondaga County. I did some digging and found out that there were 147,332 Catholics in Onondaga County alone in 2000 (Sorry, I searched for hours and couldn’t find any more recent data, or a breakdown of religious affiliation of registered voters.) I’m sure enough of those Catholics are registered voters who could swing the election in Buerkle’s favor. This race hasn’t been about social issues. It’s been about the economy, the direction of our country, and the failed policies of the current administration and Congress. By running this ad Dan Maffei just gave undecided pro-life voters a reason to vote for Ann Marie Buerkle.

You would think she was a Catholic or something.

The more I see of Congresswoman Buerkle the more I wish she was my congresswoman.

Update: Stacy McCain: Media Shocked — Shocked! — To Discover That Ann Marie Buerkle Is Pro-Life

With less than 18 hours to the show premiere I’ve had little time for blogging but I see there is great news from two districts where Registered Nurses rather than career politicians are changing the face of the congress.

Renee Ellmers has won in NC-2. My congratulations to Renee, Lorie Byrd and all those who supported her but the real congratulations go to the people of NC 2 who will have a spectacular lady in congress. I had the pleasure to meet and interview her at Blogcon and wrote about her here NC 2 is in good hands.

In case you missed it here is the interview with the congresswoman elect.

As for NY 25 just before my interview with Ann Marie Buerkle I said this:

By my calculations Maffei needs to win the Absentees in Onondaga county by twice the spread that he won the vote of to come out ahead, that’s not even counting any spread in Wayne county. I think it’s looking good.

Well it’s officially not over yet but the news is REAL good:

At the last official count earlier this week, Republican challenger Buerkle lead by 824 votes. Friday, elections officials in Wayne County found a discrepancy in votes from election night, giving Buerkle another 144 votes, for a lead of 968 votes.

Onondaga County finished counting its absentee ballots Friday afternoon. Democrat Maffei picked up 557 votes over Buerkle, which gives her a total lead of 411 votes.

557 votes is just not going to cut it but the Lonely Conservative knows that the missing Maffei is going to put those lawyers and union activists to work if he can:

But that doesn’t mean it’s over. Maffei will probably wait until after the absentees are counted in Wayne County. And there’s a very good chance he’ll call for a full hand recount of every ballot cast in the district as he bitterly clings to his seat in the House. If he does that, it could take another month before we have an official outcome.

Update: A re-canvass (not the absentee count) in Wayne County netted Buerkle another 144 votes, bringing her lead up to 411.

I’ll wager that Maffei wishes he had some of the money or activists that we 300 Spartans in Massachusetts pinned down:

But the price was high; the state democratic party and candidates had emptied their war chests. John Olver spent over $800k on television and Richard Neil $1.5 Million. Barney Frank was forced to lend his campaign $200k and gave a victory speech so full of vitriol that it produced scorn around the nation.

He had cause to be upset, Massachusetts money and candidates who normally spent their time and cash helping the party nationwide were tied town as the GOP rolled through Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin, Michigan, New York and New Hampshire in a wave not seen in nearly a century. The MA delegation held their seats but lost their chairmanships and the power that came with them.

Now Maffei’s strategy is just more counting, it’s not like the democrats are going to be pulling new voting machines out of their trunks or something.

We all have heard of ballots being found in the trunks of cars, and elsewhere during recounts. In a hotly contested race for the State Senate in New York, Democrats have gone one better, and found two new (and uncounted) voting machines.

This is in buffalo however, lucky for Ann Marie corrupt involved local democrats in the state are more worried about stealing winning the three contested State Senate seats necessary to give them a majority then to reduce a national republican landslide by one.

Stacy is feeling his oats:

C’mon, Ann Marie. This one’s for the history books, sweetheart.

Did I hear somebody say “mandate”?

And here is Ann Marie talking to the press back from our road trip:

Remember this optimism was the day after an “interesting” poll claimed she was down 12. I’ll wager Stacy and I were the only reporters at that press conference that didn’t think the campaign was over.

This race will be a cause for celebration for Axis of Fedora!

