Well there is only an hour before the vote on what’s been dubbed “Obamacare lite” and I’m going to shock a few people here by saying this.
The House should pass this bill.
Why because this is the same situation as Toomey Manchin only in reverse.
Even if we take all the complaints about the bill as given killing it springs four traps on the GOP.
1. More More More:
In the midnight hour she cried more more more
Billy Idol “Rebel Yell” 1983
The old Ted Kennedy plan which always worked was to take an existing piece of what you wanted and over time get the rest of it done as the opportunity came. It’s how he got liberalism to win. The opposition to this bill is the exact opposite, by deciding we couldn’t get all that we wanted we guarantee we’ll get none. While that might be good for fundraising it’s not good for stopping Obamacare
Or to put it another way, if we thought that way during the election we’d have president Hillary now.
UPDATE: One more thing I didn’t think of. Every piece of Obama we kill by law, including the funding of Obamacare by law is a piece that the Democrats can’t get back unless they get it passed again by law. That’s huge.
2. Blaidd Drwg squared
9th Doctor: This station is designed to explode the minute it reaches capacity
Doctor Who: Boom Town 2005
In all the debate that the MSM is giving to this nobody seems to be asking the question that really matters.
“How would keeping Obamacare intact help the American people or the GOP?”
The MSM ask this question because the left knows the answer is “It Wouldn’t!” By leaving Obamacare as is we end up keeping all its economy killing components in place as opposed to some of them. Maybe it’s just me but if the best I can do if heading for a cliff is decelerate to 30 mph instead of stopping I’ll do it, because that at least gives me time that I didn’t have before. That’s one of the reasons why smart people on the right will vote for it. Oddly that’s also the reason why the left will do all they can from preventing smart people from doing so. Why, because of #3…
3. I WAS HOPING YOU’D THINK THAT DUMMY:
Spock: Mister Oxmyx, I understood we had an arrangement, a truce.
Oxmyx: I was hoping you’d think that, dummy.
Star Trek: A Piece of the action 1968
We keep hearing from some that unless we get full repeal now it’s a failure this implies that doing nothing will give us a reward from the votes and the mainstream media for the GOP;s inaction.
That just stupid.
Not only will the GOP get all the blame for not repealing Obama but because they allowed it to stay in place the MSM will now be able to successfully shift the blame for all the bad effect of Obamacare to the GOP, and they’ll be able to do this because my conservative friends saved it.
That’s why Trump is smart enough to shift the blame here, he knows the media, he knows the meme and the costs of this failure and if the house wants to pay those costs he’ll let them
That house conservatives don’t get this is pretty sad.
Finally there is one aspect of this that everyone is missing
4. This isn’t the beginning of the end it’s the end of the beginning .
4th Doctor: First things first but not necessarily in that order
Doctor Who Meglos 1980
In all the chest thumping going on everyone is forgetting that if the house bill passes as is the Senate gets a go at it. This not only means that senators like Cruz and Paul will get a shot and modifying it but even after passage there will be a conference committee to iron out the details.
All of this will not only provide time to make improvements but will also give time to play the either the parliamentary option (allowing extra stuff as part of a 50 vote option) or even the thermonuclear option (losing the filibuster for everything). Passing this bill allows us to being this process, Waiting till the fall give the left time to stall to kill it, the same tactics the south used to kill civil rights legislation for decades.
This bill as passed isn’t the final bill and congress should know it, so they should stop pretending it is and get the ball rolling.
Bottom line, rejecting this bill is a trap and It pains me to see so many conservatives ready to jump into it, particularly since the MSM and Democrats are practically advertising that it is. I’ve hit the GOP establishment for getting spooked by the MSM’s stick. Will my fellow conservatives who didn’t get spooked by the MSM stick be enticed by their carrot?
I sure hope not
Update 2: (update 1 is up top) I know many of my writers here disagree with me on this, that’s fine, I respect their opinion and have no problem giving them a platform to disagree with me on this, but I think they’re wrong and I wanted to get that on the record before things happen, not after.
It’s also possible that if this fails there might be time to get a new version passed, but I suspect the closer such a bill gets to primary season the harder it will be to get done and that will enable Democrats in the house to no end.
Update 3: I’m not sure if pulling the bill was worse than letting it fail, but the absolute unadulterated glee of the mainstream media all over cable and the net right now should tell you how badly we conservatives have just let ourselves be played.