My WNBA Draft Question

I understand the WNBA draft is today and I have a question:

If a NCAA player who played in the men’s tourney, say a low level NBA prospect publicly defines himself as a woman is he/she eligible for the WNBA draft?

If not why not?

I imagine a player who has no chance at the NBA and looking at a regular job having a huge incentive to do so but that’s just me?

Corporations need to stay out of politics–or how my father got fired for wearing a JFK button at work

Image courtesy of the JFK Presidential Library

By John Ruberry

In 1960, shortly before I was born, my father briefly worked for the Quaker Oats Company. Sixty years ago many large companies and corporations had ethnic identities. For instance the first episode of Mad Men, coincidentally set in 1960, contains a plotline centered around the decision of a Jewish business owner to change advertising agencies and hire one that wasn’t “Jewish.” 

Big firms also had politial identities.

Quaker Oats was a Republican company. R. Douglas Stuart was the longtime CEO of the company when my dad worked there. In Stuart’s Wikipedia entry, and that of his son, it’s stated that they were “active in the Republican Party.” The younger Stuart also served as CEO of Quaker Oats.

My dad was hired by the Chicago-based company as a junior executive, an in-house farm club concept from that era.

It was a great time to be an Irish Catholic Democrat in 1960 and my dad was able to proudly check all three boxes. John F. Kennedy, who potrayed himself as a devout Catholic, was the presidential nominee of the Democratic Party. Unlike the doomed Al Smith, the first Catholic nominee for president of a major party, Kennedy’s chances for moving into the White House looked promising. But JFK’s Republican opponent, Richard M. Nixon, was the slight favorite early in the campaign. Kennedy, people like my father reasoned, needed every bit of assistance to nudge him over the goal line. So my dad placed a Kennedy poster in the front window of our Chicago bungalow and he wore a Kennedy campaign button everywhere he went.

Including at Quaker Oats. 

But my dad was a probationary hire–there was a three month period before a final decision was made on whether he would stay on. He didn’t make it–he was told at the end of those three months that he “wasn’t a fit for the Quaker Oats culture.”

Years later, after my father’s passing, I met a woman who worked closely with my father at Quaker Oats there and she confimed this story as it had exactly been told to me. She added that my dad was “a real blast” and a “breath of fresh air at that stuffy place.”

Later in the 1960s attitudes changed. Major corporations became less ethnic. One large company after another stopped being WASP, Jewish, or Catholic. The hiring doors for all positions were opened to minorities. And of course those were all good things. Politics was de-emphasized in the business world too.

But politics didn’t vanish from corporate America. Another legacy from the 1960s is that big corporations began envisioning themselves as being responsible for more than providing products and services and making money, explaining in annual reports and countless press releases that they had a “responsibility to the community” and the like. And over time, colleges and universities, even their business schools, drifted even further to the left. So did the political leanings of their graduates. A decade or so ago poltics made a roaring comeback in the boardroom and elsewhere in corporate America.

When there is a political controversy–such as the hasty anger about the new Georgia voting laws–which most people who hate them only do so because they saw Twitter comments or headlines on their smart phones that claim that Georgia has returned to the Jim Crow era–CEOs naturally, such as Delta Airlines’ CEO Ed Bastian, fall in line and echo the opinion of the left. Oh, the fear of a left-wing boycott is part of their rationale too. Coca-Cola, aka Woka-Cola, which went full-woke earlier this year, has also declared its opposition to the Georgia election law. And not just them.

Corporate politicking needs to end because it is an accessory to the dangerous dividing of America. The last time I bought airline tickets I needed to get someplace–and get flown home. That’s it. I don’t need the airline’s politics, I have my own already, thank you. The same goes if I need a beverage or anything else. Ed Bastian and Coca-Cola’s CEO James Quincey need to shut up and stick to keeping flights somewhat on time and ensuring beverages are tasty and safe. They need to avoid subjects they know little about.

The majority of Americans, when they learn more about the Georgia bill, will likely see these reforms as reasonable. For instance already most states have voter ID laws, including Biden’s home state of Delaware. And signature verification as the sole tool to determine if a ballot mailed in was completed by that voter, isn’t a strong enough security measure, at least I think so.

Elections need to be free and fair. 

Did Quincey and Bastian cave to the left on Georgia only because they read an MSNBC or Daily Beast headline? 

I am also compelled to address the bad decision by Major League Baseball to move the 2021 All-Star Game, and the MLB Draft, out of Atlanta. Two days prior, while being interviewed by woke ESPN, President Joe Biden said he supported taking away that game from the Braves. MLB needs to stay out of politics too. Had MLB done a bit of research on the subject it would have learned that the woke Washington Post rated a key Biden claim about the law with Four Pinocchios

Instead of a leftist boycott now Delta, Coke, and MLB face boycotts from the right–and the loudest call comes from former President Donald Trump. Remember him? He received the votes of 75 million Americans five months ago.

My message to corporate America: Keep out of politics and stick to your products and services. It’s good for your business and best for America. And it’s great for your employees.

Oh, my dad learned his lesson. He never wore a political campaign button again. He enjoyed a happy and properous career at other places. After Chappaquidick my father was done with the Kennedy family. After Jimmy Carter’s election he was done with the Democrats.

Quaker Oats was acquired by Pepsico, Coca-Cola’s rival, in 2001.

John Ruberry regularly blogs at Marathon Pundit.

Futility league season 2, SD Jones League season 1 and all time great league season 3 standings (With Wild Card) 2/28/21

Here is the state of the table top baseball leagues I run. All leagues are 162 game seasons with one 3 game series scheduled per week If you click on a team link you can see their stats, injuries, leaders etc.

