COVID-19 and a baby boom?

Yes, someone actually used this as a pick-up line

The COVID-19 shutdown has had many changes, with a notable one being more time spent at home. For couples, this had lead to more…alone time, if you know what I mean. More alone time means that 40 weeks from the start of pandemic in the United States (so around Christmas time) means we might be seeing a surge in births.

While definitely under-reported in America, other countries are reporting signs that we might see a large increase in babies. Indonesia saw a 10% decrease in birth control use, and in countries like Nepal, which already don’t have good transportation, family planning is out the window. India, already set to overtake China by 2050 in population, is likely seeing a surge too. Even in Ireland, pregnancy test purchases are spiking in some cities. It seems everyone is using COVID-19 as a bad pickup line to get it on.

What does this mean long term? First, a surge should help stave off economic downturn. World War II saw a decline in population of almost 2.5% worldwide, but a surge in the birth rate after contributed to the regrowth of the population and economy to boot. With better health care and schooling, a jump in birth rate means more workers to produce more , which long term should raise GDP.

From Reddit

Second, the population will change dramatically where it is located at. China, already on decline, will likely decline more, falling behind India faster than 2050. That may put pressure on China to consolidate gains made by the One-Belt-One-Road Initiative and territoriality in places like the South China Sea. Russia faces a significant loss in manpower and may struggle to maintain control over its vast territory, which could lead to civil war. African nations like Nigeria and Ethiopia, with relatively democratic governments, could become huge markets for goods and the new source of manufacturing for companies escaping China.

Lastly, COVID-19 exposed that how we manage the elderly, especially in America, is a borderline death trap. Nursing homes, already struggling to keep workers, are the single largest source of COVID deaths in America. But longer life spans and the tendency of nursing homes to suck every penny out of retirement funds means that people will be likely outraged and desire to move aging parents into safer facilities. Expect to see a focus on cleanliness at nursing homes plus a boom in new homes being built with mother-in-law suites for aging parents.

This post represents the views of the author and not those of the Department of Defense, Department of the Navy, or any other government agency.

What Do Places Where Riots and Looting take place have in common?

The Answer, they invariably take place in cities & areas where the leadership has a dim view of the 2nd amendment.

I have a sneaking suspension that neighborhoods and towns where citizens are well armed are not going to see the riots we have seen in some cities, and I further predict that business owners who are in front of their shops holding a shotgun will find their shops largely intact and protesters limiting their activist to actual protesting and marching.

https://datechguyblog.com/2020/05/27/the-late-steven-den-beste-on-trump-accidentally/Cue Den Beste:

By Jacksonian lights, no rule of law works without the threat of force, and if the threat of force is removed then lawbreakers will come out of the woodwork.

Local communities that are well armed and make it clear that those commuting violence are taking their lives in their hand will remain safe, communities that signal looting and rioting will be tolerated will get more of it.

It’s that simple.

Closing thought: I submit and suggest that the left has been hoping and praying for something like this for a long time and their real desire is to have some useful idiot get killed while threatening an armed citizen so they can use said idiot as a martyr. To the left, who will do all they can to get this outcome , this would be a feature not a bug because they believe it to be to their advantage politically and to some degree financially.

I predict this will continue until they conclude that it will cost them more votes than it will gain.