Had a long wait trying to get my credentials apparently instead of being at the Convention center they were at Romney HQ rather than here so I had a bit of a wait before actually getting in.

Once I got in I’ve found it fairly boring, My PC was near dead from traveling and the hone needed charging so I parked myself in a corner and started waiting.

If there is one thing I’ve discovered it’s that:

There is a difference between “projections” and “results”

and there is nothing so fickle as the folks at an event like this.

Lots of mood swings, particularly when Obama was projected to get Pennsylvania (hey last shot to steal before the voter ID law and Michigan wasn’t a big thought but the New Hampshire numbers have surprised me, an awful lot of change in just two years, but then again a lot of people have been running away from Massachusetts. Considering the results from the state so far can’t blame them.

But people here are too busy reacting to early calls, the only thing we can simply do is to wait and let the results come in and see what the actual numbers are, there is no percentage in worry or speculation.

So I will sit and wait which when it comes down it is all that can be done now.

And before we all panic over projections let me note something.

About an hour ago they were calling question 2 as a winner with 7% of the vote in

As of right now it’s trailing 51-49 with 34% of the vote in.

Like in baseball, you actually have to play the game, so don’t get panicked or angry…

…unless someone charges you $4.75 or a can of diet pepsi

Update:
Scott Brown giving concession speech, Massachusetts voters getting what we deserve, I think Brown was better than Warren but perhaps the GOP should have spent some time selling conservatism rather than running from it.

Update 2: Stacy McCain has given up the ghost, I’m still waiting to see the hard numbers out of Wisconsin and I’m even more interested in where the vote is.

Update 3: It’s amazing what happens when you don’t have a 16-1 cash advantage over your opponent in Ohio to boost your chances.

Update 4: Apparently things have to get much worse before they get better, lucky for the US the “much worse” part is practically assured now

We are now a week away from election day and the MSM has been given a gift called Sandy.

Why do I call it a gift to the MSM? Because it gives them a story that overwhelms all others allowing them to put the election on the second or third tier as Romney continues his march.

I have been telling you for a while that the best way to determine what is happening is what people are saying, vs what people are doing.

Yesterday I was listening to Rush on a Minnesota radio station because all the local stations were all Sandy all the time and what did to my wondering eyes did appear but news of Bill Clinton going right there.

Now let’s be clear, There is the president, there is VP and there is Bill Clinton, these are the big guns for the Democrats and are not deployed lightly.

You are sending the single most valuable non-office asset the Democrats have to Minnesota? Not Colorado? Not Nevada, not Wisconsin, not Iowa, not Virginia but MINNESOTA?

How on earth do you justify this move with a week to go unless Obama is in trouble there and if Obama is in trouble in Minnesota then….

As for Pennsylvania we Reported Paul Ryan has done events there, which tells you plenty remember Time is the one commodity you can’t get more of and if Ryan was campaigning in PA last week that means something. Now both sides are spending money in the state but with a difference. The GOP money is a super pac outside of the campaign, the Obama money is DIRECTLY FROM THE CAMPAIGN.

If the White house is spending its limited funds in Pennsylvania then that says…

Finally Florida, the big swing state what are we hearing about Florida.

Zip

Florida WAS a swing state, it was a state everyone spend a lot of time talking about how Paul Ryan was going to drive seniors away from the party.

None of this has happened. This state is in now a Romney State

If the game is no longer being played in Florida and is now being played in Minnesota & Pennsylvania know what that says?

“Ride right through them, they’re demoralized as hell”!

And if you don’t believe they are demoralized as hell, look at the faces of the MSM.

Update
Stacy who is on the ground in Ohio gets it:

Yesterday, Jim Messina called the Romney super-PAC’s ad buy in Pennsylvania “desperate.” Today? Yeah, Obama’s buying ads in Pennsylvania.

Does this mean Romney is going to win Pennsylvania? No, but it does mean that it’s close enough that Team Obama couldn’t afford to let Romney air ads unopposed in Pennsylvania. And this news, coming just four days after it was reported that Team Obama is buying ads in Minnesota, is the best indication that Democrat insiders know that the president’s re-election is seriously endangered.

