Well it looks like the democratic party is going to use the death of Senator Kennedy to force the health care bill through:

You’ve heard of ‘win one for the Gipper’? There is going to be an atmosphere of ‘win one for Teddy,'” Ralph G. Neas, the CEO of the liberal National Coalition on Health Care, told ABC News.

Democrats are hoping that Kennedy’s influence in death may be even stronger than it was when he was alive as they push for President Obama’s top domestic priority. Democratic officials hope that invoking Kennedy’s passion for the issue will counter slippage in support for heatlh care reform.

Ironically it is a tactic that Kennedy would have totally supported as he was a political animal.

However Ted Kennedy was not popular with a large section of the populace who is already angry about the healthcare boondoggle. I strongly suspect that Kennedy would get under 50% of the votes if he had run at any time in the blue dog districts.

Anyone who thinks that blue dog house members are going to protect their seats by voting in memory of Ted Kennedy is insane…so naturally the New York Times and Washington Post will likely think so.

But the actual congressmen are not that stupid, they know their districts and can count. In 14-15 months Kennedy will still be dead, but the voters who oppose Obamacare will still be alive and voting.

…and it took less than 24 hours for Nancy Pelosi to try to demagogue his death into votes:

“Ted Kennedy’s dream of quality health care for all Americans will be made real this year because of his leadership and his inspiration.

Watch for democrats to use his death to try to push “healthcare”. Update: Yup more of it. Prediction: That is going to fall VERY flat.

Slightly breaking news: I talked to a member of the State Legislature this week, he said that due to the heat over the flip flop concerning his seat, the legislature would likely delay changing the rules of succession slightly but that Ted would get what he wants. Now that he has actually died there is no question that they will pass this through as his last political request.

I think that Joe Kennedy or another one of the clan will be put in at that time, I can’t see them risking an election as the environment has never been better for a Republican.

I offer my condolences to his family. I won’t hit him today, but Pat Whittome of Ulster has a long memory (and he’s not talking about what you think).

And one thing, I hope Jeff Jacoby never asks me to resign. I don’t like the results.

When a republican congresswoman didn’t buckle under on his insistence that there are no “death panels” in the healthcare bill. The whole group around the table almost didn’t know what to say.

They seem to be obsessed with the fact that the words “Death Panels and “Euthanasia” are not listed in the bill. After all Sarah Palin said it, it MUST be false. If I may be so bold to suggest to these experienced pols and reporters there is precedent for something being misnamed to wit:

Sir Humphrey: East Yemen isn’t that a democracy?

Dick from the Foreign Office: It’s full name is the People’s Democratic Republic of East Yemen.

Sir Humphrey: Oh I see so it’s a Communist Dictatorship.

The actual clip comes at about 2:53 in this bit:

I think Yes Prime Minister should be required watching for anyone who follows politics.

Let’s look back at some early posts I did over the first three months of the blog. I’m going to be busy today so it’s a quick filler post thing:

Back in December the Jammie Wearing Fool predicted that the birth of Bristol Palin’s son would be the death Knell of the Trig Truther Movement, at the time I said this:

You have to think of people who follow conspiratorial type stuff as people following a religion. Excuses will be followed by clarifications but in the end the belief will not be dropped, remember William Miller and the 2nd coming.

The only thing that will be missing is the tax-exempt status. (Believe me the collection plate WILL exist).

The other McCain, Dan Riehl and Aaron Gardner prove me almost totally right but Anne Briggs proves the last sentence wrong as she didn’t use her Trig Truther fame to improve the Amazon Rankings of the book (#2,761,947 as of this morning). No collection plate there.

Speaking of a collection plate back in January I did a post on the New Quarter Sovereign coin offered by the British Royal mint and said this:

The glory of the British Empire is long past but if you want a chance to get something to remember it by the quarter sovereign is a solid and inexpensive choice. The mint is getting £47.95 each for them at the current exchange rate that works out to around $63 each for a gold coin in it’s first year of issue.

I grabbed 3 since that’s all I can afford, If I had a job I’d grab 10.

In case you forgot the design:

Same design used for all size sovereigns
Same design used for all size sovereigns

Not only has gold gone up and the Royal Mint raised its price to £65 but the exchange rathttp://datechguy.wordpress.com/wp-admin/post-new.phpe is now favoring the pound so I hope you jumped on the coin when you had a chance. It’s still worth getting as a first year issue gold coin.

