There has been a bit of a buzz concerning Hillary Clinton appropriating the words of Ted Cruz’s speech at the RNC convention.

I think those words of Hillary’s are interesting: “Ted Cruz was right. In this election do the right thing vote your conscience”

Well progressives you heard her.

If your progressive conscience objects to people swimming in special interest money, Listen to Hillary. Do the right thing, vote your conscience, vote for Dr. Jill Stein

If your progressive conscience objects to candidates who not only take huge money to speak before organizations like Goldman Sacks but won’t release the transcripts of those speeches Listen to Hillary Do the right thing, vote your conscience, vote for Dr. Jill Stein.

If your progressive conscience objects to candidates who voted for and supported the Iraq War, Listen to Hillary Do the right thing, vote your conscience, vote for Dr. Jill Stein.

If your progressive conscience objects to candidates and their allies who conspires to smear progressive like Bernie Sanders and manipulate votes in states like Iowa for their advantage. Listen to Hillary Do the right thing, vote your conscience, vote for Dr. Jill Stein.

If your progressive conscience objects to a candidate who was, at best careless with classified information Listen to Hillary Do the right thing, vote your conscience, vote for Dr. Jill Stein.

If your progressive conscience objects to candidates who given the chance to choose a progressive diverse candidate as a running mate selects a while male insider who calls himself pro-life Listen to Hillary Do the right thing, vote your conscience, vote for Dr. Jill Stein.

If your progressive conscience objects says that as a person who worked so hard for Bernie and the progressive ideal that you simply can see yourself voting for Hillary, Listen to Hillary Do the right thing, vote your conscience, vote for Dr. Jill Stein.

Well personally I think if Hillary Clinton is so insistent that progressives vote their conscience who am I to say otherwise?

If you read my morning post you know that in my opinion Ted Cruz’s speech at the Republican Convention was the only honorable response for him in this situation and I applaud him for it.

However you might noticed that while I think Ted Cruz was totally justified in what he said at and after the speech as you can see by the title of this post I think Donald Trump played Ted Cruz and won, and I would even say won brilliantly.

The reason is apparent when you ask a very basic question:

What advantage does Donald Trump get with a Ted Cruz endorsement?

The answer is almost none.

Donald Trump spent the entire campaign (falsely) referring to Ted Cruz as “lying Ted”, the media, which hates Ted Cruz MUCH more than they do Trump and have been attacking him since the day he was elected, played it up a year.  He would get no love from the GOP establishment which hates Ted Cruz as much as the media does from an endorsement and the number of NeverTrump people from the GOP who would vote for Trump after a Cruz endorsement is so minimal that it’s not worth thinking of.

In fact a Ted Cruz endorsement might even HURT Trump who is still trying to win over Bernie Sanders fans who believe Ted Cruz is the devil and seriously could you imagine the gift to Hillary Clinton a Ted Cruz endorsement would be?  I can see the ad now:

Mythical Cruz Endorsement speech:  “Donald Trump is a great leader”

Cut to old Donald Trump “We call him lying Ted”

Mythical Cruz Endorsement speech “Donald trump will make America Great again”

Cut to old Donald Trump speech: “He lies lies and lies”

I’m Hillary Clinton & I approve this message

Donald Trump knows media and knows visuals, he isn’t dumb enough to let this happen.

There is also no advantage for NOT having Ted Cruz speak.  He won 11 states and made a strong case if he was denied a speaking spot or stayed away it would draw into question the “Big Tent” business and “party unity” meme that Trump was playing on.  There is no visual no media no nothing.  Nothing at all, no advantage.

Instead consider what we saw at the GOP convention last night.

Images of the delegates on the GOP floor booing Cruz in support of Trump

A contrast between Cruz’s attack and the pro-trump speech from Mike Pence (who endorsed Cruz before the Indiana primary) causing Cruz grief from all over.

A contrast between Cruz’s “attack” and people reporting Trump thought Cruz’s non-endorsement was “No Big deal

(Even as I type this Rudy Giuliani was on MSNBC calling Trump the “bigger man”.)

And reporter after reporter talking down Ted Cruz both that night and even the next day

And remember all of this is taking place with a GOP convention that is drawing millions more viewers than usual and sets up tonight as an even bigger potential TV audience.

And doesn’t even take into account all the social media radio etc this generated or the fact that it took MSM attempt to go wild Meliana “plagiarism” business off the tube.

All this was made possible because Trump is good at reading people.  He understands who Ted Cruz is and knew that despite all that “lying Ted” BS that Cruz is an honorable man and used that to his advantage.

Trump also knows media, he knows the audience and played to them manipulating the situation, the visuals and the media because he understands that the audience for any counter argument will be only a tiny percentage of this and consists mostly of political geeks like you and me dear reader.  If Mitt Romney had 1/10 of the Trump media savvy he’d be president today.  It was absolutely brilliant.

And remember each of these conflicts at the convention that the MSM thinks are so damaging helped build audience to draw people who would normally never watch this stuff and give Trump free access to make his case.

And now that Bernie has dropped out what drama is there in the Democrat convention?  What person who has not already made up their mind will be watching it?

Nobody.

Trump won the case and the night and will likely win the competing conventions even with the MSM doing all they can to knock him off and prop up Hillary.  Furthermore his actions maximize the potential vote increase from persuadable voters while keeping any damage localized to voters he had already likely lost.

You can debate Trump and his morality all day and all of the night but in my opinion this is pure LBJ class political genius.

And I submit and suggest that’s not debatable .

One final thing, the fact that Ted Cruz did the right thing and deserves praise rather than blowback he is getting is totally irrelevant to this analysis, but it all comes down to what matters most as this tweet says:


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Mr. Scratch (the devil): [whispering to Webster while he writes his speech] Listen, Black Daniel, you’re wasting your time writing speeches like that. Why worry about the people and their problems? Think of your own. You want to be president of this country, don’t you? And you ought to be! Inauguration Day parade: Bands playing, horses prancing, the sun shining on the stars and stripes waving in the breeze, crowds cheering ‘Daniel Webster, President of the United States of America!’ Don’t be a fool. Stop bothering with that speech and get busy promoting yourself…
Daniel Webster: BE STILL!

The Devil & Daniel Webster 1941

As regular readers of this blog know I’m a Ted Cruz fan. I endorsed him early, supported him through the primaries and was very disappointed that the GOP choose Donald Trump over him.

As regular readers of this blog also know two weeks ago I endorsed Donald Trump citing the danger of electing Hillary and normalizing the efforts of the left to use the IRS and various arms of government to oppress religious and political conservatives. I also stated that if we reward the Corruption of Hillary Clinton with the presidency we would get more of it.

Yesterday Ted Cruz went before the convention to make the speech that being the runner up in a seventeen person field and winning nearly 20 state, he was entitled to make. On the meat of the speech I’ll say nothing because we all know where Ted stands and always had. What I will talk about is the choice he had to make: Would he endorse Donald Trump or not.

Ted Cruz is a young and talented man, there is little doubt that he would be a formidable candidate in the future.

Ted Cruz is also a knowledgeable man, he is quite aware of what Hillary Clinton is and what her election would mean.

Ted Cruz is also a man who knows how to think strategically. Regardless of what some have said an Endorsement of Trump, while disappointing to some would have a lot of upside:

If Trump lost he would be able to count on help from Trump supporters, particularly if he went out on the stump or employed his grassroots team, the type of team that Trump needs right now.

If Trump won, there was always 2024 or 2020 if Trump decided to serve only one term (which I think is likely) and if he helped getting the immigration and ISIS plans of a Trump admin through the senate he could rightly take credit for the results.

Yet if he failed to endorse, he would not only have caused an uproar among trump supporters, but he would ensure that a billionaire and his children would have a chip on their shoulder and the money to spend on many more to destroy any such Ted Cruz run for president.

Against all that upside (and avoiding down side) what was the downside?

Just this.

He would have to betray his family.

If the only thing Ted Cruz had to worry about the false “lying Ted” business I suspect he would have let it go and endorsed Trump.

But Trump and his team slandered Ted Cruz’s father and insulted his wife and did so publicly, and Ted Cruz is half Italian.

To my knowledge Trump has not apologized either publicly or privately If he had then perhaps Cruz could have let it go.

But to publicly endorse Trump would have sent a message to his daughters, that their mother and grandfather meant less to their father than his ambitions.

What man who respects his father and loves his wife and daughters could do such a thing?

A lot of pundits think Ted Cruz’s non endorsement was about ambition, they were right.

It was his ambition to be loyal to his wife and married to her till death do them part and his ambition to teach his children that family trumps power.

That fact that people don’t realize this, the fact that they think it’s about his next run for the White House, frankly says more about those who think this than it does about him.

It might not have been the right thing for the party and you might even make the case that it wasn’t the right thing for his country, but it was the right thing for his wife, his father and his daughters and that’s the first duty of a husband.

Exit question:  Given my opinion you might wonder why was I willing to endorse Mr. Trump, that’s rather easy.  It was not my wife & father that were slandered, thus I am in a position to be more pragmatic and allow the danger of Hillary Clinton to both the country and my family to override my personal honor.

If it had been my wife & father, no power on earth could have prevented me from decking him, let alone getting an endorsement. After all Ted Cruz is only part Italian, I’m a full blooded Sicilian.

Closing thought 1.  Donald Trump is lucky this didn’t happen in the election of 1816 instead of 2016.  If it had I suspect Cruz would have called him out and shot him.

Closing thought 2:  All this being said, Trump knowing what was coming, handled the situation brilliantly and to maximum effect, but that’s a later post.

Update: I think Ted put it perfect here

“I am not in the habit of supporting people who attack my wife and my father. And that pledge was not a blanket commitment that if you slander and attack Heidi that I’m going to nonetheless come like a servile puppy dog and say ‘thank you very much for maligning my wife and maligning my father’.”


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by baldilocks

Right, duty, whatever one wants to call it, I voted today in the California Primary Election. No Party Preference, crossover ballot—Republican. Who did I vote for? Ted Cruz. I figured that readers would want to know.

I first registered as a Republican immediately after the 2000 General Election in which I voted for a Republican picardelectionmemecandidate for president for the first time. This was after a decade-long exploration of the two major political parties and paying closer attention to current events than I had done before that period. Back then, I remained a registered as a Democrat on purpose until after I voted in order to send a tiny message to the party whose principles bore no resemblance to my own. Sixteen years later, the circumstances are similar: this was my first vote as an independent. We’ll see what happens next.


One of my real-life friends tells me that Hillary and Bill Clinton are in town, holding a rally a quick bus ride from my apartment, among other places in LA.

Hillary Clinton is holding multiple campaign events across Southern California on Monday, the eve of the California presidential primary.

Clinton attended a “Get out the Vote” rally at La Fachada Plaza Mexico in Lynwood. Then, she headed to Leimert Park Village Plaza for another rally, followed by an event at Long Beach Community College. The former secretary of state will then head to the Greek Theatre for a concert later in the evening.

The concert will feature singers Christina Aguilera, John Legend and Stevie Wonder.

Clinton has reached the number of delegates and superdelegates needed to win the Democratic nomination, according to an Associated Press survey of delegates.

I get my hair trimmed at a shop about two blocks from Leimert Park and was considering going for a clean-up cut today. Glad I found out about the Clinton event beforehand. Traffic makes me nuts—even when I’m not driving. So do Leftists.

Oh, have I mentioned that my hair is about an inch long? Not so baldilocks anymore. A lot grayer, though.

Juliette Akinyi Ochieng blogs at baldilocks. (Her older blog is located here.) Her first novel, Tale of the Tigers: Love is Not a Game, was published in 2012. Her second novel will be done in 2016. Follow her on Twitter.

Please contribute to Juliette’s JOB:  Her new novel, her blog, her Internet to keep the latter going and COFFEE to keep her going!

Or hit Da Tech Guy’s Tip Jar in the name of Independent Journalism—->>>>baldilocks

The Obama administration’s national security fabulist, Ben Rhodes, has

succeeded in remaking the Middle East to empower America’s most hated enemy, the only United Nations member state committed to the annihilation of another state: the theocratic Islamic Republic of Iran.

Among the so-called moderates Rhodes would name in his sales pitch was Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani, the man who the late Argentinian prosecutor Alberto Nisman accused of being directly involved in planning the July 1994 terror attack on the AMIA Jewish Center in Buenos Aires.

Rhodes’s revelation came from a New York Times interview that was published almost on the same day that Iran’s Brigadier General Ali Abdollahi declared that his country had successfully tested a medium-range (2,000 km, or 1,240 miles) ballistic missile for a clear purpose,

“The reason we designed our missiles with a range of 2,000 km is to be able to hit our enemy the Zionist regime from a safe distance,”

Today Ted Cruz writes of The Mullahs and Their Missiles,

To give credit where credit is due, the regime in Tehran has been frank and open about its continued hostility toward America and Israel. In the months since the Obama administration and the other permanent members of the United Nations Security Council plus Germany (the group commonly referred to as the “P5 + 1”) concluded the deal with Iran called the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, the Revolutionary Guards have tested at least four ballistic missiles. Flush with the $100 billion they claim to be getting in assets unfrozen under the deal, the mullahs have gone on a spending spree, finally purchasing, among other things, the Russian S-300 missile system, which is now being delivered to them.

Cruz states (emphasis added),

The mullahs’ policy is, by their own admission, unchanged. It is the same one that inspired the so-called revolutionaries of 1979 to take 52 Americans as hostages for 444 days, and motivated murderous attacks on Israelis and Americans from Buenos Aires to Beirut to Baghdad over the subsequent decades. The only thing that is changing now is the potential scale of this violence, as they seek to replace truck bombs and roadside explosive devices with the most destructive weapons on the planet and the means to deliver them.

The sensible thing to do now is to face this reality, however unpleasant it may be, and do what we can to bolster our defenses and those of our allies.

In this period where a President is pursuing a legacy no matter the cost, facing reality may be the toughest stance of all.

Fausta Rodriguez Wertz writes on U.S, and Latin American politics, news, and culture at Fausta’s Blog. You can find her posts on Iran’s increasing presence in our hemisphere during the last decade here.

Brett Maverick: Now he did everything a man shouldn’t do, but he’s still alive, looks like he’ll be elected sheriff and I know he’ll end up with the biggest ranch in the territory. I’m broke. Nobody even knows I’m leaving or cares. Could I be wrong?

Maverick: The Saga of Waco Williams 1959

One of the things that leaped out at me after the Indiana Primary results was the sudden pivot of the MSM.

Before the Indiana Primary the media was covering both the GOP race between Donald Trump , Ted Cruz and apparent Trump surrogate John Kasich  and to a lesser degree the Democrat Race between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton.

After the Primary when Senator Cruz was decisively defeated by Mr. Trump & Both Senator Cruz and Trump surrogate John Kasich pulled out of the race the MSM quite rightly stopped covering the GOP primary race as there was no longer a race to be covered.

However the MSM also suddenly decided to stop covering the Democrat race even after Bernie Sanders scored an upset win over Hillary Clinton in a state she previously won in 2008.

