I’m Old Enough to Remember When Big Spending on Ads won Elections

Do you remember when Jeb Bush won the 2016 GOP nomination due to his massive cash advantage and the massive amounts of money his superpacs spent on Ads?

Hillary Clinton and her allies continue to outspend Donald Trump and his backers over the airwaves by a 15-to-1 margin, according to ad-spending data from SMG Delta.

Team Clinton has spent $57 million on ads so far in the general election — $25 million coming from the campaign and another $32 million from pro-Clinton Super PACs.

By comparison, Team Trump has aired $3.6 million in ads, with all of the spending from two outside groups, the National Rifle Association ($2.3 million) and Rebuilding America Now ($1.3 million). The Trump campaign has yet to spend a single cent on ads so far in the general election

Well apparently according to Quinnipiac the voters in swing states don’t remember it either:

The presidential matchups show:

Florida – Trump at 42 percent to Clinton’s 39, compared to a 47 – 39 percent Clinton lead June 21;
Ohio – Clinton and Trump tied 41 – 41 percent, compared to a 40 – 40 percent tie June 21;
Pennsylvania – Trump at 43 percent to Clinton’s 41 percent, compared to June 21, when Clinton had 42 percent to Trump’s 41 percent. With third party candidates in the race, results are:
Florida – Trump leads Clinton 41 – 36 percent, with 7 percent for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 4 percent for Green Party candidate Jill Stein;
Ohio – Trump at 37 percent to Clinton’s 36 percent, with Johnson at 7 percent and Stein at 6 percent;
Pennsylvania – Trump over Clinton 40 – 34 percent with 9 percent for Johnson and 3 percent for Stein.

“Donald Trump enters the Republican Convention on a small roll in the three most important swing states in the country. He has wiped out Hillary Clinton’s lead in Florida; is on the upside of too-close to call races in Florida and Pennsylvania and is locked in a dead heat in Ohio,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

The PDF of the poll is here and just for fun this is the chart of the comparative spending in swing states from that NBC piece:


Two thoughts:

If Hillary is having this much trouble when she’s outspending trump 10-1 or more and with the media turning on him bigtime, what will happen once Trump actually starts to spend?

This chart and poll results are the single biggest threat to the consultant class that has come down the pike in decades.

Update: How bad is it for Hillary? Last night she Called into the O’Reilly Factor and took questions from Bill without restriction talking tough on terror.

If I was Jill Stein I’d be tweeting out that fact to the feel the bern crowd every hour on the hour from now till election day.

Leave a Reply