I’m sure the mainstream media will celebrate and report in-depth on the election of these two republican women in the same way they sometime after they give total scrutiny to Candidate Obama’s record 2008.

Update: Jazz Shaw is on it

Syracuse.com via Live at 5 reports that the lawyers are in town:

Cars with Maryland, Michigan and Kansas license plates are parked outside the Wayne County Board of Elections in Lyons, a rural Erie Canal crossroads between Rochester and Syracuse.

Inside, lawyers for U.S. Rep. Dan Maffei, D-DeWitt, and challenger Ann Marie Buerkle are seated around a table in the break room with the two elections commissioners and their two deputies. All eyes are on the box of absentee ballots, still in envelopes two weeks after the election showed the 25th Congressional District too close to call.

Democrats understand that the president popularity is unlikely to improve much in the district over the next two years so if they want this seat they have to steal it NOW.

You can help Ann Marie hold them off by donating here.

Following up on my last post I spoke to Ann Marie Buerkle this week:

DaTechGuy: How are the absentee ballots looking so far?

Ann Marie Buerkle: They are looking pretty good absentee ballots are breaking more from areas I’ve done well in.

DTG: So what kind of tactics have you been seeing the other side running?

AMB: Well first of all they asked for a manual count, the Judge has rejected that temporarily. No problems have come up with the machines. The DCCC and the Unions are here in force and their campaign has asked the media to in a memo to hold off reporting on the race. They’ve even been contacting voters at home to find how they voted! (DTG as I’ve reported here)

DTG: Has there been any issues with Military Ballots?

AMB: No they have steered clear of them, so far.

DTG: I guess that is the last resort, What kind of operation are they running?

AMB: The goal seems to be to disqualify as many republican ballots as they can, they are objecting to absentee ballots at a ratio of 3-1 compared to us.

DTG: And what about the congressman himself?

AMB: There has been sign of him, he has not make a statement or an appearance since election night. On Veterans day he didn’t even put in an appearance or a statement, very very unusual.

DTG: Speaking of unusual a lot of people seems to have been taken by surprise by your lead.

AMB: John McCain only took 43% of the vote in this district.

DTG: And there was that poll we talked about during Stacy McCain’s and my visit.

AMB: We worked very hard in Monroe County and took it 55-45. No Republican had ever taken Monroe county before. We did even better in Wayne county with 65% of the vote and I have to mention the grass roots effort in the town of Webster, simply masterful, volunteers knocked on every door and left materials at every house more than once. I can’t say enough about our volunteers.

DTG: And as the count goes on what will you be up to?

AMB: I will be attending the Congressional Freshman Orientation event in Washington.

DTG: Yeah with the current popularity of the president that a losing proposition, no wonder they are all in now. Finally with all the Union and DCCC help against you I presume you could use a few dollars to keep up.

AMB: Yes we need to be able to match them as they try to disqualify enough republican absentee ballots to manage a win.

DTG: And where can people give?

AMB: They can give at our post Election Fund here.

DTG: Ann Marie Buerkle thank you for your time

You might remember Ny-25 as one of the stops on my pre-election road trip. Well strange things seem to be going on over there.

The first strange thing is the absence of media attention, apparently this is a request from the Maffei campaign that has apparently not fallen on deaf ears:

any vote totals reported before every absentee ballot is counted are grossly incomplete and premature, particularly before ballots in Onondaga County are counted…While the media has responsibility to report the daily developments during the recanvass and tallying of absentee ballots, they also have a responsibility to characterize the early steps in this process accordingly.

Please please please reporters don’t report on the count at this time.

And what is going on that they don’t want reported on? Stuff like this:.

While the reasons for this effort are unclear, many agree it could be an attempt by some to identify who each person voted for in an effort to disqualify certain eligible ballots from being counted,” Buerkle said. “I would like the public to know that my campaign is not connected to this current effort. Further, no American — in upstate New York or anywhere — is in anyway under obligation to provide information to anyone on how he or she voted in any election, including my own.”

Buerkle’s statement did not name Maffei’s campaign as the party responsible for the calls, but a spokeswoman for the Maffei campaign confirmed they are calling voters in the district.