As of this week I am adding the wild cards standings for the play-in game

League one All Futility League (all teams lost 96 + games) 2nd Season. Scheduled series time Thursday Mornings.

Teams AL Division AWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
1970 Milwaukee Brewers4232.568—–NoN/A
1970 Chicago White Sox3936.5203 1/2No—–
2002 Tampa Bay Devil Rays3243.42710 1/2Yes7
2003 Detroit Tigers2946.38713 1/2No10
Teams AL Division BWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
1970 Kansas City Royals4431.587—–NoN/A
2008 Seattle Mariners4035.5334Yes+1
2012 Minnesota Twins3936.5205No——
1973 Texas Rangers3045.40014Yes9
Teams AL Division CWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
2009 Cleveland Indians3837.507—–No1*
1957 Washington Senators3837.507—–No1*
2019 Baltimore Orioles3737.5001/2No1 1/2
1967 Kansas City A’s3639.4802No3
*Division Winner automatically makes playoffs
Teams NL Division AWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
1998 Montreal Expos4626.639—–NoN/A
2009 Washington Nationals4332.5734 1/2Yes+ 1 1/2
2001 Pittsburgh Pirates 3936.5208 1/2Yes2 1/2
1998 Florida Marlins3342.44014 1/2Yes8 1/2
Teams NL Division BWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
2015 Atlanta Braves3537.486—– Non/a
2017 San Francisco Giants3441.4542 1/2No7 1/2
2012 Houston Astros3441.4542 1/2Yes7 1/2
2000 Philadelphia Phillies3043.4115 1/2Yes10 1/2
Teams NL Division CWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
1982 Cincinnati Reds4330.589—-Non/a
1993 New York Mets4032.5562 1/2No—–
1974 Chicago Cubs3636.5006 1/2No4
1993 San Diego Padres3441.45410Yes7 1/2

The SD Jones memorial .500 teams league is a league (all teams were no better than 2 games over .500 or no worse than 2 games under) Initial season . Games are scheduled for Tuesdays. AM

Teams AL EastWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
1993 Boston2922.569—–Non/a
1973 New York (A)2325.4794 1/2Yes1 1/2
1967 Washington2028.4177 1/2Yes4 1/2
1957 Baltimore2130.4128Yes5
Teams AL CentralWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
2010 Detroit2919.604—–Yesn/a
1975 Cleveland2423.5114 1/2No—–
1998 Chicago (A)2226.4587 No2 1/2
1973 Minnesota1830.37511No5 1/2
Teams AL WestWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
2017 Kansas City3216.667—–Yesn/a
2010 Oakland2820.5834 Yes+ 3 1/2
2005 Toronto2226.45810 Yes2 1/2
2018 Los Angeles (A)2137.43811Yes3 1/2
Teams NL EastWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
2018 Washington3219.627—-Non/a
1967 Pittsburgh3021.5882No+ 3 1/2
1975 New York (N)2523.5215 1/2Yes——
1957 Philadelphia2526.4907Yes1 1/2
Teams NL CentralWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
1975 St. Louis2325479—–Yesn/a
1996 Cincinnati2225.4681/2No2 1/2
2000 Colorado2226.4581Yes3
1973 Houston2028.4173Yes5
Teams NL WestWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
1975 San Francisco3612.750—–Yesn/a
2012 Arizona2127.43815Yes4
2007 Los Angeles (N)2028.41716Yes5
1982 San Diego1932.37318 1/2Yes7 1/2

3rd League All time any time Great Teams League (3rd season) Games scheduled Friday evenings

Teams AL EastWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
1970 Baltimore156.714—–Yesn/a
1993 Toronto1110.5244No+ 1/2
1999 Boston711.3896 1/2No2
1961 Yankess711.3896 1/2No2
Teams AL CentralWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
2010 Texas126.667—–Yesn/a
1954 Cleveland810.4444Yes1
1974 Oakland69.4004 1/2Yes1 1/2
2006 Detroit612.3336Yes3
Teams AL OtherWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
1924 Washington138.619—–Non/a
1977 Kansas City99.5002 1/2Yes—-
1967 Minnesota1011.4763Yes1/2
2009 New York (A)510.3335No4
Teams NL EastWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
1975 Cincinnati108.556—–Yesn/a
1998 Atlanta1011.4761 1/2No1 1/2
2019 Washington Nats1011.4761 1/2Yes1 1/2
1955 Brooklyn810.4442 Yes2
Teams NL CentralWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
1957 Milwaukee117.611—–Yesn/a
1971 Pittsburgh108.5561 Yes—-
1985 St. Louis810.4443No2
2003 Cubs711.3894Yes3
Teams NL OtherWLPCTGBAvailableWCGB
2016 Chicago (N)135722—-Non/a
2001 Arizona117.6112Yes+1
1977 Philadelphia99.5004Yes1
2007 Colorado612.3337Yes4

If you are interested in taking over the management of any of these teams contact me in comments.

Detroit’s stillborn revival

By John Ruberry

I hit the road last week–to a regular stop for me–Detroit–my fourth visit there. Coincidentally last Monday, when I arrived, was the first day that Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s lifting of Michigan’s ban on indoor dining, replaced by low-capacity dining, took effect.

Yet central Detroit was still nearly void of people last week.

During my first visit, in 2015, while I noticed a fair amount of bustle on the streets and sidewalks downtown, I also walked past empty skyscrapers. On my next trip, two years later, most of those same buildings were occupied or being rehabbed. And the city’s light rail line, the QLine, an expensive and impressive showpiece, had just opened. As I noted at the time on my own blog, these trolley cars ironically echo Detroit’s monorail, the People Mover, the 1980s Stalinist boondoggle championed by Coleman Young, the five-term mayor of Detroit who may have been a closet communist. Both the QLine and the People Mover serve only the downtown area. They look stunning though.