Guys, Romney is going to win this race and it’s not going to be close.

“You mean to tell me—HA HA HA—that there are actually people—HOHOHOHO—who—GASP GASP— FALL for that STUPID disguise?”

Ambush Bug to Clark Kent/Superman Action comics 560

After putting out this tweet yesterday

Some members of the left are understandably upset so Jonathan If you don’t believe Obama is up in the polls you’re a “poll denier” Chait has decided to respond:

Oops sorry that sure sounded like him, here is what he actually said:

This is a bluff. Romney is carefully attempting to project an atmosphere of momentum, in the hopes of winning positive media coverage and, thus, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy.

For those of you still able to read this because you weren’t drinking in front of your PC’s or laptops let me explain the the error of he that NY Mag sees fit to pay for this nonsense

Mr Chait has fallen victim to his own propaganda, like General Beauregard who was shocked to discover that the elaborate designs to invade the North early in the war propagated by Albert Sydney Johnston was an elaborate bluff, Mr. Chait has fallen victim to the rest of the media’s similar moves in this election cycle.

Mr. Chait may I be so bold as to note that during the month of September while the media was assuring us Barack Obama was mopping up the floor with Mitt and the only question left was: “Would Mitt abandon Ohio as hopeless?” the people with skin in the game were busy giving the GOP an 80+ Million cash advantage?

May I remind Mr. Chait that almost no candidate in a close race has been willing to appear with Barack Obama and if he was on any fewer web sites of candidates seeking office they would have milk cartons all over swing states.

And may I finally remind Mr. Chait that the MSM would not decide to give favorable coverage to Mitt if Christ himself came down from heaven with JFK & FDR to endorse him for the presidency the media would hit Mitt for crossing the line between the religious and the political

Mr Chait, I hate to disappoint you but not only IS Romney winning, but he has been winning for a lot longer than the media has been willing to admit. If Obama was any more toast he would be served with your breakfast with a pad of butter and a side of Jam at your favorite local diner.

But by all means believe what you want to believe and when Mitt Wins (and wins big) you can push the stolen election meme that the UN observers are undoubtedly preparing to write.

Much simpler than sell examination.

Editors note: It goes without saying that this entire piece assumes Mr. Chait believes this nonsense and is not trying hie best to stem the tide of a depression so deep among Democrats that they fear losing the coveted Honey Boo Boo endorsement.

Bottom line.

10:30 Not a single vote has changed tonight, this race is over better get used to saying President Romney folks.

10:23 Whenever this spins to the economy it is bad for the White House

10:16 Bad move by the president pivoting to economy, another slow pitch for Romney to hit out

10:12 Debate has started to backslip again

10:01 The president playing the flip flop card, not a bad tactic, but would have been more effective if he started in 1st debate to establish this theme.

9:59 The President talking about travels less effective, Romney landing some solid blows now.

9:57 The point “you skipped Israel and the countries noticed” was devastating.

9:54 The green revolution statement is important, the media gave it short shift

9:50 I’m not seeing anything so far that will change the race tonight

9:44 Is it just me or does that horses and “we have aircraft carriers” business sound condensing?

9:33 That was a slow pitch over the plate from the president, and Mitt just hit it out: I don’t want to see for the next four years what I saw the last four years. Just what he needs, and ties the 5 point plan to foreign issues pretty well with the Latin America connection.

9:32 The “never stronger alliances” just doesn’t fly, but Mitt seems to be playing prevent tonight so far or is it just me?

9:27 Am I the only guy who can’t tell these two guys apart so far?

9:17 Rather quiet exchange to this point other than the small barbs

9:12 The line concerning 50’s 20’s 80’s is cute but pretending Russia is not a threat considering they have supported the bad guys consistently is nonsense.

9:09 The path is to get the Muslim world to reject extremism on its own. That will be very hard.

9:08 The President’s answer in terms of what he did in Libya, is patently false. However the back story concerning Libya is correct.