This is a cause of consternation among supporters of Bernie Sanders

And without a question there is one person that you need to blame for this situation with the MSM

That person is of course Senator Ted Cruz

You see Donald Trump still can’t mathematically clinch before the primaries on June 7th so as long as Ted Cruz kept his campaign active there was, in theory still a chance that Mr. Trump could fail to get the required delegates before the GOP convention. That would have given the media a reason to cover the GOP nomination race.

And because they were covering the GOP race they had to cover the active Democrat race where Bernie Sanders continues to give Hillary Clinton a run for her money putting their desire to support Hillary Clinton as their (and by “their” I mean the Democrats with bylines that compose the media) nominee.

However Ted Cruz’s withdrawal completely changes the dynamic.

Now there is no longer a GOP race the ratings machine that pays the bills, namely Donald Trump, is now completely focused on attacking Hillary Clinton.

This give the media a ratings and a financial incentive to do what they would like to do anyway, completely ignore Bernie Sanders despite his impressive win in Indiana and excellent prospects in upcoming states and crown Clinton because doing so involves covering Trump.

In fact the only hope of Bernie getting any coverage is if Trump keeps tweeting stuff like this:

Because even if Bernie sweeps the rest of the remaining states, the only substantial coverage he is going to get is if Donald trump brings him up.

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If anyone thinks the words government and efficiency belong in the same sentence, we have counselling available

Paul Tsongas

For many of us conservatives that were once democrats there is a moment when a line was crossed that you just reconcile with truth. My moment came in 1992.

I was a Democrat who has just seen his first business fail, I had lived though the Reagan years and found it was not the disaster that many of my college professors thought it would be, my first son had been born we had just moved into the house where I am typing this post and despite my failure in business my four year old marriage was doing well.

It was the year the junior senator Paul Tsongas from Massachusetts, Paul Tsongas was running for President.

There was much to admire about Mr. Tsongas but the thing that struck me the most was his honesty. Tsongas was a straight shooter who wanted to solve problems.  When asked question he gave straight answers and didn’t pretend that things were other than they were.

After recovering from Cancer he faced Bill Clinton in the primaries.  It took very little time for me to size up Mr. Clinton, while he had the gift of gab and knew how to play the press, it was very obvious to me that he was an opportunist and a BS artist to whom the truth was malleable.

I couldn’t for the life of me believe that the party given the choice between Tsongas and Clinton would go for this guy but even as I after voting for him in November out of fear of Perot found myself walking away from the democrats as the Clinton years played out, voting republican for the first time in 1996 and finally deciding that for a believing Catholic who actually followed the teaching of the church there was no place in the Democrat party for me.

Meanwhile the party given the choice between dealing with the reality of the Monica scandal and deluding themselves found themselves standing behind Clinton, literally, rather than admit to themselves the truth, that they had put a dishonest and dishonorable person in the highest office in the land.

That was, in my opinion the moment the Democrat party sold its collective soul.

I would never vote Democrat again.

I eventually joined the GOP and stood with the party until my very public separation a couple of years ago but as the GOP was the party of the conservative movement they still got my vote even if they didn’t have my membership

And that brings us to 2016.

I decided very early that while there were several candidates I liked:  Scott Walker, Bobby Jindal and Rick Santorum, Ted Cruz was my guy.  I liked how he had fought in Washington being willing to deal with unpleasant truths that many, including the Republican leadership.  I saw him overrule his own people to grant me a promised interview at the end of a long day and then a few weeks after my endorsement of him in September 2015 saw him when given the chance refuse to pander when given an easy chance.

As for Donald Trump, the first thing that was apparent from the day he announced that he was different.  Instead of appealing to the niche market of those who followed elections he went over their heads to the general public who didn’t usually pay attention.

The second thing that was apparent was that he was willing to speak uncomfortable truths, he talked about illegal immigration bringing up the Katie Steinle murder, he talked about radical Islam and Common Core, railed against political correctness and people listened.

Ironically these were all things that Ted Cruz had talked about repeatedly but while the media could ignore Mr. Cruz when he brought up these subjects Mr. Trump’s high profile made it completely impossible.

Alas it also because clear after time that while Mr. Trump was a master at using the media to his advantage, particularly when using it to destroy Republican establishment types like Jeb Bush it became very clear that not only were his pronouncements concerning social issues like abortion, issues that matter to me, matters of convenience that seemed to change depending on the states that were voting next but he seemed willing to cross lines of propriety and ethics that troubled me greatly, particularly when facing reverses.

Now once could argue that this was strategic in the same way that Senator Cruz hitting Trump on his previous record was but the difference being this.  Cruz was pointing to actual provable facts and questioning Trump’s sincerity, while Trump was throwing around snappy sound bites that the media ate up.

Furthermore there is the contrast between the Trump voter and the Cruz voter.  From my interviews the Cruz voter tends to be the true believer, the person who has followed the issues for a long time.  From my interviews of the much maligned Trump voter, frustrated by pols who have proved themselves dishonest and by a system bent on silencing them a lot of them see Trump as a solution for this.  He appeals to them on a gut level and I suspect that it’s because of that gut instinct they are willing to overlook some things that they might object to if said by someone else.

However in the end as Indiana has demonstrated the decision has been made.  The electorate has gone with its gut but Ted Cruz’s question, the one I asked one month ago remains:

Is Donald Trump St. Paul after the road to Damascus or Simon the Magician converted in the hope of getting the power of the Holy Spirit?

If it is the former then the GOP and the country will be in safe hands if he is elected.  If it is the latter than it will mean disaster on an incredible scale.

I’ve met many Trump supporters, and I think they are fine people, furthermore there are a lot of people that I like who are aboard the Trump Train, from my brother and his daughter, to Scottie Neil Hughes, to NH rep Al Baldasaro and people online like John Nolte.

I further think that anyone who thinks Donald Trump can’t beat Hillary even with the MSM pivot that is coming hasn’t paid attention the last few months.

But I find myself thinking of 1992 tonight and suspect that we have made an incredible mistake.

As for myself I have to think and pray on the matter.  I will not vote for a pro-abortion candidate like Hillary and I won’t vote for any person who will treat Christians like 2nd class citizens but it’s too soon for me to make a decision tonight so I will simply say this:

Mr. Trump it is possible for you to get my vote, but you will have to earn it.

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I was looking at a few political headlines this morning. It was like watching an endless volley in a tennis match.

John Podhoretz says to Resign yourself to the depressing reality: It’s going to be Trump vs. Clinton, but Roger Kimball describes Here’s Why the New York Primary Still Doesn’t Matter.

Trump gets 518,000 votes in his home state and is “inevitable.” Cruz gets 1,239,370 in his and nobody notices.

Of course, having the major media outlets based in New York makes reporters more likely to pay attention to New York – especially since they have been playing up The Donald stories for the past four decades. (This is no exaggeration; I worked and lived in the area for all those years. No week went by without a DT news item.)

Few noticed that Kasich won in Trump’s home district. Kasich, by staying in the race, proves to be a valuable asset . . . for Trump. The NYT’s viciously anti-Cruz editorial calls Kasich the moderate Republicans’ “palatable alternative,” damning with faint praise indeed, for anything politically palatable to the NYT editorial board is distinctly distasteful to me.

Reiham Salam (who, like me, has been going through the five stages) voted for Cruz yesterday,

The emotions I most closely associate with this campaign season are, in no particular order, dread, despair, rage, and mournful resignation. So to my surprise, there was a spring in my step as I headed to my polling place, located in a public housing complex a few blocks from my apartment.

 

So, while the headlines go one way or the other, I found Jeremy Carl’s article particularly interesting, as I read it right after reading Pete‘s – both Carl and Pete arrive at the same conclusion,

Barring a very unusual occurrence, this contest will not be decided until (at the earliest) the final states vote on June 7.

 

Two days ago Andrew Klavan warned us to prepare for two weeks of Trump hell (4:00 into the podcast),

“. . . we’re going into the maelstrom. We have New York tomorrow, and then a week from that . . . all these East Coast primaries that Trump, I think is going to win big.”

Klavan, a screenwriter, calls this “the all is lost moment.” He warns us, “this is the moment when people start to lose their nerve.”

To this Cruz supporter, my present attitude is, as Admiral Farragut put it, “Damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead!”

In Farragut’s case, it turned out to be good tactics, too.

Fausta Rodriguez Wertz writes on U.S, and Latin American politics, news, and culture at Fausta’s Blog.

 

A few days ago Wired gave breathless space to a piece about a couple of Bronx Rappers objecting to Ted Cruz campaigning in their area.

While there was a lot in the piece that was laughable there was one line that jumped out at me that is worth your attention: (emphasis mine)

“Ted Cruz has no business being in the Bronx. This is an immigrant community,” Rodrigo yelled as police escorted him out. “We deal with climate change every single day, and he wants to say it doesn’t exist. We’re one of the poorest congressional districts in the country, and to receive this right wing bigot is an insult to the whole community.”

Seriously nobody at wired thought the “We deal with climate change every day” was a bit suspect?

Am I to understand that the sea level has been rising in the Bronx to the left that the average person in the neighborhood is fearful? Have they stopped renting basement apartments because of the rising seas. Are the Yankees getting ready to put their stadium on stilts?

That wired could include that line and not ask the obvious question: “Can you substantiate your claim concerning Bronx residents ‘dealing with climate change every day’ and if so how?” tells you that to the folks at Wired, “climate change/global warming” is a religion believed so strongly that any statement concerning it must be treated as fact.

And they say Catholicism requires faith.

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The media are not our friends, they are partisan players, They are not fair and impartial umpires. The most important protectors of Barack Obama right now, is the mainstream media and no one is more ready for Hillary than the mainstream media.

So the media tries, typically to do two things to republicans; To caricature us as either evil or stupid. So they ask question to us that are often rigged to paint us as either evil or extreme. And on the flip side they give these love fests to Democrats and try to paint them as loving and wonderful and caring about kids and furry kittens and bunny rabbits.

And we’ve got to understand where the media’s coming from and not accept the false premises of their questions and instead, Look the path to winning is not complicated, speak the truth with a smile.

Ted Cruz , Aug 31 2015

One of the things that was very frustrating about the 2008 and 2012 races is the cluelessness of Mitt Romney and John McCain concerning the motives of the MSM.

As long as they were providing talking points against conservative republicans the media treated them with kid gloves.  They were the voices of reason and moderation, but as soon as the nomination was theirs, they were just another racist, sexist, homophobic tool to oppress the masses.

It took them a long time to figure out that the purpose of the MSM is to elect Democrats and that every interview, every question, every moment is about finding that talking point that will help defeat them.

Looking at this Chris Matthews interview with Donald Trump it appears that for all his protestations about the “unfair” media, the Donald™ hasn’t quite grasped that.

Forget that this position is inconsistent with what pro-lifers have said right along Trump let himself be played by Chris Matthews into affirming the predudices and falsehoods that the left have played for years: (via Hotair)

Part of the goal is to remove the ability for pro-choicers to demagogue the issue by scaring vulnerable women. Now, thanks to Trump, that’s back on the table.

There are those who are talking about the Trump flip flop and how he (Trump) is playing conservatives, but I think the real story is the difference between a nominee who is both able to see the MSM for what they are AND counter them.

Someone like Ted Cruz.

Take a look, for example at this interview with Chris Matthews:

Notice how Matthews talks fast, filibusters and quickly pivots in the hope of catching Ted Cruz out, and notice how how no matter how many twists and turns he throws at him, Ted Cruz doesn’t get rattled and doesn’t fall into his trap.

And Cruz hasn’t just done this with Matthews, he’s done it with Jorge Ramos and Katie Couric and continues to frustrate the MSM that has tried to spin him for years.

As we head toward the end of the Primary season voters in the remaining states need to ask themselves this question.

Do you want to spend the rest of the Campaign watching the MSM tear Donald Trump apart as he’s forced to pivot again again and again?

This should not be a hard question to answer.

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Just under a year ago at the start of the campaign season Scott Was considered a key guy. At the initial FITN event I found it impossible to get anywhere near him for an interview or a question (Incidentally at the same event two months before he announced one could approach Donald Trump without much of a media swarm at all).

At the time Scott Walker was the one of the Golden boys of the campaign and even at other events either I was unable to get close enough for questions or he and his team declined to speak with me.

As we near the anniversary of that event Wisconsin is about to vote and Scott Walker is long gone having dropped out months before the first votes were cast demonstrating that he could read the signs of the time far better than Jeb Bush or Chris Christie but six months after leaving the race Walker has made news.

“I just fundamentally believe that he is a constitutional conservative,” Walker said of Cruz in an interview with conservative radio host Charlie Sykes, who also supports the Texas senator, on Wisconsin’s WTMJ.

Walker brings Cruz popularity with many in the Republican base after his high-profile battles with unions and an unsuccessful recall attempt, though the governor has just a 39 percent job approval at home, according to a February Marquette Law School poll.

Scott Walker was in my top 3 for the entire time he was in the race.  He like Cruz fights without apology which is why I liked him and his record of defeating the democrats in his state despite the best efforts of the left is strong but the real question is, in a year when endorsements have had little or no effect will the Walker endorsement be enough to get Cruz over the line in the state?

I hope so.

Captain Stottlemeyer: There have been cases—documented cases—where psychics have found missing kids, bodies. It happens.

Adrian Monk: Of course it happens! A thousand psychics making 10,000 predictions a year, two or three of them have to be right.

Mr. Monk and the Psychic 2002

I don’t spend a lot of time reading minds, so I can’t say conclusively that the National Enquirer’s Ted Cruz story is BS (there is a reason why every post on the subject from the my fellow conservatives starts with a version of :  “The Enquirer was right about John Edwards”)

For myself given GOP establishment’s high opinion of Ted Cruz over the years which is only overshadowed by the MSM’s I would think if such a story was true we would have heard about it long before this.

But leaving that aside let’s consider the coverage from the MSM of the story.

The MSM has decided that the National Enquirer story is now a major story to the point where reporters are asking Cruz if he’s been faithful to his wife and Trump surrogates are accusing women on the air of sleeping with the Senator. I have a question:

Last Year the National Enquirer ran this story concerning the Democrat Frontrunner for President:

EXCLUSIVE: HILLARY CLINTON LESBIAN LOVERS NAMED IN SECRET EMAILS

The body of the story started:

Now a world-exclusive investigation by The National ENQUIRER reveals that some of the presidential candidate’s famously “deleted” emails are packed full of lesbian references and her lovers’ names.

“I don’t think she’s so concerned about emails referring to her as secretly gay,” said a Clinton insider. “That’s been out for years – her real fear is that the names of some of her lovers would be made public!”

The ENQUIRER learned the list of Hillary’s lesbian lovers includes a beauty in her early 30s who has often traveled with Hillary; a popular TV and movie star; the daughter of a top government official; and a stunning model who got a career boost after allegedly sleeping with Hillary. Hillary made the huge mistake of mixing public and private messages while using her personalized email server – before risking a massive scandal by refusing to make the documents public.