Also in 2017 Little Caesars Arena opened in the adjacent Midown part of the city. It brought the Detroit’s NBA team, the Pistons, back to the city for the first time in nearly four decades. The NHL team, the Red Wings, made the short jump from downtown’s Joe Louis Arena to Little Caesars too. Since the early 2000s the NFL entry, the Lions, and its MLB team, the Tigers, have been playing downtown. Which made the many gamedays in central Detroit a magnet for hungry and thirsty people with fat wallets. Now the teams play in front of no fans.

Quicken Loans has been based in Detroit since 2009 and is now America’s largest mortgage lender. While Detroit is still the Motor City it is the Mortgage City now too.

But meanwhile in the neighborhoods the decline of Detroit continued. For urban explorers like myself, that is, people who photograph or shoot videos of abandoned homes, factories, offices, churches—am I leaving anything out?–oh yeah, schools, there is no shortage of material to work with.

Things looked even better for Detroit when I spent a day there in 2019.

Then COVID-19 hit. Whitmer’s statewide lockdowns have been among the nation’s most restrictive. As I witnessed in Chicago last year, the streets were also eerily empty in Detroit in 2020 according to media reports, such as this one from AP in October:

Downtown Detroit was returning to its roots as a vibrant city center, motoring away from its past as the model of urban ruin. 

Then the pandemic showed up, emptying once-bustling streets and forcing many office workers to flee to their suburban homes.

And if you work for Quicken and its Rocket Mortgage wing, many of your job responsibilities, perhaps all of them, can be done from a suburban home, as Quicken performs most of its transactions online.

But lets say you need to come downtown for your annual review. What else is there to do? On Day 1 of the partial-lifting of the indoor dining lockdown, it looked to me that about half of the restaurants there were still closed. Most retail outlets were shuttered. And all of the shops and eateries were closed at the Little Caesars Arena, where I hoped to buy a hockey souvenir for Mrs. Marathon Pundit. But of course there is always Amazon to fall back on for that. Oh, Kid Rock’s Made In Detroit restaurant at Little Caesars closed last spring, although that departure had nothing to do with COVID.

So in downtown Detroit last week you still had to struggle to find a place to eat. Yes, there were a few of those ludicrous tents outside some eateries–by the way temperatures were in the 30s all last week during our visit.

Story continues below photograph.

Diners last Monday in downtown Detroit

Part of the allure of big-city centers has been the array of shopping and cultural choices offfered. That’s mostly gone now in Detroit. Sure, New York, Chicago and other large cities are facing similar challenges under COVID lockdowns, but many of their eateries and shops have been operating for decades. And yes, such businesses usually have narrow profit margins but being a going concern for many years means there will be an established customer base that might remember you a few years later. What if you are a Detroit boutique that has been open only for a couple of years?

The QLine and the People Mover haven’t run since last spring. There aren’t a lot of people in downtown Detroit to well, move. Buses are still running, however.

Back to those cultural choices: The Detroit Institute of Arts is one of America’s premier art museums. I wanted to attend Wednesday but the DIA was sold out that day. I was able to purchase tickets, online of course, for myself and my traveling companion the following day for one of the available time slots. And do you know what? Outside of employees there couldn’t have been more than 50 people inside the sprawling museum when we were there. I’m confident that Wednesday’s “sold out” day wasn’t much different. On the positive side I was able to stand and stare in front of the DIA’s four Vincent van Gogh paintings as long as I wished–there was no one to push me aside and tell me, “You’re done, now it’s my turn.” Yes, we were forced to wear masks and we had our temperature taken at the museum’s entrance. Precautions were taken.

My companion visited Dearborn’s Henry Ford museum on Tuesday–a fabulous place that I experiended in 2015–and it was nearly empty too, I was told. 

The Motown Musuem in New Center remains closed, it re-opens February 18. Man, oh man, we really wanted to see that place.

Will COVID-19 and Michigan’s lockdowns kill Detroit’s revival?

Many people have their life savings and their mortages invested in small businesses that have been closed for months in Detroit and other large cities.

The dominos will start falling.  Which is something most Detroiters know a lot about.

Meanwhile in Florida, life and business continues, with masks, but without the lockdowns. The Florida COVID death rate is lower than that of Michigan.

John Ruberry regularly blogs at Marathon Pundit.

Tom Brady is the 3rd Best Player in an American Team Sport Behind Russell 2nd and Ruth 1st

We have now been hearing a discussion where people are asking: Is Tom Brady the greatest player in an American Team Sport ever? Brady being in his 10th Superbowl has earned him a place in that conversation with 10 trips to the finals in 21 chances. Or to put it another way,

  • Tom Brady’s avg of going to superbowls is higher than Ty Cobb’s avg of getting hits.
  • Tom Brady’s avg of going to superbowls is higher than the 3 point percentage of any NBA player in history
  • The only NFL team that has been to more Superbowls than Tom Brady is the New England Patriots with eleven trips over 61 years to Tom’s ten in 21 years. Nine of those trips were in years they were led by Tom Brady.
  • Tom Brady’s as of today has one less playoff win then Maurice Richard has Stanley Cup goals.

That being the case Brady deserves to be in consideration for the best player in a major American Team sport (Baseball, Football, Basketball, Hockey) of all time. There are two people in that conversation with him. Babe Ruth and Bill Russell.

Babe Ruth in 22 years went to 10 World Series winning Seven and if you look at the Baseball Reference pages over his career led the league in over 200 different categories over his career as both a Pitcher and as a Right fielder.