9:06 Rather long Answer by Romney on the first question

The Doctor: What are you a journalist?

Penny: Yes!

The Doctor: Then make it up.

Doctor Who Partners in Crime 2008

Robert Stacy McCain and the Sept Finance Report drives the final stake through the Democrats Heart:

The Democrats ended September with cash on hand of $4.6 million, compared to the Republican National Committee’s $82.6 million.

That’s nearly an 18-to-1 cash advantage for Republicans.

And if you think that’s bad this is worse:

the DNC, they had to take out loans to pay the bills so that they owed $20.5 million at the end of September, meaning that that (subtracting cash on hand from total debt) they were $15.9 million in the red — essentially bankrupt. Wasserman-Schultz’s committee only raised $3.7 million in September; at that pace, it would take them more than four months to clear their debt, even if they didn’t spend another dime in the meantime.

What is the most significant word in this story? SEPTEMBER.

You see the first debate wasn’t until Oct 3rd. September was the DNC in Charlotte. It took place the first week of the month. A convention that our media friends told us was such a success for the Obama Campaign, A Convention the media told us put Romney in a big hole, a convention that meant Romney would need a miracle of a debate performance to recover from.

Yet in the land of Realville in that awesome month for the left when the month when Republicans were going down for the third time the people who actually write the checks were so impressed by the party they left them in a state where they had about 6% of the cash the GOP did.

You can believe one of two things, either the money men all employed psychics who were under the influence of Pyroviles:

Sept 1st 2012 Big Money INC HQ

or the media was shoveling in the hopes of bucking up the left and scaring the right.

Believe what you want, here is what I believe:

“Ride right through them, they’re demoralized as hell”!

It’s easy to ride right through them when they can’t afford Horses!

Looking at the media reaction to the debate particularly from our friends in MSNBC perfectly illustrates the difference between Strategy and Tactics that I discussed in one of my premium commentaries.

The left seems unanimous that Obama won this debate decisively, they point to the “women” questions. They point to Candy Crowley’s “tackle” of Mitt Romney. They point to polls at both CBS that had Obama winning by 8 and CNN that had Obama up by 7.

Unfortunately Barack Obama and the left are looking tactically and not strategically, they are subjecting Barack Obama to as George Bush called it: The Soft Bigotry of Low Expectations.

Two weeks ago Barack Obama turned in comparatively one of the worst debate performances since Admiral Stockdale. The media and the left has been in panic ever since. They weren’t worried about Obama losing the debate, they were worried about Obama drooling all over himself, as I tweeted last night:

If you grade Barack Obama on the Denver Scale he got an A+, in reality this debate was about even, I gave Romney a 2 pt win but I have no problem with someone who gives Obama that same margin, but the goal here isn’t to be given the a nod on point, the goal is to win the election.  In the Frank Luntz focus group out in Nevada, a swing state it was DEVASTATING.

Note the only defenders of Obama were all “Romney is after our ladyparts”.

On MSNBC while the entire table was ABSOLUTELY positive Obama won, the verdict of actual voters of the focus group was quite different.

and when Chris Matthews threw a loaded question attempting to push the women in the panel away from Romney, he failed.

I don’t have the CNN panel video but they also split on where they were voting.

That’s the bottom line, it doesn’t matter what people think about winning the debate it’s who they will vote for as John King on CNN said:

“Yankee fans agree the Tigers won last night but they’re not voting for Detroit”

Romney is ahead if Obama doesn’t move those voters he is toast.  I’ll give Chris Barron the last word:

This race is over, start practicing saying: President Romney

Update: I suspect if the president did as well as MSNBC thinks there would not be a legion of idiots publicly vowing to kill Mitt Romney

Funny how the MSM doesn’t find this a story, isn’t it?

Update 2: the Evil Blogger Lady gets it.

Today’s Subscription video talks about the difference between Strategic thinking vs Tactical thinking and includes a bit of Civil War History.