I speculated at the time that if Hillary got into big trouble she could always run as the first lesbian president.

The Enquirer story is dated April 15th 2015 11 months ago.  During that same 11 months I’ve been following the MSM religiously and for some reason I’ve not seen the MSM give the National Enquirer story on Hillary’s lesbian affairs any airtime, zip, zero nada.

Meanwhile within 24 hours the Ted Cruz story was all over CNN and as of this writing Memeorandum has over 100 links to the story from different sites.

So to review Enquirer story alleging Hillary Clinton lesbian affairs, not newsworthy, Ted Cruz story alleging affairs or shall we say investigation of possible affairs, that’s big enough to take airtime away from Brussels attack coverage.

I would be delighted to hear the media’s reasons why.

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So I wake up this morning to find my email cluttered with a National Enquirer story that claims that

“Private detectives are digging into at least five affairs Ted Cruz supposedly had,” claimed a Washington insider.

Let’s parse that sentence:

[Unnamed] “Private detectives

are digging [because they are well paid by the same rag that six months ago insisted that Hillary Clinton was going to be dead of a brain tumor by now, after dropping out of the primary. They are digging, hoping to find]

into at least [maybe more, maybe not, but the better to tease the readership while it waits in line at the supermarket]

five affairs Ted Cruz [who some claim nobody in Washington likes]

supposedly [allegedly, as in, we must cover our a**** in case someone sues]

had,” [with five women, who are also unnamed, and may sue, so let’s hide the faces of five photos of women who may or may not be involved]

claimed a Washington insider. [who also remains unnamed]

The National Enquirer, the rag that dug up the John Edwards story after getting the sex video Edward’s own mistress taped. So we’re supposed to believe any allegations of sex scandals after that, because Edwards.

Then I look at Twitter and find this,

Now we’re supposed to care about a National Enquirer story casting aspersions on the character of Trump’s rival, while Trump’s friend owns the NE.

The story drips with irony. Trump, who owned casinos with strip clubs, who repeatedly went on the Howard Stern show [LINK NOT SUITABLE FOR WORK] to explicitly discuss the attributes of women he was having sex with, including his wives, who routinely insults women, and whose personal attack on Cruz’s wife earlier this week did not work:

Yes, that Donald Trump.

Also in my inbox, a Trump joke,

You know what Ted Cruz’s wife is going to look like in 20 years?

Older.

You know what Donald Trump’s wife is going to look like in 20 years?

Who knows? She hasn’t been born yet.

The bottom line is: This is all a distraction.

Cruz is gaining on Trump, Trump will not debate him one-on-one, and, the more substantive Cruz’s arguments are, the worse Trump’s “it’ll be yuuuuge” blather sounds.

All the while, ISIS is active not only in Middle East countries, but also in Europe in what may become nuclear attacks, the U.S. economy grew a measly 1.4%, the IRS stonewalls, Hillary Clinton’s State Department was apparently coordinating meetings for Bill Clinton with foreign heads of state, and Obama debuts a career as entertainer in chief during his trip to Cuba.

But the National Enquirer gets top billing.

Heck of a way to start a Good Friday.

UPDATE
Donald Trump’s Alliance With the National Enquirer

Fausta Rodriguez Wertz writes on U.S, and Latin American politics, news, and culture at Fausta’s Blog.

Yesterday at AIPAC Ted Cruz gave a stirring speech in defense of Israel which I agree with wholeheartedly

In a sense while excellent this speech was not much different than others he has given in the past and frankly is not different that things you will see at this blog or many other conservative blogs.

The difference is that yesterday that speech was broadcast live in its entirety on FOX News, CNN & MSNBC.

Why? I hate to admit it the reason is Donald Trump.

All three networks carried the Donald Trump speech at AIPAC. Trump raised many of the points that Ted Cruz did, Trump brought up the points about Palestinians indoctrinating their kids into Jew hatred and rewarding terrorists.

His line concerning kids heros was spectacular.

Meanwhile, every single day, you have rampant incitement and children being taught to hate Israel and hate the Jews. When you live in a society where the firefighters are the hero’s little kids want to be firefighters. When you live in a society where athletes and movie stars are heroes, little kids want to be athletes and movie stars. In Palestinian society, the heroes are those who murder Jews – we can’t let this continue. You cannot achieve peace if terrorists are treated as martyrs. Glorifying terrorists is a tremendous barrier to peace.

But for the most part Trump like Ted Cruz didn’t say anything that folks like me haven’t said before.

The difference is, when Trump says it, the message no longer has the effect of a tree falling in an empty forest.

I wrote about this a while back noting the number of Twitter followers he has:

2.9 MILLION. He has more people following him on twitter than all the candidates above combined except Rubio & Paul and easily has more than double of the two of them combined. In fact there is only one person in the race that has more followers than him


That was Hillary Clinton with 3.6 million twitter followers.

I wrote that on June 16th of last year since then Hillary’s Twitter followers have soared to 5.7 million an increase of 63%. Not bad at all.

Ted Cruz my guy has done well too, he’s gone from 416K followers to 955K more than doubling his followers. Not up to Clinton’s numbers but quite an increase.

However Donald Trump went from 2.9 Million twitter followers to SEVEN MILLION an increase of 194%. He has gone from having 700,000 less twitter followers than Hillary Clinton to having 1.3 million more in under a year.

You might not be impressed by those numbers, but the networks are. Les Moonves explained this well:

“I’ve never seen anything like this, and this going to be a very good year for us. Sorry. It’s a terrible thing to say. But, bring it on, Donald. Keep going,” said Moonves.

“Donald’s place in this election is a good thing,” he said Monday at the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference in San Francisco.

“There’s a lot of money in the marketplace,” the exec said of political advertising so far this presidential season.

Beyond politics, Moonves said ad sales in general are strong because there’s not a lot of places beyond The Big Bang Theory where advertisers can reach 20 million people all at once.

There are a lot of reasons to oppose Donald Trump for the GOP nomination, but his ability to get the conservative message out on Illegal Immigration, on Radical Islam and yesterday on Israel to the public who have been shielded from facts by the Democrats and the media that serves them is game changing.

Instead of a tree falling in a forest he is a meteor smashing in the city, when he talks about subject they can’t be ignored.

And as conservatives we should be damn happy about it.

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I was pretty disgusted over politics this weekend, having made the mistake of watching cable news on Friday night. Then early on Saturday morning someone dragged me into their very irate chat, which angered me enough to call it (LANGUAGE WARNING) a field day, and from there I decided to not mention Donald Trump for a full week.

Not that DT would notice, considering that,

Over the course of the campaign, he has earned close to $2 billion worth of media attention, about twice the all-in price of the most expensive presidential campaigns in history.

And let’s not forget How and Why the Conservative Media Sold Its Soul To Facilitate Trump’s Nomination.

Considering the reactions DT generates, one would be inclined to think the initials stand for delirium tremens instead of Donald Trump. Never mind the ridiculous mantra of “Ted Cruz is unlikeable” repeated by the same “conservative” pundits carrying water for DT who, in the next sentence, recognized that Cruz has the best on-the-ground volunteers.

I kept to my vow and didn’t mention DT until now. Well, play some storm sound effects in the background, cue Al Pacino in the bad Godfather movie, “Just when I thought I was out, they pull me back in!”, and here I am, posting on DT.

After Super Tuesday 2, Republicans across the country are undergoing four stages of grief, while some add acceptance for a full five. Some are even going through all stages simultaneously, like Mr. Monk did once. Others are doing a “could be worse, could be raining“, saying instead, “could be worse, could be Clintons.” The media, of course, will pelt us again and again on DT’s so-called “inevitability,” in yet another attempt to brainwash those DT calls poorly educated.

Will it come down to math vs. momentum, now that Rubio finally dropped out?

I certainly hope Ted Cruz wins the November election. I’m certainly all in, striving for that goal.

Until then, I may not know that I know nothing, but I’ll take solace in this, replacing the word men with Trumps,

Sigh no more, ladies, sigh no more.
Men Trumps were deceivers ever,
One foot in sea, and one on shore,
To one thing constant never.
Then sigh not so, but let them go,
And be you blithe and bonny,
Converting all your sounds of woe
Into hey nonny, nonny.

Sing no more ditties, sing no more
Of dumps so dull and heavy.
The fraud of men Trumps was ever so
Since summer first was leafy.
Then sigh not so, but let them go,
And be you blithe and bonny,
Converting all your sounds of woe
Into hey, nonny, nonny.

Yes, replacing the word men with Trump ruins the verse, but it’s a looong campaign season, and a woman has to cope, even if means dragging Shakespeare into it.

Fausta Rodriguez Wertz writes on U.S, and Latin American politics, news, and culture at Fausta’s Blog.

Yesterday’s GOP debate proved several things.

The GOP can do substance, there were good questions and answers and while there were several tough blows they were all within the bounds of propriety.

It also proved what I’ve said that Trump can do substance.

There were solid difference between the candidates and they were highlighted very well but without the circus did people keep watching or change the channel.

I think Ted Cruz made the best point of the night in saying that Donald Trump has correctly identified the problems but his solutions are off. It’s the only way in my opinion to win over potential Trump voters.

Rubio had a good debate and it answered the question on Rubio pulling out before Florida (no chance).

Kasich did OK but oddly nobody seems to be leaning on him to pull out even though he has won two less races than Rubio. He is what he is and in normal year would be a valid consideration.

But the winner of the Debate was Donald Trump. Not because he gave good answers (he did) Not because he stayed on the offensive on Islam (He did) and not because he sold he lie on Ted Cruz being for Amnesty with a straight face

No he won because he was the leader and anything that doesn’t stop the guy in the lead helps him.

The biggest loser is whoever hosts the next debate because while this debate likely got ratings, if the next one is like this, it may not.

Closing thought, we’ve had a Debate in Ohio, we’ve had one in Texas and now in florida, will they have on in NYC so Trump can get home field advantage once?

Update: Ed Morrissey nails John Kasich:

Kasich stood out in the last debate because he didn’t take part in the personal-insult circus. In this debate, with everyone focusing on substance, Kasich didn’t stand out at all.

The reason for his campaign kinda melts doesn’t it?

By:  Pat Austin

SHREVEPORT – Some random observations from way down South this week.

Technically, Donald Trump won Louisiana in the primary Saturday, but my friends at The Hayride make the case that the true winner was Ted Cruz.  If you look at the Trump – Cruz gap and compare early voting to the results from Saturday’s primary, Cruz closed the gap by some 20 points on the heels of last week’s debate.

Looking at the official numbers, note also that Mike Huckabee got 645 votes; he dropped out February 2;  Jeb Bush and Ben Carson, also withdrawn, received over 6000 votes between them.  Christie got 401 votes. And interestingly, Marco Rubio showed quite poorly with only 11% of the vote.

The Hayride article is an interesting read.  Check it out.

In other notes:

Our political leadership is still in Baton Rouge in the attempt to plug our $900 million deficit gap and are closing in on the final days of their special legislative session. John Bel Edwards seems to be in way over his head but even given that, we can’t fully blame him for this budget mess.  This lies on the shoulders of Governor Bobby Jindal; Edwards may have a poor voting record that contributed to this mess, but it isn’t all his fault that we find ourselves now having to add pennies to the sales tax and threaten to shut the doors of higher education.

The proposed tax on alcohol failed its first go around last week but squeaked through in the Sunday session where it now goes to the Senate. You don’t mess with the liquor in Louisiana without upsetting some people. The one-penny sales tax was passed however, and since that worked so well, there is talk now of adding another ½-cent or another entire cent to the sales tax:

A proposal to raise Louisiana’s sales tax by not 1 but by 1½ or 2 cents instead emerged Friday as the potential solution to ending a budget crisis that threatens to cancel college classes and cut health care to the poor and the disabled.

The plan has the strong support of House Speaker Taylor Barras, who discussed it with Gov. John Bel Edwards on Thursday.

The beauty of the plan for the Republicans and the business lobbyists pushing it, is this: It would solve the short-term budget problem and keep lawmakers from trying to find more revenue by raising taxes on business. The plan presents a problem for Democrats, however, because raising sales taxes hits the poor the hardest.

Democrats, however, could soon be facing a choice of having to hold their nose and vote for an increase of 1½ or 2 cents of sales taxes or rejecting the idea and then seeing devastating cuts to public hospitals that serve the poor and to the state’s colleges and universities.

They are running out of time.  This Special Session must end by 6:00 p.m. on March 9.

 

Pat Austin blogs at And So it Goes in Shreveport.

The Christian ideal has not been tried and found wanting. It has been found difficult; and left untried.

C.K. Chesterton

 

We’ve talked a bit lately on how Ted Cruz is the only viable alternative to Donald Trump (Marco Rubio’s Puerto Rico victory notwithstanding) as we’ve seen time and time again him demonstrating the ability to win states and actually beat Donald Trump, something that Marco has not managed to show to us beyond the chilly climes of Minnesota.

But in one sense Ted Cruz’s success in the primaries is completely counter intuitive, particularly with Donald trump in the mix, consider:

He is hated by a lot of the Washington Establishment and has directly challenged them. That means in places where the establishment rules Cruz is at a distinct disadvantage as opposed to say Marco Rubio it’s no coincidence that Marco did so well in the counties around DC. That’s where the hacks live.

He is an actual social conservative and has not been afraid to discuss that social conservatism nor showed a willingness to abandon it, that turned off big money donors early.

His primary issues, Obamacare, Amnesty and opposing Radical Islam have been completely co-oped by the Donald Trump campaign as has, to some extend his evangelical voting base.

Even with multiple victories under his belt, other than his own governor of Texas he can’t buy the endorsement of a governor, and as for his fellow senators, the closest thing he’s gotten to an endorsement is Lindsey Graham conceding that if Donald Trump is to be stopped the only choice is Cruz.  The establishment pols and the establishment money has all gotten behind Rubio

So given these facts how has Ted Cruz continued to rack up wins while Macro Rubio’s “always look on the bright side of life” philosophy only gains laughs.

Truth.

For all of the Donald’s™ cries of “liar”  Ted Cruz’s strength is his willingness to tell the truth.

First to the people who elected him.  Over and over he supported the policies that he said he would support and opposed the policies he said he would oppose.  Marco Rubio’s defining moment, by contrast, was the gang of 8 bill pushed by the establishment and the press in direct contrast to what he told voters he would do.

Second to Republicans who follow congress when he illustrated the difference between “show votes” and “real votes” letting the people see the GOP establishment not as they pretend to be, but as they are.

Third to the media as when they attempted to create their memes he not only refused to go along with them but points out truths they would like to ignore (for example George Stephanopoulos Clinton connection)

and Finally to the Primary electorate where his attacks on Donald Trump are based on actual verifiable statements and actual events with video as opposed to making crude jokes concerning anatomy, yet at the same time proclaiming that he will vote for the eventual nominee because he gave his word and further pointing out that if the party tries to steal the election at the convention it would be unjust.

Cruz’s message is the one Rush Limbaugh has been giving for decades, namely conservatism works everywhere it is tried and we should get back to trying it here.