Bill Russell in 13 seasons in the NBA went to the playoffs every season making it to the finals 12 times and winning 11 titles, two of them as player coach.

Brady has four things in common with Ruth and Russell.

  • A Long Career
  • Success early and late in a career
  • Regular trips to the Finals
  • Long tenures in Boston

Brady has one thing in Common with Ruth favoring him over Russell

  • Success on multiple teams under multiple coaches/managers

Brady has two things in common with Russell over Ruth

  • A high level of play every uninjured season of his career (to this point) (Ruth’s final season stunk)
  • Never having cost his team a title with a boneheaded play to lose a series (Ruth inexplicably getting caught stealing in 1926 to lose the World Series)

And Brady has one advantage over Both Russell & Ruth

  • No Margin for error.

In a championship season Babe Ruth and his teams had the liberty of having as many as three bad games or three games where the opposing team outplayed them while still being capable of winning a championship. Bill Russell’s margin of error was larger, with a 6 to 9 game margin or error as their series were all best of seven. Or to put it simply if your better team had a bad day you still had the rest of a series games to show the other guy whose actually better.

However Tom Brady , as a football player, had no such margin of error. A single bad game or a single bad move and you are out. Russell’s Celtics & Ruth’s Yanks and Sox could blow a game or two in a series and still win. Brady never had that luxury.

Why then does Brady rank behind Russell? Very simple. While this season it’s been implied that Brady has functioned as a “coach” to the Offense, Bill Russell for two seasons won titles while actually being the head coach as well as the center. He not only had to play at a high level but had to while on the floor manage the team, call the plays and be aware enough to coach the team to the playoffs and to the title. He not only managed to do so, but managed to do so TWICE.

For that reason I give Russell an edge over Brady, at least so far. If Brady goes to an 11th Superbowl (which is entirely in the realm of possibility I may revisit that advantage.

However Babe Ruth has an advantage over Brady that is even more pronounced. He not only won six titles as the most feared slugger in the major leagues but won three titles as one of the top pitchers in the Majors. It would be as if Brady won his first three titles as the top linebacker or Defensive End before switching to Quarterback. Furthermore Ruth fundamentally changed the game of baseball in a way neither Russell nor Brady did in their sports. It’s true that after Ruth started hitting homers other soon followed, but Ruth did it first and the only chemical enhancements he had were hot dogs and beer.

For this reason I consider Babe Ruth the greatest team sport player in the history of sports, over Russell and over Brady. If Brady wins the superbowl this year and perhaps one other then I may revisit these rankings, if not then.

FYI Michael Jordon doesn’t make this list because while he won six titles in six trips all those titles came in the 2nd half of his career all with the same team and system and failed to make the playoffs with the wizards when he came back. LeBron James doesn’t make this list because of only four titles wins but given that he won three titles in three different cities under three different systems and has been to the finals 10 times one more trip will force him to be considered in this company. Kareem fails to make the top 3 because despite the six titles with two teams and titles early and late in his career, he had a very long period without making those finals or more properly if included on this list he is currently 5th with LeBron right behind him. Yogi Berra with 10 titles in 14 years and 3 MVP titles in a league that had Mantle & Williams is the person that Brady edges out for 3rd. Berra might have had better stats but his development was curtailed by a more pressing engagement off Normandy on June 6th 1944 & two months later in the invasion on the southern coast of France. In fact you might even be able to make a case for Berra going all the way to the top.

My top five list as of this moment would run Ruth, Russell, Brady, Berra, & Jabbar in that order with King James knocking on the door and very likely to take Kareem’s spot on this list perhaps as soon as this year.

Futility league and SD Jones League 1/3 and needs for alternates in Face to face league

Here is the state of the 2nd season of my Dynasty Baseball All Futility League (all teams lost 96 + games). Teams available for those interested are listed. If you click on the link for the various teams you get to their home page and can see their stats, leaders, injuries etc. Can you hold an existing lead or take a trailing team to the top?

Teams AL Division AWinsLossesPCTGBAvailable
1970 Milwaukee Brewers2724.529—–No
1970 Chicago White Sox2724.529—–No
2002 Tampa Bay DevilRays2130.4126Yes
2003 Detroit Tigers2031.3927No
Teams AL Division BWinsLossesPCTGBAvailable
1970 Kansas City Royals3021.588—–No
2012 Minnesota Twins2724.5293No
2008 Seattle Mariners2625.5104Yes
1973 Texas Rangers 2229.4318No
Teams AL Division C Wins Losses PCT GB Available
2009 Cleveland Indians 30 21 .588 —– No
1957 Washington Senators 26 25 .510 4 No
1967 Kansas City A’s 23 28 .451 7 No
2019 Baltimore Orioles 22 29 .431 8 No
Teams NL Division A Wins Losses PCT GB Available
1998 Montreal Expos 33 18 .647 —– No
2001 Pittsburgh Pirates 26 22 .542 5 1/2 Yes
2009 Washington Nats 25 26 .490 8 Yes
1998 Florida Marlins 25 26 .490 8 Yes
Teams NL Division B Wins Losses PCT GB Available
2015 Atlanta Braves 19 20 .487 —– No
2000 Philadelphia Phillies 23 28 .451 1 Yes
2012 Houston Astros 23 28 .451 1 Yes
2017 SF Giants 23 28 .451 1 No
Teams NL Division C Wins Losses PCT GB Available
1993 New York Mets 22 14 .611 —– No
1982 Cincinnati Reds 21 18 .538 2 1/2 No
1993 San Diego Padres 20 19 .513 3 1/2 Yes
1974 Chicago Cubs 15 21 .417 7 No

I am also running an all average team league called the SD Jones memorial .500 teams league. All teams were no better than 2 games over .500 or no worse than 2 games under. Here are the current standings. Teams still available are listed. This is our initial season.