I posted quite a bit about Israel going into Gaza. I mentioned this about the cease fire:

It is now up to the Palestinians are they going to stop the rockets or are they going to go through all of this again. That is when we will know if the war is actually over or not. It also remains to be seen if Israel is going to be willing to go back in during an Obama administration.

Well looking at the blog The Muqata which live blogged the war along with Israellycool looking under the category “Qassam Rockets” there is not an entry newer than Jan 18th that mentions a launch. The section under “Gaza” doesn’t either.

It looks like the war is over, but once the Palestinians are done killing each other I’m sure they’ll manage to try again.

Also in January I decided I arrived because of an increase in Spam. I’ve actually had a drop in spam lately but I’ve had an increase in comments so I guess a few more people are reading me, if you are thanks.

Considering the political landscape this post is Ironic, I hit Marc Ambinder over suggesting it was a bad idea for Republicans to vote against the stimulus bill due to the 70% Obama approval. I said this:

This is the same advice that might have been given to republicans in the first two years of the Clinton administration. Not taking it gave them control of the house for the first time in 40 years.

Anyone who thinks a vulnerable republican congressman who goes along with this plan will survive a primary challenge is silly. Remember our democrat friends were the same ones who told us McCain was the man to win with.

Bold prediction time: Anyone who thinks Obama will have approval ratings in the 60’s in two years is dead wrong. They will not be above 50%. It would not surprise me to see his ratings in the low 40’s.

That one is looking pretty good (I even used the battered wife example later in the post that Glenn uses today) and the Bold prediction is not looking so bold these days. One note, the first two sentences were in a block quote, I either missed the link or I accidentally put it in the block. I can’t find the quote elsewhere online so it might be mine but I should be more careful.

Another post that looks like it could have gone up this week is this one:

The question then is why? Why make the big deal, and why the big fuss over republican votes when the democrats have the power and the votes? Easy.

They want cover, they want power but not responsibility. They want someone to blame. They remember 1994 and the Clinton Tax increase. They also know that this country is still a 51-49 country and that the blue dogs in the house are not going to keep their seats if they go too far left.

Mark my words when things get worse (they will) the congress will get worried. In 2010 with the recovery hasn’t taken place (much too soon) Democrats in congress will be trying to deflect blame and ask for patience.

Remove the word “stimulus” and replace it withhealthcare” and it could go up now.

Several “linked” posts have particular relevance today. I promoted something from comments:

his president has already made it clear that he is above the press by his actions. It is as if he is royalty and bestowing his favors on his faithful subjects. I can’t believe that the members of the press are going to be willing to take this treatment for long. Oh they will keep their mouth’s shut for a while. Their resentment will be whispered and building, but it will take only one prominent reporter on the left to say it aloud and it will come pouring out. I actually have an opinion as to which two reporters/opinion journalists will do it. But I’m keeping that to myself for now.

It will be hard for the press to re-direct their anger to conservatives when we have so little power.

I hate to admit it but I totally forgot who those reporters were, but we have seen some of this from the base and from reporters, but it is the next line that mattered:

The whitehouse will use the Blame Bush stratagem to deflect this when it comes but I think it will come.

Ok so the White house is having trouble with their base, but I didn’t think they would be so desperate to mollify the base to risk the consequences mentioned in these two posts:

The democrats are all talk and smoke on this subject. They will try to go though some motions to mollify their guys but there is no way at all they will pursue this. It is a high risk move at a time or crisis with the only upside being among fanatics.

My explanation is here, my money quotes:

You can take this to the bank: Any successful attack on American soil during an Obama administration is going to be wholly owned by not only that administration but the Democratic party…

…Any kind of trials will be drawn out affairs and would likely be still going on during a successful attack. How much worse will it be for those who failed to protect the country if those who succeeded in protecting the nation are on trial during their failure?

It was my opinion at the time that the President would offer the pardons as he cares not what the press think. From what I’ve seen about the way the press and the news has been treating not only the incoming president but the outgoing crew even in his last days, I think the smirk is going to win. He is savvy enough to know what this would do to the Democrats they will be forced to either engage their far left base or take the risk I said above. These people won’t do it and it they did it would destroy them. It will be his final victory against them.

All the risks still exist, I think this is sheer panic to change the subject. He has fallen into the final trap laid by George W. Bush.

It was interesting reading those old posts, I’ll do it again when I hit the 1000 post mark or my year anniversary.

UPDATE: I looked at the wrong column, it was 900 comments. Pass me my idiot mittens.

What is going on in healthcare illustrates the real difference between the Democratic and Republican Caucus.