That’s the truth, Ted Cruz owns it and that’s why I’m with him.

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As I’ve written a lot lately the only way for a candidate to overtake Donald Trump is to look at things realistically and plan accordingly. So you don’t hear a lot of analysis here that’s tinted with Rose Colored glasses.

I understand that my man is behind and that he has to not only defeat Donald Trump who has proved to be a brilliant campaigner who continues to learn his lessons well but has to defeat the Establishment wing of the party that despite claiming to oppose Trump, opposes conservatism more and would rather risk a Trump victory that have a proven conservative at the top of the ticket. That’s just the way it is.

The only was to do this is to evaluate the situation and look for areas of opportunity and as I look at the calendar I do see one stat and fact that gives me and my fellow Ted Cruz fans some reason for optimism.

With the exception of his home state of Texas, the three states Ted Cruz has won are Iowa, Oklahoma and Alaska.

Do you know the two things what all those states have in common?

1. In all of those states Trump was polling ahead yet Cruz won

Iowa Poll: Trump +4.7, Result: Cruz +3.3
Alaska Poll Trump +4 Result Cruz +2.9
Oklahoma Poll: Trump 11.4 Result: Cruz +6.1

2. In all those states the primary is closed to non-republicans.

In fact did you know that with only one exception Every single state that Donald Trump has won allows people who aren’t republicans vote to decide who the party nominates.

To be sure the exception to this rule (Nevada) went for Trump in a big way
(Nevada Polls: Trump +17, Result Trump +22) but this would not seem to be a coincidence.

And it turns out that of the next 9 contests Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana and Maine (March 5th) Puerto Rico (March 6th), Hawaii, Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi (March 8th), all but Puerto Rico & Mississippi are closed primaries.

And furthermore with the exception of Kentucky (Trump +13) and Michigan (Trump +19.4) there is no recent polling showing what the situation is.

Now all of these states are proportional so if Ted Cruz manages to win several of these states like Kansas, Louisiana and Idaho it’s not likely that it will narrow the gap a lot but if he can secure at least three of them that will help his donors and supporters keep their nerve and with 18 more closed primaries and caucus over the next 4 months coming, that could make all the difference.

But the first step is Senator Cruz doing well in those seven closed states in the next week.

One has to play the game with the cars you have, as far as I can see, these are the best cards in Ted Cruz’s deck.

One of the great action movies of the 50’s was the 1958’s The Vikings staring Kirk Douglas, Tony Curtis and Janet Leigh. If you like action, adventure and a touch of comedy, you’ll want to watch it.

At a key point of the picture viking prince Einar (Kirk Douglas) prays to Odin the Viking God. The princess (Leigh) he has fallen in love with has been stolen away from him by the slave Eric (Curtis) who is responsible for the loss of his eye and in the chase his father (Ernest Borgnine) was drowned. He prays for a sign to convince his reluctant warriors to pursue them to England.

He is rewarded with by the sudden appearance of Eric who tells him their mutual enemy King Aella is holding the princess Morgana and offers to lead him there so they can attack his castle.

Einar returns to the vikings chamber and makes the speech that finally convinces his men to attack which begins:

Make no mistake, I hate this man more than anyone alive, but he can lead us to Morgana.

That speech instantly came to mind when I saw this story concerning Lindsey Graham:

With the Super Tuesday results in, Sen. Lindsey Graham said Sen. Ted Cruz may be the GOP’s last hope to keep bombastic front-runner Donald Trump from the Republican nomination for president.

“You know Ted Cruz is not my favorite, by any means,” Graham told CBS Tuesday night. “But we may be in a position where we have to rally around Ted Cruz as the only way to stop Donald Trump, and I’m not so sure that would work,” noting Sen. Marco Rubio and Ohio Gov. John Kasich are no longer viable

Graham is a vocal critic of Cruz. He has called Cruz the least respected senator and has accused Cruz of getting a head at the expense of the party.

A “Vocal Critic”? That’s putting it mildly, as allahpundit reminds us:

“If you killed Ted Cruz on the floor of the Senate, and the trial was in the Senate, nobody would convict you.” It also tells you a lot about how grim nominal Rubio allies have grown about his chances. When one of Congress’s most notorious super-hawks — and a fellow member of the Gang of Eight — is looking ahead to a Trump/Cruz race, says James Poulos, you know Rubio’s in trouble

Let’s be blunt when I close my eyes I can see Lindsey Graham, among a meeting of GOP establishment people starting giving the Kirk Douglas speech starting:

Make no mistake, I hate this man more than anyone alive, but he’s our one chance to defeat Trump.

And he’s right the only chance for the GOP to defeat Trump is Cruz but But what I really want to see if Graham and Cruz mimic Einar & Eric and form an alliance to defeat Donald Trump and win, their subsequent fight to the death.

I suspect we won’t discover that Graham and Cruz are secretly brothers.

Closing thought, why has Lindsey Graham reached this point? Because regardless of anything else, Lindsey Graham knows how to count, but that’s another post.

In a five-candidate race, with the media gifting free air time to Donald Drumpf as if he was a kid getting Halloween candy simply because The Donald is good circus, the Republican party is having to face reality: Trump is likely to be their nominee.

I have stated, and will continue to state, my multiple objections to Drumpf: A reprobate, scam artist whose record  shows that

As a businessman, he is thoroughly disreputable: a liar and a cheat,

and whose politics show a long history of support of Democrats, eminent domain abuse, and  faulty memory on whether he donated to Planned Parenthood, while threatening to go third party if he does not get the GOP nomination, and who would be the oldest man to take the office of POTUS if elected (Trump will turn 70 on June 14 this year; Ronald Reagan was 69 when he took office).

Against Trump are still four other candidates: Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, John Kasich and Ben Carson. Cruz has won four states and 226 delegates. Rubio and Kasich are hoping for wins in their home states, but only have 106 and 21 delegates so far. Carson has eight delegates:  You add them up and you are still 91 short of Cruz’s total.

Contrast that with Trump’s 316 delegates.

Do the math: Cruz is 90 delegates short of tying with Trump. If you add all the other three candidates’ delegates, you still are 91 short of trying with Cruz, the guy in second place. You’re not even halfway close to Trump’s number.

Of the Rubio-Kasich-Carson trio, Rubio is the most delusional, insisting he’s the one to beat Trump. Not that he hasn’t had enablers: TV talking heads routinely refer to Rubio’s third place status as winning, and insist on his “likability” as if likability was the criteria for POTUS. They purposely ignore the thousands of people actively supporting Cruz (even while they grudgingly mumble that Cruz has “good ground game”) and the testimony of people who worked for himThe fact is

that party leaders despise Mr. Cruz, almost as much as they dislike Mr. Trump.

Why? (emphasis added)

Cruz’s detractors will say that he can’t get along and make deals. I say, good. Yes, deals will have to be made but too often the deals that are made are being made by people who agree on too much to begin with. I want a guy like Cruz who isn’t buying into the basic assumptions of DC and the permanent government class. I want a guy who sees himself as representing a group of people opposed to many of the bi-partisan, political class assumptions that underlie so much of what happens in DC.

Cruz opponents have claimed there’s so much bad blood between him and the GOP leadership in Congress he’ll never get what he wants. This argument amuses me to no end. After years of rolling over for Harry Reid and Barack Obama, the Republicans in Congress are finally going to find their spine by opposing…a President Cruz? That’s says more about Republicans in Congress and their supposed conservatism than it does Ted Cruz. And if you’re telling me this means a Republican President might veto a bloated spending bill passed by a Republican Congress, I say, “Bring it on!”

This, in turn, may appeal to the millions of people supporting Trump’s “anti-establishment” message.

Gerald Seib at the Republican-establishment WSJ posits four options for the GOP:

The first is to simply fight on over the next two weeks, hoping that the vote in the next big states on March 15 provide something different.
. . .
The second option is for party leaders to somehow persuade everybody except Mr. Cruz to get out of the race so he can consolidate the anti-Trump vote.
. . .
The third option is for leading party figures to take a stand on conscience and declare that they won’t back Mr. Trump as the nominee, hoping that will reverse the tide.
. . .
Which leaves the fourth option: acquiesce to the Trump movement.

The $64,000 question, however, is whether an establishment that so many are sick of can mount an effective counter-offensive to Trump – especially if the winning strategy involves Ted Cruz as the winning nominee.

Just don’t fool yourself thinking it has not boiled down to two candidates.

Fausta Rodriguez Wertz writes on U.S, and Latin American politics, news, and culture at Fausta’s Blog.

Missy (The Master): He’s trapped at the heart of the Dalek empire. He’s a prisoner of the creatures who hate him most in the universe. Between us and him is everything the deadliest race in all of history can throw at us. We, on the other hand, have a pointy stick. How do we start?
Clara: We assume we’re going to win.

Doctor Who: The Witches’ Familiar 2015

There are few thing I enjoy more than re-watching the 2004 ALCS series starting with the 9th inning of game 4.

Even twelve years later and with three world series in the bag. The 2004 ALCS is special. It brings a smile to the face and a tear to the eye and it all began with the greatest stolen base in Red Sox History:

and ended with Big Papi knocking it out.

Now for Red Sox fans like myself the great comeback of 2004 is particularly special because it was our first world series win. That first championship is always the greatest.

I’m sure this isn’t unique to Red Sox fans. 1969 was the first championship for the Met and the 1969 Miracle Mets as some might have forgotten came back from behind to take the East from the Chicago Cubs and then swept Atlanta to win their first pennant.

Yes that’s a young Nolan Ryan who was to win his only World Series Ring of his incredible career with those Miracle Mets.

And if you go back even further in 1951 the then NY Giants were 12 1/2 back in August and 4 1/2 games back with ten to play and managed to come back and take the Pennant.

Now All of these teams and comebacks are legendary and every baseball fan knows them. Do you know the reason why?

Because they are exceptions.

Nobody talks about the seasons when the Yankees dominated in the 90’s or the Reds in 1976 or the 1973 Oakland A’s not because they weren’t great teams but because thing happened as expected.

And that brings us to the election results tonight.

As of this writing Massachusetts, Georgia, Virginia and Alabama and Tennessee have all gone for Donald Trump and when CNN reported that GOP donors are getting together to get money together to stop him Jake Tapper just said “Why don’t they wait till after the inauguration?”

At the same time as the GOP Establishment is doing this many of my fellow conservative activists are talking about the same thing stopping Trump or suggesting that he’s in trouble to wit

Now as I’ve said over and Over I’m a Ted Cruz guy. I voted for him today and I urge all voters to vote for Ted as the best candidate to secure the border, stop Obamacare, I’m glad he’s leading in Texas and exit polls look good in Oklahoma which would be one more state than the MSM was projecting and I’d be delighted for him to come back and win the nomination.

But I understand that such a comeback would be in the same class as the 2004 Red Sox , the 1969 Mets and the 1951 Giants and have no intention of pretending otherwise and I hope the Ted Cruz campaign does the same because you can’t get to where you want to go unless you understand where you are.

Now I don’t expect the Establishment GOP to tell the truth but I’m really bothered to see my fellow conservative activists retreat to their safe spaces

Cue south Park

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Election Day continues and with 3 hours to go we are still $47 shy of our $61 daily goal.

A journey of a thousand miles starts with a single step so I see no reason why a journey to $61 can’t start with $14.

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Yesterday we talked about how for the GOP their real fear is that key patronage positions leading to increased power would go to people whose primary loyalty was to Trump and not to party.

That is the reason why they are potentially willing to elect a woman who was willing to leave Americans in trouble to die rather than risk a Trump presidency.

But here on Election day, as I celebrate the end of robo calls that have been never-ending It occurs to me that if he wants, Mr. Trump has the ability to craft a far more effective revenge on the GOP than a mere 3rd party run.

Here in Massachusetts I’ve gotten robo calls for presidential candidates (I say vote Cruz) and state rep candidates (I say vote Tran) but the greatest number of calls I’ve received have been for candidates for the GOP state committee. (I say vote Frank Ardinger & ignore the Gov’s ticket)

You might recall that two years ago it was the attempt to silence activists on the committee and some deceptive arguments that sparked outrage and led to my own departure from the GOP.

You might also recall that just last week I wrote about Charlie Baker running his own slate of State Committee people who by an odd coincidence are targeting the conservative activists who were treated so poorly last time.

Now ask yourself this. What if Donald Trump decides to get involved in these races on the state level?

Picture for example if a Donald Trump, to use Massachusetts as an example, angry about how he’s treated decides next time around to run his OWN slate of GOP state committee people?

Picture Trump holding rallies in Worcester and drawing 5000, 10000 or 20000 and urging them to go to the pols and vote for a Trump slate. Picture him standing next to a candidate and giving him the Trump imprimatur.

Then picture if even a fraction of those people he draws turning up for what is normally a sleepy election with turnout so low the primary job of the police at the polling stations is to keep the elderly poll workers awake. Remember the height different between Governor Baker and Dean Tran at his rally. Well when it comes to drawing voters in an election Trump dwarfs Governor Baker in the same way.

Suddenly you don’t have a GOP state committee that looks like the establishment or like Charlie Baker, Suddenly you have a GOP state committee that looks like Donald Trump.

Now imagine that picture repeated state by state nationwide. Having nightmares yet GOP?

I can see the naysayers now: “Surely you jest, not only would that be very expensive but very time-consuming and what about the conservative activist and the Rand Paul activists etc they won’t go along with this?”

To that I say, Trump has the money, he has the voters, an he’s the type of guy who doesn’t forget slights so he’ll be highly motivated. It will keep his name in the headlines which he will love, and as for the activists, given how they’ve been treated by the party leaders I suspect they will not need a lot of persuasion to join a Trump attempt to “throw the rascals out”…oh and don’t call me Shirley.

And that’s just talking state Committees, it could get much worse for the party.

As I mentioned a bit back Ted Cruz did the establishment a big favor last time around by not endorsing in primaries involving incumbents. His treatment by the party will determine if that happens next time around.


In the last election cycle Ted Cruz did not challenge any sitting GOP incumbent, he didn’t endorse Matt Bevin when he was running against Mitch McConnell nor did aid John Cornyn’s worthy challenger Dwayne Stovall. In the current election cycle, frankly Senator Cruz is a tad busy…

…but what about next one?

Now picture Donald Trump in this scenario instead of Ted Cruz. Picture Trump holding huge rallies and bringing his turnout machine to the various states for primary opponents of GOP incumbents. Cripes he might even get Cruz to go along with him on this.

And picture the wall to wall coverage the MSM will give all these efforts, you’re talking more free media than the GOP can buy.

How fast with GOP incumbents fearful of such a scenario decide to line up behind Trump?

Now as I’ve said over and over. I’m a Ted Cruz man. I’ll be voting for him today and I URGE any person reading, particularly Trump people, to get behind Ted who is the conservative who has actually fought and paid the price to trying to do all of the things Donald Trump is now promising to get done. Along the same lineYesterday Pastor Kelly warned of the spiritual price of “win at any cost”.