Teams AL East Wins Losses PCT GB Available
1993 Boston 13 11 .543 —– No
1967 Washington 10 11 .476 1 1/2 Yes
1973 New York (A) 10 14 .417 3 Yes
1957 Baltimore 9 15 .375 4 Yes
Teams AL Central Wins Losses PCT GB Available
2010 Detroit 14 8 .583 —– Yes
1975 Cleveland 11 10 .524 1 1/2 No
1998 Chicago (A) 11 13 .458 3 No
1973 Minnesota 9 15 .375 5 No
Teams AL West Wins Losses PCT GB Available
2017 Kansas City 18 6 .750 —– Yes
 2010 Oakland 14 13 .519 5 1/2 No
2018 Los Angeles (A) 11 13 .458 7 Yes
2005 Toronto 11 16 .407 8 1/2 Yes
Teams NL East Wins Losses PCT GB Available
1967 Pittsburgh 20 7 .741 —– No
2018 Washington 16 8 .667 2 1/2 No
 1957 Philadelphia 10 14 .417 8 1/2 Yes
1975 New York (N) 10 14 .417 8 1/2 Yes
Teams NL Central Wins Losses PCT GB Available
2000 Colorado 13 11 .667 —– Yes
1975 St. Louis   12 12 .500 1 Yes
1996 Cincinnati 11 13 .458 2 Yes
1973 Houston 10 17 .370 4 1/2 Yes
Teams NL West Wins Losses PCT GB Available
1975 San Francisco 18 6 .750 —– Yes
2007 Los Angeles (N) 12 12 .500 6 Yes
2012 Arizona 10 14 .333 8 Yes
1982 San Diego 8 16 .333 10 Yes

The invite for the 3rd season of our great teams league. Last season the 1955 Brooklyn Dodgers repeated as world champs defeating the 2010 Texas Rangers 4 games to two. Can they three peat? And what team would YOU like to manage to try and stop them? We will be starting this league within two weeks.

Finally in our face to face league one player will be having a medical issue and a 2nd might also needing him to take some time off. We have one alternate available but he has already taken a team. If you had an interest in joining our league that plays every other Saturday in Fitchburg MA (1 pm EST) leave a comment here and I’ll give you details.

Expectations Revisited Patriots Sans Brady:

In Yesterday’s post I measured, with one game left in the NFL season Brady vs the expectations game to this point, now let’s look at the Patriots:

As I wrote at the time the Patriots pre-Brady:

  • Had a winning record 55% of the time
  • won 11 or more game (10 in a 14 game season) 14.6% of the time
  • won their division 12% of the time
  • made the playoffs 24% of the time
  • won a playoff game 9.7% of the time
  • went to a championship game 7% of the time winning 0%

While the Patriots with Brady:

  • Had a winning record 100% of the time
  • The Patriots won at least 12 games 70% of the time
  • The Patriots won their division & made the playoffs 90% of the time
  • The Patriots won at LEAST one playoff game 70% of the time
  • The Patriots went to the Superbowl 50% of the time
  • The Patriots WON the superbowl 30% of the time (67% of the times they went)

Given those facts combined with the fact that the worst season of the Brady Era was a 9-7 record I set the bottom of the expectations barrel for an OK season being 9-7 a winning record,

However as many people argued for years that Brady’s success was due to Bill Belichck now considered by many the best coach of all time. Many of the anti-Brady crowd gave him a lot of credit for that success so I adjusted these expectations up two games to 11-5 figuring if a good coach can make a one game difference the greatest coach of all time should at least be able to manage to put an extra win or two out of his hat. After all the were only 3 Brady years that they failed to win at least 11.

Instead the Patriots go into this weekend not only eliminated from the playoffs for the 1st time since Brady’s injury kept him out for a season but fighting for the chance, the chance mind you to finish .500 for the season.

This makes the Bill Belichick Era going into today’s game a 24-34 as the coach of the New England Patriots in games not started by Tom Brady and in the three seasons that he coached the team sans Brady he made the playoffs….nearly once.

My expectations scale was “fire the bum” if he failed to win at least 11 but given the Covid situation that while effecting all teams hit his team hard I’d give him another season’s leeway, particularly if he can manage to make .500. If not I think we can safely say that the question of Bill vs Tom in terms of credit has been answered conclusively.

Closing thought #1: It’s worth noting that New England not only missed the playoffs but did so in a year with an extra playoff spot while going into their final three games holding the tiebreakers against all the teams ahead of them..

Closing Thought #2 The biggest difference has been the expectations game. During the Brady era the expectations of the sports fans and sports radio in Boston was “Patriots Win” except for that playoff game in KC (That Brady Still won) Does anyone really think that this team wouldn’t have at least 10 wins and be heading at worst to a wild card game if they had Brady under center this year?

Closing thought #3: For all this critique let’s remember that with a good starting QB with a long term contract in hand Belichick with that 199th pick still saw what every other GM in the league, including those without a good QB signed long term, didn’t.

Brady vs the Expectations game revisited

With one exception I’ve had little use for the new Woke NFL this season. As you may or may not know I’ve never been a huge football fan, but I’ve been a fan of three players in my lifetime. The 1st of Steve Grogan who I thought was the toughest player to ever play QB and the 2nd was his favorite receiver Stanley Morgan.

The 3rd is Tom Brady, who single handedly turned around the Boston Sports scene. His success forced the other franchises to get serious about winning. During his time in Boston 12 championships came here, six of them won by him but every major franchise won at least one title (Ironically just as Brady won as many titles as all the major franchise combined his three losses in title game also equals all the other Boston franchise during that time).