The Republican Caucus is more homogeneous. There may be individual members with particular opinions or agendas but as a rule it is easier to hold together. They are united by a common set of basic values. That doesn’t mean they won’t violate them easily (as has been amply demonstrated) but the A smaller majority of republicans are can act is a single direction because they generally look in a single direction.

The Democratic Caucus is actually a conglomeration of many different groups, based on race, sexual preference, and others, quite a few of the anti-anti’s other groups from environmentalists, feminists, to pacifists, to socialists et /al.

The problem here is that some of these groups are by nature diametrically opposite of one other, For example the democrats for reasons I still can’t explain tend to get 90% of the black vote, but that same community is highly religious and mostly protestant. To expect that they were going to support Gay Marriage in California was very funny, but of course the left KNEW this but didn’t dare attack a member of the grand coalition so instead the Mormons and little old ladies with crosses were the target.

As the Hispanic (do the descendants of the former Spanish colonies of South America actually call themselves “Hispanic” or is that another term made up by us?) community increases democrats hope to gain votes, but these are also VERY Catholic people, a lot of them are better Catholics then what we have here now. They also come from a society that still celebrates the Macho. (have you every actually WATCHED Spanish language TV? Feminists would be marching in the streets over it if that was the fare on ABC, NBC, CBS et/al. It’s spike TV on steroids!)

Given this situation it is no wonder that democrats can’t get a bill out on their own. The various caucus have different beliefs, different agendas and most importantly different voting bases.

The actual fact is that the people in the safest districts are the biggest advocates of health care “reform” so they have the least to lose except in a primary. The problem is the leadership knows that a primary challenge in those districts will likely not hurt democratic prospects there.

They DO know that in the blue dog districts those seats ARE at risk, particularly in 2010 since the easiest time to unseat an incumbent is in their first bid for re-election.

Do you think the leadership is going to risk their Chairmanships in the house over this? I think not.

…as HillBuzz explains:

Sarah Palin is almost single-handedly bringing down Obamacare using only Facebook.

Let that sink in for a moment. The woman the Loony Left demonizes as Anita Bryant 2.0 and Tina Fey lampoons as some sort of space cadet, the woman the Lefties in Chicago constantly make the butt of their jokes or use as a straw (wo)man for whatever they need a villain for, posts remarks on Facebook that fuel Americans’ anger and resentment over the way Democrats are rushing through healthcare reform so recklessly.

The woman these Lefties claim is so, so stupid sure seems mighty smart to us.

Here’s her latest posting on Facebook…it is spot-on, perfect. If anyone doesn’t believe this woman is running for president, we just don’t know what to tell you

The problem with living in an echo chamber is you can’t hear anything else. As Palin supporters we need to take that to heart. Just because we are on her side that doesn’t mean we are immune to this.

Speaking of echo chambers despite the opinions of three guys I respect they totally misread Clift.

True she re-writes history both on social security and medicare but on the campaign:

Obama won the election because his campaign had a great ground game and they had him, a super communicator who made the media swoon.

Poppycock the media didn’t swoon because of Obama’s skill as a communicator. They swooned because they projected onto him a compilation of all their liberal “virtues” and didn’t bother to vett him at all. They saw what they wanted to see.

Despite this Clift finally figures out this isn’t enough:

All the White House has to counter the opposition is Obama, and he’s not enough. The magic has waned. People don’t line up for miles to see him the way they did in the campaign. And judging by the anxiety showing up in the polls, voters don’t trust Obama enough on health-care reform to set aside their historic distrust of government.

This statement also has holes, he has the media and the SEIU, but the media are not believed thanks to stuff like this and this, and the SEIU’s tactics of infiltration or calling Black men niggers and sending them to the hospital if they seem to oppose the president for some reason just doesn’t capture the imagination of the masses.

Clift doesn’t recognize that his stuff is smoke and mirrors but sees that whatever it is, it’s not enough. This isn’t the word of someone at worship, it’s the word of someone who realizes the game is up and has to change. One last tidbit:

“When it comes to taking a punch, I don’t know whether you’re Muhammad Ali or Floyd Patterson,” Axelrod wrote to Obama in a November 2006 memo

Right sport wrong analogy, Obama isn’t Ali or Patterson, he’s Primo Carnera. He’s a cog of the Chicago machine who with the media have fed him a diet of stiffs to get on top.

Of course the comparison might be is unfair to Primo.

Footnote. I never know he was the only man to ever hold the Boxing and Wrestling World Championships.