But if the people don’t take my advice or the Pastor’s and go with Trump, then we must, as a republic respect their choice. I submit and suggest to the GOP establishment that trying to silence the voice of the voters, even if they choose the “wrong” candidate is not only the wrong thing to do, it’s the Dumb thing to do an it will have consequences far worse and longer lasting than they establishment fools realize.

GOP don’t say you haven’t been warned.

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It’s Election Day so by the end of the day we wipe away speculation and replace it with hard facts and numbers.

Likewise we start a new day with a new $61 goal and the hope of dropping our current deficit for the year below $1289 & 21.1 days. We’re already $2 on our way.

To those who helped us make our goal yesterday Thank you so much.

To those both able and inclined to do so today you can help us close that gap by hitting DaTipJar.




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JD Cahill: You call the tune you pay the piper. Meaning if you don’t like the treatment don’t rob the banks

Cahill US Marshal 1973

Spock: If we had not crossed the Neutral Zone, on your order, you would not now need our opinions to support a decision which should never have had to be made.

Star Trek The Enterprise Incident 1968

In the Doctor Who episode Journey to the Centre of the TARDIS (my review here) The Doctor shuts down the TARDIS to basic mode to Clara can try to fly it and as you might guess trouble follows:

11th Doctor: Magnetic hobble-field. We’re flying right into it. Clara, stay by me.
Clara: Please tell me there’s a button you can press to fix this.
11th Doctor: Oh, yes. Big friendly button.

The TARDIS ends up wrecked and the Doctor & Clara (after a fascinating and adventure filled journey to the Centre of the TARDIS & beyond) discover the only solution to the problem is to re-write time.

11th Doctor: The time rift. Recent past, possible future.
Clara: What are you going to do?
11th Doctor: Rewrite today, I hope. [He etches the word “Big Friendly Button” on the grenade like device] I’ve thrown this through the rift before. I need to make sure this time. Going to take it in there myself. There might be a certain amount of yelling.
Clara: It’s going to hurt?
11th Doctor: Things that end your life often do that.

As you might guess The Doctor manages to get the grenade through and his past counterpart hits the Big Friendly Button and everything is alright.

This is significant because Don Surber without referencing this Doctor Who episode is pointing out that for all the Chest Thumping by the GOP now the reason Donald Trump is poised to win the GOP nomination is due to the action or rather inaction of the GOP over the last two years

In the 2014 election, Republican voters gave their party 247 seats in the House — the most in a century! A century — and a 54-46 majority in the Senate. West Virginia elected its first Republican U.S. senator in 56 years.

And what did the Republican rank-and-file get out of the deal?

Not a damn thing.

They failed to fight to stop common core, they failed to fight to defund and stop obamacare, they failed to push the Administration to see the reality that Radial Islam was and actively pushed for the Gang of Eight amnesty bill which was only stopped by the efforts of people like Ted Cruz.

as I wrote back in 2013 the American People take a long time to reach their breaking point but when they finally do this happens:

people are going to start concluding this:

The government of The United States is not legitimate.

Act accordingly.

The Donald Trump phenom is the republican, independent and Reagan Democrats screaming  “That’s all I can stands, I can’t stands no more.

And as Don rightly notes the only solution to the GOP is to rewrite history:

So now the party is in a panic on how to stop Trump.

Here is the only way: Build a Time Machine and go back to January 3, 2015, when this Congress began. And then do all the things your constituents want: Defund Planned Parenthood, Repeal Obamacare, Block The Import-Export Bank, Make The Iranian Deal Require Ratification By Two-Thirds Of The Senate…

Or put simply the GOP should have gotten behind Ted Cruz when he was fighting against all these things over the last four years instead of treating him like a pariah creating the narrative that the MSM happily ran with.

Alas for the GOP in a few days when the results of Super Tuesday are being reported and Jake Tapper is interviewing Reince Priebus  or any of the establishment GOP candidates, pundits or even members of congress it’s highly unlikely that they will see a little device roll over to their seat bearing the words Big Friendly Button that will,  with just a push,  roll back time to Jan 4th 2015 and give the GOP a chance to do it all over.

Frankly I’m not sure they’d push that big friendly button anyway.

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For the first time since I lost my job an Stacy McCain lost his Twitter right we’ve had a setback in our question for $61 to make a living back here at the blog. Yesterday DaTipJar was completely and utterly silent. So as we find ourselves seeking a new $61 today our deficit for the year climbs back to 21 days and $1335 dollars

In fairness my email blast went out late do to covering the Governor (post later today) an helping my son move so I didn’t spend the day promoting the blog, furthermore it was saturday and I suspect that our traffic consisted of our core readers who take a peek before going an enjoying the weekend.

yet if less than 1% of yesterday’s readers kicked in $15 each we would have made out goal for the day with ease.

Again I say to those who have kicked in thank you so much, for those who can’t afford it, don’t worry about it but I do ask you to promote the site.

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Either way thanks for reading and don’t be shy about letting us know what you think. One can’t improve without critique.

One other point concerning Thursday’s debate.

It’s fair to say there were several solid blows landed on Donald Trump.  Ted landed a few  but Marco Rubio clamped onto Donald Leg and like a hungry Dog simply didn’t let go.  He did this at a Debate that got record ratings and followed up the next day making fun of Trump because the one thing the Donald can’t abide is ridicule.

So if you are Donald Trump and the media is now talking about Rubio’s insults and laughing about it, how do you change the subject?

Like this:

Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey endorsed Donald J. Trump on Friday, a major turn in a wild race and one that gives the New York businessman a significant boost as he heads into the pivotal “Super Tuesday” contests.

Mr. Christie was a candidate for president himself until he came in sixth place in New Hampshire’s primary. Seeing his political career facing an abrupt conclusion after his failed presidential campaign, he expressed his anger Friday at Senator Marco Rubio, whom he was said to be upset with, blaming the “super PAC” backing the Florida senator for halting his momentum in New Hampshire with a string of slash-and-burn ads.

Suddenly every cable TV network was carrying Chris Christie endorsing Trump

and returning to repeat the one thing he had success at: beating up on Marco Rubio.

Now while Allahpundit saw this coming weeks ago and notes this is the path to something more AG perhaps?

But if you want to understand why this was done at this time, Ann Althouse nails it

That vastly overshadows Marco Rubio’s bad comedy routine this morning

and I suspect Christie’s ability to swing at the media as a Trump surrogate will be even more valuable in a general election, presuming Trump closes the deal

But no matter how you slice it, Trump knows how to play the media like a fiddle. Now if that’s still the case when they are playing video of him contradicting himself a few weeks apart on a daily basis (and I guarantee you that will happen if he’s the nominee) that’s a different story.

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Busy Day My son is moving and the Governor is in town so I’ll be out a bit but our $61 daily goal remains. We hope to make it and lessen and $1274 behind our annual goal (Just under 21 days) till we get it fully up to date for the year to keep the mortgage and the writers paid.

To those who have kicked in (particularly new subscribers of which we need 114.5 @ $10 a month more to guarantee our goal daily), thanks ever so much.

If however you have not & are both able and inclined I’d really appreciate it if you’d help us close that gap by hitting DaTipJar.




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G Reilly: How would you like it I had the maid over there bring your ass a pinata, that stuff was full of with candy and nachos and chimichangas and tacos, and burritos and a blanket with a big ass bottle of Tequila. what would you say?

Gabriel Iglesias: Thank You!

Gabriel Iglesias Racist Gift Basket

 

One of the advantages of age is memory and perspective and watching yesterday’s CNN debate returned me to the days of my youth in the pre-cable / internet age when my family would gather around the TV set together to watch All in the Family.  It brought to mind a particular episode from 1973 Called “The Games Bunkers play“.

In the episode  Uber Liberal Mike (Meathead) Stivic (Rob Reiner) invites the Lorenzos (Vincent Gardenia, Betty Garrett), Lionel Jefferson ( Mike Evans ) to join him and wife (Sally Struthers) and his mother in law Edith (Jean Stapleton) in a game called Group Therapy which is supposed to reveal things about themselves. Archie (Carroll O’Connor) passes. “I’ll tell you what I’ll do little girl I’ll give you my interpretation of a guy going down to Kelsey’s for a couple of beers.”

Alas for Mike the things he finds out about himself are that for all his bleeding heart liberalism and self professed tolerance he’s locked into his own prejudices.  At one point Lionel (whose family is the black foil for Archie Bunker) draws a card saying “Choose a member of the group now standing back to back and pushing each other them why it’s hard to be direct with them.”  Mike jokes that Lionel will have to pass since Archie isn’t there and is shocked when Lionel says:  “I choose you” and instantly notes that Mike isn’t pushing and asks if he’d push harder if he was white and the exchange escalates video here :
 

Lionel:  Yeah man just once I’d like for you to talk to me like I’m Lionel Jefferson and not a representative of the whole black race.

Mike:  Oh C’mon Lionel I don’t do that.

Lionel:  Sure man what’s the first thing you say whenever I see you, something about the “black” problem right?

Mike:  C’mon Lionel, What do you want me to talk about the weather?

Lionel:  Sometimes yeah black people have weather too.  We get rained on and everything.

And THAT brings us to the CNN debate and Telemundo reporter María Celeste Arrarás.

For a reporter the chance to appear in a highly rated national debate is a Godsend and I’m sure Ms. Arrasas was delighted for the chance to question the candidates.  There are a vast array of issues that are critical in America.  Jobs, the war against ISIS, Obamacare, Fracking and the Climate Change debate, the Revolts going on college campus, Policing, Twitter’s attacks on conservatives, Food Prices, Housing prices, the Zika virus, the VA that  are of vast importance to the viewers of Telemundo.

However given the chance to address all of these issues Ms. Arrarás confined her questions to Immigration, Latino perceptions of the candidates and the Puerto Rico Debt crisis (which in fairness is a serious national issue that’s been largely ignored).  It’s as if CNN and Telemundo came in with preconceived impressions of what a latino journalist was supposed to be and she happily went along.

At least South Park openly calls their black character “Token”.

It’s also worth noting the debate illustrated the difference between Latino liberals and conservative, in that while Ms. Arrarás was glad to say “Thank you for the racist gift basket” a la the famous (and hilarious) Gabriel Iglesias skit, the Latino GOP candidates on stage were having none of it.  Neither Cruz

You know, I would note that a lot of folks in the media have a definition of Hispanics that you can only be hispanic if you’re liberal. That makes sense in the media, but I gotta tell you, one of the things I was most proud of when I ran for Senate here in Texas, I earned 40 percent of the hispanic vote here in Texas.  At the same time, Mitt Romney was getting clobbered with 27 percent of the hispanic vote nationwide. And, the reason is, as you know, you look at the value sin the hispanic community. The values in our community are faith, family, patriotism.

You know, we’ve got the highest rate of military enlistment among Hispanics in any demographic in this country. And, when I campaigned, and I campaigned the same here in Houston or Dallas as I did in the Rio Grande Valley, defending conservative principles, defending judeo- Christian principals, telling my father’s story.  Telling my Dad’s story of coming to America with $100 dollars in his underwear, not speaking English, washing dishes, having hopes and dreams for the American dream. And, the truth is the Obama-Clinton economy has done enormous damage to the hispanic community. It is not working in the hispanic community, and I…fighting so that everyone who is struggling in the hispanic community and beyond will have a fair and even shake at the American dream.

Nor Rubio

the second point I would make is that we have to move past this idea that somehow the hispanic community only cares about immigration.  Yes, it’s an important issue because we know and love people that have been impacted by it. But, I’m going to tell you that the most powerful sentiment in the hispanic community, as it is in every immigrant community, is the burning desire to leave your children better off than yourself and, you can only do that through free enterprise. That’s what we stand for, not socialism like Bernie Sanders, and increasingly Hillary Clinton.

If Ms. Arrarás wants to play the Token Latina from a telenovela that the Liberal MSM expects that’s up to her.  Perhaps they can get her a tight fitting low cut dress for the next debate and occasionally cut away to a ripped Latino man giving her a soulful look for effect, as she asks her questions.

But let me say from my experience this is not reflective of the latinos I know. In my last job I worked with Latinos from multiple countries and when we were all laid off together last week I can guarantee you the last thing on any of their minds was if Donald Trump or anyone else was going to build a fence at the southern border.

Update: Fausta informs me I’ve dropped an “S” from the end of our Telemundo reporter, actually spelled Arrarás, corrected.

Update 2: Powerline asks: What is Telemundo running for?

Even under the slack standards and biased practices of the left-liberal mainstream media, it should be unacceptable for journalists asking questions at a debate to stake out a substantive position and then ask the candidates whether they “get it.” The job of journalists in this context (and others) is to ask for the candidates’ position, not (in effect) to instruct them and the audience that they are clueless if they don’t agree with the position the journalist happens to take.

***********************************

We start a new day With a New $61 daily goal and $1355 to bring out goal fully up to date for the year to keep the mortgage and the writers paid.

To those who have kicked in (particularly new subscribers of which we need 114.5 @ $10 a month more to guarantee our goal daily), thanks ever so much.

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I’ve written several posts on the current electoral situation in the GOP  and noticed some of the statements of the various campaigns that are completely divorced from reality when it comes to dealing with Donald Trump.

Furthermore on twitter, but not yet on the blog I’ve hit the absolutely stupidity of Mitt Romney’s attack on Donald Trump’s taxes, which echos the dishonorable attacks that Harry Reid used on him.  On that subject I think Stacy McCain’s point from 2012 that I quoted in this post applies:

What I believe is this: Whatever Harry Reid knows about Mitt Romney’s taxes, he obtained from Democrat Party sources who, in turn, got it via the leaking of this confidential information from IRS officials to individuals affiliated with the Obama campaign.

Reid is lying — mischaracterizing his sources — to conceal the fact that the Obama campaign has illegally obtained Romney’s IRS forms.

But don’t expect me to prove that accusation. I don’t think the burden should be on me. The burden should be on Harry Reid. He’s the one I’ve alleged is part of a Nixonian conspiracy at the White House. Why didn’t Harry identify his sources?

In fact the only thing more outrageous than Romney’s attack on Trump’s taxes based on zero evidence is Harry Reid attacking him for it (I’m not kidding)

But for all this nonsense there problem remains: How do you beat Donald Trump?  Right now that’s the only question on the floor and if your candidate isn’t thinking along those lines, he’s not serious and needs to drop out.

The only way to do this is to either bring in new voters for yourself but none of the candidates have the reach to the general public that Trump has so that’s not practicable, the other way is to discourage Donald Trump voters from voting, I don’t see that working either since any attack on Trump simply angers the Trump voter and produces attacks that are not easily countered given his social media reach.

That leaves only one other card. Somehow Make the case to the Donald Trump voter to vote for you instead.

While this is a longshot it is the only viable plan short of the GOP changing it’s convention rules, to stop Trump. You need to persuade these voters that not only are you with them but you’ve been with them since day 1.

On it’s face this seems ridiculous and for Marco Rubio it would be.  His embrace of the gang of 8 makes it impossible and for John Kasich his embrace of obamacare makes it doubly so.  Ben Carson might be able to try such a pitch but he can’t make a case any different than Mr. Trump can.

