Fun with stats CNN Baseball & Jumping from 128K feet

Well I got my man

Don Liddle September 29, 1954 the Polo Grounds

We have talked about the interesting use of polls and stats. This weekend we saw a story that claimed that 1 in 5 self identified conservatives who have already voted in Ohio voted for Barack Obama.

Well, you have to believe it. It’s the truth. CNN said so.

Now I’m sure the results were exactly as they said and one in five of the people who identified themselves as conservatives to CNN voted Obama but I’d be interested in how many people that was? How many “conservatives” were polled? 1000? 100, less…


I’d really like a link there but let me give you two examples so you can understand how you can fudge a statistic without lying.

Here is the pitching line from Game 1 of the 1954 World Series:

If you looked at this box score and was told Sal Maglie came out of a tie game with Runners on 1st & 2nd with nobody out, you would of course assume that Liddle did his job, no hits, no walks, one guy faced, retired him and that was it.

But anyone with even a passing knowledge of baseball knows the reason why the Giants were able to win this in the 10th was because of a fellow named Mays:

Liddle’s stat line while accurate is misleading.

A more modern example came from yesterday when Felix Baumgartner had quite a fall on Sunday.

Now this was one of the most viewed events in history but lets look at this statistically. Based on all of the real world data currently in existence:

1. 100% of all humans who have jumped from 128,000 have survived
2. 100% of all men who have jumped from 128,000 have landed on their feet
3. Statistically a larger percentage of those who have fallen down stairs have suffered fatal injuries than those who have jumped out of a capsule at 128,000 feet above the earth.
4. More human being have died from being beaned at the plate in Major league games than have died from Jumping out of a capsule at 128,000 feet

Make sure you look at some of these interesting polls claims the same way you do those four truthful sentences above.

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Wolves, Sheep and Sheepdogs revisited

I found most men aren’t willing, they bat an eye, or draw a breath before they shoot. I won’t.

John Wayne, The Shootist 1975

You’ve got no reputation for toughness. Once in your life you had to have hit somebody.

Fonzie Happy Days 1975

I saw the story on the Muslim march on Google this weekend and didn’t give it much mind, but when I saw Glenn’s post this morning with this comment:

IF YOU DON’T LIKE IT, STOP BEING SO GODDAMN MOCKABLE, SCHMUCKS. Muslims protest ‘age of mockery’ as thousands descend on Google HQ.

After all, you just turned out en masse in response to a YouTube video. Joke’s on you. Again.

Yes we mock these folk marching over a video, but I suspect Google will not treat this as a joke to be ignored.

Whenever I cover Tea Party events that don’t take place in large cities I always speak to the local police on site. Invariably there is one officer or two at the most, to handle a crowd of several hundred. This is true even in locations like NH where people in the crowd may legally pack heat.

The reason for so few officers? These police know, media meme not withstanding, there will not be a problem at a tea party event, particularly if there is nobody counter protesting from the left.

With our Islamic Friends the opposite is true.

Madonna has no problems hitting Christian and Catholic symbols but when it was pointed out that her life would be in danger if she shot her newest video in her ‘Terror Bride’ outfit she suddenly decided for the first time EVAH this was one envelope she didn’t want to push.

The media can talk about peaceful Islam till it’s blue in the face but the reality is if you challenge Islam you are putting your life at risk. If this was not true why does cartoonist Molly Norris remain in hiding under an assumed name two years after she apologized for Everybody Draw Mohammad Day?

And if you are on the left and won’t believe me, will you believe Bill Maher & Andrew Sullivan?

It is highly necessary for us to stand up and be counted to defend free speech, even offensive speech but lets remember the reality here. The people who are going to stand up and be counted are comparatively few in number. To quote one the greatest blog posts ever written.

If you have no capacity for violence then you are a healthy productive citizen: a sheep. If you have a capacity for violence and no empathy for your fellow citizens, then you have defined an aggressive sociopath–a wolf. But what if you have a capacity for violence, and a deep love for your fellow citizens? Then you are a sheepdog, a warrior, someone who is walking the hero’s path. Someone who can walk into the heart of darkness, into the universal human phobia, and walk out unscathed.

I expect Google, our media and this administration to cave and scatter because a few wolves are more powerful than 1000’s of sheep. I expect them to do this in the name of “tolerance” but the reality is they are so afraid of the wolf they won’t even admit the wolf exists, but…

….if there are a few of us, just a few sheepdogs who can be seen ready to protect the flock that can make all the difference.

You don’t have to be the equal of the sheepdogs who carry arms in Afghanistan, You don’t have to the equal of the sheepdogs who wear blue and patrol our streets. You don’t even have to be the equal of a Pam Geller or Robert Spencer who travel around the country and world speaking out.

Even if all you have is a keyboard and a name like a Mark Steyn if you are willing to say aloud: “I will not submit, nor will I give up my 1st Amendment rights and neither should you.” It will be enough.

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