Do you know the secret to a successful bluff, once in a while you have to have the cards.

“Get it to the floor. Up or down, baby,” Steele said at a news conference at the state GOP headquarters. “Put it on the table. And if you don’t think you’ve got enough votes to get to 60, you’ve got the nuclear option. You’ve got 51.”

These guys aren’t counting votes on the floor, they’re counting votes to keep their chairmanships in 2010 & 2012 and the pork that comes with it.

Update: Hotair notices but Byron doesn’t think it’s a bluff.

And Byron is VERY smart.

You know once upon a time the NAACP was a great organization that fought for the rights of Black people in a segregated world and helped propel a race that had languished into slavery to realize its full potential. Today Black Americans live better then Blacks in any country in Africa.

As documented in the soon to be released (aug 25) book A Mightly long way (my Amazon review here) the NAACP risked life and limb to protect people like Carlotta Walls Lanier from danger.

What a difference a couple of generations make.

Yesterday Black conservatives protested in front of the St. Louis office of the NAACP to protest their non response to the attacks on Ken Gladney back on the 6th.

Mind you this is a man who was beaten and called a Nigger by a white man, there is some raw film too and the news and film was spread on the net that very day. Nothing.

The response of the NAACP?

“The St. Louis branch of the NAACP will and does accept and investigate all written complaints filed with us, regardless of the complainant’s ideology,” said Claude Brown Sr., president of the St. Louis City NAACP. “We regret that a group has decided to protest outside our office before contacting us or filing such a complaint.”

I don’t recall reading about the written complaint from the young Miss Walls in that book.

You see the beater was a member of the SEIU sent out to help shore up support for Obamacare. As an Obama supporter he is exempt from the normal NAACP procedure.

If you read histories of Jim Crow over and over obscure rules were used to legally deny Black Americans their rights, extra hoops were made to be jumped through and if people managed to circumvent one rule another would appear to stand in their way. It was disgraceful.

In my opinion Jim Crow was the second of three great evils that the democratic party has supported in its long history.

It’s sad to say but the NAACP is using Jim Crow tactics here against a black man who doesn’t believe what they do. Jim Crow now meet Jimmi C. To call it a disgrace is too weak a word.

Update: The Anchoress talks a little thuggery.

Thuggery is such a harsh word. But unambiguous, no?

She is referring to the debate and plan in particular but that’s what has me so riled up.

In Mrs. Lanier’s book she talks about how blacks and whites managed to co-exist, seemingly getting along but there was a price, blacks had to know their place. Once she didn’t know her place then all bets were off.

It seems to be that this is exactly what is going on here with Mr. Gladney. Let’s even make a concession to Wonkette and admit the possibility that Mr. Gladney is whoring this out for a buck or two. Even if that is true the message is still there, if you are a Black man in America your place is behind President Obama, if you get out of that place then we will treat you like we treated the Walls family back at Little Rock.

The left and the media are letting this go for political advantage. That is a historical obscenity and it makes me sick.

who knows?

…on a subject as hot-button as this, after having won a 51/49 election last year, this guy’s clearly taking his electoral life in his hands by saying this out loud.

Well good for him if he actually believes the healthcare plan is right. He’s wrong but at least he’s wrong honest. Remember what President Cleveland said:

What’s the use of being elected or re-elected if you don’t stand for something?

I’ll be very interested to find out if this guy was just playing to the netroots crowd and runs like a rabbit once this starts playing in his district. It won’t take long to find out.

Tip O’Neil when challenged on his assessment of a bill had a stock answer that he often used “I’ve always known how to count”. Apparently James Carville didn’t pick up that skill:

On CNN’s “State of the Union,” Democratic strategist James Carville became the first leading Democrat to suggest publicly that there might be political advantage in letting Republicans “kill” health care.

“Put a bill out there, make them filibuster it, make them be what they are, the party of no,” Carville said. “Let them kill it. Let them kill it with the interest group money, then run against them. That’s what we ought to do.”

Unless he knows about a special election that the rest of us don’t there are still only 40 Republican votes in the senate and the house has a very large democratic majority. Republicans can’t kill any bill the democrats are willing to pass.

What Mr. Carville wants is cover for his members and the ability to share the blame. If his people really believed this was the right thing to do they would do it. They want cover for this lemon, the Republicans won’t give it so he is trying to make lemonade.

I’m surprised the National Review didn’t notice it.

Update:
The NYT can’t count either but Patterico can