However  there is one candidate who actually is in a position to make this case. In fact he is in perfect position to do so.

That man is Ted Cruz.

Here’s how.

At tonight’s debate when invited to attack Donald Trump, and believe me CNN will,  Ted Cruz should say something along these lines.

“Actually rather than attack Donald Trump I’d like to thank him. He has energized thousands of new GOP voters, voters who are tired of the party ignoring them on Amnesty, ignoring them on Obamacare, ignoring them on Radical Islam and Ignoring them on Common Core. Mr. Trump has talked about these issues and they have entered the national conversation.”

“And I thank him again for it again, because for years I have been in Washington fighting tirelessly to stop Amnesty so I’m pleased to see Donald Trump adding his words to my actions, for years I have been in Washington fighting tirelessly to defund and stop Obamacare and I’m pleased to see Donald Trump add his words to support my actions, for years I’ve been in Washington fighting tirelessly to get this administration to acknowledge the danger and reality of radical Islam and I’m pleased to see Donald Trump add his voice to support my fight and for years I’ve been making the fight in Washington against Common Core and I’m simply delighted to have Donald Trump add his words to support my fight.

And to those new voters who want to make America Great again, who are angry about Obamacare, Amnesty, Common Core and worried about radical islam I say to you your fight is the one I’ve been fighting for years. Donald Trump’s words are great and I’m pleased to hear them, but if you want someone in the White House that has actually fought these fights that you care about. I ask you for your vote.”

Furthermore every single time Donald Trump brings up these issues in the debate Ted Cruz should affirm these issues that Trump raising AND point to the solid steps that he Ted Cruz has done to achieve them.

I suggest that this is the right way to go for several reasons:

1. It complements Donald Trump for raising these issues that other candidates are ducking
2. It affirms the voters who have come out for Trump noting that their concerns are valid rather than attacking them
3. It brings up Ted Cruz’s record on all of these issues, a record that is superior to all the Non-Trump candidates
4. It notes the difference between Talking about an issue, and DOING something bout an issue
5. It does all of these things without actually attacking Trump.
6. It’s an honest and straightforward case as opposed to the Romney tax BS

I don’t deny this is a going to be a tough sell, but until anyone else comes up with a better way to attract the Donald Trump voters I submit and suggest this is the best plan out there and frankly better than anything an expensive consultant is throwing out there.  And if anyone has a better plan I’d be delighted to hear it.

Good Luck.

Update: At the Weekly Standard (via Insty) they are thinking differently

In his indispensible newsletter, the Transom, Ben Domenech makes a profound observation about tonight’s debate: The best way to become the “Not Trump,” is to beat Trump. And the way to beat him isn’t to argue that he’s a meanie or detail his ideological inconsistencies. It’s to go full-alpha and nuke him from orbit.

I don’t think that will play with Trump voters myself

*************************************************************************************

It’s 6:31 PM and we have 5 1/2 hours to make the $9 dollars we are shy of our daily goal of $61 and $1282 behind our daily goal for the year (just over 21 days short) that can keep the mortgage and the writers paid.

To those who have kicked in (particularly new subscribers of which we need 114.5 @ $10 a month guarantee our goal every day), thanks ever so much.

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Ohila: All you’re doing is giving her hope.
12th Doctor: Since when is hope a bad thing?
Ohila: Hope is a terrible thing on the scaffold.

Doctor Who: Hell Bent 2015

It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.

Richard P. Feynman. (Via Don Surber)

One of the nasty things about reality is it tends to make mincemeat out of the pleasant illusions that people who wish to deny it. It doesn’t always happen fast and it tends to involve many twists and turns but sooner or later reality like a dripping stream over a boulder wears things down.

Yesterday’s Nevada caucus is a great example of the illusion shattering power of reality as it has caused many myths about the GOP primary to bite the Dust.

Myth #1 Donald Trump has a ceiling of 34 percent or so.

On Tuesday in Nevada Donald Trump managed to pull 46% of the vote. Granted that as a hotel mogul running in a state where the hospitality industry is huge one might expect him to do well but to pull 46% in a five person race is simply astounding.

Myth #2 Donald Trump can’t win caucus states.

Donald Trump two wins prior to Nevada were both in primary states where all you have to do is show up. His only loss came in a caucus state (Iowa) where voting is a time consuming event leading to the theory that the disinterested Trump voters wouldn’t put the time in for a caucus. Nevada proves this theory completely wrong.

Myth #3  Once Candidates Drop out Trump will Lose

We keep hearing the “if enough people drop out Trump will eventually lose because all those votes are anti-Trump” Well Jeb Bush dropped out after South Carolina and Trump’s percentage of the vote increased by 14% while Marco Rubio’s increased by 2% and Ted Cruz’s decreased by 1%.

Myth #4 If only Cruz & Rubio Team up they can beat Trump

In Nevada Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio combined for 45.3% of the vote. Donald Trump won 45.9% of the vote.

Myth #5 Marco Mentum

As much as the GOP establishment would like to pretend otherwise Marco Rubio has no momentum and his strategy of declaring victory after every crushing defeat simply makes him look like a fool.

Myth #6 The Ground game

My Candidate is and remains Ted Cruz, I believe he is he best choice due to his record and he has built an impressive ground game, but when you are dealing with states where you don’t have months to campaign and voters who might not have been paying attention until the week of the primary or caucus a ground game of activists without a comparable media game is comparable to an army attacking without air cover, it’s just not enough.

Myth #7 Conservatism is the key

Of all the myths that have been shattered this is the one toughest for me to admit. Ted Cruz’s line of attack vs Donald Trump that he doesn’t have a conservative record is completely accurate and one of the primary reasons why I can’t even consider Trump over Cruz, but while there might be enough conservatives in the country to deny a GOP nominee victory in a general election if they stay home, Trump’s success demonstrates that there are not enough hardcore conservatives to deny a GOP candidate the nomination if your candidate has enough across the board support.

Myth #8 Specifics vs Broad Outlines

I can’t tell you how many times we’ve heard pundits on TV say “Candidates need to provide specifics” and reporter decry the lack of such plans. The reality is the only people who bother with specifics are the uber geeks who make up the tiniest part of the electorate and the media who wish to use said specifics to bring a candidate down. People who are actually living their lives are looking for the broad outlines. “Build a wall” Stop Radical Islam, Destroy ISIS, Make America great”. If you sell those ideas the voters will let you worry about the details

Myth #9 You HAVE to follow FOXCNNMSNBCTWITTERDRUDGE every second of the evening the night of an election.

This one is a tad facetious but Tuesday night I decided I didn’t want to stay up to wait for the caucus results so I hit the sack letting my body continue to adjust to a normal sleep scheduled vs the 10:30-7 AM shift I had before my layoff a week ago last night. Amazingly when I woke up the next day the world was still there and all the info I wanted about the Nevada results were not only available but free of the speculation of the media trying, much like the climate change crew, that long shot eventualities are a real possibility.

Now I’m sure post Nevada we are going to get a whole new batch of myths sold to us in the hope that it causes us to either watch the various networks or vote a particular way or consider the race over. Right now if fair to say that Trump is the presumptive nominee unless one of the other candidates figure out a way to beat him. That’s not impossible but unless something changes dramatically it’s becoming increasingly improbable.

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Ok We’ve now had three primaries and my man Ted Cruz has won 1, finished 2nd once and finished 3rd once.  A pretty good record so far.  In baseball that would be a .333 avg.

Marco Rubio who is being celebrated by the pundits and the party as the man to watch has one 2nd place finish and one 3rd place finish and a 5th.  And for all of the glowing words of his supporters he has yet to win a race (somebody should write a song about that)

John Kasich has managed one 2nd place victory and hasn’t done better than 5th anywhere else.

And Ben Carson has not finished higher than 4th.

Yet right now all the talk on the cable news and in the media seems to be:

 How the GOP establishment is rallying around Marco Rubio 

How the party is trying to talk Kasich into puling out to enable Rubio

How the party is trying to keep Ben Carson in to counter Ted Cruz

All of this seems to ignore a simple fact:  Donald Trump

In three contests thus far Donald Trump has won two of them and came in 2nd in the other.

 

If Mr. Trump did not run and Jeb Bush had done this everyone would have declared the race over.

If Mitt Romney had done this in 2012 the pundits would have declared the GOP race over.

Yet the only thing anyone seems to be talking about is which guy is going to take Trump out.

This is ridiculous.

Donald Trump is the front-runner.  He has not only won two contests out of three but more importantly after losing the first contest that he was expected to win was able to learn from it and make the necessary adjustments.

Furthermore he has been winning by increasing GOP turnout to record levels bringing in new voters anxious to hear his two primary messages:

No Amnesty

Stopping Radical Islam

These two primary messages have overshadowed gaffes and contradictions that would have doomed a less popular candidate, but Trump’s base and audience are larger than the media which would dearly love to destroy him and beyond the reach of the GOP establishment which has no influence on the people who support him.

These are the facts and no amount of wishful thinking, establishment endorsements or optimistic spin will change it.

So what IS being done to change it?

From Ben Carson?  Little or nothing.  In an open primary was unable to persuade large amounts of the black electorate to cross over to support him, and unless he has some kind of secret weapon up his sleeve his campaign has no prayer of winning anywhere let alone stopping trump.

From John Kasich?  Not much more.  He isn’t even trying in most of the upcoming states and seems to be staking his hopes on Ohio but doesn’t have the cash or the backing to get anywhere.

From Marco Rubio?  His plan seems to be to keep pretending he’s winning even when he doesn’t under the assumption that he has a divine right to the votes of candidates as they drop out which will eventually raise him over Trump but until he proves he can win somewhere anywhere, all of Rubio’s talk mean nothing.

Only my guy Ted Cruz has managed to beat Trump at least once and unihas continued to attack him using his Trump own words and actions to illustrate him as not a reliable conservative, however even with his strong forward thinking ground game his attacks are blunted by Trump’s ability to attract voters who are not interested in conservative principles.

But if any of them plan on beating Donald Trump they will need to do two things:

Admit that Donald Trump is currently leading:

Adapt their campaigns to deal with Mr. Trumps success.

Reality is what it is and until you admit to reality, you can’t change it.

And the Clock is ticking

 

I was laid off this week from my 3rd shift job so my plan to use said job to pay the mortgage while using the site to get out of debt in a couple of years is out the window unless we suddenly get 125 subscribers at $10 a month. When I say I could use a hand right now I’m not kidding. (We picked up the equivalent of 6 such subscribers this weekend 119 more @$10 a month to go)

Since we all know the rosey description of the Obama economy by the MSM is BS to those who have kicked in (particularly subscribers), thanks much.

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We’ve been hearing about all these different paths to the GOP nomination but as we look at the polls and the landscape other than Ted Cruz who has sewed up the conservative path and Donald Trump who holds the outside path there is only one other path that is left to people like Bush & Kasich.

That’s the convention path.

The MSM & the GOP establishment want Jeb Bush, they need Jeb Bush, without Jeb Bush you don’t get the amnesty that big money people want, without Jeb Bush you don’t get the common core that big money people like, without Jeb you don’t salvage obamacare (and don’t think for one second that obamacare will be repealed under Bush or Kasich).

And of course the left wants Jeb Bush because they think he can be beaten.

There seems to be one problem with this idea, no matter how much MSNBC, CNN et/al push the idea of Jeb, the voters don’t seem to be on board.

So that being the case why do I think that Jeb Bush will be staying in the race to the end?

Because his lane isn’t the establishment lane, it’s the convention lane.

It’s the idea that no candidate will have enough delegates to win the nomination s the fight will go to the convention in Cleveland.

Now this isn’t going to be easy, the RNC has designed the primary system to prevent this but if the MSM is willing to continue to promote Jeb Bush, and if the donors are willing to keep him funded Jeb Bush can still be there come convention time and if Trump or Cruz fail to manage a first ballot victory count on the party to do all it can to promote Jeb or someone like him as the GOP alternative.

I can’t think of anything that would alienate the voters more, it’s a stupid, self destructive move that only an idiotic organization with a death wish would pursue.

Uh Oh.

King Louis: It’s good to be the king

History of the World Part 1 1981

Ted Cruz’s latest ad hitting Hillary Clinton illustrates something about the 2016 race that hitherto has been ignored.

We have heard Donald Trump say bluntly: I could shoot a guy in times square and wouldn’t lose a vote. People were outraged. When Jeb Bush said he could drop trou and nobody would notice it was a bit of a scandal.

But nobody seems to be noticing is description doesn’t fit Trump or his supporters best, it fits Hillary Clinton and her supporters

Hillary Clinton was willing to enable the marginalization and destruction of women who were abused by her husband

Hillary Clinton was willing to come up with story after story concerning her emails and until finally settling on one that it’s NBB.

Hillary Clinton was willing to leave American to die in Benghazi and then lie to the faces of the parents of those who did concerning how and why it happened.

and frankly we could make a much longer list but none of it will matter.

To the Hillary Supporter what is moral, right or corrupt are defined by whatever Hillary Clinton does. If Hillary did it, it’s OK and if anyone questions it, they’re part of the conspiracy.  that is what defines their morality.

Trump and Bush were speaking theoretically, Hillary has made it a reality.

It’s the first ever cult of personality led by someone without much of a personality.

That’s why the Clinton ad is perfect.  It’s good to be a Clinton.

 

Chalk this up to wishful thinking on someone’s part

Though the RealClearPolitics average currently has Trump up 16 points over Cruz in South Carolina, that’s misleading, because none of the polls were taken after Cruz’s win in Iowa.

Furthermore, now that the field has narrowed down and Trump has won a primary and proven himself a serious threat, there will be a lot more focus on his liberal record — on abortion, guns, healthcare, property rights — among other issues. It won’t dissuade his strongest supporters, but it doesn’t matter, because it will discourage enough very conservative voters and evangelicals to give Cruz the victory.

I do not doubt that Ted Cruz voters are likely more committed and thanks to the well planned ground game are likely to turn out no matter what. However there are several things that Mr. Klein is missing in declaring Ted Cruz the front runner. To wit:

#1 The flesh pressing stage of the race is done.

The thing that makes both Iowa & NH unique is that in both states candidates have to meet the voters, people get to speak with them, question them and encounter the in person.

However from this point on there will be multiple states across the country coming very fast and while Senator Cruz’s ground game will get his voters out the remaining states are built for the Donald Trump air war.


#2 Getting on the bandwagon:

People like to be part of an event a happening. The Donald Trump phenom is such a thing, and as long as it only takes showing up to a polling place (as opposed to a caucus) the Donald Trump bandwagon effect will be there.