While I’ve tuned out the woke NFL I’ve kept tabs on Brady. He’s hated by many in the media/ Left as a Trump friend, although not vocal on it, but it’s no coincidence that Tampa Bay’s is the one franchises whose ratings have been consistently up.

So let’s revisit my expectations for Tampa this season. In their pre-Brady era Tampa Bay:

  • Had a winning record 30% of the time (13 seasons)
  • Won 11 or more games 7% of the time (3 seasons 1999,2002,2005)
  • Won their division 12% of the time (1970,1981, 1999,2002,2005,2007)
  • Made the playoffs 23% of the time (10 seasons)
  • Won at least 1 playoff game 9% of the time (1979,1997,1999,2002)
  • Won the Superbowl 2% (100% of the times they went 2002)

Meanwhile Tom Brady Patriots during his career has

  • Had a winning record 100% of the time
  • The Patriots won at least 12 games 70% of the time
  • The Patriots won their division & made the playoffs 90% of the time
  • The Patriots won at LEAST one playoff game 70% of the time
  • The Patriots went to the Superbowl 50% of the time
  • The Patriots WON the superbowl 30% of the time (67% of the times they went)

and Brady after Age 40 not counting this season has:

  • Had a winning record 100% of the time
  • Won at least 12 games 67% of the time (at least 11 100%)
  • Won his division 100% of the time
  • Made the playoffs 100% of the time
  • Won at least 1 playoff game 67% of the time
  • Gone to the Superbowl 67% of the time
  • Won the Superbowl 33% of the time

During those three years Tampa Bay has

  • Had a losing record 100% of the time
  • Missed the playoffs 100% of the time

We now however have Tom Brady both at age 43 and without Bill Belichick in a division with a Saints team run by the man who he has been fighting for the all time lead in TD’s.

So How is Tom Brady doing at age 43 at the end of a long season.. Well Brady went into yesterday’s game with a chance to send the Bucks to their first post season since 2007. Here’s what he did:

And that’s just in the 1st half.

Bottom line the worst Tampa Bay can do is a 10-6 record and a date with Seattle in the 1st round of the playoffs. Their best case scenario is an 11-5 record and a trip to face the former Redskins.

I set my expectations for Tampa based on three season suggesting they should:

  1. Tampa Bay Should expect to have a winning record 100% of the time
  2. Tampa Bay Should expect to win at least 10 games 67% of the time
  3. Tampa Bay Should expect to make the playoffs 67% of the time
  4. Tampa Bay Should expect to win at least one playoff game 67% of the time
  5. They should expect to win their division at least 33% of the time
  6. They should make the NFC Championship game at least once

As of this moment Brady is 1/3 of the way toward #1 and half way home to 2 & 3. He has two more seasons to manage #5 and we’ll see show he does in the playoffs this season to judge 4 & 6.

But as of right now we must conclude the Brady experiment in Tampa Bay is a success

Closing Thought #1: Brady has had at least one senior moment this season (vs Chicago) and frankly the coaching in Tampa Bay has been abysmal. Does anyone doubt for one moment that if Belichick was coaching this team they would be at worst with 11 wins and be in the hunt for the division title and at best with 12 wins and the Saints chasing them?

Closing Thought #2 It’s worth noting that even if the Playoff Schedule was not expanded then the Bucks would have clinched a berth this year and a trip to Washington.

Closing Though #3 With the Woke NFL ratings crashing and burning the league should thank it’s lucky stars for Brady. Their playoff ratings will likely depend on how far he goes. I hope he goes all the way, not only because I like him but it will make all the right people miserable.

McConnell to GOP GA voters: Stay Home! Biden’s Mayfly Voters, Missing the Lede on NFL ratings, A Medical Miracle & a 2A feature Under the Fedora

Given Mitch McConnell’s statement warning GOP senators not to challenge electors and force a senate vote I can’t see any incentive for GOP voters to turn out on January 5th for Kelly Loeffner or David Perdue unless they immediately and publicly vow to challenge said electors on the 6th if elected.

Both candidates should be made to commit to do so before a single conservative consents to vote for them.

Apparently Mitch McConnell would rather be the Senate Minority Leader for at least two years rather be majority leader and have his caucus have to vote to challenge electors in a fraudulent election.

Odd that the Democrats are not pushing for such a challenge by the GOP if it will be so fatal for the party isn’t it?


Joe Biden gave a key speech this week and managed only 52K live viewers watching it.

This is in the middle of a pandemic with people stuck at home after supposedly getting 80 million votes

Apparently the mythical Joe Biden voters who gave him the election are like Mayflies they exist and show activity for one day a year and then disappear.


I found these paragraphs from the WSJ piece on advertisers and the NFL amusing:

But this year, NFL ratings have taken a hit as pandemic-related postponements have pushed some games to less desirable times and the coronavirus has sidelined some star players. Unexpected competition from other sports leagues whose seasons were delayed from earlier in the year also has taken a toll on ratings.

You have to go to paragraph 20 for the journal to get to the actual reason

Much of the ratings drop is attributed to the 2020 presidential election coverage siphoning away viewers and the pandemic’s wreaking havoc on the league. Aside from reschedulings and some sidelined stars, the league has faced a backlash from some fans over its social justice efforts, including its embrace of Black Lives Matter. These factors are compounded by the secular decline of traditional TV viewing, in which ratings have been eroded by the uptick in ad-free streaming services.

Shades of “Only in paragraph on page 107“.


I saw something that made me laugh out loud on twitter yesterday:

Let me introduce you to Vin Gupta Twitter blue check

As you can see Vin is, in addition to a doctor, a NBC news and MSNBC news analyst and he had some big news.