Of course if you want to hear the entire commentary (available here) simply hit DaTipJar




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We are only a week away from DaTechGuy 100th show Celebration at Lago’s Ristorante on October 20th. We will be broadcasting live from 10-noon and then staying till 2 to eat and say hello to all the people who made 100 weeks possible.

If you want to come simply fill out the form below

See you then

To those democrats and Independents whose minds are open to argument, listen closely to the Democratic party that will gather in Charlotte, ask yourself if you hear your voice in the clamor, ask if these Democrats still speak for you?

Artur Davis Aug 28th 2012

Several months ago I was on a conference call with the now official GOP nominee for ma-4 Sean Bielat during which his operative Sarah Rumpf actually referred us to Joe Kennedy III’s web site to see how devoid it was of idea.

It was an extraordinary moment I had never heard of a representative of a candidate directing voters to their opponent site and I asked her about it. She said she had never made such a recommendation before but Kennedy’s website demonstrated his lack of ideas so well.

During the GOP convention that the MSM declared a failure Artur Davis Former Congressman from Alabama and Former member of the Democrat Party during a speech Rob Eno of Red Mass Group said “Should have been the Keynote” implored Americans to Watch the Democrat Convention and see if that is the party they think it is.

Lucky for the Democrat party most American’s didn’t take him up on it so they received a filtered and spun version of reality where the booing of God and Jerusalem was a non issue and Bill Clinton’s speech was not outdrawn by the opening of the Football season.

Now that the first debate is behind us and the protective screen that the media has surrounded the Obama campaign has been pierced NOW is the time to replay on the air some of those highlights that the media decided was not newsworthy at the time.

I think some of those videos might be a revelation to those who still think this is John F. Kennedy’s Democrat party. It certainly will be a revelation to those getting those calls claiming Barack Obama is not pro abortion.

called a sp

He’s going to show you the bricks. He’ll show you they got straight sides. He’ll show you how they got the right shape. He’ll show them to you in a very special way, so that they appear to have everything a brick should have. But there’s one thing he’s not gonna show you. When you look at the bricks from the right angle, they’re as thin as this playing card. His whole case is an illusion, a magic trick.

My Cousin Vinny 1992

Remain Calm, all is well

Animal House 1978

 

We are now more than 24 hours out of the Obama/Romney and the full impact of the Media & the Obama campaign’s brief visit to Realville is still rippling though the political community.

For months the Obama Campaign and the Media have crafted a carefully built house of cards that Barack Obama has been in the lead for months and that the GOP had no chance.

Their weapons were polls skewed even more that the shots of the villains hideout in the old Batman series and the control of the narrative that the media can shape.

But on Wednesday 65 million people+ saw Mitt Romney next to Barack Obama, unfiltered, face to face and they liked what they saw.

The excuses poured out. Oh it was the altitude, oh Jim Lehrer didn’t do his job (apparently this job is to carry the Democrat Candidate see David Gregory and the 2nd part of the Scott Brown Elizabeth Warren), Romney was using “racist dog whistles“, oh and Romney was just a big fat liar etc etc etc.

The real problem is an economy that is in horrible shape

The real problem is even with skewed polls people think the country is in the wrong direction

The real problem is each day more facts on Libya come out damaging to the administrations narrative

Mike Barnicle on Morning Joe yesterday alone noted the lack of his teleprompter. But the real problem has been the lack of a competent president

The real problem is the empty Chair that Clint Eastwood debated showed up Wednesday.

And now the Tens of millions of people who don’t follow the fight every day like you dear reader, saw the emperor with no clothes and then went back to their lives immune to the agreed counter message the left/whitehouse/msm is now coordinating.

And people are figuring it out. Three examples:

Remember AARP booing of Paul Ryan at their convention. The media pushed that story. But they didn’t do much pushing on their coordination with the Obama administration in passing Obamacare

Thanks to just-released emails from the House Energy and Commerce Committee, we now know that AARP worked through 2009-10 as an extension of a Democratic White House, toiling daily to pass a health bill that slashes $716 billion from Medicare, strips seniors of choice, and sets the stage for rationing. We know that despite AARP’s awareness that its seniors overwhelmingly opposed the bill, the “nonpartisan membership organization” chose to serve the president’s agenda.