#3 Low information voters:

One of the real fact of life is the majority of people don’t pay attention. While Senator Cruz can correctly point out Trump’s past record most of the people who are going to turn up aren’t going to be interested in that.  If there were interested in what is going on they would have turned up and voted the last time

#4 The Trump pool

This is related to both #2 & #3 Donald Trump’s reach is far beyond those who actually pay attention to the political world. As that group is much larger than the people who do care about politics this gives Donald a much larger reach. Byron York hit on this today when talking with the NH GOP

In late January, the New Hampshire Republican Party held a gathering that attracted GOP officials, volunteers, activists, and various other members of the party elite from across the state. At the time, Donald Trump led the Republican presidential race in New Hampshire by nearly 20 points, and had been on top of the polls since July.

What was extraordinary about the gathering was that I talked to a lot of people there, politically active Republicans, and most of them told me they personally didn’t know anyone who supported Trump. Asked about the Trump lead, one very well-connected New Hampshire Republican told me, “I don’t see it. I don’t feel it. I don’t hear it, and I spend part of every day with Republican voters.”

A lot of the GOP hasn’t figured this out yet.

#5 Ratings rating Ratings:

Donald Trump means ratings for the MSM. As long as Donald keeps delivering the rating the MSM will keep delivering the free media that supports his air war.

#6 Hate vs Fear

Rush Limbaugh has often said that while the GOP establishment hates Donald Trump, they fear Ted Cruz. This is true for the MSM as well which does not want the first Latino to be on top of a major party Ticket to be a strong conservative like Ted Cruz.

If it gets down to Cruz vs Trump (and it is likely to reach that point) look for both the media, convinced that Trump will be easier to beat, and the GOP Establishment, convinced that Trump will make the deal with them that Ted Cruz will not, to go all in for Trump to stop Cruz.

Now does that mean I think Trump has it clinched. By no means, I think Ted Cruz is playing the long game and doing it well, but to pretend that Donald Trump is not the front runner for the GOP nomination and Ted Cruz is, that’s just wishful thinking.

Given where the economy is rather than where the MSM pretends it is and that it is January both are understandable and to those who have kicked in (particularly subscribers), thanks much.

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Yesterday I talked about the media narrative and how, no matter what the result, the narrative would already be in place.

Anyone who watched the coverage yesterday and today can recognize this.

 

Just a week ago, we were told by the talking heads that Donald Trump’s 2nd place finish by 4 pts was a crushing defeat that it brought questions about if Mr. Trump was for real.  At the same time Marco Rubio’s 3rd place finish was the sign that his time had come, the media was all Rubio all the time.  Endorsements poured in and Marco mentum was the rule of the day.

Not so Ben Carson whose 4th place was an afterthought, nor Ted Cruz whose actual victory seemed to mean nothing because NH is different kettle of fish (do people put fish in a kettle)?

 

Well now we’ve seen NH and we’ve learned some interesting things.

 While finishing 2nd place by 4 pts is a crushing defeat in Iowa in NH 2nd place by 18 points is a great victory that can propel a candidate to the upper tier of the GOP field even if said candidate didn’t manage to crack 10% in Iowa.

We learned that while 3rd place by 2 pts in Iowa is an incredible finish that gives a candidate momentum 3rd place in NH by 4 point is no big deal even in a state where you aren’t expected to do well.

We’ve further learned that while 4th place in Iowa is not even worth mentioning 4th place in NH revives a campaign and guarantees a candidate can go on even if that 4th place finish is the best said candidate has done so far.

And most odd of all we’ve seen that a first place finish by a wide margin is less newsworthy than finishing 2nd.

How can this be?  Well it’s very simple.

For the MSM Jeb Bush and John Kasich are the most liberal members of the GOP field supporting Obamacare, Common Core & Illegal Immigration and thus the easiest for Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders to defeat, therefore any meme that potentially advances their chances to get the GOP nomination is to be given the full force of the msm.

Ted Cruz opposes all of those things, thus in Iowa his 1st place finish is eclipsed by Marco Rubio and his 3rd place finish is eclipsed by Jeb Bush because under no circumstances shall any scenario that advances his candidacy be advanced.

Finally while the media absolutely hates Donald Trump they fear Ted Cruz.  Therefore while they will downplay Trump’s win for now they will hold their fire under the assumption that it might come down to Trump vs Cruz and in that case they will go all in for the Donald.

Never forget that the media’s stories are already written, it’s only a question of shoehorning the facts to fit them.

 

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I remain in bed, unable to stand for more than a few minutes with my head spinning and unable to hold down even dry cereal.

The irony is that these symptoms which are considered normal in the aftermath aftermath of my illness could go on for months and continue to cost me days of work that I can’t afford to miss.

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If anyone tells you that they know what’s going to happen today in NH they are full of it.

However while the actual results of the evening are totally up in the air, the MSM memes for today are completely predictable.

DONALD TRUMP:


If Donald wins this by more than 10 pts

MSM will start talking inevitably and declare that only the #2 finisher (unless it’s Ted Cruz) has a prayer to stop him and the talk will be if the establishment decides to go all in.

If Donald trump wins by less that 10 pts (my best guess)

MSM meme will be Trump is vulnerable and MSM will extol the virtues of any 2nd or 3rd place finisher not named Ted Cruz as the alternative to Trump.

If Trump loses to any person not named Ted Cruz.

Said person will be lionized and the Trump campaign declared a paper tiger, they will really cheer if it’s a Bush or Kasich.

If Trump loses to Ted Cruz

Mass Seppuku among members of the MSM and the Party will go all out to push whoever is 2nd.

TED CRUZ

See above if he wins

If Cruz finishes in 2nd or 3rd.

Media will pretend he doesn’t exist and will push the other 2nd or 3rd place finisher , if he gets 3rd by less that 2 pts they’ll push the 4th place person as advancing too.

If Cruz finishes 4th or below , even by one vote

MSM will treat him as a one trick pony and pretend his national campaign is doomed.

 

MARCO RUBIO

If Rubio finishes 2nd or 3rd

He will  be pushed as he alternative to Donald Trump unless a governor finishes 2nd then Rubio will be hit as a guy on the decline.

If Rubio finishes 5th or below

He will be written off by the MSM

 

JEB BUSH, JOHN KASICH, CHRIS CHRISTIE (who can tell the difference anymore?)

 

If any one of them finish in 2nd -4th

Said candidate will be dubbed the “Winner” of NH Establishment primary which will be treated as more important than actually winning..  If more than 1 finishes in the top 4 both will be cheered.

If the finish is 2nd place said candidate will be treated  as if they actual won NH even if they are 20+ pts behind the winner.

Any finish by a gov below 4th and said candidate will be told it’s time to go.

Note Jeb Bush will be treated as if he finished one level ahead of whatever spot he finishes at.

BEN CARSON

Unless he finishes 4th or above he will be totally ignored except to blame Ted Cruz for said finish.

MSM will do their best to keep Carson in the race in the hope that he will hurt Ted Cruz in the south.

 

CARLY FIORINA

Unless she finishes top 4 MSM will say it’s time to go.  If she finishes top 4 with Cruz and Rubio may become de facto Establishment alternative

 

JIM GILMORE

If he finishes about any other candidate it will be treated as  a victory.  If he does not then he’ll tweet out that he’s now in the top 5-8 depending on how many candidates drop out.

MY PREDICTION:  The only candidate that drops out post NH is Chris Christie unless Kasich finishes 6th then he’ll consider it.

 

The Democrats:

BERNIE SANDERS

If Sanders wins by less that 15 points.

MSM will treat result as a great Clinton Comeback and Bill will talk about Hillary as the 2nd coming of the comeback kid.  If it’s single digits it will be considered the Clinton miracle.

If Sanders wins by 15+

Bloomberg is in, Biden is maybe in and Hillary & Bill launch an all out campaign to destroy him that will make the attacks at Ken Starr look like nothing.

 

HILLARY CLINTON

If somehow Hillary Clinton wins

It’s all over for Bernie & the FBI investigation

 

The chances of Hillary being indicted are directly related to how well she does.

My best guess (Bernie by 12)

 

All of this is fun but remember this above all:

 

The actual results are secondary to the the meme the MSM wants to push, those have already been determined.  The only question is will the results allow those memes to be credible.

**************

Today my plan had been to take a day off of work, head to NH, visit some polling places and finish at the Ted Cruz event in Hollis.

Instead I’m in bed, unable to stand for more than a few minutes with my head spinning and unable to hold down even dry cereal.

The irony is that these symptoms which are considered normal in the aftermath aftermath of my illness could go on for months and continue to cost me days of work that I can’t afford to miss.

So if you are both able and inclined I’d really appreciate it if you’d help by hitting DaTipJar.




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You know we on the right have been telling us that the MSM can’t be trusted and that their reports should be taken with a grain of salt.

Apparently they agree: (via Newsbusters)

LLAMAS: …Will you fire or suspend anyone at your campaign for putting out misinformation?

TED CRUZ: No. We’re not going to scapegoat anybody and I would note that the news story that our team passed on was true and accurate. CNN reported it.

LLAMAS: But is it a dirty trick to confuse voters?

CRUZ: Is it a dirty trick to pass on your news stories? You’re in the business. Would you think it was if I forwarding an ABC story or just a dirty trick to pass on CNN stories?

Cruz is not shy about pointing it out.

Ted Cruz said Wednesday that CNN’s reporting on the night of the Iowa caucuses about Republican rival Ben Carson’s campaign was accurate.

“CNN got it correct. Miracles happen. But that is part of the democratic process to let Iowa caucusers know, here is the news that is breaking. And it is relevant,” Cruz told a man who asked what happened on Monday evening.

And CNN is really upset about Ted Cruz quoting them

 

In a strongly worded statement on Wednesday evening, CNN said, “Senator Cruz’s claims about CNN are false. At no point did the network indicate Dr. Carson would suspend his campaign.”

 

In fact Rush had a montage of it on his show:

We have a montage. They had to defend their reporting. They had to savage Cruz as a liar for hours last night. We have Anderson Cooper, Erin Burnett, Dylan Byers, and Brooke Baldwin all talking about Cruz’s campaign telling voters that Carson was leaving the race.

COOPER: Ted Cruz keeps saying that it all stemmed from the CNN report, which just is not factually correct. He’s saying that CNN reported that the campaign was being suspended, and that’s not what was being reported.

BURNETT: Do you think, though, that it does raise a question of character and integrity, though, that is important for people to understand? It’s Ted Cruz’s campaign, and everything that comes from it is a direct reflection on him and he’s blaming it on CNN’s reporting.

BYERS: Senator Cruz’s claims about CNN are false…

BALDWIN: Senator Cruz tries to throw my network, CNN, under the bus. That accurate report was the disseminated on television and CNN digital, and that was that. I’m going to call out BS if I hear BS.

RUSH: And that was the lovely and gracious Brooke Baldwin there saying that she’s gonna call out BS when she hears BS. Go back up to 13. What did Cruz say that has them all agitated? Listen again. (replaying of sound bite) ‘Kin’A! It’s exactly happened. CNN posted it. (interruption) The original tweet did not say that. (interruption) The written one? No, screw the news story. CNN put that tweet out there. That’s what Cruz is talking about.

Yeah, later on after the proverbial excrement hit the fan, yeah, then everybody goes into CYA mode and CNN. “Hey, wait a minute! We reported he was going back,” and Carson said, “Hey, wait a minute. I said I was returning after I got a clean clothes change. Hey.” All that’s happening there is that there was a tweet — and don’t tell me tweets don’t matter. That’s all anybody does anymore. There’s a tweet out there from a CNN guy (Chris Moody, that’s his name) that Carson was leaving, before the caucuses started.

Now, CNN can deny this left and right. They can say, “Well, we didn’t broadcast it.”

Actually Rush isn’t entirely accurate here, because I was one of the apparently very few people in the country who actual HAD CNN on at the time and heard the report as it was made and the speculation it created. I was in the middle of writing a post with predictions as to the result and said report I had just heard on CNN caused me to include this line.

Note: If suggestions that Carson is thinking of dropping that have just been reported, all bets are off.

 

Now I understand everyone is trying to win here but to pretend that this wasn’t reported is disingenuous, to pretend that it’s not a logical inference that a candidate choosing to go home “to do laundry” rather than go to the next primary state is suggests something is up is disingenuous and to suggest as I’ve seen some do on twitter that Steve King should be pilloried because he didn’t see a Carson campaign update before speaking because after all why would he be expected to be doing anything other than monitoring Ben Carson’s campaign pronouncements the night of the Iowa caucus is the height of absurdity.

But for all of the ranting by the various campaigns in their quest to destroy Ted Cruz nothing is more amusing than watching the MSM confirm what we have been saying for years, that the best way to misinform the public, is to take one of their reports and run with it.

Closing thought: How grateful do you think the MSM is to those who supposedly don’t trust them that they have given them an excuse to focus on something other than the Hillary Clinton Iowa “win”?

****************************************************************************

The good news is that both my face and web traffic have recovered. January 2016 marks the 4th straight month of recovery and the doldrums of 2014 & early 2015 seem completely behind.

The bad news is DaTipjar has not recovered to 2013 levels yet. With a $62 a day avg goal as of Jan 30th we’re reached where I hoped we’d be January 7th, just over 25%.

Given where the economy is rather than where the MSM pretends it is and that it is January both are understandable and to those who have kicked in (particularly subscribers), thanks much.

If however you have not & are both able and inclined I’d really appreciate it if you’d help us either close January strong or start February stronger by hitting DaTipJar.




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I’ve been watching the news since I got home with 2 hours to sleep, given what the MSM is saying here is what must be true.

It’s normal to dub Hillary Clinton the “apparent winner” in a race she hasn’t won yet & Ted Cruz the “projected” winner in a race he has clearly won.

There is nothing newsworthy about 60% of the GOP vote going to Hispanic & Black candidates

Marco Rubio finishing it the position that he was expected to (3rd place) is more newsworthy that Ted Cruz winning a race he was supposed to lose.

Apparently winning Iowa dooms Ted Cruz’s campaign as much as winning does.

The fact that a candidate who was publicly opposed ethanol subsidies and was directly attacked by the very popular gov of the state & still won is not newsworthy.

The 1st woman to win the Iowa Caucus is historic, the 1st Hispanic to win the Iowa Caucus is not.

There is absolutely no possibility that there is anything untoward about Hillary’s (now called) victory in Iowa because of her perfect reputation for Honesty.

Donald Trump finishing 2nd in Iowa means he’s finished, Jeb Bush finishing nowhere means nothing.

The fact that the MSM & the polls got everything wrong in Iowa has no bearing on if you should trust what they say about New Hampshire etc.

There is a lot to say about Iowa’s results and I’ll be saying it a bit later but I want to note one story from the results in Iowa that is getting no press.

As you know by now Ted Cruz won Iowa with 28% of the vote Trump came in 2nd and Rubio came in 3rd with 24% Ben Carson finished 4th.

There is something about this result that jumps out at me right away.

For years we’ve been told about the xenophobic, bigoted GOP that doesn’t care for blacks and Hispanics yet with 12 candidates on the ballot, 9 whites, one black and 2 hispanic for the party Iowa republicans gave the victory to a Hispanic candidate, gave 3rd place to another hispanic candidate and 4th place to a black candidate.

Between Cruz Rubio and Carson over 60% of GOP votes went to candidates of color in the state of Iowa.