Perhaps he should have also expressed some gratitude on the President who put Operation Warp Speed in place which made it possible.

Of course his gigs on NBC & MSNBC depend on him not doing so. After all “Do no Harm” as a rule for doctors has been replaced by “do no harm to Democrat election prospects”

Unexpectedly of course


Finally As I was writing this post an old tweet of mine from two years ago was retweeted and I found it particularly apt for what might be coming.

If there is a more important reminder to those who would enslave us I can’t think of it. I think it’s also worth pointing out that Democrat efforts to convince such heavily armed people that participating in the Democratic Process of a republic is a waste of time by openly stealing an election is short sighted and dangerous.

GERBL SABLE Dynasty Baseball 2019 Sim Season Draft

There is more to life than Democrats creating magic ballots to steal the republic thus crisis or no our Sable / Gerbel face to face tabletop baseball lead held our draft on Saturday.

The Draft order was determined by last years record and draft picks for the 1st five rounds were eligible to trade. Teams were able to retain from 6 to 16 of their previous players and then drafted till they held 35.

Drafting TeamPlayerMLB TeamPositionC ?SP ?RP ?
Round 1
San DiegoBrett SutterMILLRx
SeattleEmilio Pagan TBSRx
Tampa BayMarcus SimeonOAKSS
San FranciscoTyler GlasnowTBSPx
WashingtonJavier BaezChCSS
NYYMichael BrantleyHOULF
St. LouisGerman MarquezCOLSPx
ColoradoDarvishChCSPx
Round 2
San DiegoAaron BummerChCLRx
SeattleDavid FletcherANA3B
Tampa BayVictor RoblesWSHCF
San FranciscoZach GallenARISPx
WashingtonLorenzo CainMILCF
NYYRoberto PerezCLECatx
Tampa BayRoman LaurenoOAKCF
ColoradoCharlie MortonTBSPx
Round 3
San DiegoCasey SadlerLADLRx
SeattleMax KeplarMINRF
Tampa BayHowie KendrickWSH1B
San FranciscoRyuLADSPx
Tampa BayPettitTBLRx
Tampa BayOliver DrakeTBLRx
St. LouisStarling MartePITCF
Tampa BayLucas GiolitoCWSSPx
Round 4
San DiegoMark MelanconATLRPx
SeattleAlex GordanKCLF
Tampa BayWilson ConterasCHCCx
San FranciscoJosh HaderMILRPx
WashingtonYadier MolinaStLCx
NYYJustin TurnerLAD3B
St. LouisChristian VazquezBOSCx
ColoradoEugenio SuarezCIN3B
Round 5
San DiegoTony WaltersCOLCx
SeattleMatt ChapmanOAK3B
Tampa BayJosh BellPIT1B
San FranciscoTyler DuffyMINSRx
WashingtonWhit MerrifieldKC2B
NYYCory SeagerLADSS
Tampa BayAndrelton SimmonsANASS
Tampa BayManny MachadoSD3B
Round 6
San DiegoYolmer SanchezCWS2B
SeattleMaillex SmithSEACF
Tampa BayBuster PoseySFC
San FranciscoDavid DollCOLOF
WashingtonOdorizziMINSPx
NYYSteven StrausbergWSHSPx
St. LouisJoe MusgrovePITSPx
ColoradoAlex CologmeCWSRPx
Round 7
San DiegoPeon BraxtonSEACF
SeattleMiguel RojazMIASS
Tampa BayEdwin EncarnacionNYY1B
San FranciscoBrad PeacockHOUSPx
WashingtonRobby RayARISPx
NYYJonathan VillarBAL2B
St. LouisEric SogardTB2B
ColoradoJorge SolairKCOF
Round 8
San DiegoYuli GurielHOU1B
SeattleRoss StriplingLADLRx
Tampa BayBrandon WorkmanBOSSRx
San FranciscoHanser AlbertoBAL2B
WashingtonDomingo GermanNYYS/RPxx
NYYMike SorokaATLSPx
St. LouisOscar MercadoCLECF
ColoradoDanny SantanaTEX1B
Round 9
San DiegoEvan LongoriaSF3B
SeattleChad GreenNYYLRx
Tampa BayCam BedroisianANARPx
San FranciscoAndrew McCutchenPHIOF
WashingtonGabriel YnoaBALS/RPxx
NYYMarcus StromanNYMSPx
St. LouisEduardo EscobarARI3B
ColoradoHunter RenfroSDOF
Round 10
San DiegoTrevor MayMINRPx
SeattleColin MchughHOUS/RPxx
Tampa BayLiam HendricksOAKSRx
San FranciscoNick WittgrenCLERPx
WashingtonMarcus WaldonBOSLRx
NYYMike ZuninoTBCx
St. LouisMelvis GoloriaKCCx
ColoradoMiguel SanoMIN3B
15 minute break
Round 11
San DiegoCarlos SantanaCLE3B
SeattleTyler ClippardCLERPx
Tampa BayEhire AdranzaMINSS
San FranciscoMitch GarberMINCx
WashingtonSergio RomoMINRPx
NYYZach BrittonNYYRPx
St. LouisJulio UriasLADRPx
ColoradoJames McCannCWSCx
Round 12
San DiegoHunter WoodCLERPx
SeattleAnthony BassSEARPx
Tampa BayDavid PeraltaARILF
San FranciscoKevin NewmanPITSS
WashingtonAnibel SanchezWSHSPx
NYYAlex VerdugoLADOF
St. LouisBrandon KintzlerCHCRPx
ColoradoBilly HamiltonATLOF
Round 13
San DiegoCesar HernandezPHI2B
SeattleKyle SeagerSEA3B
Tampa BayZach PlesacCLESPx
San FranciscoByron BuxtonMINCF
WashingtonKurt SuzukiWSHCx
NYYAlberto MondesiKCSS
St. LouisJose BerriosMINSPx
ColoradoKyle SchwarberCHCLF/Cx
Round 14
San DiegoJose AltuveHOU2B
SeattleDee GordonSEA2B
San FranciscoJosh OsichCWSRPx
WashingtonFrancisco LindorCLE2B
NYYGlaybar TorresNYYss
St. LouisAlbert PujolsANA1B
ColoradoIan HappCHC2B
Round 15
San DiegoVladimer Guerrero Jr. TOR3B
SeattleAdam FrazierPIT2B
San FranciscoBiggioTOR2B
WashingtonDelino DeshieldsTEX2B
NYYScott KingeryPHICF
St. LouisLuis RendikoANA2B
ColoradoStephan CreightonARILRx
Round 16
San DiegoJason HaywardCHCOF
SeattleHarison BaderStLCF
San FranciscoWil HarrisHOURPx
WashingtonKyle FarmerCin2B/Cx
NYYTanakaNYYSPx
St. LouisGreg AllenCLELF
ColoradoMadeaLADS/RPxx
Round 17
San DiegoFrancisco CervelliATLCx
SeattleMichael ConfortoNYMRF
San FranciscoRobinson ChirinosHOUCx
WashingtonAustin HedgesSDCx
NYYRoberto OsunaHOURPx
St. LouisBrian AndersonMIA3B
ColoradoAnthony DesciafaniCINSPx
Round 18
SeattleIsaih Kiner-FalefaTEXC/3Bx
San FranciscoMike CanhaOAKOF
WashingtonAdam PlutkoS/RPxx
NYYPedro BaezLADRPx
St. LouisTrevor BauerCinSPx
ColoradoJoc PetersonLADLF
Round 19
SeattleDaniel VogelbachSEA1B
San FranciscoHunter PenceTexOF
WashingtonWade MileyHOUSPx
NYYScott ObergCOLRPx
St. LouisDaniel MurphyCOL1B
ColoradoLance LynnTEXSPx
15 Minute Break
Round 20
San FranciscoMatt BaumgardnerSFSPx
WashingtonEdwin DiazNYMRPx
NYYDanny SwansonATLSS
St. LouisHector NerisPHIRPx
ColoradoRyan PressleyHOURPx
Round 21
San FranciscoTommy PhanTBLF
WashingtonEric HosmerSD1B
NYYJandal GustaveSFRPx
St. LouisAnsel RoblesANARPx
ColoradoCarson KellyARICx
Round 22
San FranciscoSean DoolittleWSHRPx
WashingtonRyan BraunMILOF
NYYIan Kennedy KCRPx
St. LouisJeff SamargaSFSPx
ColoradoYoan MoncadaCWS3B
Round 23
San FranciscoNikki LobezKC2B
WashingtonJason KitmasCLE2B
NYYAustin MeadowsTBCF
St. LouisJiman ChoiTB1B
ColoradoJordan HicksSTLRPx
Round 24
San FranciscoSevy ZavalaCWSCx
WashingtonColin MoranPIT2B
NYYRowdy TellezTOR1B
St. LouisBrandon DruryTOR3B
ColoradoChristian WalkerARI1B
Round 25
WashingtonChris OwingsBOS2B
NYYBrett GardnerNYYOF
St. LouisJorge PolancoMINSS
ColoradoNoah SindergartenNYMSPx
Round 26
WashingtonLeroy GarciaCWS3B
NYYLuis ServerinoNYYSPx
St. LouisJorge PolancoMINSS
ColoradoHomer BaileyOAKSPx
Round 27
WashingtonEddie Rosario MINOF
ColoradoDede GregoriousNYYSS
Round 28
ColoradoCarlos CarreraHOUSS
Round 29
ColoradoReyesHOURF
Round 30
ColoradoAdrian HowserMILRPx
Round 31
ColoradoShane GreenATLRPx