The 71 pages of emails show an AARP management taking orders from the White House, scripting the president’s talking points, working to keep its board “in line,” and pledging fealty to “the cause.” Seniors deserve to know all this, as AARP seeks to present itself as neutral in this presidential election.

You didn’t hear much of this unless you read blogs like Bill Jacobson’s but Wednesday President Obama invoked the support of AARP on stage and AARP didn’t like it:

“While we respect the rights of each campaign to make its case to voters, AARP has never consented to the use of its name by any candidate or political campaign. AARP is a nonpartisan organization and we do not endorse political candidates nor coordinate with any candidate or political party.

Simple question: Even if the president had a bad day, does AARP throw Barack Obama under the bus if they see him winning?

We’ve been told that Barack Obama has a huge advantage in early voting, we’ve seen poll after poll talking about how even if Romney “turns things around” too many people have already voted.

Yet here are the reports that we’ve seen in the last few days:

While in 2008, 33 percent of the 1,158,301 absentee ballots went to Democrats and just 19 percent to registered Republicans, a 14-point gap, this year 29 percent are being requested by Democrats and 24 percent by Republicans, a five-point gap.

What could be worse for Obama?

University of Dayton Professor Larry Schweikart told American Majority Action President Ned Ryun that the GOP gains favor Romney. “Although it is early, we will soon be at a point where–assuming Republicans vote for Romney–the Democrats will have to overwhelmingly win all the remaining early voting just to be even on November 6. But, given Ohio’s voting history, if the numbers are even close after early voting, Obama will lose, and possibly lose big.”

And the Guardian:

A Guardian survey of six of the most crucial swing states upon which the outcome of the presidential ballot is likely to depend has found that new voter registrations recorded between January and August this year are markedly down compared with the same period in 2008. The drop is particularly pronounced in several states for the Democrats – a likely indication that Barack Obama’s re-election team has been unable to match the exceptional levels of voter excitement generated by his candidacy four years ago.

and of course Rasmussen poll which shows the GOP registration at its second highest number ever.

Question: If the president is doing so well, where are all these republicans coming from?

Finally as I’ve said before, as we get closer and closer to the finish line, time becomes the one commodity you can’t get more of, so every second is precious.

Yesterday President Obama coming off his disastrous performance in Denver had a large and successful rally at least through the eyes of a fan:

When Obama arrives, looking casual in khakis and a jacket, the clouds literally part. Good grief, does this guy have even the sun on his campaign payroll? Surveying the huge audience, he gets them eating out of his hand from the start: “I’ve been told this is good practice for Halloween on State Street!”

This is not the subdued, diplomatic Obama of the presidential debate. Offering a clue about the way he’ll spend the month before the election, the president lights into Mitt Romney with gusto. Referring to Romney’s overeager debate performance, he says, “I met this very spirited fellow who looked like Mitt Romney.” The conceit is that this “fellow” wasn’t the real Romney, having masked his views to appear more moderate.

Aside from this new material on the debate, much of what Obama says is familiar: “We can’t afford to double-down on the same trickle-down policies that got us into this mess.” “We succeed when everyone has a shot.” But he delivers his message so fiercely that you fear for Mitt Romney’s safety at the next debate.

Obama has the crowd screaming as he turns up the heat at the end of his speech. “I’m not fighting to create Democratic or Republican jobs, I’m fighting to create American jobs!”

A pretty picture, but the problem isn’t the picture it’s where the picture is being taken.

The rally was in Madison Wisconsin, a state that just last month the media reported polls showing a double digit lead for the President.

Question: If the polls are correct as reported, why is the president spending one of the few precious days left in this campaign in a supposedly safe blue state?

The answer to all of these things is simple, the Obama Campaign like the Obama presidency has been what it always has been, a con, grift, an illusion. Take off the media filter and you see things as they are.

And when you see things as they are, there is only one thing to do

“Ride right through them, they’re demoralized as hell”!

Or as Stacy McCain might say: “Keep up the skeer”