Given the MSM’s meme of the GOP as a bunch of racists I’d think that would be big news yet nobody is talking about what this says concerning the GOP and diversity and race.

I wonder why?

Update: On Morning Joe Sam Stein just touted the 1st woman to “apparently” win the Iowa caucus but had nothing to say about the 1st Hispanic to win an Iowa caucus.

Unexpectedly

Update 2: Lindsey Graham with a straight face just said on Morning Joe that Marco Rubio & Ted Cruz will hurt the GOP with hispanics if nominated because nothing turns off hispanics like nominating the 1st ever hispanic to the top of a major party ticket.

You’ll never lack a spot on MSNBC if you’re a republican willing to declare the GOP out of touch with hispanics & woman.

Update 3: Iowahawk

Update 4: John Nolte at Breitbart notices

Because the DC Media believe it is a powerful weapon that benefits Democrats, nothing will ever stop them from using it. But if this same media truly believed in science and objectivity, the results in Iowa would forever end their relentless smears against conservatives as racists. Tuesday night, one of the whitest and most conservative states in the country — Iowa — gave 60% of the Republican vote to two Hispanics and a black man.

Update 5 Made this prediction just before Jake tapper’s show: on CNN started

23 minutes he did just that in an interview with the GOP chair

Which begs the obvious question

I’d love a good answer to that.

Update 6: Days later the Washington post finally asks the question and of course downplays any suggestion of media bias.

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As of this moment the only think we know for sure about Iowa is the fact that hotel room prices are about to drop like a rock.

As I will be at work with no access to a radio or the net my first knowledge of the results in Iowa will, unless I take my laptop with me as I have no smartphone, either at 7 AM or what people with smartphones tell me during breaks.

It’s my opinion that Ted Cruz will put it out, that the turnout thanks to the storm will not grow as much and his ground game will make the difference. It’s also my opinion that not enough people will choose to vote strategically (although it’s the pragmatic thing to do) to turn the Donald Trump events into victory.

It’s also my opinion that Sanders wins simply because to the young Sanders voter the caucus itself is like a Trump event & they’ll so because it’s an event, plus there is enough fear in Hillary voters to make the difference.

But even if I’m wrong and it’s Trump Cruz vs Cruz Trump what’s next? Since I’m obliged to write thing before I have any clue what has actually happened here is what I think:

If TED CRUZ wins by a lot:

An unlikely scenario, but if it happens it will make a huge difference in NH guaranteeing him top 3. This will require cause a bloodbath in NH as the big three establishment candidates plus Rubio fight for their lives. Jeb Bush may decide to back out of NH all together and decide to go all in for SC in order to retain the donor class. But it also becomes last stand for Kasich and Christie, particularly if Rubio finishes a strong 3rd.

It also means that Ted Cruz’s already formidable ground & money advantage increases greatly

As far as the Establishment goes a big Ted Cruz win means decision time. It’s all in to stop him, but to who, Trump, Rubio or Bush? If the Cruz win comes with a Trump collapse then suddenly the the old rules apply again and Bush rises from the grave as Stacy McCain fears.

If TED CRUZ wins by a little (my best guess):

Then all the conventional wisdom that the pundits have talked about continues, Trump in this case likely does well enough to ensure a NH win (unless he collapses then Rubio become the Stop Ted Establishment fan.

All the Ted Cruz wins by a lot scenario’s above apply to a lesser degree including the panic. It also gives the GOP establishment a little time to put off their decision as to what to do.

If Trump comes a close second expect him to be like the US Army after Kasserine, someone who learns a lot from an initial defeat. He will go after Cruz like there is no tomorrow.

If Donald Trump wins by a little

Then NH is his, Cruz might settle to 3rd or 4th there and it sets him up well for continued success. In one respect a close win is best for Trump as it confers the victory he needs with the lessons that a close call can teach.

Cruz will be pilloried by the MSM for losing in this case in an attempt to write him off (it will fail) and it might tempt some campaigns that should end to continue at least to NH or SC) It will also give new hope to Christie and Carson and be a boon to Rubio. If somehow Rubio finishes 2nd to Trump (very unlikely) then he will become the defacto GOP Trump alternative

If Donald Trump wins by a lot

The whole game is blown up. NH is his, Nevada is likely his and the Bush SC plan is in deep trouble. Ted Cruz holds on in the south & will need to rally there. NH becomes a fight for 2nd place but the GOP establishment might just decide that they had better hit the Trump Bandwagon NOW rather than later, unless Rubio comes 2nd & then they might decide to go that way.

It’s possible that this helps Bush the most since with Cruz disposed of he has the biggest donor network to actually compete.

This is the only Scenario where I see either Huckabee or Santorum getting to NH

Final thought: If any candidate other than Trump, Cruz or Rubio finish in the top 3 THAT becomes the subhead in the GOP no matter what the result. If it’s an establishment guy NH goes completely insane.

Note: If suggestions that Carson is thinking of dropping that have just been reported, all bets are off.

Democrats:

If Bernie Sanders wins by a lot:
The Trump explosion squared. DNC panic and the Biden & Bloomberg stuff goes into overdrive. Both the “stop Bernie” and the “Replace Hillary NOW!” plans go into full swing and the Clintons find themselves fighting for their political lives. At this point the black community will have to choose a side. The Clintons will tell them to name their price and pay it, but they might just see what the Replace Hillary Now and Bernie camps might offer for their support.

It’s possible that the Obama administration and the Clinton’s go into mutually assured destruction mode. That all depends on what threats get made by the Clinton’s or the Administration in an attempt to either force them to back her or pressure her to leave. MSN in full panic mode.

If Bernie Sanders wins by a little (my best guess)

The slow Clinton bleed continues and all the tough decisions that a big Bernie win would force are delayed. Again Clinton appeals to the minority community to be her firewall post NH but minor defections continue. The DNC decides to sweat it out for NH in the hopes that Hillary can recover post NH. The whispers of indictment continue but aren’t enough to go anywhere yet. It’s all wait and see.

If Hillary wins by a little.

Most of the DNC panic dissipates, suddenly Biden & Bloomberg are silent. Nothing from Justice but the infighting in the FBI over the rule of law continues but is suppressed by Obama. In many ways this is the optimum result for the left because it solves problems without forcing their hand totally. The one danger for the DNC is if there is any sign of a “dirty tricks”, then the Democrat activist revolt will make Chicago 1968 look like a Victorian Picnic.

If Hillary wins by a lot:

It’s all over, no indictments, Justice covers for her and the FBI is caught between outrage and resignation. The press goes all in to cover for her and turns all it’s attention to destroying Trump or Cruz.

Final thought. The MSM goal is to advance whatever scenario helps elect Hillary to the White House and destroys first Ted Cruz than the GOP. If you keep that in mind in the coverage of Iowa over the next 24 hours, then you will not be surprised.

(Fyi the GOP goal is to destroy Ted Cruz so in that half of the coverage they and the MSM will be working together.

When viewed in an inertial reference frame, an object either remains at rest or continues to move at a constant velocity, unless acted upon by an external force

Newton’s 1st law of Motion

Lyndon Johnson’s loss had been due a political fluke. He had been beaten not by his opponent’s friends but by his opponent’s foes. 

Lyndon Johnson the Path to Power

A few days ago I saw a piece concerning Iowa that crunched the numbers in Iowa that suggest Donald Trump is going to have more trouble than he thinks in Iowa.

Really, so in order to justify Trump’s lead, somehow 50,000 more caucus attendees will have to show up and vote for Trump than have ever shown up before. Trump has 12 paid staffers in Iowa, led by Tana Goetz, a 48-year-old former runner up on “The Apprentice.” Wow, what raw horsepower.

He contrasts that to Ted Cruz:

Cruz has over 1,000 precinct chairs, a 240-plus person leadership team and over 5,000 volunteers in every one of Iowa’s 99 counties (all of which Cruz has pledged to visit before the caucuses, and it looks like he’ll make it happen). They’re led by seasoned professionals such as Jake Dagel, who was field director for Turning Point USA.

It’s a devastating  analysis but it overlooks one very important thing, and that’s strategic voting

While the GOP doesn’t have the same process as the dems who can, if the supporters of a candidate can’t get enough people to go with them to advance go with another candidate, it’s going to be very apparent very early if an attendee’s candidate has a shot in their district.

When that happens then it will be time for voters to decide:  “Do I stick with my guy or do I think strategically?”

Think if you are a Jeb Bush, or a Chris Christie, or a John Kasich guy.  Your man isn’t going to win Iowa, you likely won’t even finish in the top 3.  What is your game plan to win the nomination?

If you’re Jeb Bush guy, you need to be the last non-Trump man standing.  So you have to stop Ted Cruz.

If you’re Chris Christie or John Kasich you have to finish in the top 3 in NH, you aren’t likely to stop Donald Trump there so you have to stop Ted Cruz.

You’re Carly Fiorina, Trump is a perfect foil for your campaign, Ted Cruz is not so you have to stop Ted Cruz.

and it’s not just establishment types thinking this;

You’re a Mike Huckabee or a Rick Santorum supporter, your only prayer (assuming you have one) is to cancel out the one guy who has taken the votes you won with in 2008  & 2012 so that you can win in the south so you have to stop Ted Cruz.

You are Ben Carson voter, you know your man who has the potential to attract voters in the south who might normally not vote in a GOP primary but you have to get to those primaries with a campaign still alive so you have to stop Ted Cruz.

Your Rand Paul voter, you can’t allow libertarians to be looking for another principled alternative so you have to stop Ted Cruz.

The only candidate with a disincentive to this is Marco Rubio, the NYT not withstanding he needs to keep his guys in line to keep himself viable, a fight between him and Cruz diminishes his rivals and increases him, he needs is folks to boost his numbers at all costs.

Now you might say:  “But Datechguy Iowa is a big conservative state what makes you think there are enough establishment votes to save Iowa for Trump”

My answer.  Mitt lost Iowa by only 8 votes and those Mitt guys are all in for Bush  stopping Cruz.

Bottom line, with the exception of Marco Rubio every single other candidate has an incentive to stop Ted Cruz from winning Iowa, even if it gives the win to Trump.

Trump doesn’t need 50,000 extra voters to show up at the caucus to win, he simply needs enough voters to put the other candidates voters in a spot where they have a pragmatic choice between helping Trump win or helping letting Cruz win.

That is Donald Trump’s secret weapon and don’t think for one moment he doesn’t know it.

P.S.  You’ll not that I didn’t include Jim Gilmore with all due respect for the former gov of VA why would I?

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Yesterday I wrote how the GOP’s establishment’s decision to go all in for Donald Trump is a pragmatic decision and in some ways quite logical because it does two things:

1. It acknowledges that the Primary System is designed to aid a front-runner and that Trump has put him self in a position to use it to his advantage better then their hand picked candidate has.

2. It allows them to attempt to Neutralize Ted Cruz who they hate more than anyone else.

In the short term this seems like a good move, it puts a billionaire on their side preserving a future $ stream and for them hopefully stops a potential president who would be less interested in providing long term wealth & position for connected friends of the establishment than actually doing the job.

Given that DC is the land of short term thinking this makes perfect sense, but the GOP is forgetting something huge.

Ted Cruz is a young man, he is going to be in the Senate for a very long time.

Furthermore any examination of the Cruz fundraising machine suggests not only does he have a national organization independent of the national GOP but one that is fundraising machine and volunteer machine that can be mobilized in practically every state.

Why does that matter?  Let’s take a trip down memory lane to Aug 27, 2013 and a piece called “Ted Cruz’s gift to the GOP establishment.

It commented on how Ted Cruz’s neutrality in races involving incumbent was considered a slap to the GOP establishment but I had a different view:

The MSM meme is:  Ted Cruz is sticking an eye in the establishment.  Ted Cruz being a maverick,  Ted Cruz  letting the whole world know he’s not going to be about helping entrenched power just because  it has an R next it its name!

The reality is he is doing exactly the opposite.

In fact one year later October 11th 2014 when Pat Roberts was in trouble….

Yesterday the Hill noted that Ted Cruz turned up in Kansas to say a few words on behalf of Pat Roberts (R-KS?) who is fighting for his political life to save a Senate seat that has belonged to the GOP since before I was born:

Tea Party favorite Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) waded into the Kansas Senate race Thursday, touting beleaguered Republican incumbent Pat Roberts as the contest’s only true conservative.

and I wrote at the time:

last year I argued that,  contrary to the conventional wisdom,  Ted Cruz was doing the GOP establishment a huge favor by staying out races which involved incumbent Republicans.  Yesterday’s appearance for Pat Roberts is the final piece in the puzzle whereby Ted Cruz, like Rand Paul before him, earns chits with the establishment GOP that he will be in a position to cash in during 2016 if he chooses to do so.

The GOP has now clearly told Ted Cruz that those chits are worth squat.

Fine.

The GOP is forgetting that every two years there is an election where the entire house is up for re-election and 1/3 of the Senate is and also regular elections for governors as well.

Now ask yourself this:

What would be the fastest way to build name recognition, to raise money for a run when the interests in the state are afraid of being on the wrong side of the sitting senator in the room?

A Ted Cruz endorsement.

In the last election cycle Ted Cruz did not challenge any sitting GOP incumbent, he didn’t endorse Matt Bevin when he was running against Mitch McConnell nor did aid John Cornyn’s worthy challenger Dwayne Stovall.  In the current election cycle, frankly Senator Cruz is a tad busy…

…but what about next one?

Ted Cruz is 45 years old.  He has the potential to be around for 10, 15 maybe even 20 election cycles.  He has a set of principles which are absolutely unshakable.  And like a congressman from Texas named Rayburn he can not be bought.

I mention Sam Rayburn because I want to tell a story to the establishment GOP about Mr. Cruz’s fellow Texan.  One day a  congressman walked over to him and lied to his face claiming that he dare not vote with Mr. Sam (as Rayburn was called) on a bill he cared about due to opinion in his district.  Rayburn answered him directly:

So don’t you come crawling across the room telling me you wish you could have voted for the bill ’cause you didn’t have the guts to.

This according to Robert Caro on page 330 of his Book Lyndon Johnson the Path to Power is what happened next:

A young state senator who had considered challenging the Congressman for his seat had dropped the idea because he didn’t have enough political clout.  Not a week after his confrontation with Rayburn, the Congressman walked into the house Dining room for lunch and saw the legislator sitting there—at Rayburn’s table.  When the legislator returned home he had all the clout he needed.

Now I won’t insult your intelligence to suggest that Ted Cruz is Sam Rayburn, he,  for example, could not & I suspect would not, do what Rayburn did,  making sure that the congressman above would not only lose election but be literally driven out of Washington.

But I will say this:  Picture being a sitting congressman or senator who every two or six years has talked the talk of conservatism but after re-election has voted with the establishment.  Picture being that member of congress in the house or senate coming home & finding Ted Cruz at a rally introducing a potential Tea Party challenger at a rally in your state?

Senator Richard Burr (R-NC) has.

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I know you can get the MSM for nothing, but that’s pretty much what most of them are worth.