In addition to the standard draft there was the AA draft. This is a draft of any fringe player (fringe meaning a batter with a % or a pitcher with a spot start rating and no relief rating )

Teams were able to hold the rights to up to five AA players who can not be used this season. Franchises can retain up to five rookies that they already had rights to and then can fill any remaining spots via said draft.

1st Rnd
TeamPlayerPosition
San DiegoJose RodoRPOAK
SeattleChad WalchCMIA
Tampa BayWil SmithCLAD
WashingtonAdam HaseluyCFPHI
NYYBo BichetteOFTOR
St. LouisGenesis CabreraS/RPStL
2nd Rnd
SeattleTim LopesCFSEA
Tampa BayDustin MayRPLAD
WashingtonEmmanuel PlaceRPTEX
NYYAustin RileyLFATL
St. LouisAdam DuvalOF/1BATL
3rd Rnd
SeattleAustin AdamsRPSEA
Tampa BayWendelkenRPOAK
NYYEric KratzCTB
4th Rnd
SeattleMarco Hernandez2BBOS
Tampa BayGonsolinSPLAD
5th Rnd
SeattleTyler AlexanderRPDET
St. Louis also has Sean Manaea

If a player retains “fringe” status the following season a team may keep them on their AA roster. If said player gets fulltime status they must either be kept on their standard 35 man roster or be released.

Opening Day is Black Saturday (Nov 28th) for a 60 game season. Good luck to all.

If you have an interest in joining next year contact us. if we have multiple players interested a short AA season might be possible as a test run to be played at the same time as the regular season using the non-drafted fringe players as a roster.