Maffei campaign communications director Abigail Gardner said Monday that while she believes they are asking how people voted, the reason for the calls is to ensure all votes are counted.

“It’s totally legal and there’s nothing really shady about it,” Gardner said. “I think we are asking how people voted, but the most important thing is to make sure that, if somebody cast a vote, that it’s going to be counted. There have been some problems.”emphasis mine

I think we are asking how people voted? I think! You don’t know?

Sure a campaign trying to play with the secret ballot? Nothing shady about that at all. Ann Marie Burkele’s campaign put out this statement:

Buerkle calls on voters who are contacted to ask who is calling and not feel that they must reveal how they voted.

“If anyone is contacted in this effort please know that your vote is privileged and under no circumstances should an individual be pressured into revealing how their vote was cast,” she said. “If you are contacted, ask them to provide their full name, for whom they work, why they are seeking this information and if you are required to provide this information.”

I’ve been wondering why this recount hasn’t gotten the attention others like NY-1 have. As the Maffei campaign lawyers up and activists start heading up to the area to try to salvage a seat from the big red wave, I guess we know why.

More to come.

Update: Looks like that count is heading in the right direction

The difference means that Buerkle has now widened her overall lead in the four-county district to 729 votes, according to unofficial election returns.

Buerkle picked up a net gain of 24 votes in Cayuga County (59 to 35 over Maffei) from absentee ballots, according to Cayuga County Election Commissioner Kate Lacey. Buerkle also had a net gain of 18 votes in Monroe County (630 to 612 over Maffei) after absentee ballots were opened from its three towns in the district, according to figures supplied by both campaigns.

By my calculations Maffei needs to win the Absentees in Onondaga county by twice the spread that he won the vote of to come out ahead, that’s not even counting any spread in Wayne county. I think it’s looking good.

Update 2: Added missing link

We 300 Spartans of the Twin City Tea Party are breaking out the Mead in our Valhalla at the Border Grille and Bar.

Update: The slideshow from Valhalla

There is not a long face in the house as we celebrate the greatest Republican victory nationwide in 90 years.

And what do the democrats in Massachusetts show for their empty war chests? Keeping what they already had, and losing their chairmanships that allow them to re-fill them.*

If that’s not cause to celebrate I’d like to know what is!

Speaking of reasons to celebrate:

Now the two candidates are separated by 659 votes, meaning absentee ballots will decide the election over the next three weeks.

Maffei entered the day with 89,744 votes (52 percent) to Buerkle’s 84,165 votes (48 percent), according to unofficial election returns compiled by The Post-Standard.

After Wayne County reported, the new vote total is 99,594 or 50.17 percent for Buerkle and 98,935 or 49.83 percent for Maffei.

Let the Big Red Wave roll!

Update
*Roxeanne, who has co-opted DTG’s computer without his knowledge or permission, would like to note that we saw one of the greatest victories in this race: a Democrat was forced to (heaven forbid) reach into his own wallet. Barney Frank is $200,000 poorer for having faced Sean “Build Me a Robot” Bielat.

My latest for the Examiner is Tracking the Big Red Wave:

Last week in Ma-4 I talked to A Haitian immigrant who came 32 years ago indignant that people assumed she supported the president because she is black and talking of American opportunity , while her co-worker spoke of regret for her Obama vote of 2008 opting home this election cycle. I’ve heard this a lot, but is this a local trend or a national one?

This week I traveled 1200 miles through 5 states to find out:

It’s my experience that confident campaigns don’t fire people for wearing hats

I also neglected to mention my last examiner article Tea is stronger than hope and change in Boston feel free to check it out too.

Yeah it’s still 10 days to go but all my data points are looking in the same direction I think the Red Wave is on its way but as Hughey says, if you slack off it might not get here, so go out knock on some doors and make some calls STAT!

I talked to Joe at the end of the press conference on October 18th

I’ve heard Joe’s complaint repeated over and over again when I am writing and even when I’m just at the diner having a bite. It’s the new people getting involved that makes all the difference